The three classes of architectures for time series prediction were tested. They differ by input layers which contain either convolutional, LSTM, or dense hypercomplex layers for 4D algebras. The input was four related Stock Market time series, and the prediction of one of them is expected. The optimization of hyperparameters related to the classes of architectures was performed in order to compare the best neural networks within the class. The results show that in most cases, the architecture with a hypercomplex dense layer provides similar MAE accuracy to other architectures, however, with considerably less trainable parameters. Thanks to it, hypercomplex neural networks can be learned and process data faster than the other tested architectures. Moreover, the order of the input time series has an impact on effectively.

As LLMs have become capable of processing more complex types of inputs, researchers have recently studied how to efficiently and affordably process possibly arbitrarily long sequences. One effective approach is to use a FIFO memory to store keys and values of an attention sublayer from past chunks to allow subsequent queries to attend. However, this approach requires a large memory and/or takes into the consideration the specific LM architecture. Moreover, due to the causal nature between the key-values in prior context and the queries at present, this approach cannot be extended to bidirectional attention such as in an encoder-decoder or PrefixLM decoder-only architecture. In this paper, we propose to use eviction policies, such as LRA and LFA, to reduce the memory size and adapt to various architectures, and we also propose the Attendre layer, a wait-to-attend mechanism by retrieving the key-value memory (K/V memory) with evicted queries in the query memory (Q memory). As a first step, we evaluate this method in the context length extension setup using the TriviaQA reading comprehension task, and show the effectiveness of the approach.

Modeling long user histories plays a pivotal role in enhancing recommendation systems, allowing to capture users' evolving preferences, resulting in more precise and personalized recommendations. In this study, we tackle the challenges of modeling long user histories for preference understanding in natural language. Specifically, we introduce a new User Embedding Module (UEM) that efficiently processes user history in free-form text by compressing and representing them as embeddings, to use them as soft prompts to a LM. Our experiments demonstrate the superior capability of this approach in handling significantly longer histories compared to conventional text-based methods, yielding substantial improvements in predictive performance. Models trained using our approach exhibit substantial enhancements, with up to 0.21 and 0.25 F1 points improvement over the text-based prompting baselines. The main contribution of this research is to demonstrate the ability to bias language models via user signals.

Improving energy efficiency in industrial production processes is crucial for competitiveness, and compliance with climate policies. This paper introduces a data-driven approach to identify optimal melting patterns in induction furnaces. Through time-series K-means clustering the melting patterns could be classified into distinct clusters based on temperature profiles. Using the elbow method, 12 clusters were identified, representing the range of melting patterns. Performance parameters such as melting time, energy-specific performance, and carbon cost were established for each cluster, indicating furnace efficiency and environmental impact. Multiple criteria decision-making methods including Simple Additive Weighting, Multiplicative Exponential Weighting, Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution, modified TOPSIS, and VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje were utilized to determine the best-practice cluster. The study successfully identified the cluster with the best performance. Implementing the best practice operation resulted in an 8.6 % reduction in electricity costs, highlighting the potential energy savings in the foundry.

Fruit ripeness estimation models have for decades depended on spectral index features or colour-based features, such as mean, standard deviation, skewness, colour moments, and/or histograms for learning traits of fruit ripeness. Recently, few studies have explored the use of deep learning techniques to extract features from images of fruits with visible ripeness cues. However, the blackberry (Rubus fruticosus) fruit does not show obvious and reliable visible traits of ripeness when mature and therefore poses great difficulty to fruit pickers. The mature blackberry, to the human eye, is black before, during, and post-ripening. To address this engineering application challenge, this paper proposes a novel multi-input convolutional neural network (CNN) ensemble classifier for detecting subtle traits of ripeness in blackberry fruits. The multi-input CNN was created from a pre-trained visual geometry group 16-layer deep convolutional network (VGG16) model trained on the ImageNet dataset. The fully connected layers were optimized for learning traits of ripeness of mature blackberry fruits. The resulting model served as the base for building homogeneous ensemble learners that were ensemble using the stack generalization ensemble (SGE) framework. The input to the network is images acquired with a stereo sensor using visible and near-infrared (VIS-NIR) spectral filters at wavelengths of 700 nm and 770 nm. Through experiments, the proposed model achieved 95.1% accuracy on unseen sets and 90.2% accuracy with in-field conditions. Further experiments reveal that machine sensory is highly and positively correlated to human sensory over blackberry fruit skin texture.

