As an important clean and renewable kind of energy, wind power plays an important role in coping with energy crisis and environmental pollution. However, the volatility and intermittency of wind speed restrict the development of wind power. To improve the utilization of wind power, this study proposes a new wind speed prediction model based on data noise reduction technology, temporal convolutional network (TCN), and gated recurrent unit (GRU). Firstly, an adaptive data noise reduction algorithm P-SSA is proposed based on singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and Pearson correlation coefficient. The original wind speed is decomposed into multiple subsequences by SSA and then reconstructed. When the Pearson correlation coefficient between the reconstructed sequence and the original sequence is greater than 0.99, other noise subsequences are deleted to complete the data denoising. Then, the receptive field of the samples is expanded through the causal convolution and dilated convolution of TCN, and the characteristics of wind speed change are extracted. Then, the time feature information of the sequence is extracted by GRU, and then the wind speed is predicted to form the wind speed sequence prediction model of P-SSA-TCN-GRU. The proposed model was validated on three wind farms in Shandong Province. The experimental results show that the prediction performance of the proposed model is better than that of the traditional model and other models based on TCN, and the wind speed prediction of wind farms with high precision and strong stability is realized. The wind speed predictions of this model have the potential to become the data that support the operation and management of wind farms. The code is available at link.

Kurt'CyberGuy' Knutsson explains what health care pods mean for the industry. Imagine walking into a futuristic pod and getting a full-body scan, a blood test and a personalized health plan in minutes. That's about to become a reality if a company called Forward has its way. It just launched its flagship product, CarePod, which it claims is the world's first AI doctor's office. CLICK TO GET KURT'S FREE CYBERGUY NEWSLETTER WITH SECURITY ALERTS, QUICK VIDEO TIPS, TECH REVIEWS, AND EASY HOW-TO'S TO MAKE YOU SMARTER What are AI self-service healthcare pods?

The presence of multivariate time series data is extensively documented across a variety of sectors including economics, transportation, healthcare, and meteorology, as evidenced in several studies [1, 2, 3, 4]. A range of statistical and machine learning techniques have been shown to perform effectively on complete datasets in several time series tasks, including forecasting [5], classification [6], and anomaly detection [7]. However, it is often observed that multivariate time series data collected from real-world scenarios are prone to missing values due to various factors, such as sensor malfunctions and data transmission errors. These missing values can considerably affect the quality of the data, subsequently impacting the effectiveness of the aforementioned methods in their respective tasks. Extensive research efforts have been dedicated to addressing the challenges in spatiotemporal imputation. A typical approach involves the development of a distinct framework for initially estimating missing values, followed by the application of the completed dataset in another sophisticated framework for subsequent operations like forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection. To fill in missing values, various statistical and machine learning techniques are applied.

Transformers have shown great power in time series forecasting due to their global-range modeling ability. However, their performance can degenerate terribly on non-stationary real-world data in which the joint distribution changes over time. Previous studies primarily adopt stationarization to attenuate the non-stationarity of original series for better predictability. But the stationarized series deprived of inherent non-stationarity can be less instructive for real-world bursty events forecasting. This problem, termed over-stationarization in this paper, leads Transformers to generate indistinguishable temporal attentions for different series and impedes the predictive capability of deep models. To tackle the dilemma between series predictability and model capability, we propose Non-stationary Transformers as a generic framework with two interdependent modules: Series Stationarization and De-stationary Attention. Concretely, Series Stationarization unifies the statistics of each input and converts the output with restored statistics for better predictability. To address the over-stationarization problem, De-stationary Attention is devised to recover the intrinsic non-stationary information into temporal dependencies by approximating distinguishable attentions learned from raw series. Our Non-stationary Transformers framework consistently boosts mainstream Transformers by a large margin, which reduces MSE by 49.43% on Transformer, 47.34% on Informer, and 46.89% on Reformer, making them the state-of-the-art in time series forecasting. Code is available at this repository: https://github.com/thuml/Nonstationary_Transformers.

