South America
Towards a Brazilian History Knowledge Graph
de Paiva, Valeria, Rademaker, Alexandre
This short paper describes the first steps in a project to construct a knowledge graph for Brazilian history based on the Brazilian Dictionary of Historical Biographies (DHBB) and Wikipedia/Wikidata. We contend that large repositories of Brazilian-named entities (people, places, organizations, and political events and movements) would be beneficial for extracting information from Portuguese texts. We show that many of the terms/entities described in the DHBB do not have corresponding concepts (or Q items) in Wikidata, the largest structured database of entities associated with Wikipedia. We describe previous work on extracting information from the DHBB and outline the steps to construct a Wikidata-based historical knowledge graph.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Based Prediction of Mortality, for COVID-19 Patients
Tamala, Mahbubunnabi, Rahmanb, Mohammad Marufur, Alhasimc, Maryam, Mulhimd, Mobarak Al, Derichee, Mohamed
For severely affected COVID-19 patients, it is crucial to identify high-risk patients and predict survival and need for intensive care (ICU). Most of the proposed models are not well reported making them less reproducible and prone to high risk of bias particularly in presence of imbalance data/class. In this study, the performances of nine machine and deep learning algorithms in combination with two widely used feature selection methods were investigated to predict last status representing mortality, ICU requirement, and ventilation days. Fivefold cross-validation was used for training and validation purposes. To minimize bias, the training and testing sets were split maintaining similar distributions. Only 10 out of 122 features were found to be useful in prediction modelling with Acute kidney injury during hospitalization feature being the most important one. The algorithms performances depend on feature numbers and data pre-processing techniques. LSTM performs the best in predicting last status and ICU requirement with 90%, 92%, 86% and 95% accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and AUC respectively. DNN performs the best in predicting Ventilation days with 88% accuracy. Considering all the factors and limitations including absence of exact time point of clinical onset, LSTM with carefully selected features can accurately predict last status and ICU requirement. DNN performs the best in predicting Ventilation days. Appropriate machine learning algorithm with carefully selected features and balance data can accurately predict mortality, ICU requirement and ventilation support. Such model can be very useful in emergency and pandemic where prompt and precise
Policy-Space Search: Equivalences, Improvements, and Compression
Messa, Frederico, Pereira, Andrรฉ Grahl
Fully-observable non-deterministic (FOND) planning is at the core of artificial intelligence planning with uncertainty. It models uncertainty through actions with non-deterministic effects. A* with Non-Determinism (AND*) (Messa and Pereira, 2023) is a FOND planner that generalizes A* (Hart et al., 1968) for FOND planning. It searches for a solution policy by performing an explicit heuristic search on the policy space of the FOND task. In this paper, we study and improve the performance of the policy-space search performed by AND*. We present a polynomial-time procedure that constructs a solution policy given just the set of states that should be mapped. This procedure, together with a better understanding of the structure of FOND policies, allows us to present three concepts of equivalences between policies. We use policy equivalences to prune part of the policy search space, making AND* substantially more effective in solving FOND tasks. We also study the impact of taking into account structural state-space symmetries to strengthen the detection of equivalence policies and the impact of performing the search with satisficing techniques. We apply a recent technique from the group theory literature to better compute structural state-space symmetries. Finally, we present a solution compressor that, given a policy defined over complete states, finds a policy that unambiguously represents it using the minimum number of partial states. AND* with the introduced techniques generates, on average, two orders of magnitude fewer policies to solve FOND tasks. These techniques allow explicit policy-space search to be competitive in terms of both coverage and solution compactness with other state-of-the-art FOND planners.
Deep Learning Framework with Uncertainty Quantification for Survey Data: Assessing and Predicting Diabetes Mellitus Risk in the American Population
Matabuena, Marcos, Vidal, Juan C., Ghosal, Rahul, Onnela, Jukka-Pekka
Complex survey designs are commonly employed in many medical cohorts. In such scenarios, developing case-specific predictive risk score models that reflect the unique characteristics of the study design is essential. This approach is key to minimizing potential selective biases in results. The objectives of this paper are: (i) To propose a general predictive framework for regression and classification using neural network (NN) modeling, which incorporates survey weights into the estimation process; (ii) To introduce an uncertainty quantification algorithm for model prediction, tailored for data from complex survey designs; (iii) To apply this method in developing robust risk score models to assess the risk of Diabetes Mellitus in the US population, utilizing data from the NHANES 2011-2014 cohort. The theoretical properties of our estimators are designed to ensure minimal bias and the statistical consistency, thereby ensuring that our models yield reliable predictions and contribute novel scientific insights in diabetes research. While focused on diabetes, this NN predictive framework is adaptable to create clinical models for a diverse range of diseases and medical cohorts. The software and the data used in this paper is publicly available on GitHub.
