However, SVMs require to solve a quadratic optimization problem which needs resources that are at least quadratic in the number of training examples, and it is thus hopeless to try solving problems having millions of examples using classical SVMs. In order to overcome this drawback, we propose in this paper to use a mixture of several SVMs, each of them trained only on a part of the dataset. The idea of an SVM mixture is not new, although previous attempts such as Kwok's paper on Support Vector Mixtures [5] did not train the SVMs on part of the dataset but on the whole dataset and hence could not overcome the'Part of this work has been done while Ronan Collobert was at IDIAP, CP 592, rue du Simplon 4, 1920 Martigny, Switzerland.

We combine the replica approach from statistical physics with a variational approach to analyze learning curves analytically. We apply the method to Gaussian process regression. As a main result we derive approximative relations between empirical error measures, the generalization error and the posterior variance.

Hebbian learning rules are generally formulated as static rules.

Using methods of Statistical Physics, we investigate the rOle of model complexity in learning with support vector machines (SVMs). We show the advantages of using SVMs with kernels of infinite complexity on noisy target rules, which, in contrast to common theoretical beliefs, are found to achieve optimal generalization error although the training error does not converge to the generalization error. Moreover, we find a universal asymptotics of the learning curves which only depend on the target rule but not on the SVM kernel. 1 Introduction Powerful systems for data inference, like neural networks implement complex inputoutput relations by learning from example data. The price one has to pay for the flexibility of these models is the need to choose the proper model complexity for a given task, i.e. the system architecture which gives good generalization ability for novel data. This has become an important problem also for support vector machines [1].

This paper deals with a neural network architecture which establishes a portfolio management system similar to the Black / Litterman approach. This allocation scheme distributes funds across various securities or financial markets while simultaneously complying with specific allocation constraints which meet the requirements of an investor. The portfolio optimization algorithm is modeled by a feedforward neural network. The underlying expected return forecasts are based on error correction neural networks (ECNN), which utilize the last model error as an auxiliary input to evaluate their own misspecification. The portfolio optimization is implemented such that (i.) the allocations comply with investor's constraints and that (ii.) the risk of the portfolio can be controlled.

This paper presents reinforcement learning with a Long Short Term Memory recurrent neural network: RL-LSTM. Model-free RL-LSTM using Advantage(,x) learning and directed exploration can solve non-Markovian tasks with long-term dependencies between relevant events. This is demonstrated in a T-maze task, as well as in a difficult variation of the pole balancing task. 1 Introduction Reinforcement learning (RL) is a way of learning how to behave based on delayed reward signals [12]. Among the more important challenges for RL are tasks where part of the state of the environment is hidden from the agent. Such tasks are called non-Markovian tasks or Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes. Many real world tasks have this problem of hidden state. For instance, in a navigation task different positions in the environment may look the same, but one and the same action may lead to different next states or rewards. Thus, hidden state makes RL more realistic.

In this paper we show that online algorithms for classification and regression can be naturally used to obtain hypotheses with good datadependent tail bounds on their risk. Our results are proven without requiring complicated concentration-of-measure arguments and they hold for arbitrary online learning algorithms. Furthermore, when applied to concrete online algorithms, our results yield tail bounds that in many cases are comparable or better than the best known bounds.

The adaptive TAP Gibbs free energy for a general densely connected probabilistic model with quadratic interactions and arbritary single site constraints is derived. We show how a specific sequential minimization of the free energy leads to a generalization of Minka's expectation propagation. Lastly, we derive a sparse representation version of the sequential algorithm. The usefulness of the approach is demonstrated on classification and density estimation with Gaussian processes and on an independent component analysis problem.

In kernel based learning the data is mapped to a kernel feature space of a dimension that corresponds to the number of training data points. In practice, however, the data forms a smaller submanifold in feature space, a fact that has been used e.g. by reduced set techniques for SVMs. We propose a new mathematical construction that permits to adapt to the intrinsic dimension and to find an orthonormal basis of this submanifold. In doing so, computations get much simpler and more important our theoretical framework allows to derive elegant kernelized blind source separation (BSS) algorithms for arbitrary invertible nonlinear mixings. Experiments demonstrate the good performance and high computational efficiency of our kTDSEP algorithm for the problem of nonlinear BSS.

We show that it is possible to extend hidden Markov models to have a countably infinite number of hidden states. By using the theory of Dirichlet processes we can implicitly integrate out the infinitely many transition parameters, leaving only three hyperparameters which can be learned from data. These three hyperparameters define a hierarchical Dirichlet process capable of capturing a rich set of transition dynamics. The three hyperparameters control the time scale of the dynamics, the sparsity of the underlying state-transition matrix, and the expected number of distinct hidden states in a finite sequence. In this framework it is also natural to allow the alphabet of emitted symbols to be infinite-- consider, for example, symbols being possible words appearing in English text.