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Trustworthy AI data governance around Covid-19 could help unlock innovation

#artificialintelligence

A major CDEI poll has found that the public believe digital technology has a role to play in tackling the pandemic, but that its potential is not yet being fully realised. Public support for greater use of digital technology depends on trust in how it is governed. According to the poll, the single biggest predictor for supporting greater use of digital technology was an individual believing that'the right rules and regulations are in place'. This was deemed more important than demographic factors such as age. Trend analysis of the use of AI and data-driven technologies in the same period has revealed that conventional data analysis has been more widely used in the Covid-19 response than AI.


District Wise Price Forecasting of Wheat in Pakistan using Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Wheat is the main agricultural crop of Pakistan and is a staple food requirement of almost every Pakistani household making it the main strategic commodity of the country whose availability and affordability is the government's main priority. Wheat food availability can be vastly affected by multiple factors included but not limited to the production, consumption, financial crisis, inflation, or volatile market. The government ensures food security by particular policy and monitory arrangements, which keeps up purchase parity for the poor. Such arrangements can be made more effective if a dynamic analysis is carried out to estimate the future yield based on certain current factors. Future planning of commodity pricing is achievable by forecasting their future price anticipated by the current circumstances. This paper presents a wheat price forecasting methodology, which uses the price, weather, production, and consumption trends for wheat prices taken over the past few years and analyzes them with the help of advance neural networks architecture Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks. The proposed methodology presented significantly improved results versus other conventional machine learning and statistical time series analysis methods.


Passing Through Narrow Gaps with Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The DARPA subterranean challenge requires teams of robots to traverse difficult and diverse underground environments. Traversing small gaps is one of the challenging scenarios that robots encounter. Imperfect sensor information makes it difficult for classical navigation methods, where behaviours require significant manual fine tuning. In this paper we present a deep reinforcement learning method for autonomously navigating through small gaps, where contact between the robot and the gap may be required. We first learn a gap behaviour policy to get through small gaps (only centimeters wider than the robot). We then learn a goal-conditioned behaviour selection policy that determines when to activate the gap behaviour policy. We train our policies in simulation and demonstrate their effectiveness with a large tracked robot in simulation and on the real platform. In simulation experiments, our approach achieves 93% success rate when the gap behaviour is activated manually by an operator, and 67% with autonomous activation using the behaviour selection policy. In real robot experiments, our approach achieves a success rate of 73% with manual activation, and 40% with autonomous behaviour selection. While we show the feasibility of our approach in simulation, the difference in performance between simulated and real world scenarios highlight the difficulty of direct sim-to-real transfer for deep reinforcement learning policies. In both the simulated and real world environments alternative methods were unable to traverse the gap.


Rissanen Data Analysis: Examining Dataset Characteristics via Description Length

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce a method to determine if a certain capability helps to achieve an accurate model of given data. We view labels as being generated from the inputs by a program composed of subroutines with different capabilities, and we posit that a subroutine is useful if and only if the minimal program that invokes it is shorter than the one that does not. Since minimum program length is uncomputable, we instead estimate the labels' minimum description length (MDL) as a proxy, giving us a theoretically-grounded method for analyzing dataset characteristics. We call the method Rissanen Data Analysis (RDA) after the father of MDL, and we showcase its applicability on a wide variety of settings in NLP, ranging from evaluating the utility of generating subquestions before answering a question, to analyzing the value of rationales and explanations, to investigating the importance of different parts of speech, and uncovering dataset gender bias.


Distributed Dynamic Map Fusion via Federated Learning for Intelligent Networked Vehicles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The technology of dynamic map fusion among networked vehicles has been developed to enlarge sensing ranges and improve sensing accuracies for individual vehicles. This paper proposes a federated learning (FL) based dynamic map fusion framework to achieve high map quality despite unknown numbers of objects in fields of view (FoVs), various sensing and model uncertainties, and missing data labels for online learning. The novelty of this work is threefold: (1) developing a three-stage fusion scheme to predict the number of objects effectively and to fuse multiple local maps with fidelity scores; (2) developing an FL algorithm which fine-tunes feature models (i.e., representation learning networks for feature extraction) distributively by aggregating model parameters; (3) developing a knowledge distillation method to generate FL training labels when data labels are unavailable. The proposed framework is implemented in the Car Learning to Act (CARLA) simulation platform. Extensive experimental results are provided to verify the superior performance and robustness of the developed map fusion and FL schemes.