Regression with Multi-Expert Deferral
Mao, Anqi, Mohri, Mehryar, Zhong, Yutao
Learning to defer with multiple experts is a framework where the learner can choose to defer the prediction to several experts. While this problem has received significant attention in classification contexts, it presents unique challenges in regression due to the infinite and continuous nature of the label space. In this work, we introduce a novel framework of regression with deferral, which involves deferring the prediction to multiple experts. We present a comprehensive analysis for both the single-stage scenario, where there is simultaneous learning of predictor and deferral functions, and the two-stage scenario, which involves a pre-trained predictor with a learned deferral function. We introduce new surrogate loss functions for both scenarios and prove that they are supported by $H$-consistency bounds. These bounds provide consistency guarantees that are stronger than Bayes consistency, as they are non-asymptotic and hypothesis set-specific. Our framework is versatile, applying to multiple experts, accommodating any bounded regression losses, addressing both instance-dependent and label-dependent costs, and supporting both single-stage and two-stage methods. A by-product is that our single-stage formulation includes the recent regression with abstention framework (Cheng et al., 2023) as a special case, where only a single expert, the squared loss and a label-independent cost are considered. Minimizing our proposed loss functions directly leads to novel algorithms for regression with deferral. We report the results of extensive experiments showing the effectiveness of our proposed algorithms.
Suspect shoots robotic police dog in Massachusetts standoff; manufacturer says it's a first
Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. A robotic dog is being thanked by state police in Massachusetts for helping avert a tragedy involving a person barricaded in a home. The dog named Roscoe was part of the Massachusetts State Police Bomb Squad and deployed on March 6 in a Barnstable house after police were fired upon. Police sent in two other robots often used for bomb disposal into the house to find the suspect along with Roscoe.
Datalike: Interview with Mariza Ferro
Mariza Ferro is a professor at the Federal Fluminense University and a visiting professor at Bordeaux University. She has been working in the field of AI since 2002. She works on AI for good, including human-centric AI, ethical and trustworthy AI, green and sustainable AI, and AI for sustainable development goals. She guides her research based on the principle that AI must benefit humankind. Furthermore, she is also working with public outreach by making science available for all.
Representatividad Muestral en la Incertidumbre Sim\'etrica Multivariada para la Selecci\'on de Atributos
Author: Gustavo Daniel Sosa Cabrera Advisors: Miguel Garcรญa Torres Santiago Gรณmez Christian E. Schaerer Serra SUMMARY In this work, we analyze the behavior of the multivariate symmetric uncertainty (MSU) measure through the use of statistical simulation techniques under various mixes of informative and non-informative randomly generated features. Experiments show how the number of attributes, their cardinalities, and the sample size affect the MSU. In this thesis, through observation of results, it is proposed an heuristic condition that preserves good quality in the MSU under different combinations of these three factors, providing a new useful criterion to help drive the process of dimension reduction. Definiciรณn 5. La incertidumbre simรฉtrica de dos variables aleatorias X, Y se define como Hierarchical clustering based on mutual information.
Automated Black-box Prompt Engineering for Personalized Text-to-Image Generation
He, Yutong, Robey, Alexander, Murata, Naoki, Jiang, Yiding, Williams, Joshua, Pappas, George J., Hassani, Hamed, Mitsufuji, Yuki, Salakhutdinov, Ruslan, Kolter, J. Zico
Prompt engineering is effective for controlling the output of text-to-image (T2I) generative models, but it is also laborious due to the need for manually crafted prompts. This challenge has spurred the development of algorithms for automated prompt generation. However, these methods often struggle with transferability across T2I models, require white-box access to the underlying model, and produce non-intuitive prompts. In this work, we introduce PRISM, an algorithm that automatically identifies human-interpretable and transferable prompts that can effectively generate desired concepts given only black-box access to T2I models. Inspired by large language model (LLM) jailbreaking, PRISM leverages the in-context learning ability of LLMs to iteratively refine the candidate prompts distribution for given reference images. Our experiments demonstrate the versatility and effectiveness of PRISM in generating accurate prompts for objects, styles, and images across multiple T2I models, including Stable Diffusion, DALL-E, and Midjourney.
BioMedLM: A 2.7B Parameter Language Model Trained On Biomedical Text
Bolton, Elliot, Venigalla, Abhinav, Yasunaga, Michihiro, Hall, David, Xiong, Betty, Lee, Tony, Daneshjou, Roxana, Frankle, Jonathan, Liang, Percy, Carbin, Michael, Manning, Christopher D.
Large language models such as OpenAI's GPT-4 have become the dominant technology in modern natural language processing (Liu et al., 2023; Zhao et al., 2023). Trained on large corpora to predict the next token and refined with human feedback (Brown et al., 2020; Ouyang et al., 2022; Ziegler et al., 2020), these models develop impressive capabilities in areas such as summarization and questionanswering (Zhang et al., 2023; Goyal et al., 2023; Karpukhin et al., 2020). While the focus has been on these models' performance when responding to general English prompts, it is clear there is potential for specialist models to impact biomedical research and healthcare (Arora and Arora, 2023; Shah et al., 2023; Thirunavukarasu et al., 2023). Such applications include information retrieval and summarization from the ever-expanding biomedical literature (Wang et al., 2021; Yang, 2020), clinical information such as physician notes in electronic health records, and radiology reports (Murray et al., 2021; Feblowitz et al., 2011; Zhang et al., 2018). Improving domain-specific language models will help accelerate biomedical discovery, drive down healthcare costs, and improve patient care. Large, general models like GPT-4 and Med-PaLM 2 have set new standards for performance on question-answering and information extraction (Kung et al., 2022; Singhal et al., 2023a,b), but there are several drawbacks to these models. They are costly to train and utilize. Compute for training and inference of large language models have increased 10-to 100-fold since 2015 (Sevilla et al., 2022), translating to extremely high financial and