Oceania
As extreme weather events worsen, 7Analytics meshes AI and big data to predict flooding
Anyone who has followed global news events of late will have noticed the devastating floods that have engulfed pretty much every corner of the world, from the U.S. and Europe, to Africa, Australia and Asia, where India and Pakistan have been hit by some of their worst floods in recent memory. By pretty much all accounts, such climate change-driven disasters are only going to get worse. And while there are varying opinions on what -- if anything -- we can do to avert such catastrophes in the future, some companies are looking at ways to plan for this new reality, and at least go some way toward mitigating the impact of flooding. One of these companies is 7Analytics, a Norwegian startup founded back in 2020 by a team of data scientists and geologists to reduce the risks of flooding for construction and energy infrastructure companies. With its first product, FloodCube, 7Analytics serves customers with AI and advanced machine learning techniques to calculate current surface water and where it's flowing today (the "runoff"), then models how that will look in the future with increased rainfall.
A Novel Explainable Out-of-Distribution Detection Approach for Spiking Neural Networks
Seras, Aitor Martinez, Del Ser, Javier, Lobo, Jesus L., Garcia-Bringas, Pablo, Kasabov, Nikola
Research around Spiking Neural Networks has ignited during the last years due to their advantages when compared to traditional neural networks, including their efficient processing and inherent ability to model complex temporal dynamics. Despite these differences, Spiking Neural Networks face similar issues than other neural computation counterparts when deployed in real-world settings. This work addresses one of the practical circumstances that can hinder the trustworthiness of this family of models: the possibility of querying a trained model with samples far from the distribution of its training data (also referred to as Out-of-Distribution or OoD data). Specifically, this work presents a novel OoD detector that can identify whether test examples input to a Spiking Neural Network belong to the distribution of the data over which it was trained. For this purpose, we characterize the internal activations of the hidden layers of the network in the form of spike count patterns, which lay a basis for determining when the activations induced by a test instance is atypical. Furthermore, a local explanation method is devised to produce attribution maps revealing which parts of the input instance push most towards the detection of an example as an OoD sample. Experimental results are performed over several image classification datasets to compare the proposed detector to other OoD detection schemes from the literature. As the obtained results clearly show, the proposed detector performs competitively against such alternative schemes, and produces relevance attribution maps that conform to expectations for synthetically created OoD instances.
Efficient Graph based Recommender System with Weighted Averaging of Messages
We showcase a novel solution to a recommendation system problem where we face a perpetual soft item cold start issue. Our system aims to recommend demanded products to prospective sellers for listing in Amazon stores. These products always have only few interactions thereby giving rise to a perpetual soft item cold start situation. Modern collaborative filtering methods solve cold start using content attributes and exploit the existing implicit signals from warm start items. This approach fails in our use-case since our entire item set faces cold start issue always. Our Product Graph has over 500 Million nodes and over 5 Billion edges which makes training and inference using modern graph algorithms very compute intensive. To overcome these challenges we propose a system which reduces the dataset size and employs an improved modelling technique to reduce storage and compute without loss in performance. Particularly, we reduce our graph size using a filtering technique and then exploit this reduced product graph using Weighted Averaging of Messages over Layers (WAML) algorithm. WAML simplifies training on large graphs and improves over previous methods by reducing compute time to 1/7 of LightGCN and 1/26 of Graph Attention Network (GAT) and increasing recall$@100$ by 66% over LightGCN and 2.3x over GAT.
Adversarial Robustness of Representation Learning for Knowledge Graphs
Knowledge graphs represent factual knowledge about the world as relationships between concepts and are critical for intelligent decision making in enterprise applications. New knowledge is inferred from the existing facts in the knowledge graphs by encoding the concepts and relations into low-dimensional feature vector representations. The most effective representations for this task, called Knowledge Graph Embeddings (KGE), are learned through neural network architectures. Due to their impressive predictive performance, they are increasingly used in high-impact domains like healthcare, finance and education. However, are the black-box KGE models adversarially robust for use in domains with high stakes? This thesis argues that state-of-the-art KGE models are vulnerable to data poisoning attacks, that is, their predictive performance can be degraded by systematically crafted perturbations to the training knowledge graph. To support this argument, two novel data poisoning attacks are proposed that craft input deletions or additions at training time to subvert the learned model's performance at inference time. These adversarial attacks target the task of predicting the missing facts in knowledge graphs using KGE models, and the evaluation shows that the simpler attacks are competitive with or outperform the computationally expensive ones. The thesis contributions not only highlight and provide an opportunity to fix the security vulnerabilities of KGE models, but also help to understand the black-box predictive behaviour of KGE models.
