Oceania
Performance Comparison of Different Machine Learning Algorithms on the Prediction of Wind Turbine Power Generation
Eyecioglu, Onder, Hangun, Batuhan, Kayisli, Korhan, Yesilbudak, Mehmet
Over the past decade, wind energy has gained more attention in the world. However, owing to its indirectness and volatility properties, wind power penetration has increased the difficulty and complexity in dispatching and planning of electric power systems. Therefore, it is needed to make the high-precision wind power prediction in order to balance the electrical power. For this purpose, in this study, the prediction performance of linear regression, k-nearest neighbor regression and decision tree regression algorithms is compared in detail. k-nearest neighbor regression algorithm provides lower coefficient of determination values, while decision tree regression algorithm produces lower mean absolute error values. In addition, the meteorological parameters of wind speed, wind direction, barometric pressure and air temperature are evaluated in terms of their importance on the wind power parameter. The biggest importance factor is achieved by wind speed parameter. In consequence, many useful assessments are made for wind power predictions.
A Hybrid Decomposition-based Multi-objective Evolutionary Algorithm for the Multi-Point Dynamic Aggregation Problem
Gao, Guanqiang, Xin, Bin, Mei, Yi, Ding, Shuxin, Li, Juan
An emerging optimisation problem from the real-world applications, named the multi-point dynamic aggregation (MPDA) problem, has become one of the active research topics of the multi-robot system. This paper focuses on a multi-objective MPDA problem which is to design an execution plan of the robots to minimise the number of robots and the maximal completion time of all the tasks. The strongly-coupled relationships among robots and tasks, the redundancy of the MPDA encoding, and the variable-size decision space of the MO-MPDA problem posed extra challenges for addressing the problem effectively. To address the above issues, we develop a hybrid decomposition-based multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (HDMOEA) using $ \varepsilon $-constraint method. It selects the maximal completion time of all tasks as the main objective, and converted the other objective into constraints. HDMOEA decomposes a MO-MPDA problem into a series of scalar constrained optimization subproblems by assigning each subproblem with an upper bound robot number. All the subproblems are optimized simultaneously with the transferring knowledge from other subproblems. Besides, we develop a hybrid population initialisation mechanism to enhance the quality of initial solutions, and a reproduction mechanism to transmit effective information and tackle the encoding redundancy. Experimental results show that the proposed HDMOEA method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of several most-used metrics.
Twins: Revisiting the Design of Spatial Attention in Vision Transformers
Chu, Xiangxiang, Tian, Zhi, Wang, Yuqing, Zhang, Bo, Ren, Haibing, Wei, Xiaolin, Xia, Huaxia, Shen, Chunhua
Very recently, a variety of vision transformer architectures for dense prediction tasks have been proposed and they show that the design of spatial attention is critical to their success in these tasks. In this work, we revisit the design of the spatial attention and demonstrate that a carefully-devised yet simple spatial attention mechanism performs favourably against the state-of-the-art schemes. As a result, we propose two vision transformer architectures, namely, Twins-PCPVT and Twins-SVT. Our proposed architectures are highly-efficient and easy to implement, only involving matrix multiplications that are highly optimized in modern deep learning frameworks. More importantly, the proposed architectures achieve excellent performance on a wide range of visual tasks including imagelevel classification as well as dense detection and segmentation. The simplicity and strong performance suggest that our proposed architectures may serve as stronger backbones for many vision tasks. Our code will be released soon at https://github.com/Meituan-AutoML/Twins .
Through the looking glass…the future of AI (Artificial Intelligence) - Technology - Australia
This is the sixth, and final episode in a series dedicated to all things A.I. In this episode, Tae Royle, Head of Digital Products APAC from Ashurst Advance Digital is joined by Tara Waters, Partner and Head of Ashurst Advance Digital. This is the sixth and final episode in a series dedicated to all things Artificial Intelligence. My name is Tae Royle head of digital products from Ashurst did that digital and today I'm joined by Tara Waters partner and head of Ashurst Advanced Digital based out of our London office. Naturally we come to the question of what's next? In Lewis Carroll's second novel, Alice enters Wonderland by climbing through a mirror.
Inference attacks: How much information can machine learning models leak?
The widespread adoption of machine learning models in different applications has given rise to a new range of privacy and security concerns. Among them are'inference attacks', whereby attackers cause a target machine learning model to leak information about its training data. However, these attacks are not very well understood and we need to readjust our definitions and expectations of how they can affect our privacy. This is according to researchers from several academic institutions in Australia and India who made the warning in a new paper (PDF) accepted at the IEEE European Symposium on Security and Privacy, which will be held in September. The paper was jointly authored by researchers at the University of New South Wales; Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani; Macquarie University; and the Cyber & Electronic Warfare Division, Defence Science and Technology Group, Australia.
