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The I-ADOPT Interoperability Framework for FAIRer data descriptions of biodiversity

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Biodiversity, the variation within and between species and ecosystems, is essential for human well-being and the equilibrium of the planet. It is critical for the sustainable development of human society and is an important global challenge. Biodiversity research has become increasingly data-intensive and it deals with heterogeneous and distributed data made available by global and regional initiatives, such as GBIF, ILTER, LifeWatch, BODC, PANGAEA, and TERN, that apply different data management practices. In particular, a variety of metadata and semantic resources have been produced by these initiatives to describe biodiversity observations, introducing interoperability issues across data management systems. To address these challenges, the InteroperAble Descriptions of Observable Property Terminology WG (I-ADOPT WG) was formed by a group of international terminology providers and data center managers in 2019 with the aim to build a common approach to describe what is observed, measured, calculated, or derived. Based on an extensive analysis of existing semantic representations of variables, the WG has recently published the I-ADOPT framework ontology to facilitate interoperability between existing semantic resources and support the provision of machine-readable variable descriptions whose components are mapped to FAIR vocabulary terms. The I-ADOPT framework ontology defines a set of high level semantic components that can be used to describe a variety of patterns commonly found in scientific observations. This contribution will focus on how the I-ADOPT framework can be applied to represent variables commonly used in the biodiversity domain.


Identifying Influential Users in Unknown Social Networks for Adaptive Incentive Allocation Under Budget Restriction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, recommendation systems have been widely applied in many domains. These systems are impotent in affecting users to choose the behavior that the system expects. Meanwhile, providing incentives has been proven to be a more proactive way to affect users' behaviors. Due to the budget limitation, the number of users who can be incentivized is restricted. In this light, we intend to utilize social influence existing among users to enhance the effect of incentivization. Through incentivizing influential users directly, their followers in the social network are possibly incentivized indirectly. However, in many real-world scenarios, the topological structure of the network is usually unknown, which makes identifying influential users difficult. To tackle the aforementioned challenges, in this paper, we propose a novel algorithm for exploring influential users in unknown networks, which can estimate the influential relationships among users based on their historical behaviors and without knowing the topology of the network. Meanwhile, we design an adaptive incentive allocation approach that determines incentive values based on users' preferences and their influence ability. We evaluate the performance of the proposed approaches by conducting experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approaches.


The Causal-Neural Connection: Expressiveness, Learnability, and Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

One of the central elements of any causal inference is an object called structural causal model (SCM), which represents a collection of mechanisms and exogenous sources of random variation of the system under investigation (Pearl, 2000). An important property of many kinds of neural networks is universal approximability: the ability to approximate any function to arbitrary precision. Given this property, one may be tempted to surmise that a collection of neural nets is capable of learning any SCM by training on data generated by that SCM. In this paper, we show this is not the case by disentangling the notions of expressivity and learnability. Specifically, we show that the causal hierarchy theorem (Thm. 1, Bareinboim et al., 2020), which describes the limits of what can be learned from data, still holds for neural models. For instance, an arbitrarily complex and expressive neural net is unable to predict the effects of interventions given observational data alone. Given this result, we introduce a special type of SCM called a neural causal model (NCM), and formalize a new type of inductive bias to encode structural constraints necessary for performing causal inferences. Building on this new class of models, we focus on solving two canonical tasks found in the literature known as causal identification and estimation. Leveraging the neural toolbox, we develop an algorithm that is both sufficient and necessary to determine whether a causal effect can be learned from data (i.e., causal identifiability); it then estimates the effect whenever identifiability holds (causal estimation). Simulations corroborate the proposed approach.


Using AI to predict hospital costs in real time

#artificialintelligence

In many health systems around the world, running a hospital is a knife-edge balancing act. On one side are the doctors and nurses providing urgent, even critical care to patients. Their job is to do all they can. On the other side are the hospital administrators making sure there are enough resources – medicines, equipment, beds, staff – to cope. Their job is to ensure spending on patient care stays efficient so that the hospital can stay open.


Men with longer features and larger eyes are perceived as more promiscuous, study finds

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Men with long facial features and large eyes, and women with slim faces and small eyes are percieved as more promiscuous, a new study has revealed. However, this perception only rings true for men, and not for women, according to the researchers. In the study, experts in Australia asked heterosexual men and women about their levels of'sociosexuality' – the willingness to engage in sexual activity outside of a committed relationship, also known as casual sex. The participants also had their photos taken and shown to other participants of the opposite sex, so they could judge, based on looks alone, if they had an interest in sociosexuality. Men who were open to casual sex typically had longer faces, higher foreheads, longer noses and larger eyes, the team found.


