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Social network analytics for supervised fraud detection in insurance

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Insurance fraud occurs when policyholders file claims that are exaggerated or based on intentional damages. This contribution develops a fraud detection strategy by extracting insightful information from the social network of a claim. First, we construct a network by linking claims with all their involved parties, including the policyholders, brokers, experts, and garages. Next, we establish fraud as a social phenomenon in the network and use the BiRank algorithm with a fraud specific query vector to compute a fraud score for each claim. From the network, we extract features related to the fraud scores as well as the claims' neighborhood structure. Finally, we combine these network features with the claim-specific features and build a supervised model with fraud in motor insurance as the target variable. Although we build a model for only motor insurance, the network includes claims from all available lines of business. Our results show that models with features derived from the network perform well when detecting fraud and even outperform the models using only the classical claim-specific features. Combining network and claim-specific features further improves the performance of supervised learning models to detect fraud. The resulting model flags highly suspicions claims that need to be further investigated. Our approach provides a guided and intelligent selection of claims and contributes to a more effective fraud investigation process.


Quasi-Autoregressive Residual (QuAR) Flows

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Normalizing Flows are a powerful technique for learning and modeling probability distributions given samples from those distributions. The current state of the art results are built upon residual flows as these can model a larger hypothesis space than coupling layers. However, residual flows are extremely computationally expensive both to train and to use, which limits their applicability in practice. In this paper, we introduce a simplification to residual flows using a Quasi-Autoregressive (QuAR) approach. Compared to the standard residual flow approach, this simplification retains many of the benefits of residual flows while dramatically reducing the compute time and memory requirements, thus making flow-based modeling approaches far more tractable and broadening their potential applicability.


A Systematic Literature Review on the Use of Deep Learning in Software Engineering Research

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

An increasingly popular set of techniques adopted by software engineering (SE) researchers to automate development tasks are those rooted in the concept of Deep Learning (DL). The popularity of such techniques largely stems from their automated feature engineering capabilities, which aid in modeling software artifacts. However, due to the rapid pace at which DL techniques have been adopted, it is difficult to distill the current successes, failures, and opportunities of the current research landscape. In an effort to bring clarity to this cross-cutting area of work, from its modern inception to the present, this paper presents a systematic literature review of research at the intersection of SE & DL. The review canvases work appearing in the most prominent SE and DL conferences and journals and spans 84 papers across 22 unique SE tasks. We center our analysis around the components of learning, a set of principles that govern the application of machine learning techniques (ML) to a given problem domain, discussing several aspects of the surveyed work at a granular level. The end result of our analysis is a research roadmap that both delineates the foundations of DL techniques applied to SE research, and likely areas of fertile exploration for the future.


Deep Reinforcement Learning for Unknown Anomaly Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We address a critical yet largely unsolved anomaly detection problem, in which we aim to learn detection models from a small set of partially labeled anomalies and a large-scale unlabeled dataset. This is a common scenario in many important applications. Existing related methods either proceed unsupervised with the unlabeled data, or exclusively fit the limited anomaly examples that often do not span the entire set of anomalies. We propose here instead a deep reinforcement-learning-based approach that actively seeks novel classes of anomaly that lie beyond the scope of the labeled training data. This approach learns to balance exploiting its existing data model against exploring for new classes of anomaly. It is thus able to exploit the labeled anomaly data to improve detection accuracy, without limiting the set of anomalies sought to those given anomaly examples. This is of significant practical benefit, as anomalies are inevitably unpredictable in form and often expensive to miss. Extensive experiments on 48 real-world datasets show that our approach significantly outperforms five state-of-the-art competing methods.


Temporal Answer Set Programming

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present an overview on Temporal Logic Programming under the perspective of its application for Knowledge Representation and declarative problem solving. Such programs are the result of combining usual rules with temporal modal operators, as in Linear-time Temporal Logic (LTL). We focus on recent results of the non-monotonic formalism called Temporal Equilibrium Logic (TEL) that is defined for the full syntax of LTL, but performs a model selection criterion based on Equilibrium Logic, a well known logical characterization of Answer Set Programming (ASP). We obtain a proper extension of the stable models semantics for the general case of arbitrary temporal formulas. We recall the basic definitions for TEL and its monotonic basis, the temporal logic of Here-and-There (THT), and study the differences between infinite and finite traces. We also provide other useful results, such as the translation into other formalisms like Quantified Equilibrium Logic or Second-order LTL, and some techniques for computing temporal stable models based on automata. In a second part, we focus on practical aspects, defining a syntactic fragment called temporal logic programs closer to ASP, and explain how this has been exploited in the construction of the solver TELINGO.


