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Intelligent Spatial Interpolation-based Frost Prediction Methodology using Artificial Neural Networks with Limited Local Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The weather phenomenon of frost poses great threats to agriculture. As recent frost prediction methods are based on on-site historical data and sensors, extra development and deployment time are required for data collection in any new site. The aim of this article is to eliminate the dependency on on-site historical data and sensors for frost prediction methods. In this article, a frost prediction method based on spatial interpolation is proposed. The models use climate data from existing weather stations, digital elevation models surveys, and normalized difference vegetation index data to estimate a target site's next hour minimum temperature. The proposed method utilizes ensemble learning to increase the model accuracy. Climate datasets are obtained from 75 weather stations across New South Wales and Australian Capital Territory areas of Australia. The results show that the proposed method reached a detection rate up to 92.55%.


Advancing Multilingual Pre-training: TRIP Triangular Document-level Pre-training for Multilingual Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Despite the success of multilingual sequence-to-sequence pre-training, most existing approaches rely on document-level monolingual corpora in many different languages, sentence-level bilingual corpora,\footnote{In this paper, we use `bilingual corpora' to denote parallel corpora with `bilingual translation pairs' in many different language pairs, each consisting of two sentences/documents with the same meaning written in different languages. We use `trilingual corpora' to denote parallel corpora with `trilingual translation pairs' in many different language combinations, each consisting of three sentences/documents.} and sometimes synthetic document-level bilingual corpora. This hampers the performance with cross-lingual document-level tasks such as document-level translation. Therefore, we propose to mine and leverage document-level trilingual parallel corpora to improve sequence-to-sequence multilingual pre-training. We present \textbf{Tri}angular Document-level \textbf{P}re-training (\textbf{TRIP}), which is the first in the field to accelerate the conventional monolingual and bilingual objectives into a trilingual objective with a novel method called Grafting. Experiments show that TRIP achieves several strong state-of-the-art (SOTA) scores on three multilingual document-level machine translation benchmarks and one cross-lingual abstractive summarization benchmark, including consistent improvements by up to 3.11 d-BLEU points and 8.9 ROUGE-L points.


Natural Language Reasoning, A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This survey paper proposes a clearer view of natural language reasoning in the field of Natural Language Processing (NLP), both conceptually and practically. Conceptually, we provide a distinct definition for natural language reasoning in NLP, based on both philosophy and NLP scenarios, discuss what types of tasks require reasoning, and introduce a taxonomy of reasoning. Practically, we conduct a comprehensive literature review on natural language reasoning in NLP, mainly covering classical logical reasoning, natural language inference, multi-hop question answering, and commonsense reasoning. The paper also identifies and views backward reasoning, a powerful paradigm for multi-step reasoning, and introduces defeasible reasoning as one of the most important future directions in natural language reasoning research. We focus on single-modality unstructured natural language text, excluding neuro-symbolic techniques and mathematical reasoning.


Semantic-aware Dynamic Retrospective-Prospective Reasoning for Event-level Video Question Answering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Event-Level Video Question Answering (EVQA) requires complex reasoning across video events to obtain the visual information needed to provide optimal answers. However, despite significant progress in model performance, few studies have focused on using the explicit semantic connections between the question and visual information especially at the event level. There is need for using such semantic connections to facilitate complex reasoning across video frames. Therefore, we propose a semantic-aware dynamic retrospective-prospective reasoning approach for video-based question answering. Specifically, we explicitly use the Semantic Role Labeling (SRL) structure of the question in the dynamic reasoning process where we decide to move to the next frame based on which part of the SRL structure (agent, verb, patient, etc.) of the question is being focused on. We conduct experiments on a benchmark EVQA dataset - TrafficQA. Results show that our proposed approach achieves superior performance compared to previous state-of-the-art models. Our code will be made publicly available for research use.


'Why would we employ people?' Experts on five ways AI will change work

The Guardian

In 1965, the political scientist and Nobel laureate Herbert Simon declared: "Machines will be capable, within 20 years, of doing any work a man can do." Today, in what is increasingly referred to as the fourth industrial revolution, the arrival of artificial intelligence (AI) in the workplace is igniting similar concerns. The European parliament's forthcoming Artificial Intelligence Act is likely to deem the use of AI across education, law enforcement and worker management to be "high risk". Geoffrey Hinton, known as the "godfather of AI", recently resigned from his position at Google, citing concerns about the technology's impact on the job market. And, in early May, striking members of the Writers Guild of America promised executives: "AI will replace you before it replaces us."