The conservation of hydrological resources involves continuously monitoring their contamination. A multi-agent system composed of autonomous surface vehicles is proposed in this paper to efficiently monitor the water quality. To achieve a safe control of the fleet, the fleet policy should be able to act based on measurements and to the the fleet state. It is proposed to use Local Gaussian Processes and Deep Reinforcement Learning to jointly obtain effective monitoring policies. Local Gaussian processes, unlike classical global Gaussian processes, can accurately model the information in a dissimilar spatial correlation which captures more accurately the water quality information. A Deep convolutional policy is proposed, that bases the decisions on the observation on the mean and variance of this model, by means of an information gain reward. Using a Double Deep Q-Learning algorithm, agents are trained to minimize the estimation error in a safe manner thanks to a Consensus-based heuristic. Simulation results indicate an improvement of up to 24% in terms of the mean absolute error with the proposed models. Also, training results with 1-3 agents indicate that our proposed approach returns 20% and 24% smaller average estimation errors for, respectively, monitoring water quality variables and monitoring algae blooms, as compared to state-of-the-art approaches

Sequences of labeled events observed at irregular intervals in continuous time are ubiquitous across various fields. Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) provide a mathematical framework for modeling these sequences, enabling inferences such as predicting the arrival time of future events and their associated label, called mark. However, due to model misspecification or lack of training data, these probabilistic models may provide a poor approximation of the true, unknown underlying process, with prediction regions extracted from them being unreliable estimates of the underlying uncertainty. This paper develops more reliable methods for uncertainty quantification in neural TPP models via the framework of conformal prediction. A primary objective is to generate a distribution-free joint prediction region for the arrival time and mark, with a finite-sample marginal coverage guarantee. A key challenge is to handle both a strictly positive, continuous response and a categorical response, without distributional assumptions. We first consider a simple but overly conservative approach that combines individual prediction regions for the event arrival time and mark. Then, we introduce a more effective method based on bivariate highest density regions derived from the joint predictive density of event arrival time and mark. By leveraging the dependencies between these two variables, this method exclude unlikely combinations of the two, resulting in sharper prediction regions while still attaining the pre-specified coverage level. We also explore the generation of individual univariate prediction regions for arrival times and marks through conformal regression and classification techniques. Moreover, we investigate the stronger notion of conditional coverage. Finally, through extensive experimentation on both simulated and real-world datasets, we assess the validity and efficiency of these methods.

Companies, organizations, and governments increasingly exploit Language Models' (LM) remarkable capability to display agent-like behavior. As LMs are adopted to perform tasks with growing autonomy, there exists an urgent need for reliable and scalable evaluation benchmarks. Current, predominantly static LM benchmarks are ill-suited to evaluate such dynamic applications. Thus, we propose jointly evaluating LM performance and alignment through the lenses of negotiation games. We argue that this common task better reflects real-world deployment conditions while offering insights into LMs' decision-making processes. Crucially, negotiation games allow us to study multi-turn, and cross-model interactions, modulate complexity, and side-step accidental data leakage in evaluation. We report results for six publicly accessible LMs from several major providers on a variety of negotiation games, evaluating both self-play and cross-play performance. Noteworthy findings include: (i) open-source models are currently unable to complete these tasks; (ii) cooperative bargaining games prove challenging; and (iii) the most powerful models do not always "win".

Each organization of competitions and benchmarks involves a large number of practical problems, such as obtaining sufficient financial support or recruiting participants through appropriate incentives and community engagement. In addition to defining scientific tasks, preparing data and creating challenges, a very important practical administrative organization remains to be achieved. Indeed, cost assessment, corresponding requests for financial support and adequate publicity are key factors for successful organization of the competition. In addition, a good understanding of the incentives that lead participants to engage in a given challenge is fundamental for effective practical organization success. In this chapter, we will cover these topics and give some practical tips and examples for overcoming the "challenge" of organizing the challenges. How to incentivize participants to work on complex problems is a key feature of challenge organization. In this section, we review various types of motivations (Figure 1.1), from a participant perspective, and give practical tips to optimize those incentives.

Air pollution stands as the fourth leading cause of death globally. While extensive research has been conducted in this domain, most approaches rely on large datasets when it comes to prediction. This limits their applicability in low-resource settings though more vulnerable. This study addresses this gap by proposing a novel machine learning approach for accurate air quality prediction using two months of air quality data. By leveraging the World Weather Repository, the meteorological, air pollutant, and Air Quality Index features from 197 capital cities were considered to predict air quality for the next day. The evaluation of several machine learning models demonstrates the effectiveness of the Random Forest algorithm in generating reliable predictions, particularly when applied to classification rather than regression, approach which enhances the model's generalizability by 42%, achieving a cross-validation score of 0.38 for regression and 0.89 for classification. To instill confidence in the predictions, interpretable machine learning was considered. Finally, a cost estimation comparing the implementation of this solution in high-resource and low-resource settings is presented including a tentative of technology licensing business model. This research highlights the potential for resource-limited countries to independently predict air quality while awaiting larger datasets to further refine their predictions.