This report outlines the concepts, mechanisms and inner dynamics of the BEAM (Behavior, Energy, Autonomy, and Mobility) modeling framework. BEAM is an open-source large-scale high-resolution transportation model that harnesses the principles of the actor model of computation to build a powerful and efficient agent-based model of travel behavior. It allows a detailed microscopic view of how people make travel choices and interact with the transportation system, enabling more accurate simulations of human mobility and urban transport networks. It also allows the analysis of numerous spatially defined but interacting layers, and integrates them into a cohesive representation of a regional transportation system. This integrated picture provides invaluable insights to policy makers and other stakeholders about how changes to the transportation system result in changes to traffic congestion, mode share, energy use, and emissions throughout a modeled region. These capabilities are demonstrated with a case study of New York City that showcase BEAM's application in a very large and intricate urban transportation system, without relying on existing travel demand models. The unique ability of BEAM to simulate individual behaviors, integrate with other models, and adapt to different real-world scenarios underscores its importance in the rapidly evolving field of transportation and emphasizes its potential as a valuable proof-of-concept tool to contribute to more informed and effective policy and planning decisions.

Like other extreme quantities (for example, a distance of 34 parsecs), unfamiliar dollar amounts can be hard to fathom without comparison to something else [7, 18]. To address this issue, it can be useful to employ perspectives: re-phrasings of measurements that make them easier to understand, via a change of units to express the focal number on a different scale, or a comparison to a reference object. For instance, $330 billion can be re-expressed using perspectives of "about $1,000 per person in the United States" or "about 5% of the United States Federal Budget". In addition to being intuitively appealing and perceived as helpful [6, 10, 13], perspectives have been shown to aid numerical comprehension by boosting recall, estimation, error detection, and prediction [3, 12, 27], which could find relevance in a wide variety of downstream applications. These demonstrations of the benefits of perspectives have led to questions around what makes some analogies better than others, and if and how one can generate high-quality perspectives at scale for naturally occurring mentions of measurements. Approaches to automated perspective generation have varied, but they generally rely on first constructing a database of reference objects to compare measurements to and then prioritizing analogies to these reference objects that are both familiar and helpful to the reader [10, 27]. Prioritizing reference objects is complicated by the fact that what is most helpful for understanding a measurement can be difficult to quantify and can depend on the context in which the measurement occurs.

The Cameras for Allsky Meteor Surveillance (CAMS) project, funded by NASA starting in 2010, aims to map our meteor showers by triangulating meteor trajectories detected in low-light video cameras from multiple locations across 16 countries in both the northern and southern hemispheres. Its mission is to validate, discover, and predict the upcoming returns of meteor showers. Our research aimed to streamline the data processing by implementing an automated cloud-based AI-enabled pipeline and improve the data visualization to improve the rate of discoveries by involving the public in monitoring the meteor detections. This article describes the process of automating the data ingestion, processing, and insight generation using an interpretable Active Learning and AI pipeline. This work also describes the development of an interactive web portal (the NASA Meteor Shower portal) to facilitate the visualization of meteor radiant maps. To date, CAMS has discovered over 200 new meteor showers and has validated dozens of previously reported showers.

Satellite altimeter observations retrieved since 1993 show that the global mean sea level is rising at an unprecedented rate (3.4mm/year). With almost three decades of observations, we can now investigate the contributions of anthropogenic climate-change signals such as greenhouse gases, aerosols, and biomass burning in this rising sea level. We use machine learning (ML) to investigate future patterns of sea level change. To understand the extent of contributions from the climate-change signals, and to help in forecasting sea level change in the future, we turn to climate model simulations. This work presents a machine learning framework that exploits both satellite observations and climate model simulations to generate sea level rise projections at a 2-degree resolution spatial grid, 30 years into the future. We train fully connected neural networks (FCNNs) to predict altimeter values through a non-linear fusion of the climate model hindcasts (for 1993-2019). The learned FCNNs are then applied to future climate model projections to predict future sea level patterns. We propose segmenting our spatial dataset into meaningful clusters and show that clustering helps to improve predictions of our ML model.

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have seen extensive applications in scientific data analysis, including in neutrino telescopes. However, the data from these experiments present numerous challenges to CNNs, such as non-regular geometry, sparsity, and high dimensionality. Consequently, CNNs are highly inefficient on neutrino telescope data, and require significant pre-processing that results in information loss. We propose sparse submanifold convolutions (SSCNNs) as a solution to these issues and show that the SSCNN event reconstruction performance is comparable to or better than traditional and machine learning algorithms. Additionally, our SSCNN runs approximately 16 times faster than a traditional CNN on a GPU. As a result of this speedup, it is expected to be capable of handling the trigger-level event rate of IceCube-scale neutrino telescopes. These networks could be used to improve the first estimation of the neutrino energy and direction to seed more advanced reconstructions, or to provide this information to an alert-sending system to quickly follow-up interesting events.

