Oceania
Uncertainty for Identifying Open-Set Errors in Visual Object Detection
Miller, Dimity, Sünderhauf, Niko, Milford, Michael, Dayoub, Feras
Deployed into an open world, object detectors are prone to a type of false positive detection termed open-set errors. We propose GMM-Det, a real-time method for extracting epistemic uncertainty from object detectors to identify and reject open-set errors. GMM-Det trains the detector to produce a structured logit space that is modelled with class-specific Gaussian Mixture Models. At test time, open-set errors are identified by their low log-probability under all Gaussian Mixture Models. We test two common detector architectures, Faster R-CNN and RetinaNet, across three varied datasets spanning robotics and computer vision. Our results show that GMM-Det consistently outperforms existing uncertainty techniques for identifying and rejecting open-set detections, especially at the low-error-rate operating point required for safety-critical applications. GMM-Det maintains object detection performance, and introduces only minimal computational overhead. We also introduce a methodology for converting existing object detection datasets into specific open-set datasets to consistently evaluate open-set performance in object detection. Code for GMM-Det and the dataset methodology will be made publicly available.
Sex robots could be transformed into killers by hackers, security expert warns
Sex robots could be hijacked by hackers and used to cause harm or even kill people, a cybersecurity expert has warned. Artificial intelligence researchers have consistently warned of the security risks posed by internet-connected robots, with hundreds recently calling on governments to ban weaponized robots. The latest warning comes from a cybersecurity expert who made the prophecy to several U.K. newspapers. "Hackers can hack into a robot or a robotic device and have full control of the connections, arms, legs and other attached tools like in some cases knives or welding devices," Nicholas Patterson, a cybersecurity lecturer at Deakin University in Melbourne, Australia, told the Star. "Often these robots can be upwards of 200 pounds and very strong. Once a robot is hacked, the hacker has full control and can issue instructions to the robot. The last thing you want is for a hacker to have control over one of these robots. Once hacked they could absolutely be used to perform physical actions for an advantageous scenario or to cause damage."
Datacentric analysis to reduce pedestrians accidents: A case study in Colombia
Puentes, Michael, Novoa, Diana, Nivia, John Delgado, Hernández, Carlos Barrios, Carrillo, Oscar, Mouël, Frédéric Le
Since 2012, in a case-study in Bucaramanga-Colombia, 179 pedestrians died in car accidents, and another 2873 pedestrians were injured. Each day, at least one passerby is involved in a tragedy. Knowing the causes to decrease accidents is crucial, and using system-dynamics to reproduce the collisions' events is critical to prevent further accidents. This work implements simulations to save lives by reducing the city's accidental rate and suggesting new safety policies to implement. Simulation's inputs are video recordings in some areas of the city. Deep Learning analysis of the images results in the segmentation of the different objects in the scene, and an interaction model identifies the primary reasons which prevail in the pedestrians or vehicles' behaviours. The first and most efficient safety policy to implement - validated by our simulations - would be to build speed bumps in specific places before the crossings reducing the accident rate by 80%.
Plot2API: Recommending Graphic API from Plot via Semantic Parsing Guided Neural Network
Wang, Zeyu, Huang, Sheng, Liu, Zhongxin, Yan, Meng, Xia, Xin, Wang, Bei, Yang, Dan
Plot-based Graphic API recommendation (Plot2API) is an unstudied but meaningful issue, which has several important applications in the context of software engineering and data visualization, such as the plotting guidance of the beginner, graphic API correlation analysis, and code conversion for plotting. Plot2API is a very challenging task, since each plot is often associated with multiple APIs and the appearances of the graphics drawn by the same API can be extremely varied due to the different settings of the parameters. Additionally, the samples of different APIs also suffer from extremely imbalanced. Considering the lack of technologies in Plot2API, we present a novel deep multi-task learning approach named Semantic Parsing Guided Neural Network (SPGNN) which translates the Plot2API issue as a multi-label image classification and an image semantic parsing tasks for the solution. In SPGNN, the recently advanced Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) named EfficientNet is employed as the backbone network for API recommendation. Meanwhile, a semantic parsing module is complemented to exploit the semantic relevant visual information in feature learning and eliminate the appearance-relevant visual information which may confuse the visual-information-based API recommendation. Moreover, the recent data augmentation technique named random erasing is also applied for alleviating the imbalance of API categories. We collect plots with the graphic APIs used to drawn them from Stack Overflow, and release three new Plot2API datasets corresponding to the graphic APIs of R and Python programming languages for evaluating the effectiveness of Plot2API techniques. Extensive experimental results not only demonstrate the superiority of our method over the recent deep learning baselines but also show the practicability of our method in the recommendation of graphic APIs.