Sufficient Dimension Reduction for Average Causal Effect Estimation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Having a large number of covariates can have a negative impact on the quality of causal effect estimation since confounding adjustment becomes unreliable when the number of covariates is large relative to the samples available. Propensity score is a common way to deal with a large covariate set, but the accuracy of propensity score estimation (normally done by logistic regression) is also challenged by large number of covariates. In this paper, we prove that a large covariate set can be reduced to a lower dimensional representation which captures the complete information for adjustment in causal effect estimation. The theoretical result enables effective data-driven algorithms for causal effect estimation. We develop an algorithm which employs a supervised kernel dimension reduction method to search for a lower dimensional representation for the original covariates, and then utilizes nearest neighbor matching in the reduced covariate space to impute the counterfactual outcomes to avoid large-sized covariate set problem. The proposed algorithm is evaluated on two semi-synthetic and three real-world datasets and the results have demonstrated the effectiveness of the algorithm.


A Deep Framework for Cross-Domain and Cross-System Recommendations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cross-Domain Recommendation (CDR) and Cross-System Recommendations (CSR) are two of the promising solutions to address the long-standing data sparsity problem in recommender systems. They leverage the relatively richer information, e.g., ratings, from the source domain or system to improve the recommendation accuracy in the target domain or system. Therefore, finding an accurate mapping of the latent factors across domains or systems is crucial to enhancing recommendation accuracy. However, this is a very challenging task because of the complex relationships between the latent factors of the source and target domains or systems. To this end, in this paper, we propose a Deep framework for both Cross-Domain and Cross-System Recommendations, called DCDCSR, based on Matrix Factorization (MF) models and a fully connected Deep Neural Network (DNN). Specifically, DCDCSR first employs the MF models to generate user and item latent factors and then employs the DNN to map the latent factors across domains or systems. More importantly, we take into account the rating sparsity degrees of individual users and items in different domains or systems and use them to guide the DNN training process for utilizing the rating data more effectively. Extensive experiments conducted on three real-world datasets demonstrate that DCDCSR framework outperforms the state-of-the-art CDR and CSR approaches in terms of recommendation accuracy.


REXUP: I REason, I EXtract, I UPdate with Structured Compositional Reasoning for Visual Question Answering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Visual Question Answering (VQA) is a challenging multimodal task that requires not only the semantic understanding of images and questions, but also the sound perception of a step-by-step reasoning process that would lead to the correct answer. So far, most successful attempts in VQA have been focused on only one aspect; either the interaction of visual pixel features of images and word features of questions, or the reasoning process of answering the question of an image with simple objects. In this paper, we propose a deep reasoning VQA model (REXUP-REason, EXtract, and UPdate) with explicit visual structureaware textual information, and it works well in capturing step-by-step reasoning process and detecting complex object-relationships in photorealistic images. REXUP consists of two branches, image object-oriented and scene graph-oriented, which jointly works with the super-diagonal fusion compositional attention networks. We evaluate REXUP on the benchmark GQA dataset and conduct extensive ablation studies to explore the reasons behind REXUPs effectiveness. Our best model significantly outperforms the previous state-of-the-art, which delivers 92.7% on the validation set, and 73.1% on the test-dev set.


Communication Efficient Distributed Learning with Censored, Quantized, and Generalized Group ADMM

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we propose a communication-efficiently decentralized machine learning framework that solves a consensus optimization problem defined over a network of inter-connected workers. The proposed algorithm, Censored-and-Quantized Generalized GADMM (CQ-GGADMM), leverages the novel worker grouping and decentralized learning ideas of Group Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (GADMM), and pushes the frontier in communication efficiency by extending its applicability to generalized network topologies, while incorporating link censoring for negligible updates after quantization. We theoretically prove that CQ-GGADMM achieves the linear convergence rate when the local objective functions are strongly convex under some mild assumptions. Numerical simulations corroborate that CQ-GGADMM exhibits higher communication efficiency in terms of the number of communication rounds and transmit energy consumption without compromising the accuracy and convergence speed, compared to the benchmark schemes based on decentralized ADMM without censoring, quantization, and/or the worker grouping method of GADMM.


Fed+: A Family of Fusion Algorithms for Federated Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a class of methods for federated learning, which we call Fed+, pronounced FedPlus. The class of methods encompasses and unifies a number of recent algorithms proposed for federated learning and permits easily defining many new algorithms. The principal advantage of this class of methods is to better accommodate the real-world characteristics found in federated learning training, such as the lack of IID data across the parties in the federation. We demonstrate the use and benefits of this class of algorithms on standard benchmark datasets and a challenging real-world problem where catastrophic failure has a serious impact, namely in financial portfolio management.