In this paper we propose a research agenda on the use of information markets as tools to collect, aggregate and analyze citizens’ opinions, expectations and preferences from social media in order to support public policy design and implementation. We argue that markets are institutional settings able to efficiently allocate scarce resources, aggregate and disseminate information into prices and accommodate hedging against various types of risks. We discuss various types of information markets, as well as address the participation of both human and computational agents in such markets.

Innovation is a key instrument to start a transformational process based on collaboration. It is fundamental for organisations and institutions to have well defined strategies. In this context, brainstorming sessions - and e-brainstorming tools - are effective techniques to put together and associate draft ideas. Yet, in many cases, those ideas and associations do not leave enough digital footprints, are no further used or are lost. This paper introduces the use of Social and Semantic Web technologies to support e-brainstorming. In particular, we present a lightweight ontology to structure e-brainstorming sessions, and the enrichment of existing e-brainstorming tools to do so.

What will social media sites of tomorrow look like? What behaviors will their interfaces enable? A major challenge for designing new sites that allow a broader range of user actions is the difficulty of extrapolating from experience with current sites without first distinguishing correlations from underlying causal mechanisms. The growing availability of data on user activities provides new opportunities to uncover correlations among user activity, contributed content and the structure of links among users. However, such correlations do not necessarily translate into predictive models. Instead, empirically grounded mechanistic models provide a stronger basis for establishing causal mechanisms and discovering the underlying statistical laws governing social behavior. We describe a statistical physics-based framework for modeling and analyzing social media and illustrate its application to the problems of prediction and inference. We hope these examples will inspire the research community to explore these methods to look for empirically valid causal mechanisms for the observed correlations.

To experiment properly, scientists from many researchareas need large sets of real world data. Information re-trieval scientists for example often need to evaluate theiralgorithms on a dataset or a gold standard. The availabil-ity of these datasets often is insufficient and authors withthe same goal do not evaluate their approaches on thesame data. To make research results more transparentand comparable, we introduce Areca, an online portalfor sharing datasets and/or the results that were reachedwith the author’s algorithms on these datasets. Havingsuch an online comparison makes it easier to grasp thestate-of-the-art on certain tasks and drive research toimprove the results.

TweetTrader.net is a stock microblogging forum that leverages the wisdom of crowds to aggregate the information contained in stock-related tweets. Based on insights from academic research on stock microblogs, the application integrates inputs from text classification, user voting and a proprietary Stock Game in order to extract the sentiment (i.e., the bullishness) of online investors with respect to all publicly traded companies of the S&P 500.

Geotagged photos of users on social media sites provide abundant location-based data, which can be exploited for various location-based services, such as travel recommendation. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to a new application, i.e., personalized landmark recommendation based on users’ geotagged photos. We formulate the landmark recommendation task as a collaborative filtering problem, for which we propose a category-regularized matrix factorization approach that integrates both user-landmark preference and category-based landmark similarity. We collected geotagged photos from Flickr and landmark categories from Wikipedia for our experiments. Our experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach outperforms popularity-based landmark recommendation and a basic matrix factorization approach in recommending personalized landmarks that are less visited by the population as a whole.

Twitter is a very popular way for people to share information on a bewildering multitude of topics. Tweets are propagated using a variety of channels: by following users or lists, by searching or by retweeting. Of these vectors, retweeting is arguably the most effective, as it can potentially reach the most people, given its viral nature. A key task is predicting if a tweet will be retweeted, and solving this problem furthers our understanding of message propagation within large user communities. We carry out a human experiment on the task of deciding whether a tweet will be retweeted which shows that the task is possible, as human performance levels are much above chance. Using a machine learning approach based on the passive-aggressive algorithm, we are able to automatically predict retweets as well as humans. Analyzing the learned model, we find that performance is dominated by social features, but that tweet features add a substantial boost.

The blogosphere shows the characteristics of a power law distribution where a small set of the bloggers (influentials) get the majority of readership and the vast majority receives little traffic. Blogger recommendation algorithms aim at finding influentials for recommendation, putting bloggers with limited readership at further disadvantage. These bloggers could benefit from mutual endorsement of each other with the eventual goal of forming strong local communities with broader readership. In this paper, we propose a recommendation algorithm to connect blogger pairs with the intent that once connected the bloggers would share a mutually influencing relationship between them. In particular, we compute bloggers' influence profile based on how much she influences her blog friends and recommend bloggers with similar influence profiles. We characterize bloggers into four different groups: global leaders, connectors, local leaders, isolates. Our result shows marginal benefit for isolates and significant benefit for local leaders. Our approach can be instructive in building intelligent recommendation engine for bloggers with limited readership to build strong local communities.

We present a large-scale study of user behavior in Foursquare, conducted on a dataset of about 700 thousand users that spans a period of more than 100 days. We analyze user checkin dynamics, demonstrating how it reveals meaningful spatio-temporal patterns and offers the opportunity to study both user mobility and urban spaces. Our aim is to inform on how scientific researchers could utilise data generated in Location-based Social Networks to attain a deeper understanding of human mobility and how developers may take advantage of such systems to enhance applications such as recommender systems.

This paper proposes a model of information propagation mechanisms on the Web, describing all steps of its design and use in simulation. First the characteristics of a real network are studied, in particular in terms of citation policies: from a network extracted from the Web by a crawling tool, distinct publishing behaviours are identified and characterised. The Zero Crossing model for information diffusion is then extended to increase its expressive power and allow it to reproduce this variety of behaviours. Experimental results based on a simulation validate the proposed extension.