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Bayesian Network Structure Learning with Permutation Tests
Scutari, Marco, Brogini, Adriana
In literature there are several studies on the performance of Bayesian network structure learning algorithms. The focus of these studies is almost always the heuristics the learning algorithms are based on, i.e. the maximisation algorithms (in score-based algorithms) or the techniques for learning the dependencies of each variable (in constraint-based algorithms). In this paper we investigate how the use of permutation tests instead of parametric ones affects the performance of Bayesian network structure learning from discrete data. Shrinkage tests are also covered to provide a broad overview of the techniques developed in current literature.
Understanding the Social Cascading of Geekspeak and the Upshots for Social Cognitive Systems
Paradowski, Michaล B., Jonak, ลukasz
Barring swarm robotics, a substantial share of current machine-human and machine-machine learning and interaction mechanisms are being developed and fed by results of agent-based computer simulations, game-theoretic models, or robotic experiments based on a dyadic communication pattern. Yet, in real life, humans no less frequently communicate in groups, and gain knowledge and take decisions basing on information cumulatively gleaned from more than one single source. These properties should be taken into consideration in the design of autonomous artificial cognitive systems construed to interact with learn from more than one contact or 'neighbour'. To this end, significant practical import can be gleaned from research applying strict science methodology to human and social phenomena, e.g. to discovery of realistic creativity potential spans, or the 'exposure thresholds' after which new information could be accepted by a cognitive agent. The results will be presented of a project analysing the social propagation of neologisms in a microblogging service. From local, low-level interactions and information flows between agents inventing and imitating discrete lexemes we aim to describe the processes of the emergence of more global systemic order and dynamics, using the latest methods of complexity science. Whether in order to mimic them, or to 'enhance' them, parameters gleaned from complexity science approaches to humans' social and humanistic behaviour should subsequently be incorporated as points of reference in the field of robotics and human-machine interaction.
Online Speedup Learning for Optimal Planning
Domshlak, C., Karpas, E., Markovitch, S.
Domain-independent planning is one of the foundational areas in the field of Artificial Intelligence. A description of a planning task consists of an initial world state, a goal, and a set of actions for modifying the world state. The objective is to find a sequence of actions, that is, a plan, that transforms the initial world state into a goal state. In optimal planning, we are interested in finding not just a plan, but one of the cheapest plans. A prominent approach to optimal planning these days is heuristic state-space search, guided by admissible heuristic functions. Numerous admissible heuristics have been developed, each with its own strengths and weaknesses, and it is well known that there is no single "best'' heuristic for optimal planning in general. Thus, which heuristic to choose for a given planning task is a difficult question. This difficulty can be avoided by combining several heuristics, but that requires computing numerous heuristic estimates at each state, and the tradeoff between the time spent doing so and the time saved by the combined advantages of the different heuristics might be high. We present a novel method that reduces the cost of combining admissible heuristics for optimal planning, while maintaining its benefits. Using an idealized search space model, we formulate a decision rule for choosing the best heuristic to compute at each state. We then present an active online learning approach for learning a classifier with that decision rule as the target concept, and employ the learned classifier to decide which heuristic to compute at each state. We evaluate this technique empirically, and show that it substantially outperforms the standard method for combining several heuristics via their pointwise maximum.
A practical approach to language complexity: a Wikipedia case study
Yasseri, Taha, Kornai, Andrรกs, Kertรฉsz, Jรกnos
We try to address the issue of language complexity empirically by comparing the simple English Wikipedia (Simple) to comparable samples of the main English Wikipedia (Main). Simple is supposed to use a more simplified language with a limited vocabulary, and editors are explicitly requested to follow this guideline, yet in practice the vocabulary richness of both samples are at the same level. Detailed analysis of longer units (n-grams of words and part of speech tags) shows that the language of Simple is less complex than that of Main primarily due to the use of shorter sentences, as opposed to drastically simplified syntax or vocabulary. Comparing the two language varieties by the Gunning readability index supports this conclusion. We also report on the topical dependence of language complexity, e.g. that the language is more advanced in conceptual articles compared to person-based (biographical) and object-based articles. Finally, we investigate the relation between conflict and language complexity by analyzing the content of the talk pages associated to controversial and peacefully developing articles, concluding that controversy has the effect of reducing language complexity.
