Large Language Models (LLMs) are capable of successfully performing many language processing tasks zero-shot (without training data). If zero-shot LLMs can also reliably classify and explain social phenomena like persuasiveness and political ideology, then LLMs could augment the Computational Social Science (CSS) pipeline in important ways. This work provides a road map for using LLMs as CSS tools. Towards this end, we contribute a set of prompting best practices and an extensive evaluation pipeline to measure the zero-shot performance of 13 language models on 25 representative English CSS benchmarks. On taxonomic labeling tasks (classification), LLMs fail to outperform the best fine-tuned models but still achieve fair levels of agreement with humans. On free-form coding tasks (generation), LLMs produce explanations that often exceed the quality of crowdworkers' gold references. We conclude that the performance of today's LLMs can augment the CSS research pipeline in two ways: (1) serving as zero-shot data annotators on human annotation teams, and (2) bootstrapping challenging creative generation tasks (e.g., explaining the underlying attributes of a text). In summary, LLMs are posed to meaningfully participate in} social science analysis in partnership with humans.

Using knowledge graph embedding models (KGEMs) is a popular approach for predicting links in knowledge graphs (KGs). Traditionally, the performance of KGEMs for link prediction is assessed using rank-based metrics, which evaluate their ability to give high scores to ground-truth entities. However, the literature claims that the KGEM evaluation procedure would benefit from adding supplementary dimensions to assess. That is why, in this paper, we extend our previously introduced metric Sem@K that measures the capability of models to predict valid entities w.r.t. domain and range constraints. In particular, we consider a broad range of KGs and take their respective characteristics into account to propose different versions of Sem@K. We also perform an extensive study to qualify the abilities of KGEMs as measured by our metric. Our experiments show that Sem@K provides a new perspective on KGEM quality. Its joint analysis with rank-based metrics offers different conclusions on the predictive power of models. Regarding Sem@K, some KGEMs are inherently better than others, but this semantic superiority is not indicative of their performance w.r.t. rank-based metrics. In this work, we generalize conclusions about the relative performance of KGEMs w.r.t. rank-based and semantic-oriented metrics at the level of families of models. The joint analysis of the aforementioned metrics gives more insight into the peculiarities of each model. This work paves the way for a more comprehensive evaluation of KGEM adequacy for specific downstream tasks.

Data shift is a phenomenon present in many real-world applications, and while there are multiple methods attempting to detect shifts, the task of localizing and correcting the features originating such shifts has not been studied in depth. Feature shifts can occur in many datasets, including in multi-sensor data, where some sensors are malfunctioning, or in tabular and structured data, including biomedical, financial, and survey data, where faulty standardization and data processing pipelines can lead to erroneous features. In this work, we explore using the principles of adversarial learning, where the information from several discriminators trained to distinguish between two distributions is used to both detect the corrupted features and fix them in order to remove the distribution shift between datasets. We show that mainstream supervised classifiers, such as random forest or gradient boosting trees, combined with simple iterative heuristics, can localize and correct feature shifts, outperforming current statistical and neural network-based techniques.

The COVID-19 pandemic has exerted a profound impact on the global economy and continues to exact a significant toll on human lives. The COVID-19 case growth rate stands as a key epidemiological parameter to estimate and monitor for effective detection and containment of the resurgence of outbreaks. A fundamental challenge in growth rate estimation and hence outbreak detection is balancing the accuracy-speed tradeoff, where accuracy typically degrades with shorter fitting windows. In this paper, we develop a machine learning (ML) algorithm, which we call Transfer Learning Generalized Random Forest (TLGRF), that balances this accuracy-speed tradeoff. Specifically, we estimate the instantaneous COVID-19 exponential growth rate for each U.S. county by using TLGRF that chooses an adaptive fitting window size based on relevant day-level and county-level features affecting the disease spread. Through transfer learning, TLGRF can accurately estimate case growth rates for counties with small sample sizes. Out-of-sample prediction analysis shows that TLGRF outperforms established growth rate estimation methods. Furthermore, we conducted a case study based on outbreak case data from the state of Colorado and showed that the timely detection of outbreaks could have been improved by up to 224% using TLGRF when compared to the decisions made by Colorado's Department of Health and Environment (CDPHE). To facilitate implementation, we have developed a publicly available outbreak detection tool for timely detection of COVID-19 outbreaks in each U.S. county, which received substantial attention from policymakers.

Natural language supervision has been shown to be effective for zero-shot learning in many computer vision tasks, such as object detection and activity recognition. However, generating informative prompts can be challenging for more subtle tasks, such as video content moderation. This can be difficult, as there are many reasons why a video might be inappropriate, beyond violence and obscenity. For example, scammers may attempt to create junk content that is similar to popular educational videos but with no meaningful information. This paper evaluates the performance of several CLIP variations for content moderation of children's cartoons in both the supervised and zero-shot setting. We show that our proposed model (Vanilla CLIP with Projection Layer) outperforms previous work conducted on the Malicious or Benign (MOB) benchmark for video content moderation. This paper presents an in depth analysis of how context-specific language prompts affect content moderation performance. Our results indicate that it is important to include more context in content moderation prompts, particularly for cartoon videos as they are not well represented in the CLIP training data.

