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Causal discovery of linear acyclic models with arbitrary distributions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

An important task in data analysis is the discovery of causal relationships between observed variables. For continuous-valued data, linear acyclic causal models are commonly used to model the data-generating process, and the inference of such models is a well-studied problem. However, existing methods have significant limitations. Methods based on conditional independencies (Spirtes et al. 1993; Pearl 2000) cannot distinguish between independence-equivalent models, whereas approaches purely based on Independent Component Analysis (Shimizu et al. 2006) are inapplicable to data which is partially Gaussian. In this paper, we generalize and combine the two approaches, to yield a method able to learn the model structure in many cases for which the previous methods provide answers that are either incorrect or are not as informative as possible. We give exact graphical conditions for when two distinct models represent the same family of distributions, and empirically demonstrate the power of our method through thorough simulations.


Bounds on the Bethe Free Energy for Gaussian Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We address the problem of computing approximate marginals in Gaussian probabilistic models by using mean field and fractional Bethe approximations. As an extension of Welling and Teh (2001), we define the Gaussian fractional Bethe free energy in terms of the moment parameters of the approximate marginals and derive an upper and lower bound for it. We give necessary conditions for the Gaussian fractional Bethe free energies to be bounded from below. It turns out that the bounding condition is the same as the pairwise normalizability condition derived by Malioutov et al. (2006) as a sufficient condition for the convergence of the message passing algorithm. By giving a counterexample, we disprove the conjecture in Welling and Teh (2001): even when the Bethe free energy is not bounded from below, it can possess a local minimum to which the minimization algorithms can converge.


A Planning Based Framework for Controlling Hybrid Systems

AAAI Conferences

The control of dynamic systems, which aims to minimize the deviation of state variables from reference values in a continuous state space, is a central domain of cybernetics and control theory. The objective of action planning is to find feasible state trajectories in a discrete state space from an initial state to a state satisfying the goal conditions, which in principle addresses the same issue on a more abstract level. We combine these approaches to switch between dynamic system characteristics on the fly, and to generate control input sequences that affect both discrete and continuous state variables. Our approach (called Domain Predictive Control) is applicable to hybrid systems with linear dynamics and discretizable inputs.


About Partial Order Reduction in Planning and Computer Aided Verification

AAAI Conferences

Partial order reduction is a state space pruning approach that has been originally introduced in computer aided verification. Recently, various partial order reduction techniques have also been proposed for planning. Despite very similar underlying ideas, the relevant literature from computer aided verification has hardly been analyzed in the planning area so far, and it is unclear how these techniques are formally related. We provide an analysis of existing partial order reduction techniques and their relationships. We show that recently proposed approaches in planning are instances of general partial order reduction approaches from computer aided verification. Our analysis reveals a hierarchy of dominance relationships and shows that there is still room for improvement for partial order reduction techniques in planning. Overall, we provide a first step towards a better understanding and a unifying theory of partial order reduction techniques from different areas.


Planning Via Random Walk-Driven Local Search

AAAI Conferences

The RW-LS planner Arvand-LS is described Most successful current satisficing planners combine several next, followed by a section about the generation and selection complementary search algorithms. Examples range from of harder problems from existing IPC domains for portfolio planners such as Fast Downward Stone Soup which scalable problem generators are available. The experimental (Helmert, Röger, and Karpas 2011) and loosely coupled parallel results for Arvand-LS show strong improvements planners such as ArvandHerd (Valenzano et al. 2011) to over the state of the art in both coverage and plan quality for systems which alternate several search strategies, such as FF hard problems from several IPC domains. The paper concludes (Hoffmann and Nebel 2001), FD (Helmert 2006), and ArvandHerd, with a discussion of possible future work, including and dual queue search algorithms as in LAMA perspectives for a portfolio system containing Arvand-LS. (Richter and Westphal 2010).


