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Deep Learning for Road Traffic Forecasting: Does it Make a Difference?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep Learning methods have been proven to be flexible to model complex phenomena. This has also been the case of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), in which several areas such as vehicular perception and traffic analysis have widely embraced Deep Learning as a core modeling technology. Particularly in short-term traffic forecasting, the capability of Deep Learning to deliver good results has generated a prevalent inertia towards using Deep Learning models, without examining in depth their benefits and downsides. This paper focuses on critically analyzing the state of the art in what refers to the use of Deep Learning for this particular ITS research area. To this end, we elaborate on the findings distilled from a review of publications from recent years, based on two taxonomic criteria. A posterior critical analysis is held to formulate questions and trigger a necessary debate about the issues of Deep Learning for traffic forecasting. The study is completed with a benchmark of diverse short-term traffic forecasting methods over traffic datasets of different nature, aimed to cover a wide spectrum of possible scenarios. Our experimentation reveals that Deep Learning could not be the best modeling technique for every case, which unveils some caveats unconsidered to date that should be addressed by the community in prospective studies. These insights reveal new challenges and research opportunities in road traffic forecasting, which are enumerated and discussed thoroughly, with the intention of inspiring and guiding future research efforts in this field.


Methods of ranking for aggregated fuzzy numbers from interval-valued data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper primarily presents two methods of ranking aggregated fuzzy numbers from intervals using the Interval Agreement Approach (IAA). The two proposed ranking methods within this study contain the combination and application of previously proposed similarity measures, along with attributes novel to that of aggregated fuzzy numbers from interval-valued data. The shortcomings of previous measures, along with the improvements of the proposed methods, are illustrated using both a synthetic and real-world application. The real-world application regards the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) algorithm, modified to include both the previous and newly proposed methods.


Blockchain Assisted Decentralized Federated Learning (BLADE-FL) with Lazy Clients

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Federated learning (FL), as a distributed machine learning approach, has drawn a great amount of attention in recent years. FL shows an inherent advantage in privacy preservation, since users' raw data are processed locally. However, it relies on a centralized server to perform model aggregation. Therefore, FL is vulnerable to server malfunctions and external attacks. In this paper, we propose a novel framework by integrating blockchain into FL, namely, blockchain assisted decentralized federated learning (BLADE-FL), to enhance the security of FL. The proposed BLADE-FL has a good performance in terms of privacy preservation, tamper resistance, and effective cooperation of learning. However, it gives rise to a new problem of training deficiency, caused by lazy clients who plagiarize others' trained models and add artificial noises to conceal their cheating behaviors. To be specific, we first develop a convergence bound of the loss function with the presence of lazy clients and prove that it is convex with respect to the total number of generated blocks $K$. Then, we solve the convex problem by optimizing $K$ to minimize the loss function. Furthermore, we discover the relationship between the optimal $K$, the number of lazy clients, and the power of artificial noises used by lazy clients. We conduct extensive experiments to evaluate the performance of the proposed framework using the MNIST and Fashion-MNIST datasets. Our analytical results are shown to be consistent with the experimental results. In addition, the derived optimal $K$ achieves the minimum value of loss function, and in turn the optimal accuracy performance.


Explainable AI for Software Engineering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning techniques have been widely used in software engineering to improve developer productivity, the quality of software systems, and decision-making. However, such AI/ML models for software engineering are still impractical, not explainable, and not actionable. These concerns often hinder the adoption of AI/ML models in software engineering practices. Then, we summarize three successful case studies on how explainable AI techniques can be used to address the aforementioned challenges by making software defect prediction models more practical, explainable, and actionable. Who should perform this task?


A Self-Supervised Feature Map Augmentation (FMA) Loss and Combined Augmentations Finetuning to Efficiently Improve the Robustness of CNNs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep neural networks are often not robust to semantically-irrelevant changes in the input. In this work we address the issue of robustness of state-of-the-art deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) against commonly occurring distortions in the input such as photometric changes, or the addition of blur and noise. These changes in the input are often accounted for during training in the form of data augmentation. We have two major contributions: First, we propose a new regularization loss called feature-map augmentation (FMA) loss which can be used during finetuning to make a model robust to several distortions in the input. Second, we propose a new combined augmentations (CA) finetuning strategy, that results in a single model that is robust to several augmentation types at the same time in a data-efficient manner. We use the CA strategy to improve an existing state-of-the-art method called stability training (ST). Using CA, on an image classification task with distorted images, we achieve an accuracy improvement of on average 8.94% with FMA and 8.86% with ST absolute on CIFAR-10 and 8.04% with FMA and 8.27% with ST absolute on ImageNet, compared to 1.98% and 2.12%, respectively, with the well known data augmentation method, while keeping the clean baseline performance.


