Gross domestic product (GDP) is the most widely used indicator in macroeconomics and the main tool for measuring a country's economic ouput. Due to the diversity and complexity of the world economy, a wide range of models have been used, but there are challenges in making decadal GDP forecasts given unexpected changes such as pandemics and wars. Deep learning models are well suited for modeling temporal sequences have been applied for time series forecasting. In this paper, we develop a deep learning framework to forecast the GDP growth rate of the world economy over a decade. We use Penn World Table as the source of our data, taking data from 1980 to 2019, across 13 countries, such as Australia, China, India, the United States and so on. We test multiple deep learning models, LSTM, BD-LSTM, ED-LSTM and CNN, and compared their results with the traditional time series model (ARIMA,VAR). Our results indicate that ED-LSTM is the best performing model. We present a recursive deep learning framework to predict the GDP growth rate in the next ten years. We predict that most countries will experience economic growth slowdown, stagnation or even recession within five years; only China, France and India are predicted to experience stable, or increasing, GDP growth.

The field of Question Answering (QA) has made remarkable progress in recent years, thanks to the advent of large pre-trained language models, newer realistic benchmark datasets with leaderboards, and novel algorithms for key components such as retrievers and readers. In this paper, we introduce PRIMEQA: a one-stop and open-source QA repository with an aim to democratize QA re-search and facilitate easy replication of state-of-the-art (SOTA) QA methods. PRIMEQA supports core QA functionalities like retrieval and reading comprehension as well as auxiliary capabilities such as question generation.It has been designed as an end-to-end toolkit for various use cases: building front-end applications, replicating SOTA methods on pub-lic benchmarks, and expanding pre-existing methods. PRIMEQA is available at : https://github.com/primeqa.

Modelling taxonomic and thematic relatedness is important for building AI with comprehensive natural language understanding. The goal of this paper is to learn more about how taxonomic information is structurally encoded in embeddings. To do this, we design a new hypernym-hyponym probing task and perform a comparative probing study of taxonomic and thematic SGNS and GloVe embeddings. Our experiments indicate that both types of embeddings encode some taxonomic information, but the amount, as well as the geometric properties of the encodings, are independently related to both the encoder architecture, as well as the embedding training data. Specifically, we find that only taxonomic embeddings carry taxonomic information in their norm, which is determined by the underlying distribution in the data.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) and natural language processing (NLP) systems have developed rapidly and have been widely used in various real-world fields. However, they have been shown to be vulnerable to backdoor attacks. Specifically, the adversary injects a backdoor into the model during the training phase, so that input samples with backdoor triggers are classified as the target class. Some attacks have achieved high attack success rates on the pre-trained language models (LMs), but there have yet to be effective defense methods. In this work, we propose a defense method based on deep model mutation testing. Our main justification is that backdoor samples are much more robust than clean samples if we impose random mutations on the LMs and that backdoors are generalizable. We first confirm the effectiveness of model mutation testing in detecting backdoor samples and select the most appropriate mutation operators. We then systematically defend against three extensively studied backdoor attack levels (i.e., char-level, word-level, and sentence-level) by detecting backdoor samples. We also make the first attempt to defend against the latest style-level backdoor attacks. We evaluate our approach on three benchmark datasets (i.e., IMDB, Yelp, and AG news) and three style transfer datasets (i.e., SST-2, Hate-speech, and AG news). The extensive experimental results demonstrate that our approach can detect backdoor samples more efficiently and accurately than the three state-of-the-art defense approaches.

Nowadays the medical domain is receiving more and more attention in applications involving Artificial Intelligence. Clinicians have to deal with an enormous amount of unstructured textual data to make a conclusion about patients' health in their everyday life. Argument mining helps to provide a structure to such data by detecting argumentative components in the text and classifying the relations between them. However, as it is the case for many tasks in Natural Language Processing in general and in medical text processing in particular, the large majority of the work on computational argumentation has been done only for English. This is also the case with the only dataset available for argumentation in the medical domain, namely, the annotated medical data of abstracts of Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) from the MEDLINE database. In order to mitigate the lack of annotated data for other languages, we empirically investigate several strategies to perform argument mining and classification in medical texts for a language for which no annotated data is available. This project shows that automatically translating and project annotations from English to a target language (Spanish) is an effective way to generate annotated data without manual intervention. Furthermore, our experiments demonstrate that the translation and projection approach outperforms zero-shot cross-lingual approaches using a large masked multilingual language model. Finally, we show how the automatically generated data in Spanish can also be used to improve results in the original English evaluation setting.