Machine Learning - Bachelor of Computer Science / Master of Cyber Security - Future Students - The University of Queensland

#artificialintelligence

These algorithms allow computers do things like automatically identify and harness useful data to help decision making, find hidden insights without being explicitly programmed where to look, and predict outcomes to help authorities design effective policies. You'll graduate with skills at the forefront of this massive growth area, as society looks for automated solutions to enhance business and our lives through the use of computing systems and data. These skills can be applied in government departments, consultancy or private sector organisations.


France fines Google $590 million in latest antitrust action

Engadget

France has fined Google €500 million ($590 million) in the latest antitrust ruling against the company. Authorities say Google did not reach a fair agreement with publishers to use snippets of their content on Google News, despite a 2020 order for the company to do so. Google and French newspaper group Alliance de la presse d'information générale agreed on a payment framework for news previews in January, and it has been in discussions with Agence France-Presse and magazine publishers. However, regulators said Google's payment offers were "negligible," as Bloomberg reports. Isabelle de Silva, head of competition regulator Autorité de la concurrence, said Google offered to pay less for news than it does for weather data or dictionary definitions.


Addressing vertigo with AI

#artificialintelligence

Vertigo is a common but under-treated medical condition that affects up to 40% of people at some point in their lives. Currently, the diagnosis and treatment of vertigo-causing conditions is done primarily by specialists who represent only 1% of the doctors in Australia, but AI could change this. Dr Allison Young has recently received a junior fellowship from The Garnett Passe and Rodney Williams Memorial Foundation to address this. Her project, in collaboration with clinicians, data scientists and statisticians, will use machine learning and AI techniques to develop a "virtual expert" diagnostic tool to assist the diagnosis of vertigo-causing conditions in the hospital emergency room, general practice, and in outpatient clinics.


Gaussian process interpolation: the choice of the family of models is more important than that of the selection criterion

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Regression and interpolation with Gaussian processes, or kriging, is a popular statistical tool for non-parametric function estimation, originating from geostatistics and time series analysis, and later adopted in many other areas such as machine learning and the design and analysis of computer experiments (see, e.g., Stein, 1999; Santner et al., 2003; Rasmussen and Williams, 2006, and references therein). It is widely used for constructing fast approximations of time-consuming computer models, with applications to calibration and validation (Kennedy and O'Hagan, 2001; Bayarri et al., 2007), engineering design (Jones et al., 1998; Forrester et al., 2008), Bayesian inference (Calderhead et al., 2009; Wilkinson, 2014), and the optimization of machine learning algorithms (Bergstra et al., 2011)--to name but a few. A Gaussian process (GP) prior is characterized by its mean and covariance functions. They are usually chosen within parametric families (for instance, constant or linear mean functions, and Matérn covariance functions), which transfers the problem of choosing the mean and covariance functions to that of selecting parameters. The selection is most often carried out by optimization of a criterion that measures the goodness of fit of the predictive distributions, and a variety of such criteria--the likelihood function, the leave-one-out (LOO) squared-predictionerror criterion (hereafter denoted by LOO-SPE), and others--is available from the literature.


AutoScore-Imbalance: An interpretable machine learning tool for development of clinical scores with rare events data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Background: Medical decision-making impacts both individual and public health. Clinical scores are commonly used among a wide variety of decision-making models for determining the degree of disease deterioration at the bedside. AutoScore was proposed as a useful clinical score generator based on machine learning and a generalized linear model. Its current framework, however, still leaves room for improvement when addressing unbalanced data of rare events. Methods: Using machine intelligence approaches, we developed AutoScore-Imbalance, which comprises three components: training dataset optimization, sample weight optimization, and adjusted AutoScore. All scoring models were evaluated on the basis of their area under the curve (AUC) in the receiver operating characteristic analysis and balanced accuracy (i.e., mean value of sensitivity and specificity). By utilizing a publicly accessible dataset from Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, we assessed the proposed model and baseline approaches in the prediction of inpatient mortality. Results: AutoScore-Imbalance outperformed baselines in terms of AUC and balanced accuracy. The nine-variable AutoScore-Imbalance sub-model achieved the highest AUC of 0.786 (0.732-0.839) while the eleven-variable original AutoScore obtained an AUC of 0.723 (0.663-0.783), and the logistic regression with 21 variables obtained an AUC of 0.743 (0.685-0.800). The AutoScore-Imbalance sub-model (using down-sampling algorithm) yielded an AUC of 0. 0.771 (0.718-0.823) with only five variables, demonstrating a good balance between performance and variable sparsity. Conclusions: The AutoScore-Imbalance tool has the potential to be applied to highly unbalanced datasets to gain further insight into rare medical events and to facilitate real-world clinical decision-making.