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Finding the right XAI method -- A Guide for the Evaluation and Ranking of Explainable AI Methods in Climate Science

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods shed light on the predictions of deep neural networks (DNNs). Several different approaches exist and have partly already been successfully applied in climate science. However, the often missing ground truth explanations complicate their evaluation and validation, subsequently compounding the choice of the XAI method. Therefore, in this work, we introduce XAI evaluation in the context of climate research and assess different desired explanation properties, namely, robustness, faithfulness, randomization, complexity, and localization. To this end we build upon previous work and train a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict the decade based on annual-mean temperature maps. Next, multiple local XAI methods are applied and their performance is quantified for each evaluation property and compared against a baseline test. Independent of the network type, we find that the XAI methods Integrated Gradients, Layer-wise relevance propagation, and InputGradients exhibit considerable robustness, faithfulness, and complexity while sacrificing randomization. The opposite is true for Gradient, SmoothGrad, NoiseGrad, and FusionGrad. Notably, explanations using input perturbations, such as SmoothGrad and Integrated Gradients, do not improve robustness and faithfulness, contrary to previous claims. Overall, our experiments offer a comprehensive overview of different properties of explanation methods in the climate science context and supports users in the selection of a suitable XAI method.


$\Lambda$-DARTS: Mitigating Performance Collapse by Harmonizing Operation Selection among Cells

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Differentiable neural architecture search (DARTS) is a popular method for neural architecture search (NAS), which performs cell-search and utilizes continuous relaxation to improve the search efficiency via gradient-based optimization. The main shortcoming of DARTS is performance collapse, where the discovered architecture suffers from a pattern of declining quality during search. Performance collapse has become an important topic of research, with many methods trying to solve the issue through either regularization or fundamental changes to DARTS. However, the weight-sharing framework used for cell-search in DARTS and the convergence of architecture parameters has not been analyzed yet. In this paper, we provide a thorough and novel theoretical and empirical analysis on DARTS and its point of convergence. We show that DARTS suffers from a specific structural flaw due to its weight-sharing framework that limits the convergence of DARTS to saturation points of the softmax function. This point of convergence gives an unfair advantage to layers closer to the output in choosing the optimal architecture, causing performance collapse. We then propose two new regularization terms that aim to prevent performance collapse by harmonizing operation selection via aligning gradients of layers. Experimental results on six different search spaces and three different datasets show that our method ($\Lambda$-DARTS) does indeed prevent performance collapse, providing justification for our theoretical analysis and the proposed remedy.


Multi-task neural networks by learned contextual inputs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper explores learned-context neural networks. It is a multi-task learning architecture based on a fully shared neural network and an augmented input vector containing trainable task parameters. The architecture is interesting due to its powerful task adaption mechanism, which facilitates a low-dimensional task parameter space. Theoretically, we show that a scalar task parameter is sufficient for universal approximation of all tasks, which is not necessarily the case for more common architectures. Evidence towards the practicality of such a small task parameter space is given empirically. The task parameter space is found to be well-behaved, and simplifies workflows related to updating models as new data arrives, and training new tasks when the shared parameters are frozen. Additionally, the architecture displays robustness towards cases with few data points. The architecture's performance is compared to similar neural network architectures on ten datasets.


Stochastic Clustered Federated Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Federated learning is a distributed learning framework that takes full advantage of private data samples kept on edge devices. In real-world federated learning systems, these data samples are often decentralized and Non-Independently Identically Distributed (Non-IID), causing divergence and performance degradation in the federated learning process. As a new solution, clustered federated learning groups federated clients with similar data distributions to impair the Non-IID effects and train a better model for every cluster. This paper proposes StoCFL, a novel clustered federated learning approach for generic Non-IID issues. In detail, StoCFL implements a flexible CFL framework that supports an arbitrary proportion of client participation and newly joined clients for a varying FL system, while maintaining a great improvement in model performance. The intensive experiments are conducted by using four basic Non-IID settings and a real-world dataset. The results show that StoCFL could obtain promising cluster results even when the number of clusters is unknown. Based on the client clustering results, models trained with StoCFL outperform baseline approaches in a variety of contexts.


Can representation learning for multimodal image registration be improved by supervision of intermediate layers?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multimodal imaging and correlative analysis typically require image alignment. Contrastive learning can generate representations of multimodal images, reducing the challenging task of multimodal image registration to a monomodal one. Previously, additional supervision on intermediate layers in contrastive learning has improved biomedical image classification. We evaluate if a similar approach improves representations learned for registration to boost registration performance. We explore three approaches to add contrastive supervision to the latent features of the bottleneck layer in the U-Nets encoding the multimodal images and evaluate three different critic functions. Our results show that representations learned without additional supervision on latent features perform best in the downstream task of registration on two public biomedical datasets. We investigate the performance drop by exploiting recent insights in contrastive learning in classification and self-supervised learning. We visualize the spatial relations of the learned representations by means of multidimensional scaling, and show that additional supervision on the bottleneck layer can lead to partial dimensional collapse of the intermediate embedding space.


