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Out of Distribution Generalization in Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine learning has achieved tremendous success in a variety of domains in recent years. However, a lot of these success stories have been in places where the training and the testing distributions are extremely similar to each other. In everyday situations when models are tested in slightly different data than they were trained on, ML algorithms can fail spectacularly. This research attempts to formally define this problem, what sets of assumptions are reasonable to make in our data and what kind of guarantees we hope to obtain from them. Then, we focus on a certain class of out of distribution problems, their assumptions, and introduce simple algorithms that follow from these assumptions that are able to provide more reliable generalization. A central topic in the thesis is the strong link between discovering the causal structure of the data, finding features that are reliable (when using them to predict) regardless of their context, and out of distribution generalization.


Arthroscopic Multi-Spectral Scene Segmentation Using Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Knee arthroscopy is a minimally invasive surgical (MIS) procedure which is performed to treat knee-joint ailment. Lack of visual information of the surgical site obtained from miniaturized cameras make this surgical procedure more complex. Knee cavity is a very confined space; therefore, surgical scenes are captured at close proximity. Insignificant context of knee atlas often makes them unrecognizable as a consequence unintentional tissue damage often occurred and shows a long learning curve to train new surgeons. Automatic context awareness through labeling of the surgical site can be an alternative to mitigate these drawbacks. However, from the previous studies, it is confirmed that the surgical site exhibits several limitations, among others, lack of discriminative contextual information such as texture and features which drastically limits this vision task. Additionally, poor imaging conditions and lack of accurate ground-truth labels are also limiting the accuracy. To mitigate these limitations of knee arthroscopy, in this work we proposed a scene segmentation method that successfully segments multi structures.


Wide Graph Neural Networks: Aggregation Provably Leads to Exponentially Trainability Loss

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Graph convolutional networks (GCNs) and their variants have achieved great success in dealing with graph-structured data. However, it is well known that deep GCNs will suffer from over-smoothing problem, where node representations tend to be indistinguishable as we stack up more layers. Although extensive research has confirmed this prevailing understanding, few theoretical analyses have been conducted to study the expressivity and trainability of deep GCNs. In this work, we demonstrate these characterizations by studying the Gaussian Process Kernel (GPK) and Graph Neural Tangent Kernel (GNTK) of an infinitely-wide GCN, corresponding to the analysis on expressivity and trainability, respectively. We first prove the expressivity of infinitely-wide GCNs decaying at an exponential rate by applying the mean-field theory on GPK. Besides, we formulate the asymptotic behaviors of GNTK in the large depth, which enables us to reveal the dropping trainability of wide and deep GCNs at an exponential rate. Additionally, we extend our theoretical framework to analyze residual connection-resemble techniques. We found that these techniques can mildly mitigate exponential decay, but they failed to overcome it fundamentally. Finally, all theoretical results in this work are corroborated experimentally on a variety of graph-structured datasets.


Towards Open World Object Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Humans have a natural instinct to identify unknown object instances in their environments. The intrinsic curiosity about these unknown instances aids in learning about them, when the corresponding knowledge is eventually available. This motivates us to propose a novel computer vision problem called: `Open World Object Detection', where a model is tasked to: 1) identify objects that have not been introduced to it as `unknown', without explicit supervision to do so, and 2) incrementally learn these identified unknown categories without forgetting previously learned classes, when the corresponding labels are progressively received. We formulate the problem, introduce a strong evaluation protocol and provide a novel solution, which we call ORE: Open World Object Detector, based on contrastive clustering and energy based unknown identification. Our experimental evaluation and ablation studies analyze the efficacy of ORE in achieving Open World objectives. As an interesting by-product, we find that identifying and characterizing unknown instances helps to reduce confusion in an incremental object detection setting, where we achieve state-of-the-art performance, with no extra methodological effort. We hope that our work will attract further research into this newly identified, yet crucial research direction.


