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Universal Modelling of Autocovariance Functions via Spline Kernels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Flexible modelling of the autocovariance function (ACF) is central to time-series, spatial, and spatio-temporal analysis. Modern applications often demand flexibility beyond classical parametric models, motivating non-parametric descriptions of the ACF. Bochner's Theorem guarantees that any positive spectral measure yields a valid ACF via the inverse Fourier transform; however, existing non-parametric approaches in the spectral domain rarely return closed-form expressions for the ACF itself. We develop a flexible, closed-form class of non-parametric ACFs by deriving the inverse Fourier transform of B-spline spectral bases with arbitrary degree and knot placement. This yields a general class of ACF with three key features: (i) it is provably dense, under an $L^1$ metric, in the space of weakly stationary, mean-square continuous ACFs with mild regularity conditions; (ii) it accommodates univariate, multivariate, and multidimensional processes; and (iii) it naturally supports non-separable structure without requiring explicit imposition. Jackson-type approximation bounds establish convergence rates, and empirical results on simulated and real-world data demonstrate accurate process recovery. The method provides a practical and theoretically grounded approach for constructing a non-parametric class of ACF.


Elon Musk jokes that it's 'just a scratch' as his SpaceX Starship rocket bursts into a gigantic ball of flames during explosion at test site in Texas

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Elon Musk has made light of the latest SpaceX test, which ended with the enormous rocket exploding on the launch pad. While footage showed Starship bursting into a gigantic ball of fire, Musk claimed that this was'just a scratch.' The Starship 36 rocket was undergoing a static fire test at SpaceX's Starbase test site at around 11pm last night, when its nose suddenly burst open. Within seconds, a giant ball of fire could be seen spreading on the ground as black clouds of smoke reached up to the night sky. The static fire test is a pre-flight procedure in which a rocket engine or a set of engines are ignited while the vehicle is firmly bolted to the launch mount, meaning the rocket was not set to launch Wednesday night when the explosion occurred. In a statement, SpaceX said the rocket suffered'a major anomaly while on a test stand at Starbase.


Life on Mars: Humans will live in huge 'space oases' on the Red Planet in just 15 years, European Space Agency predicts

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Imagine a future where humans live in huge'space oases' on Mars โ€“ luxury indoor habitats made of heat-reflective material that grow their own food. Robots are sent into the vast Martian wilderness, where they explore without the risk of exhaustion, radiation poisoning or dust contamination. Enormous space stations and satellites are manufactured in orbit, AI is trusted to make critical decisions, and the whole solar system is connected by a vast internet network. While this sounds like science-fiction, the European Space Agency (ESA) hopes it will become a reality in just 15 years. In a new report, the agency โ€“ which represents more than 20 countries including the UK โ€“ outlines an ambitious vision for space exploration by 2040.


Israel activates 'Barak Magen' aerial defenses for system's first ever interception

FOX News

Israel activated a new aerial defense system โ€“ dubbed "Barak Magen" โ€“ for the first time on Sunday night, saying it intercepted and destroyed multiple Iranian drones. Israel activated a new aerial defense system โ€“ dubbed "Barak Magen," meaning "lightning shield" โ€“ for the first time on Sunday night, saying it intercepted and destroyed multiple Iranian drones. The Israeli Navy intercepted eight Iranian drones using the "Barak Magen" and its long-range air defense (LRAD) interceptor, which were launched from an Israeli navy Sa'ar 6 missile ship, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said in a statement. John Hannah, senior fellow at the National Security of America and the co-author of a report published earlier this month on Israel's defense against two massive Iranian missile attacks in 2024, told Fox News Digital on Monday that the air defense system "significantly enhances" the air and missile defense architecture of Israel's navy. "The Barak Magen is simply another arrow in the expanding quiver of Israel's highly sophisticated and increasingly diverse multi-tiered missile defense architecture โ€“ which was already, by leaps and bounds, the most advanced and experienced air defense system fielded by any country in the world," Hannah said.


Spatiotemporal deep learning models for detection of rapid intensification in cyclones