Use of Transfer Learning and Wavelet Transform for Breast Cancer Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Breast cancer is one of the most common cause of deaths among women. Mammography is a widely used imaging modality that can be used for cancer detection in its early stages. Deep learning is widely used for the detection of cancerous masses in the images obtained via mammography. The need to improve accuracy remains constant due to the sensitive nature of the datasets so we introduce segmentation and wavelet transform to enhance the important features in the image scans. Our proposed system aids the radiologist in the screening phase of cancer detection by using a combination of segmentation and wavelet transforms as pre-processing augmentation that leads to transfer learning in neural networks. The proposed system with these pre-processing techniques significantly increases the accuracy of detection on Mini-MIAS.


Meta Learning Black-Box Population-Based Optimizers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The no free lunch theorem states that no model is better suited to every problem. A question that arises from this is how to design methods that propose optimizers tailored to specific problems achieving state-of-the-art performance. This paper addresses this issue by proposing the use of meta-learning to infer population-based black-box optimizers that can automatically adapt to specific classes of problems. We suggest a general modeling of population-based algorithms that result in Learning-to-Optimize POMDP (LTO-POMDP), a meta-learning framework based on a specific partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP). From that framework's formulation, we propose to parameterize the algorithm using deep recurrent neural networks and use a meta-loss function based on stochastic algorithms' performance to train efficient data-driven optimizers over several related optimization tasks. The learned optimizers' performance based on this implementation is assessed on various black-box optimization tasks and hyperparameter tuning of machine learning models. Our results revealed that the meta-loss function encourages a learned algorithm to alter its search behavior so that it can easily fit into a new context. Thus, it allows better generalization and higher sample efficiency than state-of-the-art generic optimization algorithms, such as the Covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES).


Unsupervised Learning for Robust Fitting:A Reinforcement Learning Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Robust model fitting is a core algorithm in a large number of computer vision applications. Solving this problem efficiently for datasets highly contaminated with outliers is, however, still challenging due to the underlying computational complexity. Recent literature has focused on learning-based algorithms. However, most approaches are supervised which require a large amount of labelled training data. In this paper, we introduce a novel unsupervised learning framework that learns to directly solve robust model fitting. Unlike other methods, our work is agnostic to the underlying input features, and can be easily generalized to a wide variety of LP-type problems with quasi-convex residuals. We empirically show that our method outperforms existing unsupervised learning approaches, and achieves competitive results compared to traditional methods on several important computer vision problems.


