Tailoring persuasive conversations to users leads to more effective persuasion. However, existing dialogue systems often struggle to adapt to dynamically evolving user states. This paper presents a novel method that leverages causal discovery and counterfactual reasoning for optimizing system persuasion capability and outcomes. We employ the Greedy Relaxation of the Sparsest Permutation (GRaSP) algorithm to identify causal relationships between user and system utterance strategies, treating user strategies as states and system strategies as actions. GRaSP identifies user strategies as causal factors influencing system responses, which inform Bidirectional Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (BiCoGAN) in generating counterfactual utterances for the system. Subsequently, we use the Dueling Double Deep Q-Network (D3QN) model to utilize counterfactual data to determine the best policy for selecting system utterances. Our experiments with the PersuasionForGood dataset show measurable improvements in persuasion outcomes using our approach over baseline methods. The observed increase in cumulative rewards and Q-values highlights the effectiveness of causal discovery in enhancing counterfactual reasoning and optimizing reinforcement learning policies for online dialogue systems.

Out-of-distribution (OOD) prediction remains a significant challenge in machine learning, particularly for tabular data where traditional methods often fail to generalize beyond their training distribution. This paper introduces Tabular Continual Contrastive Learning (TCCL), a novel framework designed to address OOD challenges in tabular data processing. TCCL integrates contrastive learning principles with continual learning mechanisms, featuring a three-component architecture: an Encoder for data transformation, a Decoder for representation learning, and a Learner Head. We evaluate TCCL against 14 baseline models, including state-of-the-art deep learning approaches and gradient-boosted decision trees (GBDT), across eight diverse tabular datasets. Our experimental results demonstrate that TCCL consistently outperforms existing methods in both classification and regression tasks on OOD data, with particular strength in handling distribution shifts. These findings suggest that TCCL represents a significant advancement in handling OOD scenarios for tabular data.

An important aspect of text mining involves information retrieval in form of discovery of semantic themes (topics) from documents using topic modelling. While generative topic models like Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) elegantly model topics as probability distributions and are useful in identifying latent topics from large document corpora with minimal supervision, they suffer from difficulty in topic interpretability and reduced performance in shorter texts. Here we propose a novel Multivariate Gaussian Topic modelling (MGD) approach. In this approach topics are presented as Multivariate Gaussian Distributions and documents as Gaussian Mixture Models. Using EM algorithm, the various constituent Multivariate Gaussian Distributions and their corresponding parameters are identified. Analysis of the parameters helps identify the keywords having the highest variance and mean contributions to the topic, and from these key-words topic annotations are carried out. This approach is first applied on a synthetic dataset to demonstrate the interpretability benefits vis-\`a-vis LDA. A real-world application of this topic model is demonstrated in analysis of risks and hazards at a petrochemical plant by applying the model on safety incident reports to identify the major latent hazards plaguing the plant. This model achieves a higher mean topic coherence of 0.436 vis-\`a-vis 0.294 for LDA.

One of the most widely used tasks to evaluate Large Language Models (LLMs) is Multiple-Choice Question Answering (MCQA). While open-ended question answering tasks are more challenging to evaluate, MCQA tasks are, in principle, easier to assess, as the model's answer is thought to be simple to extract and is directly compared to a set of predefined choices. However, recent studies have started to question the reliability of MCQA evaluation, showing that multiple factors can significantly impact the reported performance of LLMs, especially when the model generates free-form text before selecting one of the answer choices. In this work, we shed light on the inconsistencies of MCQA evaluation strategies, which can lead to inaccurate and misleading model comparisons. We systematically analyze whether existing answer extraction methods are aligned with human judgment, and how they are influenced by answer constraints in the prompt across different domains. Our experiments demonstrate that traditional evaluation strategies often underestimate LLM capabilities, while LLM-based answer extractors are prone to systematic errors. Moreover, we reveal a fundamental trade-off between including format constraints in the prompt to simplify answer extraction and allowing models to generate free-form text to improve reasoning. Our findings call for standardized evaluation methodologies and highlight the need for more reliable and consistent MCQA evaluation practices.

Causal generative models (CGMs) have recently emerged as capable approaches to simulate the causal mechanisms generating our observations, enabling causal inference. Unfortunately, existing approaches either are overly restrictive, assuming the absence of hidden confounders, or lack generality, being tailored to a particular query and graph. In this work, we introduce DeCaFlow, a CGM that accounts for hidden confounders in a single amortized training process using only observational data and the causal graph. Importantly, DeCaFlow can provably identify all causal queries with a valid adjustment set or sufficiently informative proxy variables. Remarkably, for the first time to our knowledge, we show that a confounded counterfactual query is identifiable, and thus solvable by DeCaFlow, as long as its interventional counterpart is as well. Our empirical results on diverse settings (including the Ecoli70 dataset, with 3 independent hidden confounders, tens of observed variables and hundreds of causal queries) show that DeCaFlow outperforms existing approaches, while demonstrating its out-of-the-box flexibility.