Draw Me a Flower: Processing and Grounding Abstraction in Natural Language
Lachmy, Royi, Pyatkin, Valentina, Manevich, Avshalom, Tsarfaty, Reut
Abstraction is a core tenet of human cognition and communication. When composing natural language instructions, humans naturally evoke abstraction to convey complex procedures in an efficient and concise way. Yet, interpreting and grounding abstraction expressed in NL has not yet been systematically studied in NLP, with no accepted benchmarks specifically eliciting abstraction in NL. In this work, we set the foundation for a systematic study of processing and grounding abstraction in NLP. First, we deliver a novel abstraction elicitation method and present Hexagons, a 2D instruction-following game. Using Hexagons we collected over 4k naturally-occurring visually-grounded instructions rich with diverse types of abstractions. From these data, we derive an instruction-to-execution task and assess different types of neural models. Our results show that contemporary models and modeling practices are substantially inferior to human performance, and that models' performance is inversely correlated with the level of abstraction, showing less satisfying performance on higher levels of abstraction. These findings are consistent across models and setups, confirming that abstraction is a challenging phenomenon deserving further attention and study in NLP/AI research.
Hierarchical Label-wise Attention Transformer Model for Explainable ICD Coding
Liu, Leibo, Perez-Concha, Oscar, Nguyen, Anthony, Bennett, Vicki, Jorm, Louisa
International Classification of Diseases (ICD) coding plays an important role in systematically classifying morbidity and mortality data. In this study, we propose a hierarchical label-wise attention Transformer model (HiLAT) for the explainable prediction of ICD codes from clinical documents. HiLAT firstly fine-tunes a pretrained Transformer model to represent the tokens of clinical documents. We subsequently employ a two-level hierarchical label-wise attention mechanism that creates label-specific document representations. These representations are in turn used by a feed-forward neural network to predict whether a specific ICD code is assigned to the input clinical document of interest. We evaluate HiLAT using hospital discharge summaries and their corresponding ICD-9 codes from the MIMIC-III database. To investigate the performance of different types of Transformer models, we develop ClinicalplusXLNet, which conducts continual pretraining from XLNet-Base using all the MIMIC-III clinical notes. The experiment results show that the F1 scores of the HiLAT+ClinicalplusXLNet outperform the previous state-of-the-art models for the top-50 most frequent ICD-9 codes from MIMIC-III. Visualisations of attention weights present a potential explainability tool for checking the face validity of ICD code predictions.
CEREAL: Few-Sample Clustering Evaluation
Nayak, Nihal V., Elenberg, Ethan R., Rosenbaum, Clemens
Evaluating clustering quality with reliable evaluation metrics like normalized mutual information (NMI) requires labeled data that can be expensive to annotate. We focus on the underexplored problem of estimating clustering quality with limited labels. We adapt existing approaches from the few-sample model evaluation literature to actively sub-sample, with a learned surrogate model, the most informative data points for annotation to estimate the evaluation metric. However, we find that their estimation can be biased and only relies on the labeled data. To that end, we introduce CEREAL, a comprehensive framework for few-sample clustering evaluation that extends active sampling approaches in three key ways. First, we propose novel NMI-based acquisition functions that account for the distinctive properties of clustering and uncertainties from a learned surrogate model. Next, we use ideas from semi-supervised learning and train the surrogate model with both the labeled and unlabeled data. Finally, we pseudo-label the unlabeled data with the surrogate model. We run experiments to estimate NMI in an active sampling pipeline on three datasets across vision and language. Our results show that CEREAL reduces the area under the absolute error curve by up to 57% compared to the best sampling baseline. We perform an extensive ablation study to show that our framework is agnostic to the choice of clustering algorithm and evaluation metric. We also extend CEREAL from clusterwise annotations to pairwise annotations. Overall, CEREAL can efficiently evaluate clustering with limited human annotations.