A Comparison of Similarity Based Instance Selection Methods for Cross Project Defect Prediction
Hosseini, Seyedrebvar, Turhan, Burak
Context: Previous studies have shown that training data instance selection based on nearest neighborhood (NN) information can lead to better performance in cross project defect prediction (CPDP) by reducing heterogeneity in training datasets. However, neighborhood calculation is computationally expensive and approximate methods such as Locality Sensitive Hashing (LSH) can be as effective as exact methods. Aim: We aim at comparing instance selection methods for CPDP, namely LSH, NN-filter, and Genetic Instance Selection (GIS). Method: We conduct experiments with five base learners, optimizing their hyper parameters, on 13 datasets from PROMISE repository in order to compare the performance of LSH with benchmark instance selection methods NN-Filter and GIS. Results: The statistical tests show six distinct groups for F-measure performance. The top two group contains only LSH and GIS benchmarks whereas the bottom two groups contain only NN-Filter variants. LSH and GIS favor recall more than precision. In fact, for precision performance only three significantly distinct groups are detected by the tests where the top group is comprised of NN-Filter variants only. Recall wise, 16 different groups are identified where the top three groups contain only LSH methods, four of the next six are GIS only and the bottom five contain only NN-Filter. Finally, NN-Filter benchmarks never outperform the LSH counterparts with the same base learner, tuned or non-tuned. Further, they never even belong to the same rank group, meaning that LSH is always significantly better than NN-Filter with the same learner and settings. Conclusions: The increase in performance and the decrease in computational overhead and runtime make LSH a promising approach. However, the performance of LSH is based on high recall and in environments where precision is considered more important NN-Filter should be considered.
LSTM Based Sentiment Analysis for Cryptocurrency Prediction
Huang, Xin, Zhang, Wenbin, Huang, Yiyi, Tang, Xuejiao, Zhang, Mingli, Surbiryala, Jayachander, Iosifidis, Vasileios, Liu, Zhen, Zhang, Ji
Recent studies in big data analytics and natural language processing develop automatic techniques in analyzing sentiment in the social media information. In addition, the growing user base of social media and the high volume of posts also provide valuable sentiment information to predict the price fluctuation of the cryptocurrency. This research is directed to predicting the volatile price movement of cryptocurrency by analyzing the sentiment in social media and finding the correlation between them. While previous work has been developed to analyze sentiment in English social media posts, we propose a method to identify the sentiment of the Chinese social media posts from the most popular Chinese social media platform Sina-Weibo. We develop the pipeline to capture Weibo posts, describe the creation of the crypto-specific sentiment dictionary, and propose a long short-term memory (LSTM) based recurrent neural network along with the historical cryptocurrency price movement to predict the price trend for future time frames. The conducted experiments demonstrate the proposed approach outperforms the state of the art auto regressive based model by 18.5% in precision and 15.4% in recall.
