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UmambaTSF: A U-shaped Multi-Scale Long-Term Time Series Forecasting Method Using Mamba

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multivariate Time series forecasting is crucial in domains such as transportation, meteorology, and finance, especially for predicting extreme weather events. State-of-the-art methods predominantly rely on Transformer architectures, which utilize attention mechanisms to capture temporal dependencies. However, these methods are hindered by quadratic time complexity, limiting the model's scalability with respect to input sequence length. This significantly restricts their practicality in the real world. Mamba, based on state space models (SSM), provides a solution with linear time complexity, increasing the potential for efficient forecasting of sequential data. In this study, we propose UmambaTSF, a novel long-term time series forecasting framework that integrates multi-scale feature extraction capabilities of U-shaped encoder-decoder multilayer perceptrons (MLP) with Mamba's long sequence representation. To improve performance and efficiency, the Mamba blocks introduced in the framework adopt a refined residual structure and adaptable design, enabling the capture of unique temporal signals and flexible channel processing. In the experiments, UmambaTSF achieves state-of-the-art performance and excellent generality on widely used benchmark datasets while maintaining linear time complexity and low memory consumption.


CtrlSynth: Controllable Image Text Synthesis for Data-Efficient Multimodal Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Pretraining robust vision or multimodal foundation models (e.g., CLIP) relies on large-scale datasets that may be noisy, potentially misaligned, and have long-tail distributions. Previous works have shown promising results in augmenting datasets by generating synthetic samples. However, they only support domain-specific ad hoc use cases (e.g., either image or text only, but not both), and are limited in data diversity due to a lack of fine-grained control over the synthesis process. In this paper, we design a \emph{controllable} image-text synthesis pipeline, CtrlSynth, for data-efficient and robust multimodal learning. The key idea is to decompose the visual semantics of an image into basic elements, apply user-specified control policies (e.g., remove, add, or replace operations), and recompose them to synthesize images or texts. The decompose and recompose feature in CtrlSynth allows users to control data synthesis in a fine-grained manner by defining customized control policies to manipulate the basic elements. CtrlSynth leverages the capabilities of pretrained foundation models such as large language models or diffusion models to reason and recompose basic elements such that synthetic samples are natural and composed in diverse ways. CtrlSynth is a closed-loop, training-free, and modular framework, making it easy to support different pretrained models. With extensive experiments on 31 datasets spanning different vision and vision-language tasks, we show that CtrlSynth substantially improves zero-shot classification, image-text retrieval, and compositional reasoning performance of CLIP models.


Learning from Imperfect Data: Towards Efficient Knowledge Distillation of Autoregressive Language Models for Text-to-SQL

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promising performance in text-to-SQL, which involves translating natural language questions into SQL queries. However, current text-to-SQL LLMs are computationally expensive and challenging to deploy in real-world applications, highlighting the importance of compressing them. To achieve this goal, knowledge distillation (KD) is a common approach, which aims to distill the larger teacher model into a smaller student model. While numerous KD methods for autoregressive LLMs have emerged recently, it is still under-explored whether they work well in complex text-to-SQL scenarios. To this end, we conduct a series of analyses and reveal that these KD methods generally fall short in balancing performance and efficiency. In response to this problem, we propose to improve the KD with Imperfect Data, namely KID, which effectively boosts the performance without introducing much training budget. The core of KID is to efficiently mitigate the training-inference mismatch by simulating the cascading effect of inference in the imperfect training data. Extensive experiments on 5 text-to-SQL benchmarks show that, KID can not only achieve consistent and significant performance gains (up to +5.83% average score) across all model types and sizes, but also effectively improve the training efficiency.


SciDoc2Diagrammer-MAF: Towards Generation of Scientific Diagrams from Documents guided by Multi-Aspect Feedback Refinement

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Automating the creation of scientific diagrams from academic papers can significantly streamline the development of tutorials, presentations, and posters, thereby saving time and accelerating the process. Current text-to-image models struggle with generating accurate and visually appealing diagrams from long-context inputs. We propose SciDoc2Diagram, a task that extracts relevant information from scientific papers and generates diagrams, along with a benchmarking dataset, SciDoc2DiagramBench. We develop a multi-step pipeline SciDoc2Diagrammer that generates diagrams based on user intentions using intermediate code generation. We observed that initial diagram drafts were often incomplete or unfaithful to the source, leading us to develop SciDoc2Diagrammer-Multi-Aspect-Feedback (MAF), a refinement strategy that significantly enhances factual correctness and visual appeal and outperforms existing models on both automatic and human judgement.


Introducing MeMo: A Multimodal Dataset for Memory Modelling in Multiparty Conversations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Conversational memory is the process by which humans encode, retain and retrieve verbal, non-verbal and contextual information from a conversation. Since human memory is selective, differing recollections of the same events can lead to misunderstandings and misalignments within a group. Yet, conversational facilitation systems, aimed at advancing the quality of group interactions, usually focus on tracking users' states within an individual session, ignoring what remains in each participant's memory after the interaction. Understanding conversational memory can be used as a source of information on the long-term development of social connections within a group. This paper introduces the MeMo corpus, the first conversational dataset annotated with participants' memory retention reports, aimed at facilitating computational modelling of human conversational memory. The MeMo corpus includes 31 hours of small-group discussions on Covid-19, repeated 3 times over the term of 2 weeks. It integrates validated behavioural and perceptual measures, audio, video, and multimodal annotations, offering a valuable resource for studying and modelling conversational memory and group dynamics. By introducing the MeMo corpus, analysing its validity, and demonstrating its usefulness for future research, this paper aims to pave the way for future research in conversational memory modelling for intelligent system development.