Identifying Latent Causal Content for Multi-Source Domain Adaptation
Liu, Yuhang, Zhang, Zhen, Gong, Dong, Gong, Mingming, Huang, Biwei, Zhang, Kun, Shi, Javen Qinfeng
Multi-source domain adaptation (MSDA) learns to predict the labels in target domain data, under the setting that data from multiple source domains are labelled and data from the target domain are unlabelled. Most methods for this task focus on learning invariant representations across domains. However, their success relies heavily on the assumption that the label distribution remains consistent across domains, which may not hold in general real-world problems. In this paper, we propose a new and more flexible assumption, termed \textit{latent covariate shift}, where a latent content variable $\mathbf{z}_c$ and a latent style variable $\mathbf{z}_s$ are introduced in the generative process, with the marginal distribution of $\mathbf{z}_c$ changing across domains and the conditional distribution of the label given $\mathbf{z}_c$ remaining invariant across domains. We show that although (completely) identifying the proposed latent causal model is challenging, the latent content variable can be identified up to scaling by using its dependence with labels from source domains, together with the identifiability conditions of nonlinear ICA. This motivates us to propose a novel method for MSDA, which learns the invariant label distribution conditional on the latent content variable, instead of learning invariant representations. Empirical evaluation on simulation and real data demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Paralinguistic Privacy Protection at the Edge
Aloufi, Ranya, Haddadi, Hamed, Boyle, David
Voice user interfaces and digital assistants are rapidly entering our lives and becoming singular touch points spanning our devices. These always-on services capture and transmit our audio data to powerful cloud services for further processing and subsequent actions. Our voices and raw audio signals collected through these devices contain a host of sensitive paralinguistic information that is transmitted to service providers regardless of deliberate or false triggers. As our emotional patterns and sensitive attributes like our identity, gender, well-being, are easily inferred using deep acoustic models, we encounter a new generation of privacy risks by using these services. One approach to mitigate the risk of paralinguistic-based privacy breaches is to exploit a combination of cloud-based processing with privacy-preserving, on-device paralinguistic information learning and filtering before transmitting voice data. In this paper we introduce EDGY, a configurable, lightweight, disentangled representation learning framework that transforms and filters high-dimensional voice data to identify and contain sensitive attributes at the edge prior to offloading to the cloud. We evaluate EDGY's on-device performance and explore optimization techniques, including model quantization and knowledge distillation, to enable private, accurate and efficient representation learning on resource-constrained devices. Our results show that EDGY runs in tens of milliseconds with 0.2% relative improvement in "zero-shot" ABX score or minimal performance penalties of approximately 5.95% word error rate (WER) in learning linguistic representations from raw voice signals, using a CPU and a single-core ARM processor without specialized hardware.
Institutional Foundations of Adaptive Planning: Exploration of Flood Planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley, Texas, USA
Ross, Ashley D., Nejat, Ali, Greb, Virgie
INTRODUCTION Adaptive planning is ideally suited for the deep uncertainties presented by climate change. While there is a robust scholarship on the theory and methods of adaptive planning, this has largely neglected how adaptive planning is affected by existing planning institutions and how to move forward within the constraints of traditional planning organizations. This study asks: How do existing traditional planning institutions support adaptive planning? We explore this for flood planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas, United States. We draw on county hazard plan and regional flood plan documents as well as transcripts of regional flood planning meetings to explore the emergent topics of these institutional outputs. Using Natural Language Processing to analyze this large amount of text, we find that hazard plans and discussions developing these plans are largely lacking an adaptive approach. KEYWORDS adaptive planning; uncertainty; flood plan; Rio Grande Valley INTRODUCTION Planning for natural hazard risk reduction in the context climate change involves decision making under conditions of interacting, multiple uncertainties. Some of these are "deep uncertainties" connected to long time horizons, nonlinear changes in climates and ecosystems, and inability to reliably quantify the rate and magnitude of climate changes (Babovic & Mijic, 2018; Bosomworth & Gaillard, 2019). Other uncertainties are associated with the ambiguities and unpredictability of socioeconomic systems, including population growth, land use change, social conflict, and the whims of political will (Babovic & Mijic 2019; Buurman & Babovic, 2014). In the face of these uncertainties, a new paradigm of decision making has emerged that emphasizes the development of adaptive plans and policies (Hassnoot et al., 2013; Walker et al., 2013). Traditional planning approaches typically generate a static optimal plan to reduce vulnerability to a single'most likely' future or to respond a wide range of plausible future scenarios (Haasnoot et al., 2013; Manocha & Babovic, 2018). Because the future is largely unknowable, static optimal plans are likely to fail and adaptations are made adhoc to adjust to emerging risk conditions (Haasnoot et al., 2013).