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Causality Learning: A New Perspective for Interpretable Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent years have witnessed the rapid growth of machine learning in a wide range of fields such as image recognition, text classification, credit scoring prediction, recommendation system, etc. In spite of their great performance in different sectors, researchers still concern about the mechanism under any machine learning (ML) techniques that are inherently black-box and becoming more complex to achieve higher accuracy. Therefore, interpreting machine learning model is currently a mainstream topic in the research community. However, the traditional interpretable machine learning focuses on the association instead of the causality. This paper provides an overview of causal analysis with the fundamental background and key concepts, and then summarizes most recent causal approaches for interpretable machine learning. The evaluation techniques for assessing method quality, and open problems in causal interpretability are also discussed in this paper.


Seasonal Averaged One-Dependence Estimators: A Novel Algorithm to Address Seasonal Concept Drift in High-Dimensional Stream Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Stream classification methods classify a continuous stream of data as new labelled samples arrive. They often also have to deal with concept drift. This paper focuses on seasonal drift in stream classification, which can be found in many real-world application data sources. Traditional approaches of stream classification consider seasonal drift by including seasonal dummy/indicator variables or building separate models for each season. But these approaches have strong limitations in high-dimensional classification problems, or with complex seasonal patterns. This paper explores how to best handle seasonal drift in the specific context of news article categorization (or classification/tagging), where seasonal drift is overwhelmingly the main type of drift present in the data, and for which the data are high-dimensional. We introduce a novel classifier named Seasonal Averaged One-Dependence Estimators (SAODE), which extends the AODE classifier to handle seasonal drift by including time as a super parent. We assess our SAODE model using two large real-world text mining related datasets each comprising approximately a million records, against nine state-of-the-art stream and concept drift classification models, with and without seasonal indicators and with separate models built for each season. Across five different evaluation techniques, we show that our model consistently outperforms other methods by a large margin where the results are statistically significant.


A novel approach for multi-agent cooperative pursuit to capture grouped evaders

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

An approach of mobile multi-agent pursuit based on application of self-organizing feature map (SOFM) and along with that reinforcement learning based on agent group role membership function (AGRMF) model is proposed. This method promotes dynamic organization of the pursuers' groups and also makes pursuers' group evader according to their desire based on SOFM and AGRMF techniques. This helps to overcome the shortcomings of the pursuers that they cannot fully reorganize when the goal is too independent in process of AGRMF models operation. Besides, we also discuss a new reward function. After the formation of the group, reinforcement learning is applied to get the optimal solution for each agent. The results of each step in capturing process will finally affect the AGR membership function to speed up the convergence of the competitive neural network. The experiments result shows that this approach is more effective for the mobile agents to capture evaders.


Many-Class Few-Shot Learning on Multi-Granularity Class Hierarchy

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study many-class few-shot (MCFS) problem in both supervised learning and meta-learning settings. Compared to the well-studied many-class many-shot and few-class few-shot problems, the MCFS problem commonly occurs in practical applications but has been rarely studied in previous literature. It brings new challenges of distinguishing between many classes given only a few training samples per class. In this paper, we leverage the class hierarchy as a prior knowledge to train a coarse-to-fine classifier that can produce accurate predictions for MCFS problem in both settings. The propose model, "memory-augmented hierarchical-classification network (MahiNet)", performs coarse-to-fine classification where each coarse class can cover multiple fine classes. Since it is challenging to directly distinguish a variety of fine classes given few-shot data per class, MahiNet starts from learning a classifier over coarse-classes with more training data whose labels are much cheaper to obtain. The coarse classifier reduces the searching range over the fine classes and thus alleviates the challenges from "many classes". On architecture, MahiNet firstly deploys a convolutional neural network (CNN) to extract features. It then integrates a memory-augmented attention module and a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) together to produce the probabilities over coarse and fine classes. While the MLP extends the linear classifier, the attention module extends the KNN classifier, both together targeting the "few-shot" problem. We design several training strategies of MahiNet for supervised learning and meta-learning. In addition, we propose two novel benchmark datasets "mcfsImageNet" and "mcfsOmniglot" specially designed for MCFS problem. In experiments, we show that MahiNet outperforms several state-of-the-art models on MCFS problems in both supervised learning and meta-learning.


Simulation and Optimisation of Air Conditioning Systems using Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In building management, usually static thermal setpoints are used to maintain the inside temperature of a building at a comfortable level irrespective of its occupancy. This strategy can cause a massive amount of energy wastage and therewith increase energy related expenses. This paper explores how to optimise the setpoints used in a particular room during its unoccupied periods using machine learning approaches. We introduce a deep-learning model based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) that can predict the temperatures of a future period directly where a particular room is unoccupied and by using these predicted temperatures, we define the optimal thermal setpoints to be used inside the room during the unoccupied period. We show that RNNs are particularly suitable for this learning task as they enable us to learn across many relatively short series, which is necessary to focus on particular operation modes of the air conditioning (AC) system. We evaluate the prediction accuracy of our RNN model against a set of state-of-the-art models and are able to outperform those by a large margin. We furthermore analyse the usage of our RNN model in optimising the energy consumption of an AC system in a real-world scenario using the temperature data from a university lecture theatre. Based on the simulations, we show that our RNN model can lead to savings around 20% compared with the traditional temperature controlling model that does not use optimisation techniques.


