We present an algorithm that induces a class of models with thin junction trees--models that are characterized by an upper bound on the size of the maximal cliques of their triangulated graph. By ensuring that the junction tree is thin, inference in our models remains tractable throughout the learning process. This allows both an efficient implementation of an iterative scaling parameter estimation algorithm and also ensures that inference can be performed efficiently with the final model. We illustrate the approach with applications in handwritten digit recognition and DNA splice site detection.

SMC is often referred to as particle filtering (PF) in the context of computing filtering distributions for statistical inference and learning. It is known that the performance of PF often deteriorates in high-dimensional state spaces. In the past, we have shown that if a model admits partial analytical tractability, it is possible to combine PF with exact algorithms (Kalman filters, HMM filters, junction tree algorithm) to obtain efficient high dimensional filters (Doucet, de Freitas, Murphy and Russell 2000, Doucet, Godsill and Andrieu 2000). In particular, we exploited a marginalisation technique known as Rao-Blackwellisation (RB). Here, we attack a more complex model that does not admit immediate analytical tractability.

In many discrimination problems a large amount of data is available but only a few of them are labeled. This provides a strong motivation to improve or develop methods for semi-supervised learning. In this paper, boosting is generalized to this task within the optimization framework of MarginBoost. We extend the margin definition to unlabeled data and develop the gradient descent algorithm that corresponds to the resulting margin cost function. This meta-learning scheme can be applied to any base classifier able to benefit from unlabeled data. We propose here to apply it to mixture models trained with an Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Promising results are presented on benchmarks with different rates of labeled data.

We investigate the generalization performance of some learning problems in Hilbert functional Spaces. We introduce a notion of convergence of the estimated functional predictor to the best underlying predictor, and obtain an estimate on the rate of the convergence. This estimate allows us to derive generalization bounds on some learning formulations.

Note that lEs is the expectation operator under the selection of the sample.

Recurrent neural networks of analog units are computers for realvalued functions. We study the time complexity of real computation in general recurrent neural networks. These have sigmoidal, linear, and product units of unlimited order as nodes and no restrictions on the weights. For networks operating in discrete time, we exhibit a family of functions with arbitrarily high complexity, and we derive almost tight bounds on the time required to compute these functions. Thus, evidence is given of the computational limitations that time-bounded analog recurrent neural networks are subject to. 1 Introduction Analog recurrent neural networks are known to have computational capabilities that exceed those of classical Turing machines (see, e.g., Siegelmann and Sontag, 1995; Kilian and Siegelmann, 1996; Siegelmann, 1999).

We study the dynamics of a Hebbian ICA algorithm extracting a single non-Gaussian component from a high-dimensional Gaussian background.

Using methods of Statistical Physics, we investigate the rOle of model complexity in learning with support vector machines (SVMs). We show the advantages of using SVMs with kernels of infinite complexity on noisy target rules, which, in contrast to common theoretical beliefs, are found to achieve optimal generalization error although the training error does not converge to the generalization error. Moreover, we find a universal asymptotics of the learning curves which only depend on the target rule but not on the SVM kernel. 1 Introduction Powerful systems for data inference, like neural networks implement complex inputoutput relations by learning from example data. The price one has to pay for the flexibility of these models is the need to choose the proper model complexity for a given task, i.e. the system architecture which gives good generalization ability for novel data. This has become an important problem also for support vector machines [1].

We study properties of popular near-uniform (Dirichlet) priors for learning undersampled probability distributions on discrete nonmetric spaces and show that they lead to disastrous results. However, an Occam-style phase space argument expands the priors into their infinite mixture and resolves most of the observed problems. This leads to a surprisingly good estimator of entropies of discrete distributions. Learning a probability distribution from examples is one of the basic problems in data analysis. Common practical approaches introduce a family of parametric models, leading to questions about model selection. In Bayesian inference, computing the total probability of the data arising from a model involves an integration over parameter space, and the resulting "phase space volume" automatically discriminates against models with larger numbers of parameters--hence the description of these volume terms as Occam factors [1, 2]. As we move from finite parameterizations to models that are described by smooth functions, the integrals over parameter space become functional integrals and methods from quantum field theory allow us to do these integrals asymptotically; again the volume in model space consistent with the data is larger for models that are smoother and hence less complex [3]. Further, at least under some conditions the relevant degree of smoothness can be determined self-consistently from the data, so that we approach something like a model independent method for learning a distribution [4]. The results emphasizing the importance of phase space factors in learning prompt us to look back at a seemingly much simpler problem, namely learning a distribution on a discrete, nonmetric space.

We combine the replica approach from statistical physics with a variational approach to analyze learning curves analytically. We apply the method to Gaussian process regression. As a main result we derive approximative relations between empirical error measures, the generalization error and the posterior variance.