This paper reveals a previously ignored connection between two important fields: regularization and independent component analysis (ICA). We show that at least one representative of a broad class of algorithms (regularizers that reduce network complexity) extracts independent features as a byproduct. This algorithm is Flat Minimum Search (FMS), a recent general method for finding low-complexity networks with high generalization capability. FMS works by minimizing both training error and required weight precision. According to our theoretical analysis the hidden layer of an FMS-trained autoassociator attempts at coding each input by a sparse code with as few simple features as possible.

Cluster analysis is a fundamental principle in exploratory data analysis, providing the user with a description of the group structure of given data. A key problem in this context is the interpretation and visualization of clustering solutions in high-dimensional or abstract data spaces. In particular, probabilistic descriptions of the group structure, essential to capture inter-cluster relationships, are hardly assessable by simple inspection ofthe probabilistic assignment variables. VVe present a novel approach to the visualization of group structure. It is based on a statistical model of the object assignments which have been observed or estimated by a probabilistic clustering procedure. The objects or data points are embedded in a low dimensional Euclidean space by approximating the observed data statistics with a Gaussian mixture model. The algorithm provides a new approach to the visualization of the inherent structure for a broad variety of data types, e.g.

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative procedure for maximum likelihood parameter estimation from data sets with missing or hidden variables [2]. It has been applied to system identification in linear stochastic state-space models, where the state variables are hidden from the observer and both the state and the parameters of the model have to be estimated simultaneously [9]. We present a generalization of the EM algorithm for parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamical systems. The "expectation" step makes use of Extended Kalman Smoothing to estimate the state, while the "maximization" step re-estimates the parameters using these uncertain state estimates. In general, the nonlinear maximization step is difficult because it requires integrating out the uncertainty in the states.

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We propose a novel strategy for training neural networks using sequential sampling-importance resampling algorithms. This global optimisation strategy allows us to learn the probability distribution of the network weights in a sequential framework. It is well suited to applications involving online, nonlinear, non-Gaussian or non-stationary signal processing. 1 INTRODUCTION This paper addresses sequential training of neural networks using powerful sampling techniques. Sequential techniques are important in many applications of neural networks involving real-time signal processing, where data arrival is inherently sequential. Furthermore, one might wish to adopt a sequential training strategy to deal with non-stationarity in signals, so that information from the recent past is lent more credence than information from the distant past. One way to sequentially estimate neural network models is to use a state space formulation and the extended Kalman filter (Singhal and Wu 1988, de Freitas, Niranjan and Gee 1998).

The difficulties lie in the Monte-Carlo E-step which consists of sampling from the posterior distribution of the hidden variables given the observations. The new idea presented in this paper is to generate samples from a Gaussian approximation to the true posterior from which it is easy to obtain independent samples. The parameters of the Gaussian approximation are either derived from the extended Kalman filter or the Fisher scoring algorithm. In case the posterior density is multimodal we propose to approximate the posterior by a sum of Gaussians (mixture of modes approach). We show that sampling from the approximate posterior densities obtained by the above algorithms leads to better models than using point estimates for the hidden states. In our experiment, the Fisher scoring algorithm obtained a better approximation of the posterior mode than the EKF. For a multimodal distribution, the mixture of modes approach gave superior results. 1 INTRODUCTION Nonlinear state space models (NSSM) are a general framework for representing nonlinear time series. In particular, any NARMAX model (nonlinear auto-regressive moving average model with external inputs) can be translated into an equivalent NSSM.

Yule-Walker) are available for learning Auto-Regressive process models of simple, directly observable, dynamical processes. When sensor noise means that dynamics are observed only approximately, learning can still been achieved via Expectation-Maximisation (EM) together with Kalman Filtering. However, this does not handle more complex dynamics, involving multiple classes of motion.

The technique of principal component analysis (PCA) has recently been expressed as the maximum likelihood solution for a generative latent variable model. In this paper we use this probabilistic reformulation as the basis for a Bayesian treatment of PCA. Our key result is that effective dimensionality of the latent space (equivalent to the number of retained principal components) can be determined automatically as part of the Bayesian inference procedure. An important application of this framework is to mixtures of probabilistic PCA models, in which each component can determine its own effective complexity.

Lazy learning is a memory-based technique that, once a query is received, extracts a prediction interpolating locally the neighboring examples of the query which are considered relevant according to a distance measure. In this paper we propose a data-driven method to select on a query-by-query basis the optimal number of neighbors to be considered for each prediction. As an efficient way to identify and validate local models, the recursive least squares algorithm is introduced in the context of local approximation and lazy learning. Furthermore, beside the winner-takes-all strategy for model selection, a local combination of the most promising models is explored. The method proposed is tested on six different datasets and compared with a state-of-the-art approach.

We introduce a semi-supervised support vector machine (S3yM) method. Given a training set of labeled data and a working set of unlabeled data, S3YM constructs a support vector machine using both the training and working sets. We use S3 YM to solve the transduction problem using overall risk minimization (ORM) posed by Yapnik. The transduction problem is to estimate the value of a classification function at the given points in the working set. This contrasts with the standard inductive learning problem of estimating the classification function at all possible values and then using the fixed function to deduce the classes of the working set data.