Deforestation, forestation, and water supply

Science

Forests as natural reservoirs and filters can store, release, and purify water through their interactions with hydrological processes. For humans, a clean, stable, and predictable water supply is one of the most valuable ecosystem services provided by forests. Yet, globally, forests have undergone many changes driven by human activities (logging, reforestation, afforestation, agriculture, and urbanization) and natural disturbances (wildfires and insect infestations). From 2010 to 2015, tropical forests declined by 5.5 million ha year −1 , whereas temperate forests expanded by 2.2 million ha year−1 ([ 1 ][1]). The effects of both deforestation and forestation (reforestation and afforestation) on water supply have generated serious concerns and debates ([ 2 ][2], [ 3 ][3]), particularly after recent catastrophic fires in Australia and the western United States. However, hydrological consequences of forest changes are never simple, and future research and watershed management require a systematic approach that considers key contributing factors and a broad spectrum of response variables related to hydrological services. Zhang et al. showed the consistent tendency of deforestation to increase annual streamflow ([ 4 ][4]). More than 80% of deforested watersheds had annual streamflow increases ranging from 0.4 to 599.1%, mainly owing to reduced evapotranspiration after 1.7 to 100% forest cover loss ([ 4 ][4]). The large variations in the magnitude of changes depend on the scale, type, and severity of forest disturbance, climate, and watershed properties ([ 4 ][4], [ 5 ][5]). Larger-scale disturbance tends to cause greater increase in annual streamflow. Hydrological response to fire is similar to the response to logging, but the severity of the impact varies with climate, fuel accumulation, fire intensity, overstory tree mortality, and climate. Fires often cause hydrophobic soils, with reduced soil infiltration and acceleration of surface runoff and soil erosion. In a recent national assessment of the contiguous United States, forest fires had the greatest increase in annual streamflow in semiarid regions, followed by warm temperate and humid continental climate regions, with insignificant responses in the subtropical Southeast ([ 6 ][6]). The hydrological impact of insect infestation is likely less pronounced than those of other disturbances. Large-scale beetle outbreaks in the western United States and British Columbia, Canada, over recent decades were predicted to increase streamflow, with reduced evapotranspiration because of the death of infested trees ([ 5 ][5]). However, further evidence showed negligible impacts of beetle infestation on annual streamflow, owing to increased evapotranspiration of surviving trees and understory vegetation ([ 7 ][7]). Forestation can either reduce annual streamflow or increase it ([ 4 ][4], [ 8 ][8]). Zhang et al. ([ 4 ][4]) found that 60% of the forestation watersheds had annual streamflow reduced by 0.7 to 65.1% with 0.7 to 100% forest cover gain, whereas 30% of them (mostly small watersheds) had annual streamflow increased by 7 to 167.7% with 12 to 100% forest cover gain. Variations in annual streamflow response to forestation are even greater than those caused by deforestation, possibly owing to site conditions prior to forestation and tree species selected. Planting with a single fast-growing exotic species can have greater reduction in annual streamflow than with native species ([ 8 ][8]). Streamflow reductions after forestation are more common in semiarid and arid regions than in the humid subtropics and tropics ([ 4 ][4], [ 5 ][5]). Large-scale reforestation programs in the semiarid Loess Plateau in China caused substantial streamflow reductions that consequently approached water resource limits ([ 9 ][9]). Dry-season low flow is critical for water supply, particularly in the face of more severe droughts under climate change. Low-flow response to forest change can be positive, neutral, or negative ([ 5 ][5], [ 10 ][10]). The variable low-flow responses are mainly attributed to low-flow generation processes, forest characteristics (age, species, and regeneration), forestry practices (retention of riparian buffers, logging methods, and silviculture), changes in soil conditions, and choice of low-flow metrics (daily or 7-day minimum flow). Nevertheless, negative low-flow response is commonly expected if soil water storage and infiltration capacities are impaired by forest disturbances (soil compaction and erosion from logging, and soil water repellency following severe fires), and their recovery through reforestation could take much longer, because of the difficulty in restoring damaged soils ([ 10 ][10]). Generally, climate, watershed properties, forest characteristics, and their interactions are the major drivers for large variations in hydrological responses to forest change ([ 2 ][2], [ 4 ][4]). Zhou et al. assessed global land-cover effects on annual streamflow, based on a general theoretical framework ([ 11 ][11]). They found that hydrological sensitivity to land-cover change was determined by watershed properties (watershed size, slope, configuration, and soil), climate (precipitation or potential evaporation), and their interactions, where land cover and watershed properties jointly indicate water retention ability. Land cover or forest change can cause greater hydrological responses in drier watersheds or those with low water retention capacity. Similarly, McDonnell et al. ([ 12 ][12]) recommended studying watershed storages and water movements in the vertical zone that includes forest canopy, soil, fresh bedrock, and the bottom of groundwater ([ 13 ][13]), to further reveal the mechanisms for variable hydrological response to forest change. The feedback between forests and climate may also introduce complexity. Forests can supply atmospheric moisture through evapotranspiration and potentially increase precipitation (precipitation recycling) locally and in downwind directions. Therefore, forest change affects not only downstream river flow, but also precipitation and water supply downwind ([ 5 ][5]). Lawrence and Vandecar revealed variable rainfall responses to tropical deforestation across landscapes, depending on