Data-adaptive Differentially Private Prompt Synthesis for In-Context Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Large Language Models (LLMs) rely on the contextual information embedded in examples/demonstrations to perform in-context learning (ICL). To mitigate the risk of LLMs potentially leaking private information contained in examples in the prompt, we introduce a novel data-adaptive differentially private algorithm called AdaDPSyn to generate synthetic examples from the private dataset and then use these synthetic examples to perform ICL. The objective of AdaDPSyn is to adaptively adjust the noise level in the data synthesis mechanism according to the inherent statistical properties of the data, thereby preserving high ICL accuracy while maintaining formal differential privacy guarantees. A key innovation in AdaDPSyn is the Precision-Focused Iterative Radius Reduction technique, which dynamically refines the aggregation radius - the scope of data grouping for noise addition - based on patterns observed in data clustering, thereby minimizing the amount of additive noise. We conduct extensive experiments on standard benchmarks and compare AdaDPSyn with DP few-shot generation algorithm (Tang et al., 2023). The experiments demonstrate that AdaDPSyn not only outperforms DP few-shot generation, but also maintains high accuracy levels close to those of non-private baselines, providing an effective solution for ICL with privacy protection.


Pokรฉmon maker confirms it was victim of hack

BBC News

Pokรฉmon maker confirms it was victim of hack The Pokรฉmon CompanyPokรฉmon is one of the world's best-known entertainment brands Pokรฉmon maker Game Freak has confirmed it was the victim of a data leak after information appeared online over the weekend. The company, which has developed the Nintendo-exclusive video game series since 1996, said its servers were hacked in August this year. A statement said 2,606 items containing the names and email addresses of current, former and contract employees were accessed. The company did not comment on other information shared online claiming to show details of unreleased and upcoming projects. Game Freak said it would individually contact those affected where possible, and strengthen security measures to prevent similar hacks in future.


The Hottest Startups in Dublin in 2024

WIRED

Thanks to low corporation tax and government incentives, Dublin has hosted the European Headquarters of many large US technology companies--Google, Meta, LinkedIn and Microsoft all have offices in the city's Silicon Docks. "The big US companies operated independently of the startup world for many years," explains Will Prendergast, partner at Frontline Ventures. "But in the last five years, US technology companies have been building product and engineering functions here, and that talent is starting to spill out, driving startup creation." Government support via Enterprise Ireland's Pre-Seed Start Fund, designed to accelerate early stage startups, and hubs such as Dogpatch Labs are supporting this wave of new talent. "Ireland does have a capital issue," says employee benefits startup Kota co-founder Luke Mackey.


The Hottest Startups in London in 2024

WIRED

In the "Startup-up, Scale-up" review report published last year, chancellor Rachel Reeves promised to make Britain the "high growth, start-up hub of the world". Now, almost six months into the new government, entrepreneurs remain encouraged by the promises made in the Labour manifesto. "The ambition embodied in Great British Energy and the 2030 decarbonization targets is precisely what we need and deserve," says Shilpika Gautam, CEO of greentech startup Opna, about Labour's energy policies. "It's high time the UK caught up with the policy and financing innovations in other countries, such as the Inflation Reduction Act in the US." Amit Gudka, founder of Field, agrees: "We welcome Labour's plans to double onshore wind, triple solar and quadruple offshore wind by 2030. These plans are ambitious, but not unrealistic, provided the Government continues to make clear policy decisions and create a stable policy and regulatory environment."


Intelligent prospector v2.0: exploration drill planning under epistemic model uncertainty

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Optimal Bayesian decision making on what geoscientific data to acquire requires stating a prior model of uncertainty. Data acquisition is then optimized by reducing uncertainty on some property of interest maximally, and on average. In the context of exploration, very few, sometimes no data at all, is available prior to data acquisition planning. The prior model therefore needs to include human interpretations on the nature of spatial variability, or on analogue data deemed relevant for the area being explored. In mineral exploration, for example, humans may rely on conceptual models on the genesis of the mineralization to define multiple hypotheses, each representing a specific spatial variability of mineralization. More often than not, after the data is acquired, all of the stated hypotheses may be proven incorrect, i.e. falsified, hence prior hypotheses need to be revised, or additional hypotheses generated. Planning data acquisition under wrong geological priors is likely to be inefficient since the estimated uncertainty on the target property is incorrect, hence uncertainty may not be reduced at all. In this paper, we develop an intelligent agent based on partially observable Markov decision processes that plans optimally in the case of multiple geological or geoscientific hypotheses on the nature of spatial variability. Additionally, the artificial intelligence is equipped with a method that allows detecting, early on, whether the human stated hypotheses are incorrect, thereby saving considerable expense in data acquisition. Our approach is tested on a sediment-hosted copper deposit, and the algorithm presented has aided in the characterization of an ultra high-grade deposit in Zambia in 2023.