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Unifying Pairwise Interactions in Complex Dynamics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Scientists have developed hundreds of techniques to measure the interactions between pairs of processes in complex systems. But these computational methods, from correlation coefficients to causal inference, rely on distinct quantitative theories that remain largely disconnected. Here we introduce a library of 237 statistics of pairwise interactions and assess their behavior on 1053 multivariate time series from a wide range of real-world and model-generated systems. Our analysis highlights new commonalities between different mathematical formulations, providing a unified picture of a rich interdisciplinary literature. Using three real-world case studies, we then show that simultaneously leveraging diverse methods from across science can uncover those most suitable for addressing a given problem, yielding interpretable understanding of the conceptual formulations of pairwise dependence that drive successful performance. Our framework is provided in extendable open software, enabling comprehensive data-driven analysis by integrating decades of methodological advances.


JSEEGraph: Joint Structured Event Extraction as Graph Parsing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a graph-based event extraction framework JSEEGraph that approaches the task of event extraction as general graph parsing in the tradition of Meaning Representation Parsing. It explicitly encodes entities and events in a single semantic graph, and further has the flexibility to encode a wider range of additional IE relations and jointly infer individual tasks. JSEEGraph performs in an end-to-end manner via general graph parsing: (1) instead of flat sequence labelling, nested structures between entities/triggers are efficiently encoded as separate nodes in the graph, allowing for nested and overlapping entities and triggers; (2) both entities, relations, and events can be encoded in the same graph, where entities and event triggers are represented as nodes and entity relations and event arguments are constructed via edges; (3) joint inference avoids error propagation and enhances the interpolation of different IE tasks. We experiment on two benchmark datasets of varying structural complexities; ACE05 and Rich ERE, covering three languages: English, Chinese, and Spanish. Experimental results show that JSEEGraph can handle nested event structures, that it is beneficial to solve different IE tasks jointly, and that event argument extraction in particular benefits from entity extraction. Our code and models are released as open-source.


Exceedance Probability Forecasting via Regression for Significant Wave Height Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Significant wave height forecasting is a key problem in ocean data analytics. Predicting the significant wave height is crucial for estimating the energy production from waves. Moreover, the timely prediction of large waves is important to ensure the safety of maritime operations, e.g. passage of vessels. We frame the task of predicting extreme values of significant wave height as an exceedance probability forecasting problem. Accordingly, we aim at estimating the probability that the significant wave height will exceed a predefined threshold. This task is usually solved using a probabilistic binary classification model. Instead, we propose a novel approach based on a forecasting model. The method leverages the forecasts for the upcoming observations to estimate the exceedance probability according to the cumulative distribution function. We carried out experiments using data from a buoy placed in the coast of Halifax, Canada. The results suggest that the proposed methodology is better than state-of-the-art approaches for exceedance probability forecasting.


HonestBait: Forward References for Attractive but Faithful Headline Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Current methods for generating attractive headlines often learn directly from data, which bases attractiveness on the number of user clicks and views. Although clicks or views do reflect user interest, they can fail to reveal how much interest is raised by the writing style and how much is due to the event or topic itself. Also, such approaches can lead to harmful inventions by over-exaggerating the content, aggravating the spread of false information. In this work, we propose HonestBait, a novel framework for solving these issues from another aspect: generating headlines using forward references (FRs), a writing technique often used for clickbait. A self-verification process is included during training to avoid spurious inventions. We begin with a preliminary user study to understand how FRs affect user interest, after which we present PANCO1, an innovative dataset containing pairs of fake news with verified news for attractive but faithful news headline generation. Automatic metrics and human evaluations show that our framework yields more attractive results (+11.25% compared to human-written verified news headlines) while maintaining high veracity, which helps promote real information to fight against fake news.


Probabilistic Risk Assessment of an Obstacle Detection System for GoA 4 Freight Trains

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, a quantitative risk assessment approach is discussed for the design of an obstacle detection function for low-speed freight trains with grade of automation (GoA)~4. In this 5-step approach, starting with single detection channels and ending with a three-out-of-three (3oo3) model constructed of three independent dual-channel modules and a voter, a probabilistic assessment is exemplified, using a combination of statistical methods and parametric stochastic model checking. It is illustrated that, under certain not unreasonable assumptions, the resulting hazard rate becomes acceptable for specific application settings. The statistical approach for assessing the residual risk of misclassifications in convolutional neural networks and conventional image processing software suggests that high confidence can be placed into the safety-critical obstacle detection function, even though its implementation involves realistic machine learning uncertainties.


