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Team Plan Recognition: A Review of the State of the Art

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

There is an increasing need to develop artificial intelligence systems that assist groups of humans working on coordinated tasks. These systems must recognize and understand the plans and relationships between actions for a team of humans working toward a common objective. This article reviews the literature on team plan recognition and surveys the most recent logic-based approaches for implementing it. First, we provide some background knowledge, including a general definition of plan recognition in a team setting and a discussion of implementation challenges. Next, we explain our reasoning for focusing on logic-based methods. Finally, we survey recent approaches from two primary classes of logic-based methods (plan library-based and domain theory-based). We aim to bring more attention to this sparse but vital topic and inspire new directions for implementing team plan recognition.


Embedding Recycling for Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Real-world applications of neural language models often involve running many different models over the same corpus. The high computational cost of these runs has led to interest in techniques that can reuse the contextualized embeddings produced in previous runs to speed training and inference of future ones. We refer to this approach as embedding recycling (ER). While multiple ER techniques have been proposed, their practical effectiveness is still unknown because existing evaluations consider very few models and do not adequately account for overhead costs. We perform an extensive evaluation of ER across eight different models (17 to 900 million parameters) and fourteen tasks in English. We show how a simple ER technique that caches activations from an intermediate layer of a pretrained model, and learns task-specific adapters on the later layers, is broadly effective. For the best-performing baseline in our experiments (DeBERTa-v2 XL), adding a precomputed cache results in a >90% speedup during training and 87-91% speedup for inference, with negligible impact on accuracy. Our analysis reveals important areas of future work.


On the Interaction between Node Fairness and Edge Privacy in Graph Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Due to the emergence of graph neural networks (GNNs) and their widespread implementation in real-world scenarios, the fairness and privacy of GNNs have attracted considerable interest since they are two essential social concerns in the era of building trustworthy GNNs. Existing studies have respectively explored the fairness and privacy of GNNs and exhibited that both fairness and privacy are at the cost of GNN performance. However, the interaction between them is yet to be explored and understood. In this paper, we investigate the interaction between the fairness of a GNN and its privacy for the first time. We empirically identify that edge privacy risks increase when the individual fairness of nodes is improved. Next, we present the intuition behind such a trade-off and employ the influence function and Pearson correlation to measure it theoretically. To take the performance, fairness, and privacy of GNNs into account simultaneously, we propose implementing fairness-aware reweighting and privacy-aware graph structure perturbation modules in a retraining mechanism. Experimental results demonstrate that our method is effective in implementing GNN fairness with limited performance cost and restricted privacy risks.


Machine Learning with High-Cardinality Categorical Features in Actuarial Applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

High-cardinality categorical features are pervasive in actuarial data (e.g. occupation in commercial property insurance). Standard categorical encoding methods like one-hot encoding are inadequate in these settings. In this work, we present a novel _Generalised Linear Mixed Model Neural Network_ ("GLMMNet") approach to the modelling of high-cardinality categorical features. The GLMMNet integrates a generalised linear mixed model in a deep learning framework, offering the predictive power of neural networks and the transparency of random effects estimates, the latter of which cannot be obtained from the entity embedding models. Further, its flexibility to deal with any distribution in the exponential dispersion (ED) family makes it widely applicable to many actuarial contexts and beyond. We illustrate and compare the GLMMNet against existing approaches in a range of simulation experiments as well as in a real-life insurance case study. Notably, we find that the GLMMNet often outperforms or at least performs comparably with an entity embedded neural network, while providing the additional benefit of transparency, which is particularly valuable in practical applications. Importantly, while our model was motivated by actuarial applications, it can have wider applicability. The GLMMNet would suit any applications that involve high-cardinality categorical variables and where the response cannot be sufficiently modelled by a Gaussian distribution.


Sparse Oblique Decision Trees: A Tool to Understand and Manipulate Neural Net Features

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The widespread deployment of deep nets in practical applications has lead to a growing desire to understand how and why such black-box methods perform prediction. Much work has focused on understanding what part of the input pattern (an image, say) is responsible for a particular class being predicted, and how the input may be manipulated to predict a different class. We focus instead on understanding which of the internal features computed by the neural net are responsible for a particular class. We achieve this by mimicking part of the neural net with an oblique decision tree having sparse weight vectors at the decision nodes. Using the recently proposed Tree Alternating Optimization (TAO) algorithm, we are able to learn trees that are both highly accurate and interpretable. Such trees can faithfully mimic the part of the neural net they replaced, and hence they can provide insights into the deep net black box. Further, we show we can easily manipulate the neural net features in order to make the net predict, or not predict, a given class, thus showing that it is possible to carry out adversarial attacks at the level of the features. These insights and manipulations apply globally to the entire training and test set, not just at a local (single-instance) level. We demonstrate this robustly in the MNIST and ImageNet datasets with LeNet5 and VGG networks.