Disease heterogeneity has been a critical challenge for precision diagnosis and treatment, especially in neurologic and neuropsychiatric diseases. Many diseases can display multiple distinct brain phenotypes across individuals, potentially reflecting disease subtypes that can be captured using MRI and machine learning methods. However, biological interpretability and treatment relevance are limited if the derived subtypes are not associated with genetic drivers or susceptibility factors. Herein, we describe Gene-SGAN - a multi-view, weakly-supervised deep clustering method - which dissects disease heterogeneity by jointly considering phenotypic and genetic data, thereby conferring genetic correlations to the disease subtypes and associated endophenotypic signatures. We first validate the generalizability, interpretability, and robustness of Gene-SGAN in semi-synthetic experiments. We then demonstrate its application to real multi-site datasets from 28,858 individuals, deriving subtypes of Alzheimer's disease and brain endophenotypes associated with hypertension, from MRI and SNP data. Derived brain phenotypes displayed significant differences in neuroanatomical patterns, genetic determinants, biological and clinical biomarkers, indicating potentially distinct underlying neuropathologic processes, genetic drivers, and susceptibility factors. Overall, Gene-SGAN is broadly applicable to disease subtyping and endophenotype discovery, and is herein tested on disease-related, genetically-driven neuroimaging phenotypes.

Modeling text-based time-series to make prediction about a future event or outcome is an important task with a wide range of applications. The standard approach is to train and test the model using the same input window, but this approach neglects the data collected in longer input windows between the prediction time and the final outcome, which are often available during training. In this study, we propose to treat this neglected text as privileged information available during training to enhance early prediction modeling through knowledge distillation, presented as Learning using Privileged tIme-sEries Text (LuPIET). We evaluate the method on clinical and social media text, with four clinical prediction tasks based on clinical notes and two mental health prediction tasks based on social media posts. Our results show LuPIET is effective in enhancing text-based early predictions, though one may need to consider choosing the appropriate text representation and windows for privileged text to achieve optimal performance. Compared to two other methods using transfer learning and mixed training, LuPIET offers more stable improvements over the baseline, standard training. As far as we are concerned, this is the first study to examine learning using privileged information for time-series in the NLP context.

We commonly use agreement measures to assess the utility of judgements made by human annotators in Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks. While inter-annotator agreement is frequently used as an indication of label reliability by measuring consistency between annotators, we argue for the additional use of intra-annotator agreement to measure label stability over time. However, in a systematic review, we find that the latter is rarely reported in this field. Calculating these measures can act as important quality control and provide insights into why annotators disagree. We propose exploratory annotation experiments to investigate the relationships between these measures and perceptions of subjectivity and ambiguity in text items.

Process analytic approaches play a critical role in supporting the practice of business process management and continuous process improvement by leveraging process-related data to identify performance bottlenecks, extracting insights about reducing costs and optimizing the utilization of available resources. Process analytic techniques often have to contend with real-world settings where available logs are noisy or incomplete. In this paper we present an approach that permits process analytics techniques to deliver value in the face of noisy/incomplete event logs. Our approach leverages knowledge graphs to mitigate the effects of noise in event logs while supporting process analysts in understanding variability associated with event logs. Our approach is verified and validated on a sepsis event-log taken from a standard repository.

Based on a report by the International Diabetes Federation, in 2021, 537 million adults globally were suffering from diabetes causing 6.7 million deaths [3]. Furthermore, the number of diabetics is projected to reach 643 million by 2030 and 783 million by 2045 [3]. Diabetes in an individual prevails due to a dynamic interaction between different risk factors such as sleep duration, alcohol consumption, dyslipidemia, physical inactivity, serum uric acid, obesity, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, family history of diabetes, ethnicity, depression, age, and gender [4]. If not treated at an early stage, diabetes can lead to severe complications [5]. The use of machine learning has thus gained wide attention for the prediction of diabetes based on risk factors data [6-13] in context of smart healthcare [14,15].