The Model Counting Competition 2020

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Many computational problems in modern society account to probabilistic reasoning, statistics, and combinatorics. A variety of these real-world questions can be solved by representing the question in (Boolean) formulas and associating the number of models of the formula directly with the answer to the question. Since there has been an increasing interest in practical problem solving for model counting over the last years, the Model Counting (MC) Competition was conceived in fall 2019. The competition aims to foster applications, identify new challenging benchmarks, and to promote new solvers and improve established solvers for the model counting problem and versions thereof. We hope that the results can be a good indicator of the current feasibility of model counting and spark many new applications. In this paper, we report on details of the Model Counting Competition 2020, about carrying out the competition, and the results. The competition encompassed three versions of the model counting problem, which we evaluated in separate tracks. The first track featured the model counting problem (MC), which asks for the number of models of a given Boolean formula. On the second track, we challenged developers to submit programs that solve the weighted model counting problem (WMC). The last track was dedicated to projected model counting (PMC). In total, we received a surprising number of 9 solvers in 34 versions from 8 groups.


Attention-gating for improved radio galaxy classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work we introduce attention as a state of the art mechanism for classification of radio galaxies using convolutional neural networks. We present an attention-based model that performs on par with previous classifiers while using more than 50\% fewer parameters than the next smallest classic CNN application in this field. We demonstrate quantitatively how the selection of normalisation and aggregation methods used in attention-gating can affect the output of individual models, and show that the resulting attention maps can be used to interpret the classification choices made by the model. We observe that the salient regions identified by the our model align well with the regions an expert human classifier would attend to make equivalent classifications. We show that while the selection of normalisation and aggregation may only minimally affect the performance of individual models, it can significantly affect the interpretability of the respective attention maps and by selecting a model which aligns well with how astronomers classify radio sources by eye, a user can employ the model in a more effective manner.


Biomedical Knowledge Graph Refinement with Embedding and Logic Rules

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Currently, there is a rapidly increasing need for high-quality biomedical knowledge graphs (BioKG) that provide direct and precise biomedical knowledge. In the context of COVID-19, this issue is even more necessary to be highlighted. However, most BioKG construction inevitably includes numerous conflicts and noises deriving from incorrect knowledge descriptions in literature and defective information extraction techniques. Many studies have demonstrated that reasoning upon the knowledge graph is effective in eliminating such conflicts and noises. This paper proposes a method BioGRER to improve the BioKG's quality, which comprehensively combines the knowledge graph embedding and logic rules that support and negate triplets in the BioKG. In the proposed model, the BioKG refinement problem is formulated as the probability estimation for triplets in the BioKG. We employ the variational EM algorithm to optimize knowledge graph embedding and logic rule inference alternately. In this way, our model could combine efforts from both the knowledge graph embedding and logic rules, leading to better results than using them alone. We evaluate our model over a COVID-19 knowledge graph and obtain competitive results.


Tencent robot dog navigates plum blossom pile like Kung Fu master

Daily Mail - Science & tech

A four-legged robot dog created by Chinese technology company Tencent has the balance of a King Fu master, new video footage shows. Jamoca, which has been created by Tencent's Robotics X Lab, can walk across a set of uneven poles spaced randomly apart, like'plum blossom piles' used in Kung Fu to teach better balance. It uses a front-facing camera and visual modelling to accurately perceive its environment and achieve'robust eye and foot calibration'. The robot, which is more than three feet in length and weighs 70kg, can walk, run, trot diagonally and jump just like a real dog. Compared with other four-legged robots, including those developed by US firm Boston Dynamics, Jamoca can navigate a course where there are hazardous gaps that can lead to a fall and operate at a higher altitude. According to Beijing-based technology media platform Jiqizhixin, the dog is still in its experimental stages.


Which optical illusions can animals see?

National Geographic

Male bowerbirds in Australia use a technique called forced perspective to make themselves look bigger to potential mates who visit their carefully constructed bowers. Visual illusions remind us that we are not passive decoders of reality but active interpreters. Our eyes capture information from the environment, but our brain can play tricks on us. Perception doesn't always match reality. Scientists have used illusions for decades to explore the psychological and cognitive processes that underlie human visual perception.