Pacific Ocean
Pipeline and Dataset Generation for Automated Fact-checking in Almost Any Language
Drchal, Jan, Ullrich, Herbert, Mlynář, Tomáš, Moravec, Václav
This article presents a pipeline for automated fact-checking leveraging publicly available Language Models and data. The objective is to assess the accuracy of textual claims using evidence from a ground-truth evidence corpus. The pipeline consists of two main modules -- the evidence retrieval and the claim veracity evaluation. Our primary focus is on the ease of deployment in various languages that remain unexplored in the field of automated fact-checking. Unlike most similar pipelines, which work with evidence sentences, our pipeline processes data on a paragraph level, simplifying the overall architecture and data requirements. Given the high cost of annotating language-specific fact-checking training data, our solution builds on the Question Answering for Claim Generation (QACG) method, which we adapt and use to generate the data for all models of the pipeline. Our strategy enables the introduction of new languages through machine translation of only two fixed datasets of moderate size. Subsequently, any number of training samples can be generated based on an evidence corpus in the target language. We provide open access to all data and fine-tuned models for Czech, English, Polish, and Slovak pipelines, as well as to our codebase that may be used to reproduce the results.We comprehensively evaluate the pipelines for all four languages, including human annotations and per-sample difficulty assessment using Pointwise V-information. The presented experiments are based on full Wikipedia snapshots to promote reproducibility. To facilitate implementation and user interaction, we develop the FactSearch application featuring the proposed pipeline and the preliminary feedback on its performance.
FuXi-S2S: An accurate machine learning model for global subseasonal forecasts
Chen, Lei, Zhong, Xiaohui, Wu, Jie, Chen, Deliang, Xie, Shangping, Chao, Qingchen, Lin, Chensen, Hu, Zixin, Lu, Bo, Li, Hao, Qi, Yuan
Skillful subseasonal forecasts beyond 2 weeks are crucial for a wide range of applications across various sectors of society. Recently, state-of-the-art machine learning based weather forecasting models have made significant advancements, outperforming the high-resolution forecast (HRES) from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). However, the full potential of machine learning models in subseasonal forecasts has yet to be fully explored. In this study, we introduce FuXi Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (FuXi-S2S), a machine learning based subseasonal forecasting model that provides global daily mean forecasts up to 42 days, covering 5 upper-air atmospheric variables at 13 pressure levels and 11 surface variables. FuXi-S2S integrates an enhanced FuXi base model with a perturbation module for flow-dependent perturbations in hidden features, and incorporates Perlin noise to perturb initial conditions. The model is developed using 72 years of daily statistics from ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis data. When compared to the ECMWF Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) reforecasts, the FuXi-S2S forecasts demonstrate superior deterministic and ensemble forecasts for total precipitation (TP), outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), and geopotential at 500 hPa (Z500). Although it shows slightly inferior performance in predicting 2-meter temperature (T2M), it has clear advantages over land area. Regarding the extreme forecasts, FuXi-S2S outperforms ECMWF S2S globally for TP. Furthermore, FuXi-S2S forecasts surpass the ECMWF S2S reforecasts in predicting the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), a key source of subseasonal predictability. They extend the skillful prediction of MJO from 30 days to 36 days.
Red AI? Inconsistent Responses from GPT3.5 Models on Political Issues in the US and China
The rising popularity of ChatGPT and other AI-powered large language models (LLMs) has led to increasing studies highlighting their susceptibility to mistakes and biases. However, most of these studies focus on models trained on English texts. Taking an innovative approach, this study investigates political biases in GPT's multilingual models. We posed the same question about high-profile political issues in the United States and China to GPT in both English and simplified Chinese, and our analysis of the bilingual responses revealed that GPT's bilingual models' political "knowledge" (content) and the political "attitude" (sentiment) are significantly more inconsistent on political issues in China. The simplified Chinese GPT models not only tended to provide pro-China information but also presented the least negative sentiment towards China's problems, whereas the English GPT was significantly more negative towards China. This disparity may stem from Chinese state censorship and US-China geopolitical tensions, which influence the training corpora of GPT bilingual models. Moreover, both Chinese and English models tended to be less critical towards the issues of "their own" represented by the language used, than the issues of "the other." This suggests that GPT multilingual models could potentially develop a "political identity" and an associated sentiment bias based on their training language. We discussed the implications of our findings for information transmission and communication in an increasingly divided world.