Understanding Natural Language Understanding Systems. A Critical Analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The development of machines that {\guillemotleft}talk like us{\guillemotright}, also known as Natural Language Understanding (NLU) systems, is the Holy Grail of Artificial Intelligence (AI), since language is the quintessence of human intelligence. The brief but intense life of NLU research in AI and Natural Language Processing (NLP) is full of ups and downs, with periods of high hopes that the Grail is finally within reach, typically followed by phases of equally deep despair and disillusion. But never has the trust that we can build {\guillemotleft}talking machines{\guillemotright} been stronger than the one engendered by the last generation of NLU systems. But is it gold all that glitters in AI? do state-of-the-art systems possess something comparable to the human knowledge of language? Are we at the dawn of a new era, in which the Grail is finally closer to us? In fact, the latest achievements of AI systems have sparkled, or better renewed, an intense scientific debate on their true language understanding capabilities. Some defend the idea that, yes, we are on the right track, despite the limits that computational models still show. Others are instead radically skeptic and even dismissal: The present limits are not just contingent and temporary problems of NLU systems, but the sign of the intrinsic inadequacy of the epistemological and technological paradigm grounding them. This paper aims at contributing to such debate by carrying out a critical analysis of the linguistic abilities of the most recent NLU systems. I contend that they incorporate important aspects of the way language is learnt and processed by humans, but at the same time they lack key interpretive and inferential skills that it is unlikely they can attain unless they are integrated with structured knowledge and the ability to exploit it for language use.


Multi-Armed Bandits with Generalized Temporally-Partitioned Rewards

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Decision-making problems of sequential nature, where decisions made in the past may have an impact on the future, are used to model many practically important applications. In some real-world applications, feedback about a decision is delayed and may arrive via partial rewards that are observed with different delays. Motivated by such scenarios, we propose a novel problem formulation called multi-armed bandits with generalized temporally-partitioned rewards. To formalize how feedback about a decision is partitioned across several time steps, we introduce $\beta$-spread property. We derive a lower bound on the performance of any uniformly efficient algorithm for the considered problem. Moreover, we provide an algorithm called TP-UCB-FR-G and prove an upper bound on its performance measure. In some scenarios, our upper bound improves upon the state of the art. We provide experimental results validating the proposed algorithm and our theoretical results.


Hidden Markov Transformer for Simultaneous Machine Translation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Simultaneous machine translation (SiMT) outputs the target sequence while receiving the source sequence, and hence learning when to start translating each target token is the core challenge for SiMT task. However, it is non-trivial to learn the optimal moment among many possible moments of starting translating, as the moments of starting translating always hide inside the model and can only be supervised with the observed target sequence. In this paper, we propose a Hidden Markov Transformer (HMT), which treats the moments of starting translating as hidden events and the target sequence as the corresponding observed events, thereby organizing them as a hidden Markov model. HMT explicitly models multiple moments of starting translating as the candidate hidden events, and then selects one to generate the target token. During training, by maximizing the marginal likelihood of the target sequence over multiple moments of starting translating, HMT learns to start translating at the moments that target tokens can be generated more accurately. Recently, with the increase of real-time scenarios such as live broadcasting, video subtitles and conferences, simultaneous machine translation (SiMT) attracts more attention (Cho & Esipova, 2016; Gu et al., 2017; Ma et al., 2019; Arivazhagan et al., 2019), which requires the model to receive source token one by one and simultaneously generates the target tokens. For the purpose of high-quality translation under low latency, SiMT model needs to learn when to start translating each target token (Gu et al., 2017), thereby making a wise decision between waiting for the next source token (i.e., READ action) and generating a target token (i.e., WRITE action) during the translation process. However, learning when to start translating target tokens is not trivial for a SiMT model, as the moments of starting translating always hide inside the model and we can only supervise the SiMT model with the observed target sequence (Zhang & Feng, 2022a).


DIFFQG: Generating Questions to Summarize Factual Changes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Identifying the difference between two versions of the same article is useful to update knowledge bases and to understand how articles evolve. Paired texts occur naturally in diverse situations: reporters write similar news stories and maintainers of authoritative websites must keep their information up to date. We propose representing factual changes between paired documents as question-answer pairs, where the answer to the same question differs between two versions. We find that question-answer pairs can flexibly and concisely capture the updated contents. Provided with paired documents, annotators identify questions that are answered by one passage but answered differently or cannot be answered by the other. We release DIFFQG which consists of 759 QA pairs and 1153 examples of paired passages with no factual change. These questions are intended to be both unambiguous and information-seeking and involve complex edits, pushing beyond the capabilities of current question generation and factual change detection systems. Our dataset summarizes the changes between two versions of the document as questions and answers, studying automatic update summarization in a novel way.


The Virtues of Laziness in Model-based RL: A Unified Objective and Algorithms

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a novel approach to addressing two fundamental challenges in Model-based Reinforcement Learning (MBRL): the computational expense of repeatedly finding a good policy in the learned model, and the objective mismatch between model fitting and policy computation. Our "lazy" method leverages a novel unified objective, Performance Difference via Advantage in Model, to capture the performance difference between the learned policy and expert policy under the true dynamics. This objective demonstrates that optimizing the expected policy advantage in the learned model under an exploration distribution is sufficient for policy computation, resulting in a significant boost in computational efficiency compared to traditional planning methods. Additionally, the unified objective uses a value moment matching term for model fitting, which is aligned with the model's usage during policy computation. We present two no-regret algorithms to optimize the proposed objective, and demonstrate their statistical and computational gains compared to existing MBRL methods through simulated benchmarks.