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Meta-learning Based Short-Term Passenger Flow Prediction for Newly-Operated Urban Rail Transit Stations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurate short-term passenger flow prediction in urban rail transit stations has great benefits for reasonably allocating resources, easing congestion, and reducing operational risks. However, compared with data-rich stations, the passenger flow prediction in newly-operated stations is limited by passenger flow data volume, which would reduce the prediction accuracy and increase the difficulty for station management and operation. Hence, how accurately predicting passenger flow in newly-operated stations with limited data is an urgent problem to be solved. Existing passenger flow prediction approaches generally depend on sufficient data, which might be unsuitable for newly-operated stations. Therefore, we propose a meta-learning method named Meta Long Short-Term Memory Network (Meta-LSTM) to predict the passenger flow in newly-operated stations. The Meta-LSTM is to construct a framework that increases the generalization ability of long short-term memory network (LSTM) to various passenger flow characteristics by learning passenger flow characteristics from multiple data-rich stations and then applying the learned parameter to data-scarce stations by parameter initialization. The Meta-LSTM is applied to the subway network of Nanning, Hangzhou, and Beijing, China. The experiments on three real-world subway networks demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed Meta-LSTM over several competitive baseline models. Results also show that our proposed Meta-LSTM has a good generalization ability to various passenger flow characteristics, which can provide a reference for passenger flow prediction in the stations with limited data.


RADio -- Rank-Aware Divergence Metrics to Measure Normative Diversity in News Recommendations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In traditional recommender system literature, diversity is often seen as the opposite of similarity, and typically defined as the distance between identified topics, categories or word models. However, this is not expressive of the social science's interpretation of diversity, which accounts for a news organization's norms and values and which we here refer to as normative diversity. We introduce RADio, a versatile metrics framework to evaluate recommendations according to these normative goals. RADio introduces a rank-aware Jensen Shannon (JS) divergence. This combination accounts for (i) a user's decreasing propensity to observe items further down a list and (ii) full distributional shifts as opposed to point estimates. We evaluate RADio's ability to reflect five normative concepts in news recommendations on the Microsoft News Dataset and six (neural) recommendation algorithms, with the help of our metadata enrichment pipeline. We find that RADio provides insightful estimates that can potentially be used to inform news recommender system design.


Tone prediction and orthographic conversion for Basaa

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we present a seq2seq approach for transliterating missionary Basaa orthographies into the official orthography. Our model uses pre-trained Basaa missionary and official orthography corpora using BERT. Since Basaa is a low-resource language, we have decided to use the mT5 model for our project. Before training our model, we pre-processed our corpora by eliminating one-to-one correspondences between spellings and unifying characters variably containing either one to two characters into single-character form. Our best mT5 model achieved a CER equal to 12.6747 and a WER equal to 40.1012.


Language Models with Image Descriptors are Strong Few-Shot Video-Language Learners

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The goal of this work is to build flexible video-language models that can generalize to various video-to-text tasks from few examples, such as domain-specific captioning, question answering, and future event prediction. Existing few-shot video-language learners focus exclusively on the encoder, resulting in the absence of a video-to-text decoder to handle generative tasks. Video captioners have been pretrained on large-scale video-language datasets, but they rely heavily on finetuning and lack the ability to generate text for unseen tasks in a few-shot setting. We propose VidIL, a few-shot Video-language Learner via Image and Language models, which demonstrates strong performance on few-shot video-to-text tasks without the necessity of pretraining or finetuning on any video datasets. We use the image-language models to translate the video content into frame captions, object, attribute, and event phrases, and compose them into a temporal structure template. We then instruct a language model, with a prompt containing a few in-context examples, to generate a target output from the composed content. The flexibility of prompting allows the model to capture any form of text input, such as automatic speech recognition (ASR) transcripts. Our experiments demonstrate the power of language models in understanding videos on a wide variety of video-language tasks, including video captioning, video question answering, video caption retrieval, and video future event prediction. Especially, on video future event prediction, our few-shot model significantly outperforms state-of-the-art supervised models trained on large-scale video datasets. Code and resources are publicly available for research purposes at https://github.com/MikeWangWZHL/VidIL .