Contextual Pandora's Box

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Pandora's Box is a fundamental stochastic optimization problem, where the decision-maker must find a good alternative while minimizing the search cost of exploring the value of each alternative. In the original formulation, it is assumed that accurate distributions are given for the values of all the alternatives, while recent work studies the online variant of Pandora's Box where the distributions are originally unknown. In this work, we study Pandora's Box in the online setting, while incorporating context. At every round, we are presented with a number of alternatives each having a context, an exploration cost and an unknown value drawn from an unknown distribution that may change at every round. Our main result is a no-regret algorithm that performs comparably well to the optimal algorithm which knows all prior distributions exactly. Our algorithm works even in the bandit setting where the algorithm never learns the values of the alternatives that were not explored. The key technique that enables our result is a novel modification of the realizability condition in contextual bandits that connects a context to a sufficient statistic of each alternative's distribution (its "reservation value") rather than its mean.


Temporal Label Smoothing for Early Event Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Models that can predict the occurrence of events ahead of time with low false-alarm rates are critical to the acceptance of decision support systems in the medical community. This challenging task is typically treated as a simple binary classification, ignoring temporal dependencies between samples, whereas we propose to exploit this structure. We first introduce a common theoretical framework unifying dynamic survival analysis and early event prediction. Following an analysis of objectives from both fields, we propose Temporal Label Smoothing (TLS), a simpler, yet best-performing method that preserves prediction monotonicity over time. By focusing the objective on areas with a stronger predictive signal, TLS improves performance over all baselines on two large-scale benchmark tasks. Gains are particularly notable along clinically relevant measures, such as event recall at low false-alarm rates. TLS reduces the number of missed events by up to a factor of two over previously used approaches in early event prediction.


Fine-Tuning Deteriorates General Textual Out-of-Distribution Detection by Distorting Task-Agnostic Features

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs is crucial for the safe deployment of natural language processing (NLP) models. Though existing methods, especially those based on the statistics in the feature space of fine-tuned pre-trained language models (PLMs), are claimed to be effective, their effectiveness on different types of distribution shifts remains underexplored. In this work, we take the first step to comprehensively evaluate the mainstream textual OOD detection methods for detecting semantic and non-semantic shifts. We find that: (1) no existing method behaves well in both settings; (2) fine-tuning PLMs on in-distribution data benefits detecting semantic shifts but severely deteriorates detecting non-semantic shifts, which can be attributed to the distortion of task-agnostic features. To alleviate the issue, we present a simple yet effective general OOD score named GNOME that integrates the confidence scores derived from the task-agnostic and task-specific representations. Experiments show that GNOME works well in both semantic and non-semantic shift scenarios, and further brings significant improvement on two cross-task benchmarks where both kinds of shifts simultaneously take place. Our code is available at https://github.com/lancopku/GNOME.


PCC: Paraphrasing with Bottom-k Sampling and Cyclic Learning for Curriculum Data Augmentation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Curriculum Data Augmentation (CDA) improves neural models by presenting synthetic data with increasing difficulties from easy to hard. However, traditional CDA simply treats the ratio of word perturbation as the difficulty measure and goes through the curriculums only once. This paper presents \textbf{PCC}: \textbf{P}araphrasing with Bottom-k Sampling and \textbf{C}yclic Learning for \textbf{C}urriculum Data Augmentation, a novel CDA framework via paraphrasing, which exploits the textual paraphrase similarity as the curriculum difficulty measure. We propose a curriculum-aware paraphrase generation module composed of three units: a paraphrase candidate generator with bottom-k sampling, a filtering mechanism and a difficulty measure. We also propose a cyclic learning strategy that passes through the curriculums multiple times. The bottom-k sampling is proposed to generate super-hard instances for the later curriculums. Experimental results on few-shot text classification as well as dialogue generation indicate that PCC surpasses competitive baselines. Human evaluation and extensive case studies indicate that bottom-k sampling effectively generates super-hard instances, and PCC significantly improves the baseline dialogue agent.


Complexity-Based Prompting for Multi-Step Reasoning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study the task of prompting large-scale language models to perform multistep reasoning. Existing work shows that when prompted with a chain of thoughts (CoT), sequences of short sentences describing intermediate reasoning steps towards a final answer, large language models can generate new reasoning chains and predict answers for new inputs. A central question is which reasoning examples make the most effective prompts. In this work, we propose complexitybased prompting, a simple and effective example selection scheme for multi-step reasoning. We show that prompts with higher reasoning complexity, i.e., chains with more reasoning steps, achieve substantially better performance on multistep reasoning tasks over strong baselines. We further extend our complexitybased criteria from prompting (selecting inputs) to decoding (selecting outputs), where we sample multiple reasoning chains from the model, then choose the majority of generated answers from complex reasoning chains (over simple chains). When used to prompt GPT-3 and Codex, our approach substantially improves multi-step reasoning accuracy and achieves new state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance on three math benchmarks (GSM8K, MultiArith, and MathQA) and two BigBenchHard tasks (Date Understanding and Penguins), with an average +5.3 and up to +18 accuracy improvements. Compared with existing example selection schemes like manual tuning or retrieval-based selection, selection based on reasoning complexity is intuitive, easy to implement, and annotation-efficient. Further results demonstrate the robustness of performance gains from complex prompts under format perturbation and distribution shift. We consider the problem of prompting large language models for multi-step reasoning. Recent breakthroughs (Wei et al., 2022b; Wang et al., 2022b) show that language models, when large enough (>100B parameters), exhibit the emergent ability (Wei et al., 2022a) of performing complex multi-step reasoning when provided with only a few reasoning examples.