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generative modeling tasks across various domains. Prior works on time series diffusion models have primarily focused on developing conditional models tailored to specific forecasting or imputation tasks. In this work, we explore the potential of task-agnostic, unconditional diffusion models for several time series applications. We propose TSDiff, an unconditionally-trained diffusion model for time series. Our proposed self-guidance mechanism enables conditioning TSDiff for downstream tasks during inference, without requiring auxiliary networks or altering the training procedure. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method on three different time series tasks: forecasting, refinement, and synthetic data generation. First, we show that TSDiff is competitive with several task-specific conditional forecasting methods (predict). Second, we leverage the learned implicit probability density of TSDiff to iteratively refine the predictions of base forecasters with reduced computational overhead over reverse diffusion (refine). Notably, the generative performance of the model remains intact -- downstream forecasters trained on synthetic samples from TSDiff outperform forecasters that are trained on samples from other state-of-the-art generative time series models, occasionally even outperforming models trained on real data (synthesize).

A volcanic eruption on a remote island of Papua New Guinea has pushed some residents to begin evacuating and the island's airport to cancel flights. Ulawun, the South Pacific nation's most active volcano, spewed smoke up to 15km (9.3 miles) in the air on Monday afternoon, the country's Geohazards Management Division said, in its first significant blow-up in years. The eruption on New Britain island prompted officials to coordinate evacuation plans and cancel fights at the region's Hoskins airport. The ash plume continued to rise on Tuesday, reaching at least 5km (3.1 miles), but the country's geological hazard division downgraded its alert level from Level 4 to Level 3 – indicating a "moderate to strong eruption" rather than a "very strong eruption". Still, the volcano remained active and the outburst could continue indefinitely, the division said.

Foundation models have recently gained attention within the field of machine learning thanks to its efficiency in broad data processing. While researchers had attempted to extend this success to time series models, the main challenge is effectively extracting representations and transferring knowledge from pretraining datasets to the target finetuning dataset. To tackle this issue, we introduce a novel pretraining procedure that leverages supervised contrastive learning to distinguish features within each pretraining dataset. This pretraining phase enables a probabilistic similarity metric, which assesses the likelihood of a univariate sample being closely related to one of the pretraining datasets. Subsequently, using this similarity metric as a guide, we propose a fine-tuning procedure designed to enhance the accurate prediction of the target data by aligning it more closely with the learned dynamics of the pretraining datasets. Our experiments have shown promising results which demonstrate the efficacy of our approach.

Abstract-- We designed and validated a novel simulator for efficient development of multi-robot marine missions. To accelerate development of cooperative behaviors, the simulator models the robots' operating conditions with moderately high fidelity and runs significantly faster than real time, including acoustic communications, dynamic environmental data, and high-resolution bathymetry in large worlds. The simulator's ability to exceed a real-time factor (RTF) of 100 has been stresstested with a robust continuous integration suite and was used to develop a multi-robot field experiment. Autonomous robots are a mainstay of modern ocean exploration. Robots collect measurements in situ at larger sensors at what we believe to be greater speed than previous scales, with greater precision, and at significantly lower simulators, while allowing scientific data to be visualized cost than traditional ship operations.

Journalists must find stories in huge amounts of textual data (e.g. leaks, bills, press releases) as part of their jobs: determining when and why text becomes news can help us understand coverage patterns and help us build assistive tools. Yet, this is challenging because very few labelled links exist, language use between corpora is very different, and text may be covered for a variety of reasons. In this work we focus on news coverage of local public policy in the San Francisco Bay Area by the San Francisco Chronicle. First, we gather news articles, public policy documents and meeting recordings and link them using probabilistic relational modeling, which we show is a low-annotation linking methodology that outperforms other retrieval-based baselines. Second, we define a new task: newsworthiness prediction, to predict if a policy item will get covered. We show that different aspects of public policy discussion yield different newsworthiness signals. Finally we perform human evaluation with expert journalists and show our systems identify policies they consider newsworthy with 68% F1 and our coverage recommendations are helpful with an 84% win-rate.

House Armed Services Committee holds a hearing on the Department of Defense using artifical intelligence. President Biden is set to strike a deal with China that would limit the use of artifical intelligence in nuclear weapons. Biden is to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Wednesday at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in San Francisco, where the two leaders are expected to also sign an agreement to limit AI's use in military applications, according to a report from Business Insider. According to the report, Biden and Xi will agree to limit AI use in the systems that control and deploy nuclear weapons as well as the technology's use in autonomous weapon systems such as drones. US MILITARY NEEDS AI VEHICLES, WEAPON SYSTEMS TO BE'SUPERIOR' GLOBAL FORCE: EXPERTS President Biden shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping as they meet on the sidelines of the G20 leaders summit in Bali, Indonesia, on Nov. 14, 2022.