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Trump warns of Iranian 'sleeper cells' as Canada is accused of harboring regime operatives

FOX News

Iranian sleeper cells prompt President Donald Trump warning as Canadian opposition lawmakers accuse government of allowing Tehran operatives to remain despite visa cancellations.



An efficient, accurate, and interpretable machine learning method for computing probability of failure

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We introduce a novel machine learning method called the Penalized Profile Support Vector Machine based on the Gabriel edited set for the computation of the probability of failure for a complex system as determined by a threshold condition on a computer model of system behavior. The method is designed to minimize the number of evaluations of the computer model while preserving the geometry of the decision boundary that determines the probability. It employs an adaptive sampling strategy designed to strategically allocate points near the boundary determining failure and builds a locally linear surrogate boundary that remains consistent with its geometry by strategic clustering of training points. We prove two convergence results and we compare the performance of the method against a number of state of the art classification methods on four test problems. We also apply the method to determine the probability of survival using the Lotka--Volterra model for competing species.


All Emulators are Wrong, Many are Useful, and Some are More Useful Than Others: A Reproducible Comparison of Computer Model Surrogates

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Accurate and efficient surrogate modeling is essential for modern computational science, and there are a staggering number of emulation methods to choose from. With new methods being developed all the time, comparing the relative strengths and weaknesses of different methods remains a challenge due to inconsistent benchmarking practices and (sometimes) limited reproducibility and transparency. In this work, we present a large-scale, fully reproducible comparison of $29$ distinct emulators across $60$ canonical test functions and $40$ real emulation datasets. To facilitate rigorous, apples-to-apples comparisons, we introduce the R package \texttt{duqling}, which streamlines reproducible simulation studies using a consistent, simple syntax, and automatic internal scaling of inputs. This framework allows researchers to compare emulators in a unified environment and makes it possible to replicate or extend previous studies with minimal effort, even across different publications. Our results provide detailed empirical insight into the strengths and weaknesses of state-of-the-art emulators and offer guidance for both method developers and practitioners selecting a surrogate for new data. We discuss best practices for emulator comparison and highlight how \texttt{duqling} can accelerate research in emulator design and application.


Toward Robustness against Label Noise in Training Deep Discriminative Neural Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

Collecting large training datasets, annotated with high-quality labels, is costly and time-consuming. This paper proposes a novel framework for training deep convolutional neural networks from noisy labeled datasets that can be obtained cheaply. The problem is formulated using an undirected graphical model that represents the relationship between noisy and clean labels, trained in a semi-supervised setting.




Enhancing Learned Knowledge in LoRA Adapters Through Efficient Contrastive Decoding on Ascend NPUs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Huawei Cloud users leverage LoRA (Low-Rank Adaptation) as an efficient and scalable method to fine-tune and customize large language models (LLMs) for application-specific needs. However, tasks that require complex reasoning or deep contextual understanding are often hindered by biases or interference from the base model when using typical decoding methods like greedy or beam search. These biases can lead to generic or task-agnostic responses from the base model instead of leveraging the LoRA-specific adaptations. In this paper, we introduce Contrastive LoRA Decoding (CoLD), a novel decoding framework designed to maximize the use of task-specific knowledge in LoRA-adapted models, resulting in better downstream performance. CoLD uses contrastive decoding by scoring candidate tokens based on the divergence between the probability distributions of a LoRA-adapted expert model and the corresponding base model. This approach prioritizes tokens that better align with the LoRA's learned representations, enhancing performance for specialized tasks. While effective, a naive implementation of CoLD is computationally expensive because each decoding step requires evaluating multiple token candidates across both models. To address this, we developed an optimized kernel for Huawei's Ascend NPU. CoLD achieves up to a 5.54% increase in task accuracy while reducing end-to-end latency by 28% compared to greedy decoding. This work provides practical and efficient decoding strategies for fine-tuned LLMs in resource-constrained environments and has broad implications for applied data science in both cloud and on-premises settings.


Targeted tuning of random forests for quantile estimation and prediction intervals

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present a novel tuning procedure for random forests (RFs) that improves the accuracy of estimated quantiles and produces valid, relatively narrow prediction intervals. While RFs are typically used to estimate mean responses (conditional on covariates), they can also be used to estimate quantiles by estimating the full distribution of the response. However, standard approaches for building RFs often result in excessively biased quantile estimates. To reduce this bias, our proposed tuning procedure minimizes "quantile coverage loss" (QCL), which we define as the estimated bias of the marginal quantile coverage probability estimate based on the out-of-bag sample. We adapt QCL tuning to handle censored data and demonstrate its use with random survival forests. We show that QCL tuning results in quantile estimates with more accurate coverage probabilities than those achieved using default parameter values or traditional tuning (using MSPE for uncensored data and C-index for censored data), while also reducing the estimated MSE of these coverage probabilities. We discuss how the superior performance of QCL tuning is linked to its alignment with the estimation goal. Finally, we explore the validity and width of prediction intervals created using this method.


Threshold Strategy for Leaking Corner-Free Hamilton-Jacobi Reachability with Decomposed Computations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) Reachability is widely used to compute value functions for states satisfying specific control objectives. However, it becomes intractable for high-dimensional problems due to the curse of dimensionality. Dimensionality reduction approaches are essential for mitigating this challenge, whereas they could introduce the ``leaking corner issue", leading to inaccuracies in the results. In this paper, we define the ``leaking corner issue" in terms of value functions, propose and prove a necessary condition for its occurrence. We then use these theoretical contributions to introduce a new local updating method that efficiently corrects inaccurate value functions while maintaining the computational efficiency of the dimensionality reduction approaches. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method through numerical simulations. Although we validate our method with the self-contained subsystem decomposition (SCSD), our approach is applicable to other dimensionality reduction techniques that introduce the ``leaking corners".