A Food Recommender System in Academic Environments Based on Machine Learning Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Background: People's health depends on the use of proper diet as an important factor. Today, with the increasing mechanization of people's lives, proper eating habits and behaviors are neglected. On the other hand, food recommendations in the field of health have also tried to deal with this issue. But with the introduction of the Western nutrition style and the advancement of Western chemical medicine, many issues have emerged in the field of disease treatment and nutrition. Recent advances in technology and the use of artificial intelligence methods in information systems have led to the creation of recommender systems in order to improve people's health. Methods: A hybrid recommender system including, collaborative filtering, content-based, and knowledge-based models was used. Machine learning models such as Decision Tree, k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN), AdaBoost, and Bagging were investigated in the field of food recommender systems on 2519 students in the nutrition management system of a university. Student information including profile information for basal metabolic rate, student reservation records, and selected diet type is received online. Among the 15 features collected and after consulting nutrition experts, the most effective features are selected through feature engineering. Using machine learning models based on energy indicators and food selection history by students, food from the university menu is recommended to students. Results: The AdaBoost model has the highest performance in terms of accuracy with a rate of 73.70 percent. Conclusion: Considering the importance of diet in people's health, recommender systems are effective in obtaining useful information from a huge amount of data. Keywords: Recommender system, Food behavior and habits, Machine learning, Classification


Reducing the gap between streaming and non-streaming Transducer-based ASR by adaptive two-stage knowledge distillation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Transducer is one of the mainstream frameworks for streaming speech recognition. There is a performance gap between the streaming and non-streaming transducer models due to limited context. To reduce this gap, an effective way is to ensure that their hidden and output distributions are consistent, which can be achieved by hierarchical knowledge distillation. However, it is difficult to ensure the distribution consistency simultaneously because the learning of the output distribution depends on the hidden one. In this paper, we propose an adaptive two-stage knowledge distillation method consisting of hidden layer learning and output layer learning. In the former stage, we learn hidden representation with full context by applying mean square error loss function. In the latter stage, we design a power transformation based adaptive smoothness method to learn stable output distribution. It achieved 19\% relative reduction in word error rate, and a faster response for the first token compared with the original streaming model in LibriSpeech corpus.


WinoQueer: A Community-in-the-Loop Benchmark for Anti-LGBTQ+ Bias in Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present WinoQueer: a benchmark specifically designed to measure whether large language models (LLMs) encode biases that are harmful to the LGBTQ+ community. The benchmark is community-sourced, via application of a novel method that generates a bias benchmark from a community survey. We apply our benchmark to several popular LLMs and find that off-the-shelf models generally do exhibit considerable anti-queer bias. Finally, we show that LLM bias against a marginalized community can be somewhat mitigated by finetuning on data written about or by members of that community, and that social media text written by community members is more effective than news text written about the community by non-members. Our method for community-in-the-loop benchmark development provides a blueprint for future researchers to develop community-driven, harms-grounded LLM benchmarks for other marginalized communities.


Distributive Pre-Training of Generative Modeling Using Matrix-Product States

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Tensor networks have recently found applications in machine learning for both supervised learning and unsupervised learning. The most common approaches for training these models are gradient descent methods. In this work, we consider an alternative training scheme utilizing basic tensor network operations, e.g., summation and compression. The training algorithm is based on compressing the superposition state constructed from all the training data in product state representation. The algorithm could be parallelized easily and only iterates through the dataset once. Hence, it serves as a pre-training algorithm. We benchmark the algorithm on the MNIST dataset and show reasonable results for generating new images and classification tasks. Furthermore, we provide an interpretation of the algorithm as a compressed quantum kernel density estimation for the probability amplitude of input data.


FC-KBQA: A Fine-to-Coarse Composition Framework for Knowledge Base Question Answering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The generalization problem on KBQA has drawn considerable attention. Existing research suffers from the generalization issue brought by the entanglement in the coarse-grained modeling of the logical expression, or inexecutability issues due to the fine-grained modeling of disconnected classes and relations in real KBs. We propose a Fine-to-Coarse Composition framework for KBQA (FC-KBQA) to both ensure the generalization ability and executability of the logical expression. The main idea of FC-KBQA is to extract relevant fine-grained knowledge components from KB and reformulate them into middle-grained knowledge pairs for generating the final logical expressions. FC-KBQA derives new state-of-the-art performance on GrailQA and WebQSP, and runs 4 times faster than the baseline.