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Using novel data and ensemble models to improve automated labeling of Sustainable Development Goals

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A number of labeling systems based on text have been proposed to help monitor work on the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Here, we present a systematic comparison of systems using a variety of text sources and show that systems differ considerably in their specificity (i.e., true-positive rate) and sensitivity (i.e., true-negative rate), have systematic biases (e.g., are more sensitive to specific SDGs relative to others), and are susceptible to the type and amount of text analyzed. We then show that an ensemble model that pools labeling systems alleviates some of these limitations, exceeding the labeling performance of all currently available systems. We conclude that researchers and policymakers should care about the choice of labeling system and that ensemble methods should be favored when drawing conclusions about the absolute and relative prevalence of work on the SDGs based on automated methods.


Will an AI be the first to discover alien life?

#artificialintelligence

The Robert C. Byrd Green Bank Telescope in West Virginia is one of several helping to search for alien civilizations.Credit: Jim West/Alamy From the hills of West Virginia to the flats of rural Australia, some of the world's largest telescopes are listening for signals from distant alien civilizations. The search for extraterrestrial intelligence, known as SETI, is an effort to find artificial-looking electromagnetic radiation that might have come from a technologically advanced civilization in a far-away solar system. A study published today1 describes one of several efforts to use machine learning, a subset of artificial intelligence (AI), to help astronomers sift quickly through the reams of data such searches yield. As AI reshapes many scientific fields, what promise does it hold for the search for life beyond Earth? "It is a new era for SETI research that is opening up thanks to machine learning technology," says Franck Marchis, a planetary astronomer at the SETI Institute in Mountain View, California.


A fuzzy adaptive metaheuristic algorithm for identifying sustainable, economical, lightweight, and earthquake-resistant reinforced concrete cantilever retaining walls

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In earthquake-prone zones, the seismic performance of reinforced concrete cantilever (RCC) retaining walls is significant. In this study, the seismic performance was investigated using horizontal and vertical pseudo-static coefficients. To tackle RCC weights and forces resulting from these earth pressures, 26 constraints for structural strengths and geotechnical stability along with 12 geometric variables are associated with each design. These constraints and design variables form a constraint optimization problem with a twelve-dimensional solution space. To conduct effective search and produce sustainable, economical, lightweight RCC designs robust against earthquake hazards, a novel adaptive fuzzy-based metaheuristic algorithm is applied. The proposed method divides the search space to sub-regions and establishes exploration, information sharing, and exploitation search capabilities based on its novel search components. Further, fuzzy inference systems were employed to address parameterization and computational cost evaluation issues. It was found that the proposed algorithm can achieve low-cost, low-weight, and low CO2 emission RCC designs under nine seismic conditions in comparison with several classical and best-performing design optimizers.


A Prescriptive Learning Analytics Framework: Beyond Predictive Modelling and onto Explainable AI with Prescriptive Analytics and ChatGPT

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A significant body of recent research in the field of Learning Analytics has focused on leveraging machine learning approaches for predicting at-risk students in order to initiate timely interventions and thereby elevate retention and completion rates. The overarching feature of the majority of these research studies has been on the science of prediction only. The component of predictive analytics concerned with interpreting the internals of the models and explaining their predictions for individual cases to stakeholders has largely been neglected. Additionally, works that attempt to employ data-driven prescriptive analytics to automatically generate evidence-based remedial advice for at-risk learners are in their infancy. eXplainable AI is a field that has recently emerged providing cutting-edge tools which support transparent predictive analytics and techniques for generating tailored advice for at-risk students. This study proposes a novel framework that unifies both transparent machine learning as well as techniques for enabling prescriptive analytics, while integrating the latest advances in large language models. This work practically demonstrates the proposed framework using predictive models for identifying at-risk learners of programme non-completion. The study then further demonstrates how predictive modelling can be augmented with prescriptive analytics on two case studies in order to generate human-readable prescriptive feedback for those who are at risk using ChatGPT.


Gradient Descent in Neural Networks as Sequential Learning in RKBS

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The study of Neural Tangent Kernels (NTKs) has provided much needed insight into convergence and generalization properties of neural networks in the over-parametrized (wide) limit by approximating the network using a first-order Taylor expansion with respect to its weights in the neighborhood of their initialization values. This allows neural network training to be analyzed from the perspective of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS), which is informative in the over-parametrized regime, but a poor approximation for narrower networks as the weights change more during training. Our goal is to extend beyond the limits of NTK toward a more general theory. We construct an exact power-series representation of the neural network in a finite neighborhood of the initial weights as an inner product of two feature maps, respectively from data and weight-step space, to feature space, allowing neural network training to be analyzed from the perspective of reproducing kernel {\em Banach} space (RKBS). We prove that, regardless of width, the training sequence produced by gradient descent can be exactly replicated by regularized sequential learning in RKBS. Using this, we present novel bound on uniform convergence where the iterations count and learning rate play a central role, giving new theoretical insight into neural network training.