News at a glance
SCI COMMUN### Astrophysics The team that in 2019 used a global network of radio telescopes to reveal the first image of a black hole has offered a new twist on that iconic view: the same black hole in polarized light. The thin lines spiraling in toward the black hole's shadow (above) show areas of light that differ in their polarization—the direction in which the light waves vibrate. The light, from plasma near the black hole's edge, was polarized by magnetic fields, and so the new image, described last week in The Astrophysical Journal by the Event Horizon Telescope team, indicates their structure. Researchers hope to learn how the fields help accreting black holes funnel matter and energy into jets emanating from their poles. 69% —Percentage of postdoctoral researchers surveyed in October 2020 by the U.S. National Institutes of Health who anticipate the COVID-19 pandemic will negatively affect their careers. For researchers at all levels, the figure was 55%. ### Conservation Despite the antienvironmental policies of its current leadership, Brazil has become the 130th country to ratify the Nagoya Protocol, a part of the Convention on Biological Diversity that lays out measures to protect countries' biodiversity claims, the CBD announced last week. The ratification, first proposed by a previous administration in 2012, had languished until 2019, when rampant deforestation led pro-environment leaders to push for approval. The current government is seen as having consented because the protocol allows nations to impose rules on the international trade in its plant and animal products; by legitimizing the sales, the regulations are expected to increase exports and tax revenues. For example, money from sales of native plants such as açai ( Euterpe oleracea ) and Brazil nut ( Bertholletia excelsa ) could be returned to help Indigenous communities that use and harvest them. Observers question whether the ratification alone will protect Brazil's biodiversity, perhaps the world's greatest—but hailed the step as helpful. ### Public health The United States and 13 other countries this week criticized a report by a World Health Organization panel that had visited China to investigate how the COVID-19 pandemic started. The 300-page document says the most likely cause was a bat coronavirus that infected another, unidentified animal and then moved to humans, but it recommends further research. The report's most definitive conclusion is also its most controversial: that it is “extremely unlikely” that SARS-CoV-2 came out of a Chinese laboratory. Scientists from China made up half of the 34-member international panel. A joint statement by other countries complained that the investigation was “significantly delayed and lacked access to complete, original data, and samples.” It called for a transparent, “rapid, independent, expert-led, and unimpeded evaluation of the origins.” ### Funding The science committee in the U.S. House of Representatives wants to more than double the budget of the National Science Foundation (NSF) in the next 5 years, from $8.5 billion to $18.3 billion. A sizable chunk of the extra money—$5 billion by 2026—would go to a new directorate, Science and Engineering Solutions, that would accelerate the conversion of basic research into new technologies and products. Last year, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D–NY) proposed growing NSF to $100 billion over 5 years, with roughly one-third of that money going to a new technology directorate. Schumer's vision for NSF is part of still-evolving draft legislation affecting many federal agencies that pinpoints key technologies needed to address economic and security threats posed by China's growing technological prowess. In contrast, the House bill is limited to NSF's programs and is aimed at strengthening basic research across all disciplines that NSF supports. The House and Senate would need to agree on a vision for NSF, and other legislation would be needed to appropriate the money. ### Astronomy Light pollution from space junk and satellites may have already robbed the entire Earth of the dark skies best for sensitive astronomical observations, an analysis has found. Researchers estimated the size and shininess of tens of thousands of objects in orbit as of 2020, before an onslaught of thousands more satellites that companies plan to launch in the coming years. Even at Earth's darkest sites, the sky glows from natural sources such as ionized particles; but the existing orbiting objects reflect and scatter about 10% more of this diffuse light back into the atmosphere, the research team calculates in a paper accepted this week by the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society . That extra amount violates an International Astronomical Union standard for observing sites and could compromise observations of the dimmest galaxies, which scientists study for clues about the physics of galaxy formation and the nature of dark matter. To gather such data, astronomers already need long exposures on the biggest telescopes at the darkest available sites. ### Ethics Harvard University last week penalized quantitative biologist Martin Nowak for his connections with disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein. Epstein had donated $6.5 million for Nowak's research in 2003; after being convicted in 2008 of soliciting prostitution from a minor, Epstein introduced Nowak to donors who provided an additional $7.5 million. Nowak's actions after 2008—repeatedly hosting Epstein on campus, promoting Epstein on his program's web page, and providing false information about Epstein's support in a grant