FedRecAttack: Model Poisoning Attack to Federated Recommendation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Federated Recommendation (FR) has received considerable popularity and attention in the past few years. In FR, for each user, its feature vector and interaction data are kept locally on its own client thus are private to others. Without the access to above information, most existing poisoning attacks against recommender systems or federated learning lose validity. Benifiting from this characteristic, FR is commonly considered fairly secured. However, we argue that there is still possible and necessary security improvement could be made in FR. To prove our opinion, in this paper we present FedRecAttack, a model poisoning attack to FR aiming to raise the exposure ratio of target items. In most recommendation scenarios, apart from private user-item interactions (e.g., clicks, watches and purchases), some interactions are public (e.g., likes, follows and comments). Motivated by this point, in FedRecAttack we make use of the public interactions to approximate users' feature vectors, thereby attacker can generate poisoned gradients accordingly and control malicious users to upload the poisoned gradients in a well-designed way. To evaluate the effectiveness and side effects of FedRecAttack, we conduct extensive experiments on three real-world datasets of different sizes from two completely different scenarios. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed FedRecAttack achieves the state-of-the-art effectiveness while its side effects are negligible. Moreover, even with small proportion (3%) of malicious users and small proportion (1%) of public interactions, FedRecAttack remains highly effective, which reveals that FR is more vulnerable to attack than people commonly considered.


Sample Efficient Dynamics Learning for Symmetrical Legged Robots:Leveraging Physics Invariance and Geometric Symmetries

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Model generalization of the underlying dynamics is critical for achieving data efficiency when learning for robot control. This paper proposes a novel approach for learning dynamics leveraging the symmetry in the underlying robotic system, which allows for robust extrapolation from fewer samples. Existing frameworks that represent all data in vector space fail to consider the structured information of the robot, such as leg symmetry, rotational symmetry, and physics invariance. As a result, these schemes require vast amounts of training data to learn the system's redundant elements because they are learned independently. Instead, we propose considering the geometric prior by representing the system in symmetrical object groups and designing neural network architecture to assess invariance and equivariance between the objects. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach by comparing the generalization to unseen data of the proposed model and the existing models. We also implement a controller of a climbing robot based on learned inverse dynamics models. The results show that our method generates accurate control inputs that help the robot reach the desired state while requiring less training data than existing methods.


Drive efficiency through automation and AI with the Microsoft Cloud

#artificialintelligence

This year at Microsoft Ignite we explore how organizations can activate AI and automation directly in their business workflows and empower developers to use those same intelligent building blocks to deliver their own differentiated experiences. The global pandemic has created unprecedented levels of uncertainty, as well as the need to sense and reshape our physical and digital environments, sometimes in completely new ways. Leaders across industries recognize innovation as the only path forward. Critically, we've seen a shift from "innovation for innovation's sake" toward a desire to lower operating costs, anticipate trends, reduce carbon footprints, and improve customer and employee experiences. Automation and AI are key ingredients for digital perseverance and helping organizations drive efficiency.


A busman's video game? Meet the people who play job sims of their own careers

The Guardian

The cliche about video games is that they're all about escapism. When people switch on a PlayStation or souped-up PC, they do it to lose themselves in a mythical world or intergalactic conflict. They do not come here to power wash a patio. But increasingly, that orthodoxy is being tested. The surging success of the job simulator, in which players take on seemingly mundane real-world careers, shows that our relationship with games is a lot more complex.


Evaluated CMI Bounds for Meta Learning: Tightness and Expressiveness

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent work has established that the conditional mutual information (CMI) framework of Steinke and Zakynthinou (2020) is expressive enough to capture generalization guarantees in terms of algorithmic stability, VC dimension, and related complexity measures for conventional learning (Harutyunyan et al., 2021, Haghifam et al., 2021). Hence, it provides a unified method for establishing generalization bounds. In meta learning, there has so far been a divide between information-theoretic results and results from classical learning theory. In this work, we take a first step toward bridging this divide. Specifically, we present novel generalization bounds for meta learning in terms of the evaluated CMI (e-CMI). To demonstrate the expressiveness of the e-CMI framework, we apply our bounds to a representation learning setting, with $n$ samples from $\hat n$ tasks parameterized by functions of the form $f_i \circ h$. Here, each $f_i \in \mathcal F$ is a task-specific function, and $h \in \mathcal H$ is the shared representation. For this setup, we show that the e-CMI framework yields a bound that scales as $\sqrt{ \mathcal C(\mathcal H)/(n\hat n) + \mathcal C(\mathcal F)/n} $, where $\mathcal C(\cdot)$ denotes a complexity measure of the hypothesis class. This scaling behavior coincides with the one reported in Tripuraneni et al. (2020) using Gaussian complexity.


PatternRank: Leveraging Pretrained Language Models and Part of Speech for Unsupervised Keyphrase Extraction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Keyphrase extraction is the process of automatically selecting a small set of most relevant phrases from a given text. Supervised keyphrase extraction approaches need large amounts of labeled training data and perform poorly outside the domain of the training data. In this paper, we present PatternRank, which leverages pretrained language models and part-of-speech for unsupervised keyphrase extraction from single documents. Our experiments show PatternRank achieves higher precision, recall and F1-scores than previous state-of-the-art approaches. In addition, we present the KeyphraseVectorizers package, which allows easy modification of part-of-speech patterns for candidate keyphrase selection, and hence adaptation of our approach to any domain.