Frameworks, libraries and languages for machine learning
It's no secret that building applications geared for artificial intelligence, machine learning and predictive analytics is a big challenge, even for the most experienced developers. Luckily, the amount of resources available to help both novice and expert programmers build sophisticated and intelligent software continues to grow. This includes major feature updates to popular application development platforms, a deluge of data-intensive algorithms created by open source developers, and an expanse of community-supported libraries. This is particularly true when it comes to the languages and frameworks that now directly target the requirements for developing machine learning applications. Not all of them are quite the same, however, and they vary in aspects that range from data handling capabilities to their associated tool sets.
Efficient Self-Supervised Data Collection for Offline Robot Learning
Endrawis, Shadi, Leibovich, Gal, Jacob, Guy, Novik, Gal, Tamar, Aviv
A practical approach to robot reinforcement learning is to first collect a large batch of real or simulated robot interaction data, using some data collection policy, and then learn from this data to perform various tasks, using offline learning algorithms. Previous work focused on manually designing the data collection policy, and on tasks where suitable policies can easily be designed, such as random picking policies for collecting data about object grasping. For more complex tasks, however, it may be difficult to find a data collection policy that explores the environment effectively, and produces data that is diverse enough for the downstream task. In this work, we propose that data collection policies should actively explore the environment to collect diverse data. In particular, we develop a simple-yet-effective goal-conditioned reinforcement-learning method that actively focuses data collection on novel observations, thereby collecting a diverse data-set. We evaluate our method on simulated robot manipulation tasks with visual inputs and show that the improved diversity of active data collection leads to significant improvements in the downstream learning tasks.
Constraint-Based Inference of Heuristics for Foreign Exchange Trade Model Optimization
The Foreign Exchange (Forex) is a large decentralized market, on which trading analysis and algorithmic trading are popular. Research efforts have been focusing on proof of efficiency of certain technical indicators. We demonstrate, however, that the values of indicator functions are not reproducible and often reduce the number of trade opportunities, compared to price-action trading. In this work, we develop two dataset-agnostic Forex trading heuristic templates with high rate of trading signals. In order to determine most optimal parameters for the given heuristic prototypes, we perform a machine learning simulation of 10 years of Forex price data over three low-margin instruments and 6 different OHLC granularities. As a result, we develop a specific and reproducible list of most optimal trade parameters found for each instrument-granularity pair, with 118 pips of average daily profit for the optimized configuration.
The challenges and realities of retailing in a COVID-19 world: Identifying trending and Vital During Crisis keywords during Covid-19 using Machine Learning (Austria as a case study)
Al., Reda Mastouri Et, Gilkey, Joseph
From global pandemics to geopolitical turmoil, leaders in logistics, product allocation, procurement and operations are facing increasing difficulty with safeguarding their organizations against supply chain vulnerabilities. It is recommended to opt for forecasting against trending based benchmark because auditing a future forecast puts more focus on seasonality. The forecasting models provide with end-to-end, real time oversight of the entire supply chain, while utilizing predictive analytics and artificial intelligence to identify potential disruptions before they occur. By combining internal and external data points, coming up with an AI-enabled modelling engine can greatly reduce risk by helping retail companies proactively respond to supply and demand variability. This research paper puts focus on creating an ingenious way to tackle the impact of COVID19 on Supply chain, product allocation, trending and seasonality. Key words: Supply chain, covid-19, forecasting, coronavirus, manufacturing, seasonality, trending, retail.
On projection methods for functional time series forecasting
Elías, Antonio, Jiménez, Raúl, Shang, Hanlin
Two nonparametric methods are presented for forecasting functional time series (FTS). The FTS we observe is a curve at a discrete-time point. We address both one-step-ahead forecasting and dynamic updating. Dynamic updating is a forward prediction of the unobserved segment of the most recent curve. Among the two proposed methods, the first one is a straightforward adaptation to FTS of the $k$-nearest neighbors methods for univariate time series forecasting. The second one is based on a selection of curves, termed \emph{the curve envelope}, that aims to be representative in shape and magnitude of the most recent functional observation, either a whole curve or the observed part of a partially observed curve. In a similar fashion to $k$-nearest neighbors and other projection methods successfully used for time series forecasting, we ``project'' the $k$-nearest neighbors and the curves in the envelope for forecasting. In doing so, we keep track of the next period evolution of the curves. The methods are applied to simulated data, daily electricity demand, and NOx emissions and provide competitive results with and often superior to several benchmark predictions. The approach offers a model-free alternative to statistical methods based on FTS modeling to study the cyclic or seasonal behavior of many FTS.