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Path Planning for Shepherding a Swarm in a Cluttered Environment using Differential Evolution

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In computational In this paper, we present an evolutionary path planning intelligence research, the concept is used more broadly to approach for shepherding that takes into account the collection model and analyze the behaviour of biologically inspired and movement of the swarm (sheep) in addition to the swarms, where multiple agents of different type interact with sheepdog. The problem is different from conventional path each other in a proactive and reactive manner. The reactive planning for robot navigation in the sense that the control agents are analogous to the sheep in the problem; they respond agents (sheepdog) have access to global information when to the presence of the proactive agent, the sheepdog, and are seeking an optimal path, while the movement of others (sheep) repulsed from it. The sheepdog makes a sequence of decisions is purely reactive. The two-phase algorithm starts by identifying to influence the sheep and to guide them towards a goal the path for the sheepdog to move from any initial position area. A recent comprehensive review on the subject can be to a position behind the swarm. The path is constrained to be found in [1]. The shepherding problem using robotic swarms obstacle free and so as not to impact the sheep; lest the sheep is of interest in several applications beyond the biological be repulsed and scatter, making their collection even harder inspiration of shepherding itself; applications include crowd and more time-consuming. In the second phase, the algorithm control [2], cleanup of oil spills [3], disaster relief and rescue plans the path for the sheepdog by identifying the next series operations [4], and security/military procedures [5], among of way points to guide the sheep towards their final destination.


Predicting Training Time Without Training

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We tackle the problem of predicting the number of optimization steps that a pre-trained deep network needs to converge to a given value of the loss function. To do so, we leverage the fact that the training dynamics of a deep network during fine-tuning are well approximated by those of a linearized model. This allows us to approximate the training loss and accuracy at any point during training by solving a low-dimensional Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) in function space. Using this result, we are able to predict the time it takes for Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) to fine-tune a model to a given loss without having to perform any training. In our experiments, we are able to predict training time of a ResNet within a 20% error margin on a variety of datasets and hyper-parameters, at a 30 to 45-fold reduction in cost compared to actual training. We also discuss how to further reduce the computational and memory cost of our method, and in particular we show that by exploiting the spectral properties of the gradients' matrix it is possible predict training time on a large dataset while processing only a subset of the samples.


How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We move beyond "Is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?" by adding the "how". The current forecasting literature has focused on matching specific variables and horizons with a particularly successful algorithm. In contrast, we study the usefulness of the underlying features driving ML gains over standard macroeconometric methods. We distinguish four so-called features (nonlinearities, regularization, cross-validation and alternative loss function) and study their behavior in both the data-rich and data-poor environments. To do so, we design experiments that allow to identify the "treatment" effects of interest. We conclude that (i) nonlinearity is the true game changer for macroeconomic prediction, (ii) the standard factor model remains the best regularization, (iii) K-fold cross-validation is the best practice and (iv) the $L_2$ is preferred to the $\bar \epsilon$-insensitive in-sample loss. The forecasting gains of nonlinear techniques are associated with high macroeconomic uncertainty, financial stress and housing bubble bursts. This suggests that Machine Learning is useful for macroeconomic forecasting by mostly capturing important nonlinearities that arise in the context of uncertainty and financial frictions.


Artificial Intelligence in Marketing Market to Reflect Impressive Growth Rate During 2027 – Scientect

#artificialintelligence

The report provides valuable insights about the advancements of the Artificial Intelligence in Marketing market and the approaches regarding the Artificial Intelligence in Marketing market with analysis of each region. The report further talks about the dominant aspects of the market and explores each segment. To understand the Artificial Intelligence in Marketing market dynamics, the market is analyzed across major global regions and countries. Middle East & Africa: Saudi Arabia, South Africa, U.A.E., and Rest of MEA Thank you for reading our report. The report is available for customization based on chapters or regions.


Today on Technology: Your Online Guidebook on Digital Transformation

#artificialintelligence

"Today each organization must know how to build its digital capability. Because now every company is a software company, every organization is a digital organization." Recently, an article published by the Harvard Business Review gave holistic advice on how in terms of a technology renaissance, we ought to not forget our humanistic side. A very unconventional beginning to a write-up which will solely speak about the whole nine yards of tech, but since digital transformation services are about bringing change to the existing reality, it'll cease to exist sans a touch of humanism. The latter half of the 20th century was the genesis of the'Age of Information' where progression was made from orthodox industrial techniques to the forever evolving Information and Technology. From analogue, everything turned digital. Let's understand it layer by layer. In simple terms, Digital transformation is the impact and influence of technology into each and every business vertical. And when we say technology, we mean digital. But it doesn't restrict itself to that. It's equally a colossal cultural change that thrives on experimentation, brainstorming, challenging metacognitive skills and coping with failure.