application—violated Harvard policies, and other actions showed “blameworthy negligence and unprofessional behavior,” Claudine Gay, dean of arts and sciences, wrote in an email last week to faculty members. Nowak will continue at Harvard as a math professor, but his Program for Evolutionary Dynamics will be shut down and he will be barred for at least 2 years from serving as a principal investigator on grants. “I regret the connection I was part of fostering between Harvard and Jeffrey Epstein,” Nowak said in a statement last week. Epstein died by suicide in 2019. ### Archaeology Chinese archaeologists last week reported unearthing more than 500 artifacts, including gold ornaments, bronze heads, ivory and jade tools, and a gold mask dating back about 3000 years at the Sanxingdui archaeological site in southwestern Sichuan province. Sanxingdui, then ruled by the Shu kingdom, has already yielded thousands of bronze relics unlike anything found elsewhere in China, including at sites of the contemporaneous Shang dynasty in the Yellow River region. The new finds, retrieved from what are thought to be sacrificial pits, may shed light on how the Shu kingdom contributed to Chinese civilization. VACCINE LEADER FIRED Moncef Slaoui, who headed COVID-19 vaccine development during the Trump administration, has been fired as chairman of a medical research firm controlled by manufacturer GlaxoSmithKline after he was accused of sexual harassment. The company said an outside investigation substantiated the allegation by a female employee about Slaoui's behavior several years ago when he worked there. Slaoui also stepped down from leadership roles at two other pharmaceutical companies and issued a statement in which he apologized to the woman and his family. RETURNING LOOTED ART Museums in Germany have pledged to return hundreds of artifacts, including bronze statues, looted during the colonial era from the kingdom of Benin in what is now Nigeria. The British Museum and others face growing pressure to join them. PARDON SOUGHT The Australian Academy of Science issued a statement saying a court ignored new genetic evidence when it denied last week an appeal by a woman convicted of killing her four young children. Tests point to a natural cause of the deaths: Two of the children carried a mutation in the CALM2 gene that is associated with sudden death by cardiac failure in infants and children. Prosecutors had accused Kathleen Folbigg of smothering the children but have not presented medical evidence that supports that position. Academy members have signed a petition asking New South Wales's governor to pardon her. AI IN MEDICINE The Broad Institute has received $300 million to study how machine learning can improve the prevention and treatment of disease. Half the sum is coming from a foundation of Wendy and Eric Schmidt, a member of Broad's board and former CEO of Google, and the rest from the Broad Foundation. R&D SPENDING RISE The United States spent more than 3% of gross domestic product on R&D in 2019 for the first time. The 3.07% share is a record and met a goal set by former President Barack Obama a decade ago. Israel led globally with 4.9%, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development said. Total U.S. spending was more than any other country's.
AI brings automation to seafood industry
JCU's Phoebe Arbon was presented with a Science and Innovation Award for Young People in Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry last night in Canberra. "I'll use the grant to develop, train and validate an AI model to identify, count and measure abalone from an image. So, very basically, the AI model will learn to predict the weight and size of abalone from images," she said. Ms Arbon said the technology is already in existence but needs specific instructions and application to work within the abalone industry. "Currently, assessing abalone is done manually which can cause harm to the abalone, and costs each farm about $25,000 a year," she said.
Is Artificial Intelligence coming of age?
Most experts have settled on a description of Artificial Intelligence as being the scientific endeavor of building computers that mimic the capabilities of the human brain. To put that into perspective, we know that Human Intelligence started to evolve 7–8 million years ago when our oldest ancestors had a brain volume of about 450 cubic centimeters. In the next 3.5 million years our ancestors' brain volume increased to about 1350 cubic centimeters. Modern humans (average brain volume of about 1200 cubic centimeters) evolved from the Homo Sapiens species during a period of dramatic climate change 300,000 years ago. Like other early humans that were living at this time, they gathered and hunted food, and evolved behaviors that helped them respond to the challenges of survival in unstable environments.
Many-to-English Machine Translation Tools, Data, and Pretrained Models
Gowda, Thamme, Zhang, Zhao, Mattmann, Chris A, May, Jonathan
While there are more than 7000 languages in the world, most translation research efforts have targeted a few high-resource languages. Commercial translation systems support only one hundred languages or fewer, and do not make these models available for transfer to low resource languages. In this work, we present useful tools for machine translation research: MTData, NLCodec, and RTG. We demonstrate their usefulness by creating a multilingual neural machine translation model capable of translating from 500 source languages to English. We make this multilingual model readily downloadable and usable as a service, or as a parent model for transfer-learning to even lower-resource languages.