Oceania
Fusing Temporal Graphs into Transformers for Time-Sensitive Question Answering
Su, Xin, Howard, Phillip, Hakim, Nagib, Bethard, Steven
Answering time-sensitive questions from long documents requires temporal reasoning over the times in questions and documents. An important open question is whether large language models can perform such reasoning solely using a provided text document, or whether they can benefit from additional temporal information extracted using other systems. We address this research question by applying existing temporal information extraction systems to construct temporal graphs of events, times, and temporal relations in questions and documents. We then investigate different approaches for fusing these graphs into Transformer models. Experimental results show that our proposed approach for fusing temporal graphs into input text substantially enhances the temporal reasoning capabilities of Transformer models with or without fine-tuning. Additionally, our proposed method outperforms various graph convolution-based approaches and establishes a new state-of-the-art performance on SituatedQA and three splits of TimeQA.
AMLNet: Adversarial Mutual Learning Neural Network for Non-AutoRegressive Multi-Horizon Time Series Forecasting
Multi-horizon time series forecasting, crucial across diverse domains, demands high accuracy and speed. While AutoRegressive (AR) models excel in short-term predictions, they suffer speed and error issues as the horizon extends. Non-AutoRegressive (NAR) models suit long-term predictions but struggle with interdependence, yielding unrealistic results. We introduce AMLNet, an innovative NAR model that achieves realistic forecasts through an online Knowledge Distillation (KD) approach. AMLNet harnesses the strengths of both AR and NAR models by training a deep AR decoder and a deep NAR decoder in a collaborative manner, serving as ensemble teachers that impart knowledge to a shallower NAR decoder. This knowledge transfer is facilitated through two key mechanisms: 1) outcome-driven KD, which dynamically weights the contribution of KD losses from the teacher models, enabling the shallow NAR decoder to incorporate the ensemble's diversity; and 2) hint-driven KD, which employs adversarial training to extract valuable insights from the model's hidden states for distillation. Extensive experimentation showcases AMLNet's superiority over conventional AR and NAR models, thereby presenting a promising avenue for multi-horizon time series forecasting that enhances accuracy and expedites computation.
Towards Hybrid-grained Feature Interaction Selection for Deep Sparse Network
Lyu, Fuyuan, Tang, Xing, Liu, Dugang, Ma, Chen, Luo, Weihong, Chen, Liang, He, Xiuqiang, Liu, Xue
Deep sparse networks are widely investigated as a neural network architecture for prediction tasks with high-dimensional sparse features, with which feature interaction selection is a critical component. While previous methods primarily focus on how to search feature interaction in a coarse-grained space, less attention has been given to a finer granularity. In this work, we introduce a hybrid-grained feature interaction selection approach that targets both feature field and feature value for deep sparse networks. To explore such expansive space, we propose a decomposed space which is calculated on the fly. We then develop a selection algorithm called OptFeature, which efficiently selects the feature interaction from both the feature field and the feature value simultaneously. Results from experiments on three large real-world benchmark datasets demonstrate that OptFeature performs well in terms of accuracy and efficiency. Additional studies support the feasibility of our method.
Neural networks for insurance pricing with frequency and severity data: a benchmark study from data preprocessing to technical tariff
Holvoet, Freek, Antonio, Katrien, Henckaerts, Roel
Insurers usually turn to generalized linear models for modelling claim frequency and severity data. Due to their success in other fields, machine learning techniques are gaining popularity within the actuarial toolbox. Our paper contributes to the literature on frequency-severity insurance pricing with machine learning via deep learning structures. We present a benchmark study on four insurance data sets with frequency and severity targets in the presence of multiple types of input features. We compare in detail the performance of: a generalized linear model on binned input data, a gradient-boosted tree model, a feed-forward neural network (FFNN), and the combined actuarial neural network (CANN). Our CANNs combine a baseline prediction established with a GLM and GBM, respectively, with a neural network correction. We explain the data preprocessing steps with specific focus on the multiple types of input features typically present in tabular insurance data sets, such as postal codes, numeric and categorical covariates. Autoencoders are used to embed the categorical variables into the neural network and we explore their potential advantages in a frequency-severity setting. Finally, we construct global surrogate models for the neural nets' frequency and severity models. These surrogates enable the translation of the essential insights captured by the FFNNs or CANNs to GLMs. As such, a technical tariff table results that can easily be deployed in practice.
Systematic Assessment of Factual Knowledge in Large Language Models
Luo, Linhao, Vu, Thuy-Trang, Phung, Dinh, Haffari, Gholamreza
Previous studies have relied on existing question-answering benchmarks to evaluate the knowledge stored in large language models (LLMs). However, this approach has limitations regarding factual knowledge coverage, as it mostly focuses on generic domains which may overlap with the pretraining data. This paper proposes a framework to systematically assess the factual knowledge of LLMs by leveraging knowledge graphs (KGs). Our framework automatically generates a set of questions and expected answers from the facts stored in a given KG, and then evaluates the accuracy of LLMs in answering these questions. We systematically evaluate the state-of-the-art LLMs with KGs in generic and specific domains. The experiment shows that ChatGPT is consistently the top performer across all domains. We also find that LLMs performance depends on the instruction finetuning, domain and question complexity and is prone to adversarial context.