deforestation thresholds, such as reduced rainfall by large-scale deforestation and increased rainfall by small clearings ([ 14 ][14]). The effects of forest change on precipitation are likely related to topography, prevailing wind, and climate, because they affect moisture residence time, moisture transportation, and precipitation generation. The lack of observational evidence highlights the need for research on the feedback between climate and forest change at regional or continental scales. Time scale is important for understanding these variations. Hydrological effects of forest change can vary with time as forests regrow. Coble et al. reviewed long-term responses of low flows to logging in 25 small catchments in North America ([ 10 ][10]). They identified dynamic low-flow responses over three distinct time periods associated with the development of forest canopy leaf area index and corresponding evapotranspiration: consistent increase in the first 5 to 10 years, variable responses (increase, no change, or decline) during the next 10 to 20 years, and substantial decline in some (16 out of 25) watersheds multiple decades later. However, no decline in low flows was found in nine watersheds during the third period—likely dependent on similar factors previously identified for variations in low-flow response. The dynamic hydrological responses suggest that long-term studies are critical for fully capturing possible trends and variations in the effects of forest change on water supply ([ 5 ][5]). ![Figure][15] The complex influence of forests on water supply Forests in watersheds play a critical role in regulating downstream water supply and associated ecosystem services. GRAPHIC: N. DESAI/ SCIENCE The consistencies and large variations over space and time in streamflow responses to forest change call for a systematic perspective to elucidate both explanatory (factors affecting hydrological functions) and response (hydrological functions) variables in future studies (see the figure). In the systematic context, explanatory variables, including climate, forest, watershed properties, and their interactions and feedback across multiple spatial-temporal scales that jointly control streamflow responses, should all be assessed. To better clarify the response, a more complete spectrum of hydrological variables, including the magnitude, duration, timing, frequency, and variability of flows, which collectively determine river flow conditions, aquatic functions, and thus ecosystem services such as water supply, should be included in an assessment ([ 15 ][16]). Nonetheless, water-supply assessments often use limited hydrological variables (such as annual mean flows), which could underestimate total hydrological functions or even produce misleading conclusions resulting from different or contrasting responses of various flow variables. A systematic assessment of the effects of deforestation and forestation on water supply requires multidisciplinary collaborations. The classic paired watershed experiment (PWE: one watershed as a control and the others as the treatment) ([ 12 ][12]), mainly designed to assess streamflow response to forest change, has limitations to evaluate interactions and feedback among water, forests, climate, and watershed properties. Future PWEs should systematically consider more variables and processes (flow pathways, water storage and retention, and hydrological sensitivity) with various approaches (isotopic tracing, telemetering, and modeling). With long-term in situ monitoring and growing remote-sensing data, the forest-water nexus at larger spatial scales should be explored using advanced analytical tools (machine learning, and coupled climatic-ecohydrological modeling) within a systematic context. Future assessment should also focus on watershed management tools such as payments for ecosystem services, with the inclusion of more representative water variables to support synergies or trade-offs between hydrological and other ecosystem services provided by forests in a changing environment. 1. [↵][17]1. R. J. Keenan et al ., For. Ecol. Manage. 352, 9 (2015). [OpenUrl][18] 2. [↵][19]1. X. Wei et al ., Glob. Change Biol. 24, 786 (2018). [OpenUrl][20] 3. [↵][21]1. K. D. Holl, 2. P. H. S. Brancalion , Science 368, 580 (2020). [OpenUrl][22][Abstract/FREE Full Text][23] 4. [↵][24]1. M. Zhang et al ., J. Hydrol. (Amst.) 546, 44 (2017). [OpenUrl][25] 5. [↵][26]1. I. F. Creed, 2. M. van Noordwijk 1. I. F. Creed et al ., in Forest and Water on a Changing Planet: Vulnerability, Adaptation and Governance Opportunities. A Global Assessment Report, I. F. Creed, M. van Noordwijk, Eds. (International Union of Forest Research Organizations, 2018). 6. [↵][27]1. D. W. Hallema et al ., Nat. Commun. 9, 1307 (2018). [OpenUrl][28] 7. [↵][29]1. K. M. Slinski, 2. T. S. Hogue, 3. A. T. Porter, 4. J. E. McCray , Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 074010 (2016). [OpenUrl][30] 8. [↵][31]1. S. Filoso, 2. M. O. Bezerra, 3. K. C. B. Weiss, 4. M. A. Palmer , PLOS ONE 12, e0183210 (2017). [OpenUrl][32] 9. [↵][33]1. X. Feng et al ., Nat. Clim. Chang. 6, 1019 (2016). [OpenUrl][34] 10. [↵][35]1. A. A. Coble et al ., Sci. Total Environ. 730, 138926 (2020). [OpenUrl][36] 11. [↵][37]1. G. Zhou et al ., Nat. Commun. 6, 5918 (2015). [OpenUrl][38] 12. [↵][39]1. J. McDonnell et al ., Nat. Sustain. 1, 378 (2018). [OpenUrl][40] 13. [↵][41]1. G. Grant, 2. W. Dietrich , Water Resour. Res. 53, 2605 (2017). [OpenUrl][42] 14. [↵][43]1. D. Lawrence, 2. K. Vandecar , Nat. Clim. Chang. 5, 27 (2015). [OpenUrl][44] 15. [↵][45]1. N. L. Poff, 2. J. K. H. Zimmerman , Freshw. Biol. 55, 194 (2010). [OpenUrl][46] Acknowledgments: This paper was supported by China National Science Foundation (no. 31770759). 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Cracking Open Bitcoin with Artificial Intelligence

#artificialintelligence

In bitcoin mining, blocks, private keys, and public keys there can be found some connection to SHA256 mentioned somewhere. This makes SHA256 interesting to investigate. In this article we are going to focus on SHA256. We will dive into the code of SHA256, while also investigating the semantics of the cryptographic hash function. We will also break SHA256 down to its basic components and do some machine learning for fun.