It is crucially important to estimate unknown parameters in earth system models by integrating observation and numerical simulation. For many applications in earth system sciences, the optimization method which allows parameters to temporally change is required. Here I present an efficient and practical method to estimate the time-varying parameters of relatively low dimensional models. I propose combining offline batch optimization and online data assimilation. In the newly proposed method, called Hybrid Offline Online Parameter Estimation with Particle Filtering (HOOPE-PF), I constrain the estimated model parameters in sequential data assimilation to the result of offline batch optimization in which the posterior distribution of model parameters is obtained by comparing the simulated and observed climatology. The HOOPE-PF outperforms the original sampling-importance-resampling particle filter in the synthetic experiment with the toy model and the real-data experiment with the conceptual hydrological model. The advantage of HOOPE-PF is that the performance of the online data assimilation is not greatly affected by the hyperparameter of ensemble data assimilation which contributes to inflating the ensemble variance of estimated parameters.

In this position paper, a novel approach to testing complex autonomous transportation systems (ATS) in the automotive, avionic, and railway domains is described. It is intended to mitigate some of the most critical problems regarding verification and validation (V&V) effort for ATS. V&V is known to become infeasible for complex ATS, when using conventional methods only. The approach advocated here uses complete testing methods on the module level, because these establish formal proofs for the logical correctness of the software. Having established logical correctness, system-level tests are performed in simulated cloud environments and on the target system. To give evidence that 'sufficiently many' system tests have been performed with the target system, a formally justified coverage criterion is introduced. To optimise the execution of very large system test suites, we advocate an online testing approach where multiple tests are executed in parallel, and test steps are identified on-the-fly. The coordination and optimisation of these executions is achieved by an agent-based approach. Each aspect of the testing approach advocated here is shown to either be consistent with existing standards for development and V&V of safety-critical transportation systems, or it is justified why it should become acceptable in future revisions of the applicable standards.

Machine learning (ML) models serve critical functions, such as classifying loan applicants as good or bad risks. Each model is trained under the assumption that the data used in training, and the data used in field come from the same underlying unknown distribution. Often this assumption is broken in practice. It is desirable to identify when this occurs in order to minimize the impact on model performance. We suggest a new approach to detect change in the data distribution by identifying polynomial relations between the data features. We measure the strength of each identified relation using its R-square value. A strong polynomial relation captures a significant trait of the data which should remain stable if the data distribution does not change. We thus use a set of learned strong polynomial relations to identify drift. For a set of polynomial relations that are stronger than a given desired threshold, we calculate the amount of drift observed for that relation. The amount of drift is estimated by calculating the Bayes Factor for the polynomial relation likelihood of the baseline data versus field data. We empirically validate the approach by simulating a range of changes in three publicly-available data sets, and demonstrate the ability to identify drift using the Bayes Factor of the polynomial relation likelihood change.

Generating novel drug molecules with desired biological properties is a time consuming and complex task. Conditional generative adversarial models have recently been proposed as promising approaches for de novo drug design. In this paper, we propose a new generative model which extends an existing adversarial autoencoder (AAE) based model by stacking two models together. Our stacked approach generates more valid molecules, as well as molecules that are more similar to known drugs. We break down this challenging task into two sub-problems. A first stage model to learn primitive features from the molecules and gene expression data. A second stage model then takes these features to learn properties of the molecules and refine more valid molecules. Experiments and comparison to baseline methods on the LINCS L1000 dataset demonstrate that our proposed model has promising performance for molecular generation.

Defeasible reasoning is the mode of reasoning where conclusions can be overturned by taking into account new evidence. Existing cognitive science literature on defeasible reasoning suggests that a person forms a mental model of the problem scenario before answering questions. Our research goal asks whether neural models can similarly benefit from envisioning the question scenario before answering a defeasible query. Our approach is, given a question, to have a model first create a graph of relevant influences, and then leverage that graph as an additional input when answering the question. Our system, CURIOUS, achieves a new state-of-the-art on three different defeasible reasoning datasets. This result is significant as it illustrates that performance can be improved by guiding a system to "think about" a question and explicitly model the scenario, rather than answering reflexively. Code, data, and pre-trained models are located at https://github.com/madaan/thinkaboutit.