Astronomia ex machina: a history, primer, and outlook on neural networks in astronomy

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this review, we explore the historical development and future prospects of artificial intelligence (AI) and deep learning in astronomy. We trace the evolution of connectionism in astronomy through its three waves, from the early use of multilayer perceptrons, to the rise of convolutional and recurrent neural networks, and finally to the current era of unsupervised and generative deep learning methods. With the exponential growth of astronomical data, deep learning techniques offer an unprecedented opportunity to uncover valuable insights and tackle previously intractable problems. As we enter the anticipated fourth wave of astronomical connectionism, we argue for the adoption of GPT-like foundation models fine-tuned for astronomical applications. Such models could harness the wealth of high-quality, multimodal astronomical data to serve state-of-the-art downstream tasks. To keep pace with advancements driven by Big Tech, we propose a collaborative, open-source approach within the astronomy community to develop and maintain these foundation models, fostering a symbiotic relationship between AI and astronomy that capitalizes on the unique strengths of both fields.


Distributed Gradient Descent for Functional Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, different types of distributed learning schemes have received increasing attention for their strong advantages in handling large-scale data information. In the information era, to face the big data challenges which stem from functional data analysis very recently, we propose a novel distributed gradient descent functional learning (DGDFL) algorithm to tackle functional data across numerous local machines (processors) in the framework of reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Based on integral operator approaches, we provide the first theoretical understanding of the DGDFL algorithm in many different aspects in the literature. On the way of understanding DGDFL, firstly, a data-based gradient descent functional learning (GDFL) algorithm associated with a single-machine model is proposed and comprehensively studied. Under mild conditions, confidence-based optimal learning rates of DGDFL are obtained without the saturation boundary on the regularity index suffered in previous works in functional regression. We further provide a semi-supervised DGDFL approach to weaken the restriction on the maximal number of local machines to ensure optimal rates. To our best knowledge, the DGDFL provides the first distributed iterative training approach to functional learning and enriches the stage of functional data analysis.


A Memory Model for Question Answering from Streaming Data Supported by Rehearsal and Anticipation of Coreference Information

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Existing question answering methods often assume that the input content (e.g., documents or videos) is always accessible to solve the task. Alternatively, memory networks were introduced to mimic the human process of incremental comprehension and compression of the information in a fixed-capacity memory. However, these models only learn how to maintain memory by backpropagating errors in the answers through the entire network. Instead, it has been suggested that humans have effective mechanisms to boost their memorization capacities, such as rehearsal and anticipation. Drawing inspiration from these, we propose a memory model that performs rehearsal and anticipation while processing inputs to memorize important information for solving question answering tasks from streaming data. The proposed mechanisms are applied self-supervised during training through masked modeling tasks focused on coreference information. We validate our model on a short-sequence (bAbI) dataset as well as large-sequence textual (NarrativeQA) and video (ActivityNet-QA) question answering datasets, where it achieves substantial improvements over previous memory network approaches. Furthermore, our ablation study confirms the proposed mechanisms' importance for memory models.


Gaussian Prior Reinforcement Learning for Nested Named Entity Recognition

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Named Entity Recognition (NER) is a well and widely studied task in natural language processing. Recently, the nested NER has attracted more attention since its practicality and difficulty. Existing works for nested NER ignore the recognition order and boundary position relation of nested entities. To address these issues, we propose a novel seq2seq model named GPRL, which formulates the nested NER task as an entity triplet sequence generation process. GPRL adopts the reinforcement learning method to generate entity triplets decoupling the entity order in gold labels and expects to learn a reasonable recognition order of entities via trial and error. Based on statistics of boundary distance for nested entities, GPRL designs a Gaussian prior to represent the boundary distance distribution between nested entities and adjust the output probability distribution of nested boundary tokens. Experiments on three nested NER datasets demonstrate that GPRL outperforms previous nested NER models.


Hierarchical Bayesian Modelling for Knowledge Transfer Across Engineering Fleets via Multitask Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A population-level analysis is proposed to address data sparsity when building predictive models for engineering infrastructure. Utilising an interpretable hierarchical Bayesian approach and operational fleet data, domain expertise is naturally encoded (and appropriately shared) between different sub-groups, representing (i) use-type, (ii) component, or (iii) operating condition. Specifically, domain expertise is exploited to constrain the model via assumptions (and prior distributions) allowing the methodology to automatically share information between similar assets, improving the survival analysis of a truck fleet and power prediction in a wind farm. In each asset management example, a set of correlated functions is learnt over the fleet, in a combined inference, to learn a population model. Parameter estimation is improved when sub-fleets share correlated information at different levels of the hierarchy. In turn, groups with incomplete data automatically borrow statistical strength from those that are data-rich. The statistical correlations enable knowledge transfer via Bayesian transfer learning, and the correlations can be inspected to inform which assets share information for which effect (i.e. parameter). Both case studies demonstrate the wide applicability to practical infrastructure monitoring, since the approach is naturally adapted between interpretable fleet models of different in situ examples.