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SymCircuit: Bayesian Structure Inference for Tractable Probabilistic Circuits via Entropy-Regularized Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Probabilistic circuit (PC) structure learning is hampered by greedy algorithms that make irreversible, locally optimal decisions. We propose SymCircuit, which replaces greedy search with a learned generative policy trained via entropy-regularized reinforcement learning. Instantiating the RL-as-inference framework in the PC domain, we show the optimal policy is a tempered Bayesian posterior, recovering the exact posterior when the regularization temperature is set inversely proportional to the dataset size. The policy is implemented as SymFormer, a grammar-constrained autoregressive Transformer with tree-relative self-attention that guarantees valid circuits at every generation step. We introduce option-level REINFORCE, restricting gradient updates to structural decisions rather than all tokens, yielding an SNR (signal to noise ratio) improvement and >10 times sample efficiency gain on the NLTCS dataset. A three-layer uncertainty decomposition (structural via model averaging, parametric via the delta method, leaf via conjugate Dirichlet-Categorical propagation) is grounded in the multilinear polynomial structure of PC outputs. On NLTCS, SymCircuit closes 93% of the gap to LearnSPN; preliminary results on Plants (69 variables) suggest scalability.


CoNBONet: Conformalized Neuroscience-inspired Bayesian Operator Network for Reliability Analysis

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems under stochastic excitations is a critical yet computationally demanding task. Conventional approaches, such as Monte Carlo simulation, necessitate repeated evaluations of computationally expensive numerical solvers, leading to significant computational bottlenecks. To address this challenge, we propose \textit{CoNBONet}, a neuroscience-inspired surrogate model that enables fast, energy-efficient, and uncertainty-aware reliability analysis, providing a scalable alternative to techniques such as Monte Carlo simulations. CoNBONet, short for \textbf{Co}nformalized \textbf{N}euroscience-inspired \textbf{B}ayesian \textbf{O}perator \textbf{Net}work, leverages the expressive power of deep operator networks while integrating neuroscience-inspired neuron models to achieve fast, low-power inference. Unlike traditional surrogates such as Gaussian processes, polynomial chaos expansions, or support vector regression, that may face scalability challenges for high-dimensional, time-dependent reliability problems, CoNBONet offers \textit{fast and energy-efficient inference} enabled by a neuroscience-inspired network architecture, \textit{calibrated uncertainty quantification with theoretical guarantees} via split conformal prediction, and \textit{strong generalization capability} through an operator-learning paradigm that maps input functions to system response trajectories. Validation of the proposed CoNBONet for various nonlinear dynamical systems demonstrates that CoNBONet preserves predictive fidelity, and achieves reliable coverage of failure probabilities, making it a powerful tool for robust and scalable reliability analysis in engineering design.


World's broadcasters urge EU to tighten rules for big tech in smart TV battle

The Guardian

Services such as Google TV and Amazon's Fire TV have recommendation systems, as well as search functions, that may prioritise some content over others. Services such as Google TV and Amazon's Fire TV have recommendation systems, as well as search functions, that may prioritise some content over others. World's broadcasters urge EU to tighten rules for big tech in smart TV battle The world's largest broadcasters have pushed for the EU to enforce its toughest regulations against virtual TVs and smart assistants built by Google, Amazon, Apple and Samsung . The call came in a letter from the Association of Commercial Television and Video on Demand Services in Europe (ACT), whose members include Canal+, RTL, Mediaset, ITV, Paramount+, NBCUniversal, Walt Disney, Warner Bros Discovery, Sky and TF1 Groupe. The letter argues that big tech companies have growing control over the operating systems of smart TVs and voice assistants, allowing them to act as "gatekeepers" funnelling users towards some content and away from others.



Meet the Gods of AI Warfare

WIRED

In its early days, the AI initiative known as Project Maven had its fair share of skeptics at the Pentagon. Today, many of them are true believers. The rise of AI warfare speaks to the biggest moral and practical question there is: Who--or what--gets to decide to take a human life? And who bears that cost? In 2018, more than 3,000 Google workers protested the company's involvement in "the business of war" after finding out the company was part of Project Maven, then a nascent Pentagon effort to use computer vision to rifle through copious video footage taken in America's overseas drone wars. They feared Project Maven's AI could one day be used for lethal targeting. In my yearslong effort to uncover the full story of Project Maven for my book,, I learned that is exactly what happened, and that the undertaking was just as controversial inside the Pentagon. Today, the tool known as Maven Smart System is being used in US operations against Iran . How the US military's top brass moved from skepticism about the use of AI in war to true believers has a lot to do with a Marine colonel named Drew Cukor. In early September 2024, during the cocktail hour at a private retreat for tech investors and defense leaders, Vice Admiral Frank "Trey" Whitworth found his way to Drew Cukor. Now Project Maven's founding leader and his skeptical successor were standing face-to-face. Three years earlier, Whitworth had been the Pentagon's top military official for intelligence, advising the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and running one of the most sensitive and potentially lethal parts of any military process: targeting.



UK nuclear submarine deployed to Arabian Sea before Iran targets key US-UK base: reports

FOX News

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As cattle herds shrink and beef prices rise, investors back AI cow collars

FOX News

This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Factset . Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions . Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by LSEG .


FCA deal gives Palantir yet more access to inner workings of power in Britain

The Guardian

The deal will give Palantir sight of a trove of data about how the City of London operates. The deal will give Palantir sight of a trove of data about how the City of London operates. Sun 22 Mar 2026 12.00 EDTLast modified on Sun 22 Mar 2026 12.42 EDT Palantirâ s latest UK contract takes the AI and data analytics company into the heart of one of Britainâ s biggest industries: financial services, which accounts for 9% of the economy. The Miami-based company embedded its technology in the NHS in 2023, the police in 2024 and the military in 2025. Land and expand, they say in the tech industry. Palantir has followed the script building contracts worth more than £500m.


Palantir extends reach into British state as it gets access to sensitive FCA data

The Guardian

Palantir, co-founded by the billionaire Donald Trump donor Peter Thiel (pictured), has been appointed for a three-month trial period. Palantir, co-founded by the billionaire Donald Trump donor Peter Thiel (pictured), has been appointed for a three-month trial period. Sun 22 Mar 2026 12.00 EDTLast modified on Sun 22 Mar 2026 22.30 EDT Palantir is to be granted access to a trove of highly sensitive UK financial regulation data, in a deal that has prompted fresh concerns about the US AI companyâ s deepening reach into the British state, the Guardian can reveal. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has awarded Palantir a contract to investigate the watchdogâ s internal intelligence data in an effort to help it tackle financial crime, which includes investigating fraud, money laundering and insider trading. The Miami-based company, co-founded by the billionaire Donald Trump donor Peter Thiel, has been appointed for a three-month trial, paying more than £30,000 a week to analyse the FCAâ s vast â data lakeâ, which could lead to a full procurement of an AI system.