Backdoor attack has emerged as a major security threat to deep neural networks (DNNs). While existing defense methods have demonstrated promising results on detecting or erasing backdoors, it is still not clear whether robust training methods can be devised to prevent the backdoor triggers being injected into the trained model in the first place. In this paper, we introduce the concept of \emph{anti-backdoor learning}, aiming to train \emph{clean} models given backdoor-poisoned data. We frame the overall learning process as a dual-task of learning the \emph{clean} and the \emph{backdoor} portions of data. From this view, we identify two inherent characteristics of backdoor attacks as their weaknesses: 1) the models learn backdoored data much faster than learning with clean data, and the stronger the attack the faster the model converges on backdoored data; 2) the backdoor task is tied to a specific class (the backdoor target class). Based on these two weaknesses, we propose a general learning scheme, Anti-Backdoor Learning (ABL), to automatically prevent backdoor attacks during training. ABL introduces a two-stage \emph{gradient ascent} mechanism for standard training to 1) help isolate backdoor examples at an early training stage, and 2) break the correlation between backdoor examples and the target class at a later training stage. Through extensive experiments on multiple benchmark datasets against 10 state-of-the-art attacks, we empirically show that ABL-trained models on backdoor-poisoned data achieve the same performance as they were trained on purely clean data. Code is available at \url{https://github.com/bboylyg/ABL}.

The neural attention mechanism has been incorporated into deep neural networks to achieve state-of-the-art performance in various domains. Most such models use multi-head self-attention which is appealing for the ability to attend to information from different perspectives. This paper introduces alignment attention that explicitly encourages self-attention to match the distributions of the key and query within each head. The resulting alignment attention networks can be optimized as an unsupervised regularization in the existing attention framework. It is simple to convert any models with self-attention, including pre-trained ones, to the proposed alignment attention. On a variety of language understanding tasks, we show the effectiveness of our method in accuracy, uncertainty estimation, generalization across domains, and robustness to adversarial attacks. We further demonstrate the general applicability of our approach on graph attention and visual question answering, showing the great potential of incorporating our alignment method into various attention-related tasks.

Organisations are increasingly investing in AI because they see its potential. In the 2021 federal budget, the Australian government committed to investing more than $120 million in AI over the next four to six years through programs including the development of the National Artificial Intelligence Centre ($53.8 million over four years) and the establishment of the Next Generation AI Graduates Program ($24.7 million over six years). The government has also committed to providing $33.7 million over four years to support projects to develop AI based solutions to national challenges, and $12 million over five years to catalyse AI opportunities by co-funding up to 36 competitive grants to develop AI solutions that address local or regional problems. However, despite the increased investment in and use of AI across industries and businesses, there are lingering concerns over the technology's capacity to deliver on expectations. According to our recent 2021 Digital Readiness Survey, more than 86 per cent of Australian and New Zealand-based organisations reported an increase in the use of AI from two years ago, but only 25 per cent said their confidence in AI had significantly increased.

Unlike the courts in western countries, public records of Indian judiciary are completely unstructured and noisy. No large scale publicly available annotated datasets of Indian legal documents exist till date. This limits the scope for legal analytics research. In this work, we propose a new dataset consisting of over 10,000 judgements delivered by the supreme court of India and their corresponding hand written summaries. The proposed dataset is pre-processed by normalising common legal abbreviations, handling spelling variations in named entities, handling bad punctuations and accurate sentence tokenization. Each sentence is tagged with their rhetorical roles. We also annotate each judgement with several attributes like date, names of the plaintiffs, defendants and the people representing them, judges who delivered the judgement, acts/statutes that are cited and the most common citations used to refer the judgement. Further, we propose an automatic labelling technique for identifying sentences which have summary worthy information. We demonstrate that this auto labeled data can be used effectively to train a weakly supervised sentence extractor with high accuracy. Some possible applications of this dataset besides legal document summarization can be in retrieval, citation analysis and prediction of decisions by a particular judge.

We derive nearly sharp bounds for the bidirectional GAN (BiGAN) estimation error under the Dudley distance between the latent joint distribution and the data joint distribution with appropriately specified architecture of the neural networks used in the model. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first theoretical guarantee for the bidirectional GAN learning approach. An appealing feature of our results is that they do not assume the reference and the data distributions to have the same dimensions or these distributions to have bounded support. These assumptions are commonly assumed in the existing convergence analysis of the unidirectional GANs but may not be satisfied in practice. Our results are also applicable to the Wasserstein bidirectional GAN if the target distribution is assumed to have a bounded support. To prove these results, we construct neural network functions that push forward an empirical distribution to another arbitrary empirical distribution on a possibly different-dimensional space. We also develop a novel decomposition of the integral probability metric for the error analysis of bidirectional GANs. These basic theoretical results are of independent interest and can be applied to other related learning problems.