Evolutionary Dynamic Optimization and Machine Learning
Evolutionary Computation (EC) has emerged as a powerful field of Artificial Intelligence, inspired by nature's mechanisms of gradual development. However, EC approaches often face challenges such as stagnation, diversity loss, computational complexity, population initialization, and premature convergence. To overcome these limitations, researchers have integrated learning algorithms with evolutionary techniques. This integration harnesses the valuable data generated by EC algorithms during iterative searches, providing insights into the search space and population dynamics. Similarly, the relationship between evolutionary algorithms and Machine Learning (ML) is reciprocal, as EC methods offer exceptional opportunities for optimizing complex ML tasks characterized by noisy, inaccurate, and dynamic objective functions. These hybrid techniques, known as Evolutionary Machine Learning (EML), have been applied at various stages of the ML process. EC techniques play a vital role in tasks such as data balancing, feature selection, and model training optimization. Moreover, ML tasks often require dynamic optimization, for which Evolutionary Dynamic Optimization (EDO) is valuable. This paper presents the first comprehensive exploration of reciprocal integration between EDO and ML. The study aims to stimulate interest in the evolutionary learning community and inspire innovative contributions in this domain.
Distribution-Based Trajectory Clustering
Wang, Zi Jing, Zhu, Ye, Ting, Kai Ming
Trajectory clustering enables the discovery of common patterns in trajectory data. Current methods of trajectory clustering rely on a distance measure between two points in order to measure the dissimilarity between two trajectories. The distance measures employed have two challenges: high computational cost and low fidelity. Independent of the distance measure employed, existing clustering algorithms have another challenge: either effectiveness issues or high time complexity. In this paper, we propose to use a recent Isolation Distributional Kernel (IDK) as the main tool to meet all three challenges. The new IDK-based clustering algorithm, called TIDKC, makes full use of the distributional kernel for trajectory similarity measuring and clustering. TIDKC identifies non-linearly separable clusters with irregular shapes and varied densities in linear time. It does not rely on random initialisation and is robust to outliers. An extensive evaluation on 7 large real-world trajectory datasets confirms that IDK is more effective in capturing complex structures in trajectories than traditional and deep learning-based distance measures. Furthermore, the proposed TIDKC has superior clustering performance and efficiency to existing trajectory clustering algorithms.
Propagating Knowledge Updates to LMs Through Distillation
Padmanabhan, Shankar, Onoe, Yasumasa, Zhang, Michael J. Q., Durrett, Greg, Choi, Eunsol
Modern language models have the capacity to store and use immense amounts of knowledge about real-world entities, but it remains unclear how to update such knowledge stored in model parameters. While prior methods for updating knowledge in LMs successfully inject atomic facts, updated LMs fail to make inferences based on injected facts. In this work, we demonstrate that a context distillation-based approach can both impart knowledge about entities and propagate that knowledge to enable broader inferences. Our approach consists of two stages: transfer set generation and distillation on the transfer set. We first generate a transfer set by prompting a language model to generate continuations from the entity definition. Then, we update the model parameters so that the distribution of the LM (the'student') matches the distribution of the LM conditioned on the definition (the'teacher') on the transfer set. Our experiments demonstrate that this approach is more effective at propagating knowledge updates than finetuning and other gradient-based knowledge-editing methods. Moreover, it does not compromise performance in other contexts, even when injecting the definitions of up to 150 entities at once.
Multimodal Fusion Interactions: A Study of Human and Automatic Quantification
Liang, Paul Pu, Cheng, Yun, Salakhutdinov, Ruslan, Morency, Louis-Philippe
In order to perform multimodal fusion of heterogeneous signals, we need to understand their interactions: how each modality individually provides information useful for a task and how this information changes in the presence of other modalities. In this paper, we perform a comparative study of how humans annotate two categorizations of multimodal interactions: (1) partial labels, where different annotators annotate the label given the first, second, and both modalities, and (2) counterfactual labels, where the same annotator annotates the label given the first modality before asking them to explicitly reason about how their answer changes when given the second. We further propose an alternative taxonomy based on (3) information decomposition, where annotators annotate the degrees of redundancy: the extent to which modalities individually and together give the same predictions, uniqueness: the extent to which one modality enables a prediction that the other does not, and synergy: the extent to which both modalities enable one to make a prediction that one would not otherwise make using individual modalities. Through experiments and annotations, we highlight several opportunities and limitations of each approach and propose a method to automatically convert annotations of partial and counterfactual labels to information decomposition, yielding an accurate and efficient method for quantifying multimodal interactions.
Fine-Grained Human Feedback Gives Better Rewards for Language Model Training
Wu, Zeqiu, Hu, Yushi, Shi, Weijia, Dziri, Nouha, Suhr, Alane, Ammanabrolu, Prithviraj, Smith, Noah A., Ostendorf, Mari, Hajishirzi, Hannaneh
Language models (LMs) often exhibit undesirable text generation behaviors, including generating false, toxic, or irrelevant outputs. Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) - where human preference judgments on LM outputs are transformed into a learning signal - has recently shown promise in addressing these issues. However, such holistic feedback conveys limited information on long text outputs; it does not indicate which aspects of the outputs influenced user preference; e.g., which parts contain what type(s) of errors. In this paper, we use fine-grained human feedback (e.g., which sentence is false, which sub-sentence is irrelevant) as an explicit training signal. We introduce Fine-Grained RLHF, a framework that enables training and learning from reward functions that are fine-grained in two respects: (1) density, providing a reward after every segment (e.g., a sentence) is generated; and (2) incorporating multiple reward models associated with different feedback types (e.g., factual incorrectness, irrelevance, and information incompleteness). We conduct experiments on detoxification and long-form question answering to illustrate how learning with such reward functions leads to improved performance, supported by both automatic and human evaluation. Additionally, we show that LM behaviors can be customized using different combinations of fine-grained reward models. We release all data, collected human feedback, and codes at https://FineGrainedRLHF.github.io.