Propensity-to-Pay: Machine Learning for Estimating Prediction Uncertainty

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Predicting a customer's propensity-to-pay at an early point in the revenue cycle can provide organisations many opportunities to improve the customer experience, reduce hardship and reduce the risk of impaired cash flow and occurrence of bad debt. With the advancements in data science; machine learning techniques can be used to build models to accurately predict a customer's propensity-to-pay. Creating effective machine learning models without access to large and detailed datasets presents some significant challenges. This paper presents a case-study, conducted on a dataset from an energy organisation, to explore the uncertainty around the creation of machine learning models that are able to predict residential customers entering financial hardship which then reduces their ability to pay energy bills. Incorrect predictions can result in inefficient resource allocation and vulnerable customers not being proactively identified. This study investigates machine learning models' ability to consider different contexts and estimate the uncertainty in the prediction. Seven models from four families of machine learning algorithms are investigated for their novel utilisation. A novel concept of utilising a Baysian Neural Network to the binary classification problem of propensity-to-pay energy bills is proposed and explored for deployment.


Cross-language sentiment analysis of European Twitter messages duringthe COVID-19 pandemic

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Social media data can be a very salient source of information during crises. User-generated messages provide a window into people's minds during such times, allowing us insights about their moods and opinions. Due to the vast amounts of such messages, a large-scale analysis of population-wide developments becomes possible. In this paper, we analyze Twitter messages (tweets) collected during the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe with regard to their sentiment. This is implemented with a neural network for sentiment analysis using multilingual sentence embeddings. We separate the results by country of origin, and correlate their temporal development with events in those countries. This allows us to study the effect of the situation on people's moods. We see, for example, that lockdown announcements correlate with a deterioration of mood in almost all surveyed countries, which recovers within a short time span.


Data-Driven Security Assessment of the Electric Power System

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The transition to a new low emission energy future results in a changing mix of generation and load types due to significant growth in renewable energy penetration and reduction in system inertia due to the exit of ageing fossil fuel power plants. This increases technical challenges for electrical grid planning and operation. This study introduces a new decomposition approach to account for the system security for short term planning using conventional machine learning tools. The immediate value of this work is that it provides extendable and computationally efficient guidelines for using supervised learning tools to assess first swing transient stability status. To provide an unbiased evaluation of the final model fit on the training dataset, the proposed approach was examined on a previously unseen test set. It distinguished stable and unstable cases in the test set accurately, with only 0.57% error, and showed a high precision in predicting the time of instability, with 6.8% error and mean absolute error as small as 0.0145.


APMSqueeze: A Communication Efficient Adam-Preconditioned Momentum SGD Algorithm

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Adam is the important optimization algorithm to guarantee efficiency and accuracy for training many important tasks such as BERT and ImageNet. However, Adam is generally not compatible with information (gradient) compression technology. Therefore, the communication usually becomes the bottleneck for parallelizing Adam. In this paper, we propose a communication efficient {\bf A}DAM {\bf p}reconditioned {\bf M}omentum SGD algorithm-- named APMSqueeze-- through an error compensated method compressing gradients. The proposed algorithm achieves a similar convergence efficiency to Adam in term of epochs, but significantly reduces the running time per epoch. In terms of end-to-end performance (including the full-precision pre-condition step), APMSqueeze is able to provide {sometimes by up to $2-10\times$ speed-up depending on network bandwidth.} We also conduct theoretical analysis on the convergence and efficiency.


Neural Learning of One-of-Many Solutions for Combinatorial Problems in Structured Output Spaces

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recent research has proposed neural architectures for solving combinatorial problems in structured output spaces. In many such problems, there may exist multiple solutions for a given input, e.g. a partially filled Sudoku puzzle may have many completions satisfying all constraints. Further, we are often interested in finding {\em any one} of the possible solutions, without any preference between them. Existing approaches completely ignore this solution multiplicity. In this paper, we argue that being oblivious to the presence of multiple solutions can severely hamper their training ability. Our contribution is two fold. First, we formally define the task of learning one-of-many solutions for combinatorial problems in structured output spaces, which is applicable for solving several problems of interest such as N-Queens, and Sudoku. Second, we present a generic learning framework that adapts an existing prediction network for a combinatorial problem to handle solution multiplicity. Our framework uses a selection module, whose goal is to dynamically determine, for every input, the solution that is most effective for training the network parameters in any given learning iteration. We propose an RL based approach to jointly train the selection module with the prediction network. Experiments on three different domains, and using two different prediction networks, demonstrate that our framework significantly improves the accuracy in our setting, obtaining up to $21$ pt gain over the baselines.