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Cyclone rapid intensification is the rapid increase in cyclone wind intensity, exceeding a threshold of 30 knots, within 24 hours. Rapid intensification is considered an extreme event during a cyclone, and its occurrence is relatively rare, contributing to a class imbalance in the dataset. A diverse array of factors influences the likelihood of a cyclone undergoing rapid intensification, further complicating the task for conventional machine learning models. In this paper, we evaluate deep learning, ensemble learning and data augmentation frameworks to detect cyclone rapid intensification based on wind intensity and spatial coordinates. We note that conventional data augmentation methods cannot be utilised for generating spatiotemporal patterns replicating cyclones that undergo rapid intensification. Therefore, our framework employs deep learning models to generate spatial coordinates and wind intensity that replicate cyclones to address the class imbalance problem of rapid intensification. We also use a deep learning model for the classification module within the data augmentation framework to di fferentiate between rapid and non-rapid intensification events during a cyclone. Our results show that data augmentation improves the results for rapid intensification detection in cyclones, and spatial coordinates play a critical role as input features to the given models. This paves the way for research in synthetic data generation for spatiotemporal data with extreme events. Introduction Over the past decade, the impacts of climate change have manifested in an alarming increase in the strength of tropical cyclones, characterised by elevated levels of precipitation and wind intensity, resulting in devastating consequences on a global scale [1, 2, 3]. Rappaport et al. [4] defined rapid intensification as a sudden surge in wind intensity exceeding 30 knots (35 miles / hour or 55 kilometres / hour) within 24 hours [5]. Forecasting the rapid intensification of high-category cyclones (Category 4 and 5) poses greater challenges due to their infrequent occurrence, in contrast to lower-category cyclones[6].


Improving the Predictability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation at Subseasonal Scales with Gaussian Process Models

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The Madden-Julian Oscillation, or MJO, is a significant weather pattern that affects weather, influencing rainfall, temperature, and even storm frequency and intensity. When the MJO is active, it can affect the weather globally. To better predict weather changes with 3-4 weeks in advance, we rely on the ability to predict the MJO's activity. Data-driven methods such as the ones that rely on deep neural networks have been recently employed to make such predictions. By examining existing MJO patterns, neural networks attempt to predict upcoming ones. However, while neural networks are robust enough to predict the MJO's activity, they do not provide confidence intervals for those predictions. To address this shortcoming, we use a model known as the "Gaussian process" or GP. This statistical tool is distinctive because it not only provides predictions but also quantifies the level of confidence in them.


Trump's Computer Chip Deals With Saudi Arabia and UAE Divide US Government

NYT > Economy

Over the course of a three-day trip to the Middle East, President Trump and his emissaries from Silicon Valley have transformed the Persian Gulf from an artificial-intelligence neophyte into an A.I. power broker. They have reached an enormous deal with the United Arab Emirates to deliver hundreds of thousands of today's most advanced chips from Nvidia annually to build one of the world's largest data center hubs in the region, three people familiar with the talks said. The shipments would begin this year, and include roughly 100,000 chips for G42, an Emirati A.I. firm, with the rest going to U.S. cloud service providers. The administration revealed the agreement on Thursday in an announcement unveiling a new A.I. campus in Abu Dhabi supported by 5 gigawatts of electrical power. It would the largest such project outside of the United States and help U.S. companies serve customers in Africa, Europe and Asia, the administration said.


TUGS: Physics-based Compact Representation of Underwater Scenes by Tensorized Gaussian

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Underwater 3D scene reconstruction is crucial for underwater robotic perception and navigation. However, the task is significantly challenged by the complex interplay between light propagation, water medium, and object surfaces, with existing methods unable to model their interactions accurately. Additionally, expensive training and rendering costs limit their practical application in underwater robotic systems. Therefore, we propose T ensorized Underwater Gaussian Splatting (TUGS), which can effectively solve the modeling challenges of the complex interactions between object geometries and water media while achieving significant parameter reduction. TUGS employs lightweight tensorized higher-order Gaussians with a physics-based underwater Adaptive Medium Estimation (AME) module, enabling accurate simulation of both light attenuation and backscatter effects in underwater environments. Compared to other NeRF-based and GS-based methods designed for underwater, TUGS is able to render high-quality underwater images with faster rendering speeds and less memory usage. Extensive experiments on real-world underwater datasets have demonstrated that TUGS can efficiently achieve superior reconstruction quality using a limited number of parameters, making it particularly suitable for memory-constrained underwater UA V applications.


Drone attacks raise stakes in new phase of Sudan's civil war

BBC News

The RSF is trying to show that they don't need to reach Port Sudan by land in order to be able to have an impact there,


Trump's Middle East visit opens floodgate of AI deals led by Nvidia

The Japan Times

The administration of U.S. President Donald Trump is clearing a path for two key Persian Gulf allies to pursue their artificial intelligence ambitions -- and some of the biggest U.S. tech companies are seizing on that opening with plans to spend billions of dollars in the region. Under agreements with the U.S. expected to be unveiled in coming days, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are poised to win wider access to advanced AI chips from Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices that are considered the gold standard for running AI models. The deals are taking shape while President Donald Trump visits the Middle East seeking to forge deeper business ties that put U.S. technology initiatives at center stage. Even before any formal announcement of accords between the U.S. and its partners, news began to emerge of American companies readying expanded projects in the region.