Personal Productivity and Well-being -- Chapter 2 of the 2021 New Future of Work Report

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We now turn to understanding the impact that COVID-19 had on the personal productivity and well-being of information workers as their work practices were impacted by remote work. This chapter overviews people's productivity, satisfaction, and work patterns, and shows that the challenges and benefits of remote work are closely linked. Looking forward, the infrastructure surrounding work will need to evolve to help people adapt to the challenges of remote and hybrid work.


User Preferential Tour Recommendation Based on POI-Embedding Methods

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Tour itinerary planning and recommendation are challenging tasks for tourists in unfamiliar countries. Many tour recommenders only consider broad POI categories and do not align well with users' preferences and other locational constraints. We propose an algorithm to recommend personalized tours using POI-embedding methods, which provides a finer representation of POI types. Our recommendation algorithm will generate a sequence of POIs that optimizes time and locational constraints, as well as user's preferences based on past trajectories from similar tourists. Our tour recommendation algorithm is modelled as a word embedding model in natural language processing, coupled with an iterative algorithm for generating itineraries that satisfies time constraints. Using a Flickr dataset of 4 cities, preliminary experimental results show that our algorithm is able to recommend a relevant and accurate itinerary, based on measures of recall, precision and F1-scores.


Fairness and Robustness of Contrasting Explanations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fairness and explainability are two important and closely related requirements of decision making systems. While fairness and explainability of decision making systems have been extensively studied independently, only little effort has been put into studying fairness of explanations on their own. Current explanations can be unfair to an individual: an example is given by counterfactual explanations which propose different actions to change the output class to two similar individuals. In this work we formally and empirically study individual fairness and its mathematical formalization as robustness for counterfactual explanations as a prominent instance of contrasting explanations. In addition, we propose to use plausible counterfactuals instead of closest counterfactuals for improving the individual fairness of counterfactual explanations.


Why universities will need to digitalise to survive

#artificialintelligence

Why universities will need to digitalise to survive Dave Sherwood 27 February 2021 Universities, and the role they play in society, are under threat from the impact of the ongoing pandemic. While rarely a sector in financial crisis, university leaders in seven of the higher education systems in Europe now predict a fall in core national funding as a result of COVID-19, compounding the huge hits universities have taken on rental and commercial services and contractual research. Fourteen national university sectors in Europe have also predicted a fall in income from international students, with travel restrictions limiting student mobility. Estimates of losses to the United Kingdom university sector range from ยฃ3 billion (US4.2 billion) to ยฃ19 billion (US$26.7 billion) per year as a result of the coronavirus, while the picture is no less bleak across the pond. The University of Michigan alone anticipates losses of up to US$1 billion this year across its three campuses.


Council Post: Marketers: Make Artificial Intelligence Reflect Your Values -- Not Undermine Them

#artificialintelligence

If you're a marketer, odds are that you're not just trying to sell more products and services. You're also trying to live and communicate values that make our world a little better, with the fight against societal systemic racism, sexism and other kinds of discrimination at the top of the list. You're also surely eager to take advantage of the latest marketing technology, especially artificial intelligence (AI). AI can allow for highly customized campaigns and let you monitor and adjust them in real time. These two priorities should work well together.


Variance Reduction in Training Forecasting Models with Subgroup Sampling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In real-world applications of large-scale time series, one often encounters the situation where the temporal patterns of time series, while drifting over time, differ from one another in the same dataset. In this paper, we provably show under such heterogeneity, training a forecasting model with commonly used stochastic optimizers (e.g. SGD) potentially suffers large gradient variance, and thus requires long time training. To alleviate this issue, we propose a sampling strategy named Subgroup Sampling, which mitigates the large variance via sampling over pre-grouped time series. We further introduce SCott, a variance reduced SGD-style optimizer that co-designs subgroup sampling with the control variate method. In theory, we provide the convergence guarantee of SCott on smooth non-convex objectives. Empirically, we evaluate SCott and other baseline optimizers on both synthetic and real-world time series forecasting problems, and show SCott converges faster with respect to both iterations and wall clock time. Additionally, we show two SCott variants that can speed up Adam and Adagrad without compromising generalization of forecasting models.