A Sparse Cross Attention-based Graph Convolution Network with Auxiliary Information Awareness for Traffic Flow Prediction
Chen, Lingqiang, Zhao, Qinglin, Li, Guanghui, Zhou, Mengchu, Dai, Chenglong, Feng, Yiming
Deep graph convolution networks (GCNs) have recently shown excellent performance in traffic prediction tasks. However, they face some challenges. First, few existing models consider the influence of auxiliary information, i.e., weather and holidays, which may result in a poor grasp of spatial-temporal dynamics of traffic data. Second, both the construction of a dynamic adjacent matrix and regular graph convolution operations have quadratic computation complexity, which restricts the scalability of GCN-based models. To address such challenges, this work proposes a deep encoder-decoder model entitled AIMSAN. It contains an auxiliary information-aware module (AIM) and sparse cross attention-based graph convolution network (SAN). The former learns multi-attribute auxiliary information and obtains its embedded presentation of different time-window sizes. The latter uses a cross-attention mechanism to construct dynamic adjacent matrices by fusing traffic data and embedded auxiliary data. Then, SAN applies diffusion GCN on traffic data to mine rich spatial-temporal dynamics. Furthermore, AIMSAN considers and uses the spatial sparseness of traffic nodes to reduce the quadratic computation complexity. Experimental results on three public traffic datasets demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms other counterparts in terms of various performance indices. Specifically, the proposed method has competitive performance with the state-of-the-art algorithms but saves 35.74% of GPU memory usage, 42.25% of training time, and 45.51% of validation time on average.
Offshore Wind Plant Instance Segmentation Using Sentinel-1 Time Series, GIS, and Semantic Segmentation Models
de Carvalho, Osmar Luiz Ferreira, Junior, Osmar Abilio de Carvalho, de Albuquerque, Anesmar Olino, Silva, Daniel Guerreiro e
Offshore wind farms represent a renewable energy source with a significant global growth trend, and their monitoring is strategic for territorial and environmental planning. This study's primary objective is to detect offshore wind plants at an instance level using semantic segmentation models and Sentinel-1 time series. The secondary objectives are: (a) to develop a database consisting of labeled data and S-1 time series; (b) to compare the performance of five deep semantic segmentation architectures (U-Net, U-Net++, Feature Pyramid Network - FPN, DeepLabv3+, and LinkNet); (c) develop a novel augmentation strategy that shuffles the positions of the images within the time series; (d) investigate different dimensions of time series intervals (1, 5, 10, and 15 images); and (e) evaluate the semantic-to-instance conversion procedure. LinkNet was the top-performing model, followed by U-Net++ and U-Net, while FPN and DeepLabv3+ presented the worst results. The evaluation of semantic segmentation models reveals enhanced Intersection over Union (IoU) (25%) and F-score metrics (18%) with the augmentation of time series images. The study showcases the augmentation strategy's capability to mitigate biases and precisely detect invariant targets. Furthermore, the conversion from semantic to instance segmentation demonstrates its efficacy in accurately isolating individual instances within classified regions - simplifying training data and reducing annotation effort and complexity.
Dozerformer: Sequence Adaptive Sparse Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Zhang, Yifan, Wu, Rui, Dascalu, Sergiu M., Harris, Frederick C. Jr
Transformers have achieved remarkable performance in multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting due to their capability to capture long-term dependencies. However, the canonical attention mechanism has two key limitations: (1) its quadratic time complexity limits the sequence length, and (2) it generates future values from the entire historical sequence. To address this, we propose a Dozer Attention mechanism consisting of three sparse components: (1) Local, each query exclusively attends to keys within a localized window of neighboring time steps. (2) Stride, enables each query to attend to keys at predefined intervals. (3) Vary, allows queries to selectively attend to keys from a subset of the historical sequence. Notably, the size of this subset dynamically expands as forecasting horizons extend. Those three components are designed to capture essential attributes of MTS data, including locality, seasonality, and global temporal dependencies. Additionally, we present the Dozerformer Framework, incorporating the Dozer Attention mechanism for the MTS forecasting task. We evaluated the proposed Dozerformer framework with recent state-of-the-art methods on nine benchmark datasets and confirmed its superior performance. The code will be released after the manuscript is accepted.
Improving Startup Success with Text Analysis
Gavrilenko, Emily, Khosmood, Foaad, Rastad, Mahdi, Moghaddam, Sadra Amiri
Investors are interested in predicting future success of startup companies, preferably using publicly available data which can be gathered using free online sources. Using public-only data has been shown to work, but there is still much room for improvement. Two of the best performing prediction experiments use 17 and 49 features respectively, mostly numeric and categorical in nature. In this paper, we significantly expand and diversify both the sources and the number of features (to 171) to achieve better prediction. Data collected from Crunchbase, the Google Search API, and Twitter (now X) are used to predict whether a company will raise a round of funding within a fixed time horizon. Much of the new features are textual and the Twitter subset include linguistic metrics such as measures of passive voice and parts-of-speech. A total of ten machine learning models are also evaluated for best performance. The adaptable model can be used to predict funding 1-5 years into the future, with a variable cutoff threshold to favor either precision or recall. Prediction with comparable assumptions generally achieves F scores above 0.730 which outperforms previous attempts in the literature (0.531), and does so with fewer examples. Furthermore, we find that the vast majority of the performance impact comes from the top 18 of 171 features which are mostly generic company observations, including the best performing individual feature which is the free-form text description of the company.