AI model GPT-3 (dis)informs us better than humans

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence is changing the way we create and evaluate information, and this is happening during an infodemic, which has been having dramatic effects on global health. In this paper we evaluate whether recruited individuals can distinguish disinformation from accurate information, structured in the form of tweets, and determine whether a tweet is organic or synthetic, i.e., whether it has been written by a Twitter user or by the AI model GPT-3. Our results show that GPT-3 is a double-edge sword, which, in comparison with humans, can produce accurate information that is easier to understand, but can also produce more compelling disinformation. We also show that humans cannot distinguish tweets generated by GPT-3 from tweets written by human users. Starting from our results, we reflect on the dangers of AI for disinformation, and on how we can improve information campaigns to benefit global health.


The Impacts of Unanswerable Questions on the Robustness of Machine Reading Comprehension Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Pretrained language models have achieved super-human performances on many Machine Reading Comprehension (MRC) benchmarks. Nevertheless, their relative inability to defend against adversarial attacks has spurred skepticism about their natural language understanding. In this paper, we ask whether training with unanswerable questions in SQuAD 2.0 can help improve the robustness of MRC models against adversarial attacks. To explore that question, we fine-tune three state-of-theart language models on either SQuAD 1.1 or SQuAD 2.0 and then evaluate their robustness under adversarial attacks. Our experiments reveal Figure 1: Example of predictions to an answerable that current models fine-tuned on SQuAD question of RoBERTa fine-tuned on SQuAD 1.1 (Rajpurkar 2.0 do not initially appear to be any more robust et al., 2016) (v1) versus its counterpart finetuned than ones fine-tuned on SQuAD 1.1, yet on SQuAD 2.0 (Rajpurkar et al., 2018) (v2) under they reveal a measure of hidden robustness that adversarial attack. While RoBERTa v1 predicts can be leveraged to realize actual performance "DartFord" as the answer under attack, RoBERTa v2 gains. Furthermore, we find that the robustness knows that "DartFord" is not the correct answer but of models fine-tuned on SQuAD 2.0 extends fails to focus back on "Nevada", the correct answer to additional out-of-domain datasets. Finally, for the given question. RoBERTa v2 then predicts the we introduce a new adversarial attack tested question as unanswerable.


Distributed Traffic Synthesis and Classification in Edge Networks: A Federated Self-supervised Learning Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the rising demand for wireless services and increased awareness of the need for data protection, existing network traffic analysis and management architectures are facing unprecedented challenges in classifying and synthesizing the increasingly diverse services and applications. This paper proposes FS-GAN, a federated self-supervised learning framework to support automatic traffic analysis and synthesis over a large number of heterogeneous datasets. FS-GAN is composed of multiple distributed Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), with a set of generators, each being designed to generate synthesized data samples following the distribution of an individual service traffic, and each discriminator being trained to differentiate the synthesized data samples and the real data samples of a local dataset. A federated learning-based framework is adopted to coordinate local model training processes of different GANs across different datasets. FS-GAN can classify data of unknown types of service and create synthetic samples that capture the traffic distribution of the unknown types. We prove that FS-GAN can minimize the Jensen-Shannon Divergence (JSD) between the distribution of real data across all the datasets and that of the synthesized data samples. FS-GAN also maximizes the JSD among the distributions of data samples created by different generators, resulting in each generator producing synthetic data samples that follow the same distribution as one particular service type. Extensive simulation results show that the classification accuracy of FS-GAN achieves over 20% improvement in average compared to the state-of-the-art clustering-based traffic analysis algorithms. FS-GAN also has the capability to synthesize highly complex mixtures of traffic types without requiring any human-labeled data samples.


Real Estate Property Valuation using Self-Supervised Vision Transformers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the real estate market has been growing in recent years. In this paper, we propose a new method for property valuation that utilizes self-supervised vision transformers, a recent breakthrough in computer vision and deep learning. Our proposed algorithm uses a combination of machine learning, computer vision and hedonic pricing models trained on real estate data to estimate the value of a given property. We collected and pre-processed a data set of real estate properties in the city of Boulder, Colorado and used it to train, validate and test our algorithm. Our data set consisted of qualitative images (including house interiors, exteriors, and street views) as well as quantitative features such as the number of bedrooms, bathrooms, square footage, lot square footage, property age, crime rates, and proximity to amenities. We evaluated the performance of our model using metrics such as Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). Our findings indicate that these techniques are able to accurately predict the value of properties, with a low RMSE. The proposed algorithm outperforms traditional appraisal methods that do not leverage property images and has the potential to be used in real-world applications.


ZhichunRoad at Amazon KDD Cup 2022: MultiTask Pre-Training for E-Commerce Product Search

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we propose a robust multilingual model to improve the quality of search results. Our model not only leverage the processed class-balanced dataset, but also benefit from multitask pre-training that leads to more general representations. In pre-training stage, we adopt mlm task, classification task and contrastive learning task to achieve considerably performance. In fine-tuning stage, we use confident learning, exponential moving average method (EMA), adversarial training (FGM) and regularized dropout strategy (R-Drop) to improve the model's generalization and robustness. Moreover, we use a multi-granular semantic unit to discover the queries and products textual metadata for enhancing the representation of the model. Our approach obtained competitive results and ranked top-8 in three tasks. We release the source code and pre-trained models associated with this work.