Abolish the #TechToPrisonPipeline

#artificialintelligence

The authors of the Harrisburg University study make explicit their desire to provide "a significant advantage for law enforcement agencies and other intelligence agencies to prevent crime" as a co-author and former NYPD police officer outlined in the original press release.[38] At a time when the legitimacy of the carceral state, and policing in particular, is being challenged on fundamental grounds in the United States, there is high demand in law enforcement for research of this nature, research which erases historical violence and manufactures fear through the so-called prediction of criminality. Publishers and funding agencies serve a crucial role in feeding this ravenous maw by providing platforms and incentives for such research. The circulation of this work by a major publisher like Springer would represent a significant step towards the legitimation and application of repeatedly debunked, socially harmful research in the real world. To reiterate our demands, the review committee must publicly rescind the offer for publication of this specific study, along with an explanation of the criteria used to evaluate it. Springer must issue a statement condemning the use of criminal justice statistics to predict criminality and acknowledging their role in incentivizing such harmful scholarship in the past. Finally, all publishers must refrain from publishing similar studies in the future.


Online learning with Corrupted context: Corrupted Contextual Bandits

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider a novel variant of the contextual bandit problem (i.e., the multi-armed bandit with side-information, or context, available to a decision-maker) where the context used at each decision may be corrupted ("useless context"). This new problem is motivated by certain online settings including clinical trial and ad recommendation applications. In order to address the corrupted-context setting, we propose to combine the standard contextual bandit approach with a classical multi-armed bandit mechanism. Unlike standard contextual bandit methods, we are able to learn from all iteration, even those with corrupted context, by improving the computing of the expectation for each arm. Promising empirical results are obtained on several real-life datasets.


Orthogonal Deep Models As Defense Against Black-Box Attacks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Deep learning has demonstrated state-of-the-art performance for a variety of challenging computer vision tasks. On one hand, this has enabled deep visual models to pave the way for a plethora of critical applications like disease prognostics and smart surveillance. On the other, deep learning has also been found vulnerable to adversarial attacks, which calls for new techniques to defend deep models against these attacks. Among the attack algorithms, the black-box schemes are of serious practical concern since they only need publicly available knowledge of the targeted model. We carefully analyze the inherent weakness of deep models in black-box settings where the attacker may develop the attack using a model similar to the targeted model. Based on our analysis, we introduce a novel gradient regularization scheme that encourages the internal representation of a deep model to be orthogonal to another, even if the architectures of the two models are similar. Our unique constraint allows a model to concomitantly endeavour for higher accuracy while maintaining near orthogonal alignment of gradients with respect to a reference model. Detailed empirical study verifies that controlled misalignment of gradients under our orthogonality objective significantly boosts a model's robustness against transferable black-box adversarial attacks. In comparison to regular models, the orthogonal models are significantly more robust to a range of $l_p$ norm bounded perturbations. We verify the effectiveness of our technique on a variety of large-scale models.


Not all Failure Modes are Created Equal: Training Deep Neural Networks for Explicable (Mis)Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Deep Neural Networks are often brittle on image classification tasks and known to misclassify inputs. While these misclassifications may be inevitable, all failure modes cannot be considered equal. Certain misclassifications (eg. classifying the image of a dog to an airplane) can create surprise and result in the loss of human trust in the system. Even worse, certain errors (eg. a person misclassified as a primate) can have societal impacts. Thus, in this work, we aim to reduce inexplicable errors. To address this challenge, we first discuss how to obtain the class-level semantics that captures the human's expectation ($M^h$) regarding which classes are semantically close vs. ones that are far away. We show that for data-sets like CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100, class-level semantics can be obtained by leveraging human subject studies (significantly inexpensive compared to existing works) and, whenever possible, by utilizing publicly available human-curated knowledge. Second, we propose the use of Weighted Loss Functions to penalize misclassifications by the weight of their inexplicability. Finally, we show that training (or even fine-tuning) existing classifiers with the two proposed methods lead to Deep Neural Networks that have (1) comparable top-1 accuracy, an important metric in operational contexts, (2) more explicable failure modes and (3) require significantly less cost in teams of additional human labels compared to existing work.


Q-Learning with Differential Entropy of Q-Tables

arXiv.org Machine Learning

It is well-known that information loss can occur in the classic and simple Q-learning algorithm. Entropy-based policy search methods were introduced to replace Q-learning and to design algorithms that are more robust against information loss. We conjecture that the reduction in performance during prolonged training sessions of Q-learning is caused by a loss of information, which is non-transparent when only examining the cumulative reward without changing the Q-learning algorithm itself. We introduce Differential Entropy of Q-tables (DE-QT) as an external information loss detector to the Q-learning algorithm. The behaviour of DE-QT over training episodes is analyzed to find an appropriate stopping criterion during training. The results reveal that DE-QT can detect the most appropriate stopping point, where a balance between a high success rate and a high efficiency is met for classic Q-Learning algorithm.