Machine learning models are often trained to predict the outcome resulting from a human decision. For example, if a doctor decides to test a patient for disease, will the patient test positive? A challenge is that the human decision censors the outcome data: we only observe test outcomes for patients doctors historically tested. Untested patients, for whom outcomes are unobserved, may differ from tested patients along observed and unobserved dimensions. We propose a Bayesian model class which captures this setting. The purpose of the model is to accurately estimate risk for both tested and untested patients. Estimating this model is challenging due to the wide range of possibilities for untested patients. To address this, we propose two domain constraints which are plausible in health settings: a prevalence constraint, where the overall disease prevalence is known, and an expertise constraint, where the human decision-maker deviates from purely risk-based decision-making only along a constrained feature set. We show theoretically and on synthetic data that domain constraints improve parameter inference. We apply our model to a case study of cancer risk prediction, showing that the model's inferred risk predicts cancer diagnoses, its inferred testing policy captures known public health policies, and it can identify suboptimalities in test allocation. Though our case study is in healthcare, our analysis reveals a general class of domain constraints which can improve model estimation in many settings.

Research in decoding visual information from the brain, particularly through the non-invasive fMRI method, is rapidly progressing. The challenge arises from the limited data availability and the low signal-to-noise ratio of fMRI signals, leading to a low-precision task of fMRI-to-image retrieval. State-of-the-art MindEye remarkably improves fMRI-to-image retrieval performance by leveraging a deep MLP with a high parameter count orders of magnitude, i.e., a 996M MLP Backbone per subject, to align fMRI embeddings to the final hidden layer of CLIP's vision transformer. However, significant individual variations exist among subjects, even within identical experimental setups, mandating the training of subject-specific models. The substantial parameters pose significant challenges in deploying fMRI decoding on practical devices, especially with the necessitating of specific models for each subject. To this end, we propose Lite-Mind, a lightweight, efficient, and versatile brain representation network based on discrete Fourier transform, that efficiently aligns fMRI voxels to fine-grained information of CLIP. Our experiments demonstrate that Lite-Mind achieves an impressive 94.3% fMRI-to-image retrieval accuracy on the NSD dataset for Subject 1, with 98.7% fewer parameters than MindEye. Lite-Mind is also proven to be able to be migrated to smaller brain datasets and establishes a new state-of-the-art for zero-shot classification on the GOD dataset. The code is available at https://github.com/gongzix/Lite-Mind.

Automated classification of animal sounds is a prerequisite for large-scale monitoring of biodiversity. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are among the most promising algorithms but they are slow, often achieve poor classification in the field and typically require large training data sets. Our objective was to design CNNs that are fast at inference time and achieve good classification performance while learning from moderate-sized data. Recordings from a rainforest ecosystem were used. Start and end-point of sounds from 20 bird species were manually annotated. Spectrograms from 10 second segments were used as CNN input. We designed simple CNNs with a frequency unwrapping layer (SIMP-FU models) such that any output unit was connected to all spectrogram frequencies but only to a sub-region of time, the Receptive Field (RF). Our models allowed experimentation with different RF durations. Models either used the time-indexed labels that encode start and end-point of sounds or simpler segment-level labels. Models learning from time-indexed labels performed considerably better than their segment-level counterparts. Best classification performances was achieved for models with intermediate RF duration of 1.5 seconds. The best SIMP-FU models achieved AUCs over 0.95 in 18 of 20 classes on the test set. On compact low-cost hardware the best SIMP-FU models evaluated up to seven times faster than real-time data acquisition. RF duration was a major driver of classification performance. The optimum of 1.5 s was in the same range as the duration of the sounds. Our models achieved good classification performance while learning from moderate-sized training data. This is explained by the usage of time-indexed labels during training and adequately sized RF. Results confirm the feasibility of deploying small CNNs with good classification performance on compact low-cost devices.

We present a framework for constraining the automatic sequential generation of equations to obey the rules of dimensional analysis by construction. Combining this approach with reinforcement learning, we built $\Phi$-SO, a Physical Symbolic Optimization method for recovering analytical functions from physical data leveraging units constraints. Our symbolic regression algorithm achieves state-of-the-art results in contexts in which variables and constants have known physical units, outperforming all other methods on SRBench's Feynman benchmark in the presence of noise (exceeding 0.1%) and showing resilience even in the presence of significant (10%) levels of noise.

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art results on many modalities including images, speech, and video. However, existing models are not tailored to support remote sensing data, which is widely used in important applications including environmental monitoring and crop-yield prediction. Satellite images are significantly different from natural images - they can be multi-spectral, irregularly sampled across time - and existing diffusion models trained on images from the Web do not support them. Furthermore, remote sensing data is inherently spatio-temporal, requiring conditional generation tasks not supported by traditional methods based on captions or images. In this paper, we present DiffusionSat, to date the largest generative foundation model trained on a collection of publicly available large, high-resolution remote sensing datasets. As text-based captions are sparsely available for satellite images, we incorporate the associated metadata such as geolocation as conditioning information. Our method produces realistic samples and can be used to solve multiple generative tasks including temporal generation, superresolution given multi-spectral inputs and in-painting. Our method outperforms previous state-of-the-art methods for satellite image generation and is the first large-scale generative foundation model for satellite imagery. Diffusion models have achieved state of the art results in image generation (Sohl-Dickstein et al., 2015; Ho et al., 2020; Dhariwal & Nichol, 2021; Kingma et al., 2021; Song & Ermon, 2019; 2020). Large scale models such as Stable Diffusion Rombach et al. (2022) (SD) have been trained on Internet-scale image-text datasets to generate high-resolution images from user-provided captions.