We present a method for automatically constructing macro-actions from scratch from primitive actions during the reinforcement learning process. The overall idea is to reinforce the tendency to perform action b after action a if such a pattern of actions has been rewarded. We test the method on a bicycle task, the car-on-the-hill task, the racetrack task and some grid-world tasks. For the bicycle and racetrack tasks the use of macro-actions approximately halves the learning time, while for one of the grid-world tasks the learning time is reduced by a factor of 5. The method did not work for the car-on-the-hill task for reasons we discuss in the conclusion.

"goal-directed"; i.e., there is no direct way

A directed generative model for binary data using a small number of hidden continuous units is investigated. The relationships between the correlations of the underlying continuous Gaussian variables and the binary output variables are utilized to learn the appropriate weights of the network. The advantages of this approach are illustrated on a translationally invariant binary distribution and on handwritten digit images. Introduction Principal Components Analysis (PCA) is a widely used statistical technique for representing data with a large number of variables [1]. It is based upon the assumption that although the data is embedded in a high dimensional vector space, most of the variability in the data is captured by a much lower climensional manifold. In particular for PCA, this manifold is described by a linear hyperplane whose characteristic directions are given by the eigenvectors of the correlation matrix with the largest eigenvalues. The success of PCA and closely related techniques such as Factor Analysis (FA) and PCA mixtures clearly indicate that much real world data exhibit the low dimensional manifold structure assumed by these models [2, 3]. However, the linear manifold structure of PCA is not appropriate for data with binary valued variables.

In this paper, we address two issues of longstanding interest in the reinforcement learning literature. First, what kinds of performance guarantees can be made for Q-learning after only a finite number of actions? Second, what quantitative comparisons can be made between Q-learning and model-based (indirect) approaches, which use experience to estimate next-state distributions for off-line value iteration? We first show that both Q-learning and the indirect approach enjoy rather rapid convergence to the optimal policy as a function of the number of state transitions observed.

This paper applies the Mixture of Gaussians probabilistic model, combined with Expectation Maximization optimization to the task of summarizing three dimensional range data for a mobile robot. This provides a flexible way of dealing with uncertainties in sensor information, and allows the introduction of prior knowledge into low-level perception modules. Problems with the basic approach were solved in several ways: the mixture of Gaussians was reparameterized to reflect the types of objects expected in the scene, and priors on model parameters were included in the optimization process. Both approaches force the optimization to find'interesting' objects, given the sensor and object characteristics. A higher level classifier was used to interpret the results provided by the model, and to reject spurious solutions.

These Ca2 signals are often organized in complex temporal and spatial patterns even under conditions of sustained stimulation.

We describe a real-time computer vision and machine learning system for modeling and recognizing human behaviors in two different scenarios: (1) complex, twohanded action recognition in the martial art of Tai Chi and (2) detection and recognition of individual human behaviors and multiple-person interactions in a visual surveillance task. In the latter case, the system is particularly concerned with detecting when interactions between people occur, and classifying them. Graphical models, such as Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) [6] and Coupled Hidden Markov Models (CHMMs) [3, 2], seem appropriate for modeling and, classifying human behaviors because they offer dynamic time warping, a well-understood training algorithm, and a clear Bayesian semantics for both individual (HMMs) and interacting or coupled (CHMMs) generative processes. A major problem with this data-driven statistical approach, especially when modeling rare or anomalous behaviors, is the limited number of training examples. A major emphasis of our work, therefore, is on efficient Bayesian integration of both prior knowledge with evidence from data. We will show that for situations involving multiple independent (or partially independent) agents the Coupled HMM approach generates much better results than traditional HMM methods. In addition, we have developed a synthetic agent or Alife modeling environment for building and training flexible a priori models of various behaviors using software agents. Simulation with these software agents yields synthetic data that can be used to train prior models. These prior models can then be used recursively in a Bayesian framework to fit real behavioral data.

In this paper, we propose to use recurrent reinforcement learning to directly optimize such trading system performance functions, and we compare two different reinforcement learning methods. The first, Recurrent Reinforcement Learning, uses immediate rewards to train the trading systems, while the second (Q-Learning (Watkins 1989)) approximates discounted future rewards. These methodologies can be applied to optimizing systems designed to trade a single security or to trade portfolios . In addition, we propose a novel value function for risk-adjusted return that enables learning to be done online: the differential Sharpe ratio. Trading system profits depend upon sequences of interdependent decisions, and are thus path-dependent. Optimal trading decisions when the effects of transactions costs, market impact and taxes are included require knowledge of the current system state. In Moody, Wu, Liao & Saffell (1998), we demonstrate that reinforcement learning provides a more elegant and effective means for training trading systems when transaction costs are included, than do more standard supervised approaches.

In previous work [6, 9, 10], we advanced a new technique for direct visual matching of images for the purposes of face recognition and image retrieval, using a probabilistic measure of similarity based primarily on a Bayesian (MAP) analysis of image differences, leading to a "dual" basis similar to eigenfaces [13]. The performance advantage of this probabilistic matching technique over standard Euclidean nearest-neighbor eigenface matching was recently demonstrated using results from DARPA's 1996 "FERET" face recognition competition, in which this probabilistic matching algorithm was found to be the top performer. We have further developed a simple method of replacing the costly com put ion of nonlinear (online) Bayesian similarity measures by the relatively inexpensive computation of linear (offline) subspace projections and simple (online) Euclidean norms, thus resulting in a significant computational speedup for implementation with very large image databases as typically encountered in real-world applications.

In 1986, Tanner and Mead [1] implemented an interesting constraint satisfaction circuit for global motion sensing in a VLSI. We report here a new and improved a VLSI implementation that provides smooth optical flow as well as global motion in a two dimensional visual field. The computation of optical flow is an ill-posed problem, which expresses itself as the aperture problem. However, the optical flow can be estimated by the use of regularization methods, in which additional constraints are introduced in terms of a global energy functional that must be minimized. We show how the algorithmic constraints of Hom and Schunck [2] on computing smooth optical flow can be mapped onto the physical constraints of an equivalent electronic network.