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mGPT: A Probabilistic Planner Based on Heuristic Search

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

We describe the version of the GPT planner used in the probabilistic track of the 4th International Planning Competition (ipc-4). This version, called mGPT, solves Markov Decision Processes specified in the ppddl language by extracting and using different classes of lower bounds along with various heuristic-search algorithms. The lower bounds are extracted from deterministic relaxations where the alternative probabilistic effects of an action are mapped into different, independent, deterministic actions. The heuristic-search algorithms use these lower bounds for focusing the updates and delivering a consistent value function over all states reachable from the initial state and the greedy policy.


Statistical Parameters of the Novel "Perekhresni stezhky" ("The Cross-Paths") by Ivan Franko

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Year 2006 is the 150th anniversary of Ivan Franko (1856-1916), the prominent Ukrainian writer, poet, publicist, philosopher, sociologist, economist, translator-polyglot and the public figure. His incomplete collected works were published in 50 volumes (Franko, 1976-86). With this name the notion of national identity in the Western Ukraine is connected. Franko's works have intensive plot and interesting topic.


Ignorability in Statistical and Probabilistic Inference

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

When dealing with incomplete data in statistical learning, or incomplete observations in probabilistic inference, one needs to distinguish the fact that a certain event is observed from the fact that the observed event has happened. Since the modeling and computational complexities entailed by maintaining this proper distinction are often prohibitive, one asks for conditions under which it can be safely ignored. Such conditions are given by the missing at random (mar) and coarsened at random (car) assumptions. In this paper we provide an in-depth analysis of several questions relating to mar/car assumptions. Main purpose of our study is to provide criteria by which one may evaluate whether a car assumption is reasonable for a particular data collecting or observational process. This question is complicated by the fact that several distinct versions of mar/car assumptions exist. We therefore first provide an overview over these different versions, in which we highlight the distinction between distributional and coarsening variable induced versions. We show that distributional versions are less restrictive and sufficient for most applications. We then address from two different perspectives the question of when the mar/car assumption is warranted. First we provide a ''static'' analysis that characterizes the admissibility of the car assumption in terms of the support structure of the joint probability distribution of complete data and incomplete observations. Here we obtain an equivalence characterization that improves and extends a recent result by Grunwald and Halpern. We then turn to a ''procedural'' analysis that characterizes the admissibility of the car assumption in terms of procedural models for the actual data (or observation) generating process. The main result of this analysis is that the stronger coarsened completely at random (ccar) condition is arguably the most reasonable assumption, as it alone corresponds to data coarsening procedures that satisfy a natural robustness property.



Probabilistic Hybrid Action Models for Predicting Concurrent Percept-driven Robot Behavior

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Most autonomous robots are equipped with restricted, unreliable, and inaccurate sensors and effectors and operate in complex and dynamic environments. A successful approach to deal with the resulting uncertainty is the use of controllers that prescribe the robots' behavior in terms of concurrent reactive plans (CRPs) -- plans that specify how the robots are to react to sensory input in order to accomplish their jobs reliably (e.g., McDermott, 1992a; Beetz, 1999). Reactive plans are successfully used to produce situation specific behavior, to detect problems and recover from them automatically, and to recognize and exploit opportunities (Beetz et al., 2001). These kinds of behaviors are particularly important for autonomous robots that have only uncertain information about the world, act in dynamically changing environments, and are to accomplish complex tasks efficiently. Besides reliability and flexibility, foresight is another important capability of competent autonomous robots (McDermott, 1992a).



A Suffix Tree Approach to Email Filtering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Just as email traffic has increased over the years since its in ception, so has the proportion that is unsolicited; some estimations have plac ed the proportion as high as 60%, and the average cost of this to business at arou nd $2000 per year, per employee (see [29] for a range of numbers and statis tics on spam). Unsolicited emails - commonly know as spam - have thereby become a daily feature of every email user's inbox; and regardless of advan ces in email filtering, spam continues to be a problem in a similar way to comp uter viruses which constantly reemerge in new guises. This leaves the res earch community with the task of continually investigating new approac hes to sorting the welcome emails (known as ham) from the unwelcome spam. W e present just such an approach to email classification and fi ltering based on a well studied data structure, the suffix tree (see [1 6] for a brief introduction). The approach is similar to many existing one s, in that it uses training examples to construct a model or profile of the class and its features, then uses this to make decisions as to the class of new example s; but it differs in the depth and extent of the anaysis. For a good overview of a number of text classification methods, see [26, 1, 31]. Using a suffix tree, we are able to compare not only single word s, as in most current approaches, but substrings of an arbitrary len gth.


On Self-Regulated Swarms, Societal Memory, Speed and Dynamics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Wasps, bees, ants and termites all make effective use of their environment and resources by displaying collective "swarm" intelligence. Termite colonies - for instance - build nests with a complexity far beyond the comprehension of the individual termite, while ant colonies dynamically allocate labor to various vital tasks such as foraging or defense without any central decision-making ability. Recent research suggests that microbial life can be even richer: highly social, intricately networked, and teeming with interactions, as found in bacteria. What strikes from these observations is that both ant colonies and bacteria have similar natural mechanisms based on Stigmergy and Self-Organization in order to emerge coherent and sophisticated patterns of global foraging behavior. Keeping in mind the above characteristics we propose a Self-Regulated Swarm (SRS) algorithm which hybridizes the advantageous characteristics of Swarm Intelligence as the emergence of a societal environmental memory or cognitive map via collective pheromone laying in the landscape (properly balancing the exploration/exploitation nature of our dynamic search strategy), with a simple Evolutionary mechanism that trough a direct reproduction procedure linked to local environmental features is able to self-regulate the above exploratory swarm population, speeding it up globally.


Hiding Satisfying Assignments: Two are Better than One

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

The evaluation of incomplete satisfiability solvers depends critically on the availability of hard satisfiable instances. A plausible source of such instances consists of random k-SAT formulas whose clauses are chosen uniformly from among all clauses satisfying some randomly chosen truth assignment A. Unfortunately, instances generated in this manner tend to be relatively easy and can be solved efficiently by practical heuristics. Roughly speaking, for a number of different algorithms, A acts as a stronger and stronger attractor as the formula's density increases. Motivated by recent results on the geometry of the space of satisfying truth assignments of random k-SAT and NAE-k-SAT formulas, we introduce a simple twist on this basic model, which appears to dramatically increase its hardness. Namely, in addition to forbidding the clauses violated by the hidden assignment A, we also forbid the clauses violated by its complement, so that both A and compliment of A are satisfying. It appears that under this "symmetrization" the effects of the two attractors largely cancel out, making it much harder for algorithms to find any truth assignment. We give theoretical and experimental evidence supporting this assertion.


Binary Encodings of Non-binary Constraint Satisfaction Problems: Algorithms and Experimental Results

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

A non-binary Constraint Satisfaction Problem (CSP) can be solved directly using extended versions of binary techniques. Alternatively, the non-binary problem can be translated into an equivalent binary one. In this case, it is generally accepted that the translated problem can be solved by applying well-established techniques for binary CSPs. In this paper we evaluate the applicability of the latter approach. We demonstrate that the use of standard techniques for binary CSPs in the encodings of non-binary problems is problematic and results in models that are very rarely competitive with the non-binary representation. To overcome this, we propose specialized arc consistency and search algorithms for binary encodings, and we evaluate them theoretically and empirically. We consider three binary representations; the hidden variable encoding, the dual encoding, and the double encoding. Theoretical and empirical results show that, for certain classes of non-binary constraints, binary encodings are a competitive option, and in many cases, a better one than the non-binary representation.