TPRNN: A Top-Down Pyramidal Recurrent Neural Network for Time Series Forecasting
Time series refer to a series of data points indexed in time order, which can be found in various fields, e.g., transportation, healthcare, and finance. Accurate time series forecasting can enhance optimization planning and decision-making support. Time series have multi-scale characteristics, i.e., different temporal patterns at different scales, which presents a challenge for time series forecasting. In this paper, we propose TPRNN, a Top-down Pyramidal Recurrent Neural Network for time series forecasting. We first construct subsequences of different scales from the input, forming a pyramid structure. Then by executing a multi-scale information interaction module from top to bottom, we model both the temporal dependencies of each scale and the influences of subsequences of different scales, resulting in a complete modeling of multi-scale temporal patterns in time series. Experiments on seven real-world datasets demonstrate that TPRNN has achieved the state-of-the-art performance with an average improvement of 8.13% in MSE compared to the best baseline.
BioinspiredLLM: Conversational Large Language Model for the Mechanics of Biological and Bio-inspired Materials
Luu, Rachel K., Buehler, Markus J.
The study of biological materials and bio-inspired materials science is well established; however, surprisingly little knowledge has been systematically translated to engineering solutions. To accelerate discovery and guide insights, an open-source autoregressive transformer large language model (LLM), BioinspiredLLM, is reported. The model was finetuned with a corpus of over a thousand peer-reviewed articles in the field of structural biological and bio-inspired materials and can be prompted to recall information, assist with research tasks, and function as an engine for creativity. The model has proven that it is able to accurately recall information about biological materials and is further enhanced with enhanced reasoning ability, as well as with retrieval-augmented generation to incorporate new data during generation that can also help to traceback sources, update the knowledge base, and connect knowledge domains. BioinspiredLLM also has been shown to develop sound hypotheses regarding biological materials design and remarkably so for materials that have never been explicitly studied before. Lastly, the model showed impressive promise in collaborating with other generative artificial intelligence models in a workflow that can reshape the traditional materials design process. This collaborative generative artificial intelligence method can stimulate and enhance bio-inspired materials design workflows. Biological materials are at a critical intersection of multiple scientific fields and models like BioinspiredLLM help to connect knowledge domains.
'Fox News Sunday' on December 3, 2023
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Charles Q. Brown Jr. joins'Fox News Sunday' to discuss a new survey that revealed 74% of Americans are concerned about a war between the U.S. and China. This is a rush transcript of'Fox News Sunday' on December 3, 2023. This copy may not be in its final form and may be updated. A special hour on the state of defense, a report card on America's military readiness to meet the challenges of an increasingly dangerous world. Israel's war with Hamas, the latest conflict to ignite instability, turbo- charging attacks on our forces in the region from Iranian proxies. We'll get reaction from National Security Council Communications Coordinator John Kirby about the restart of the war and the headwinds the Biden White House faces from Democrats over conditioning future aid to Israel. GENERAL C.Q. BROWN, JOINT CHIEFS CHAIRMAN: We want to be so good at what we do that our adversaries go, not today, not tomorrow, not ever. General C.Q. Brown joins me here at the Reagan Library. And before serving in Congress, they served several tours of duty on the ground in two of America's longest wars. We sit down with Congressman Michael Waltz and Seth Moulton, veterans for both sides of the aisle, as the fight over defense spending is coming up against the stark deadline. Plus -- JENNIFER GRIFFIN, FOX NEWS NATIONAL SECURITY CORRESPONDENT: Is it cool to be patriotic now? UNIDENTIFIED MALE: It's always been cool to be contrarian and I think right now, it's -- it's been a little contrarian to be very patriotic. BREAM: Our inside look at how cutting-edge technology is shaping the future of warfare and battlefields worldwide. Here are the top headlines making news today. Israel is widening its evacuation orders for Palestinians in southern Gaza, including in and around the cities of Khan Younis and Rafah, which both reported heavy bombardment overnight. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu calling for a total victory against Hamas and pushing back against White House calls to allow the Palestinian Authority to ultimately govern Gaza, claiming the group also calls for Israel's destruction. Meanwhile, in Paris, French authorities are looking into whether terrorism was to blame for a knife and hammer attack on tourists near the Eiffel Tower, leaving a German man dead and two others injured. A 26-year-old French national has been arrested. Let's turn now to Trey Yingst in southern Israel with the very latest on the war in Gaza. After a week-long ceasefire saw more than 100 hostages freed from Gaza, fighting has resumed for a third day. Israeli officials say the ground and air campaign in the second phase of this war against the strip could last for months. New airstrikes overnight targeted tunnel shafts and weapon storage facilities.