Learning Portfolios of Automatically Tuned Planners

AAAI Conferences

Portfolio planners and parameter tuning are two ideas that have recently attracted significant attention in the domain-independent planning community. We combine these two ideas and present a portfolio planner that runs automatically configured planners. We let the automatic parameter tuning framework ParamILS find fast configurations of the Fast Downward planning system for a number of planning domains. Afterwards we learn a portfolio of those planner configurations. Evaluation of our portfolio planner on the IPC 2011 domains shows that it has a significantly higher IPC score than the winner of the sequential satisficing track.


Optimal Planning for Delete-Free Tasks with Incremental LM-Cut

AAAI Conferences

Optimal plans of delete-free planning tasks are interesting both in domains that have no delete effects and as the relaxation heuristic h+ in general planning. Many heuristics for optimal and satisficing planning approximate the h+ heuristic, which is well-informed and admissible but intractable to compute. In this work, branch-and-bound and IDA* search are used in a search space tailored to delete-free planning together with an incrementally computed version of the LM-cut heuristic. The resulting algorithm for optimal delete-free planning exceeds the performance of A* with the LM-cut heuristic in the state-of-the-art planner Fast Downward.


Optimally Relaxing Partial-Order Plans with MaxSAT

AAAI Conferences

Partial-order plans (POPs) are attractive because of their least commitment nature, providing enhanced plan flexibility at execution time relative to sequential plans. Despite the appeal of POPs, most of the recent research on automated plan generation has focused on sequential plans. In this paper we examine the task of POP generation by relaxing or modifying the action orderings of a plan to optimize for plan criteria that promotes flexibility in the POP. Our approach relies on a novel partial weighted MaxSAT encoding of a plan that supports the minimization of deordering or reordering of actions. We further extend the classical least commitment criterion for a POP to consider the number of actions in a solution, and provide an encoding to achieve least commitment plans with respect to this criterion. We compare the effectiveness of our approach to a previous approach for POP generation via sequential-plan relaxation. Our results show that while the previous approach is proficient at heuristically finding the optimal deordering of a plan, our approach gains greater flexibility with the optimal reordering .


Enhanced Symmetry Breaking in Cost-Optimal Planning as Forward Search

AAAI Conferences

The paper illustrates a novel approach to conformant planning using classical planners. The approach relies on two core ideas developed to deal with incomplete information in the initial situation: the use of a classical planner to solve non-classical planning problems, and the reduction of the size of the initial belief state. Differently from previous uses of classical planners to solve non-classical planning problems, the approach proposed in this paper creates a valid plan from a possible plan---by inserting actions into the possible plan and maintaining only one level of non-deterministic choice (i.e., the initial plan being modified). The algorithm can be instantiated with different classical planners---the paper presents the GC[LAMA] implementation, whose classical planner is LAMA. We investigate properties of the approach, including conditions for completeness. GC[LAMA] is empirically evaluated against state-of-the-art conformant planners, using benchmarks from the literature. The experimental results show that GC[LAMA] is superior to other planners, in both performance and scalability. GC[LAMA] is the only planner that can solve the largest instances from several domains. The paper investigates the reasons behind the good performance and the challenges encountered in GC[LAMA].


Optimizing Plans through Analysis of Action Dependencies and Independencies

AAAI Conferences

The problem of automated planning is known to be intractable in general. Moreover, it has been proven that in some cases finding an optimal solution is much harder than finding any solution. Existing techniques have to compromise between speed of the planning process and quality of solutions. For example, techniques based on greedy search often are able to obtain solutions quickly, but the quality of the solutions is usually low. Similarly, adding macro-operators to planning domains often enables planning speed-up, but solution sequences are typically longer. In this paper, we propose a method for optimizing plans with respect to their length, by post-planning analysis. The method is based on analyzing action dependencies and independencies by which we are able to identify redundant actions or non-optimal sub-plans. To evaluate the process we provide preliminary empirical evidence using benchmark domains.