The short-time Fourier transform (STFT) is a frequently used tool for analyzing non-stationary digital signals in various fields including audio Stafford et al. [1998], medicine Huang et al. [2019], and vibration analysis Leclère et al. [2016]. Spectrograms, which are obtained from the STFT magnitude, are essential for visualizing, understanding, and processing non-stationary signals in time-frequency representation. The STFT parameters, including tapering function, window length, and hop length, are critical and dependent on the application and signal characteristics. The tapering function balances frequency resolution and spectral leakage, with a narrower main lobe providing better frequency resolution at the expense of increased spectral leakage, and a wider main lobe reducing spectral leakage but decreasing frequency resolution. The Hann or Hamming window is a common starting point, but the best choice depends on the application's specific requirements. Actually, most studies on STFT parameters have focused on the choice of the window length, as it determines the time-frequency resolution trade-off. A shorter window length provides better time resolution but poor frequency resolution. Conversely, a longer window length provides better frequency resolution but poor time resolution. To provide more precise control over temporal and frequency resolution based on the local characteristics of the input signal, researchers have proposed using variable-length windows.

The emergence of generative pre-trained models has facilitated the synthesis of high-quality text, but it has also posed challenges in identifying factual errors in the generated text. In particular: (1) A wider range of tasks now face an increasing risk of containing factual errors when handled by generative models. (2) Generated texts tend to be lengthy and lack a clearly defined granularity for individual facts. (3) There is a scarcity of explicit evidence available during the process of fact checking. With the above challenges in mind, in this paper, we propose FacTool, a task and domain agnostic framework for detecting factual errors of texts generated by large language models (e.g., ChatGPT). Experiments on four different tasks (knowledge-based QA, code generation, mathematical reasoning, and scientific literature review) show the efficacy of the proposed method. We release the code of FacTool associated with ChatGPT plugin interface at https://github.com/GAIR-NLP/factool .

Accurate and timely prediction of sea fog is very important for effectively managing maritime and coastal economic activities. Given the intricate nature and inherent variability of sea fog, traditional numerical and statistical forecasting methods are often proven inadequate. This study aims to develop an advanced sea fog forecasting method embedded in a numerical weather prediction model using the Yangtze River Estuary (YRE) coastal area as a case study. Prior to training our machine learning model, we employ a time-lagged correlation analysis technique to identify key predictors and decipher the underlying mechanisms driving sea fog occurrence. In addition, we implement ensemble learning and a focal loss function to address the issue of imbalanced data, thereby enhancing the predictive ability of our model. To verify the accuracy of our method, we evaluate its performance using a comprehensive dataset spanning one year, which encompasses both weather station observations and historical forecasts. Remarkably, our machine learning-based approach surpasses the predictive performance of two conventional methods, the weather research and forecasting nonhydrostatic mesoscale model (WRF-NMM) and the algorithm developed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Forecast Systems Laboratory (FSL). Specifically, in regard to predicting sea fog with a visibility of less than or equal to 1 km with a lead time of 60 hours, our methodology achieves superior results by increasing the probability of detection (POD) while simultaneously reducing the false alarm ratio (FAR).

Obtaining accurate probabilistic forecasts while respecting hierarchical information is an important operational challenge in many applications, perhaps most obviously in energy management, supply chain planning, and resource allocation. The basic challenge, especially for multivariate forecasting, is that forecasts are often required to be coherent with respect to the hierarchical structure. In this paper, we propose a new model which leverages a factor model structure to produce coherent forecasts by construction. This is a consequence of a simple (exchangeability) observation: permuting \textit{}base-level series in the hierarchy does not change their aggregates. Our model uses a convolutional neural network to produce parameters for the factors, their loadings and base-level distributions; it produces samples which can be differentiated with respect to the model's parameters; and it can therefore optimize for any sample-based loss function, including the Continuous Ranked Probability Score and quantile losses. We can choose arbitrary continuous distributions for the factor and the base-level distributions. We compare our method to two previous methods which can be optimized end-to-end, while enforcing coherent aggregation. Our model achieves significant improvements: between $11.8-41.4\%$ on three hierarchical forecasting datasets. We also analyze the influence of parameters in our model with respect to base-level distribution and number of factors.

We present a data-driven emulator, stochastic weather generator (SWG), suitable for estimating probabilities of prolonged heatwaves in France and Scandinavia. This emulator is based on the method of analogs of circulation to which we add temperature and soil moisture as predictor fields. We train the emulator on an intermediate complexity climate model run and show that it is capable of predicting conditional probabilities (forecasting) of heatwaves out of sample. Special attention is payed that this prediction is evaluated using proper score appropriate for rare events. To accelerate the computation of analogs dimensionality reduction techniques are applied and the performance is evaluated. The probabilistic prediction achieved with SWG is compared with the one achieved with Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). With the availability of hundreds of years of training data CNNs perform better at the task of probabilistic prediction. In addition, we show that the SWG emulator trained on 80 years of data is capable of estimating extreme return times of order of thousands of years for heatwaves longer than several days more precisely than the fit based on generalised extreme value distribution. Finally, the quality of its synthetic extreme teleconnection patterns obtained with stochastic weather generator is studied. We showcase two examples of such synthetic teleconnection patterns for heatwaves in France and Scandinavia that compare favorably to the very long climate model control run.