Recent advances in language modelling have been motivated the Pseudo-relevance feedback (PRF) refines queries by leveraging initially replacement of encoder-only backbones like BERT with larger retrieved documents to improve retrieval effectiveness. In this decoder-only backbones (generative LLMs) to form dense representations paper, we investigate how large language models (LLMs) can facilitate [2, 13, 23], allowing to leverage richer contextual information PRF for zero-shot LLM-based dense retrieval, extending the and enhancing dense retrieval generalization. Of particular recently proposed PromptReps method. Specifically, our approach interest for this paper is PromptReps [23], an LLM-based approach uses LLMs to extract salient passage features--such as keywords for dense retrieval. PromptReps is unique in that it does not require and summaries--from top-ranked documents, which are then integrated contrastive learning, producing effective representations for dense into PromptReps to produce enhanced query representations.

Traditional Multi-level Hierarchical Classification (MLHC) classifiers often rely on backbone models with $n$ independent output layers. This structure tends to overlook the hierarchical relationships between classes, leading to inconsistent predictions that violate the underlying taxonomy. Additionally, once a backbone architecture for an MLHC classifier is selected, adapting the model to accommodate new tasks can be challenging. For example, incorporating fairness to protect sensitive attributes within a hierarchical classifier necessitates complex adjustments to maintain the class hierarchy while enforcing fairness constraints. In this paper, we extend this concept to hierarchical classification by introducing a fair, model-agnostic layer designed to enforce taxonomy and optimize specific objectives, including consistency, fairness, and exact match. Our evaluations demonstrate that the proposed layer not only improves the fairness of predictions but also enforces the taxonomy, resulting in consistent predictions and superior performance. Compared to Large Language Models (LLMs) employing in-processing de-biasing techniques and models without any bias correction, our approach achieves better outcomes in both fairness and accuracy, making it particularly valuable in sectors like e-commerce, healthcare, and education, where predictive reliability is crucial.

Graph fraud detection (GFD) has rapidly advanced in protecting online services by identifying malicious fraudsters. Recent supervised GFD research highlights that heterophilic connections between fraudsters and users can greatly impact detection performance, since fraudsters tend to camouflage themselves by building more connections to benign users. Despite the promising performance of supervised GFD methods, the reliance on labels limits their applications to unsupervised scenarios; Additionally, accurately capturing complex and diverse heterophily patterns without labels poses a further challenge. To fill the gap, we propose a Heterophily-guided Unsupervised Graph fraud dEtection approach (HUGE) for unsupervised GFD, which contains two essential components: a heterophily estimation module and an alignment-based fraud detection module. In the heterophily estimation module, we design a novel label-free heterophily metric called HALO, which captures the critical graph properties for GFD, enabling its outstanding ability to estimate heterophily from node attributes. In the alignment-based fraud detection module, we develop a joint MLP-GNN architecture with ranking loss and asymmetric alignment loss. The ranking loss aligns the predicted fraud score with the relative order of HALO, providing an extra robustness guarantee by comparing heterophily among non-adjacent nodes. Moreover, the asymmetric alignment loss effectively utilizes structural information while alleviating the feature-smooth effects of GNNs. Extensive experiments on 6 datasets demonstrate that HUGE significantly outperforms competitors, showcasing its effectiveness and robustness.

Recent video diffusion models have enhanced video editing, but it remains challenging to handle instructional editing and diverse tasks (e.g., adding, removing, changing) within a unified framework. In this paper, we introduce VEGGIE, a Video Editor with Grounded Generation from Instructions, a simple end-to-end framework that unifies video concept editing, grounding, and reasoning based on diverse user instructions. Specifically, given a video and text query, VEGGIE first utilizes an MLLM to interpret user intentions in instructions and ground them to the video contexts, generating frame-specific grounded task queries for pixel-space responses. A diffusion model then renders these plans and generates edited videos that align with user intent. To support diverse tasks and complex instructions, we employ a curriculum learning strategy: first aligning the MLLM and video diffusion model with large-scale instructional image editing data, followed by end-to-end fine-tuning on high-quality multitask video data. Additionally, we introduce a novel data synthesis pipeline to generate paired instructional video editing data for model training. It transforms static image data into diverse, high-quality video editing samples by leveraging Image-to-Video models to inject dynamics. VEGGIE shows strong performance in instructional video editing with different editing skills, outperforming the best instructional baseline as a versatile model, while other models struggle with multi-tasking. VEGGIE also excels in video object grounding and reasoning segmentation, where other baselines fail. We further reveal how the multiple tasks help each other and highlight promising applications like zero-shot multimodal instructional and in-context video editing.

Since state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation methods are often computationally demanding, we investigate whether incorporating prior information can improve uncertainty estimates in conventional deep neural networks. Our focus is on machine learning tasks where meaningful predictions can be made from sub-parts of the input. For example, in speaker classification, the speech waveform can be divided into sequential patches, each containing information about the same speaker. We observe that the variance between sub-predictions serves as a reliable proxy for uncertainty in such settings. Our proposed variance-based scaling framework produces competitive uncertainty estimates in classification while being less computationally demanding and allowing for integration as a post-hoc calibration tool. This approach also leads to a simple extension of deep ensembles, improving the expressiveness of their predicted distributions.