The Logical Difference for the Lightweight Description Logic EL
Konev, B., Ludwig, M., Walther, D., Wolter, F.
We study a logic-based approach to versioning of ontologies. Under this view, ontologies provide answers to queries about some vocabulary of interest. The difference between two versions of an ontology is given by the set of queries that receive different answers. We investigate this approach for terminologies given in the description logic EL extended with role inclusions and domain and range restrictions for three distinct types of queries: subsumption, instance, and conjunctive queries. In all three cases, we present polynomial-time algorithms that decide whether two terminologies give the same answers to queries over a given vocabulary and compute a succinct representation of the difference if it is non- empty. We present an implementation, CEX2, of the developed algorithms for subsumption and instance queries and apply it to distinct versions of Snomed CT and the NCI ontology.
Bayesian and L1 Approaches to Sparse Unsupervised Learning
Mohamed, Shakir, Heller, Katherine, Ghahramani, Zoubin
The use of L1 regularisation for sparse learning has generated immense research interest, with successful application in such diverse areas as signal acquisition, image coding, genomics and collaborative filtering. While existing work highlights the many advantages of L1 methods, in this paper we find that L1 regularisation often dramatically underperforms in terms of predictive performance when compared with other methods for inferring sparsity. We focus on unsupervised latent variable models, and develop L1 minimising factor models, Bayesian variants of "L1", and Bayesian models with a stronger L0-like sparsity induced through spike-and-slab distributions. These spike-and-slab Bayesian factor models encourage sparsity while accounting for uncertainty in a principled manner and avoiding unnecessary shrinkage of non-zero values. We demonstrate on a number of data sets that in practice spike-and-slab Bayesian methods outperform L1 minimisation, even on a computational budget. We thus highlight the need to re-assess the wide use of L1 methods in sparsity-reliant applications, particularly when we care about generalising to previously unseen data, and provide an alternative that, over many varying conditions, provides improved generalisation performance.
Evaluating Ontology Matching Systems on Large, Multilingual and Real-world Test Cases
Meilicke, Christian, Svรกb-Zamazal, Ondrej, Trojahn, Cรกssia, Jimรฉnez-Ruiz, Ernesto, Aguirre, Josรฉ-Luis, Stuckenschmidt, Heiner, Grau, Bernardo Cuenca
In the field of ontology matching, the most systematic evaluation of matching systems is established by the Ontology Alignment Evaluation Initiative (OAEI), which is an annual campaign for evaluating ontology matching systems organized by different groups of researchers. In this paper, we report on the results of an intermediary OAEI campaign called OAEI 2011.5. The evaluations of this campaign are divided in five tracks. Three of these tracks are new or have been improved compared to previous OAEI campaigns. Overall, we evaluated 18 matching systems. We discuss lessons learned, in terms of scalability, multilingual issues and the ability do deal with real world cases from different domains.
A Plea for Neutral Comparison Studies in Computational Sciences
Boulesteix, Anne-Laure, Eugster, Manuel J. A.
In a context where most published articles are devoted to the development of "new methods", comparison studies are generally appreciated by readers but surprisingly given poor consideration by many scientific journals. In connection with recent articles on over-optimism and epistemology published in Bioinformatics, this letter stresses the importance of neutral comparison studies for the objective evaluation of existing methods and the establishment of standards by drawing parallels with clinical research.
Detecting Events and Patterns in Large-Scale User Generated Textual Streams with Statistical Learning Methods
A vast amount of textual web streams is influenced by events or phenomena emerging in the real world. The social web forms an excellent modern paradigm, where unstructured user generated content is published on a regular basis and in most occasions is freely distributed. The present Ph.D. Thesis deals with the problem of inferring information - or patterns in general - about events emerging in real life based on the contents of this textual stream. We show that it is possible to extract valuable information about social phenomena, such as an epidemic or even rainfall rates, by automatic analysis of the content published in Social Media, and in particular Twitter, using Statistical Machine Learning methods. An important intermediate task regards the formation and identification of features which characterise a target event; we select and use those textual features in several linear, non-linear and hybrid inference approaches achieving a significantly good performance in terms of the applied loss function. By examining further this rich data set, we also propose methods for extracting various types of mood signals revealing how affective norms - at least within the social web's population - evolve during the day and how significant events emerging in the real world are influencing them. Lastly, we present some preliminary findings showing several spatiotemporal characteristics of this textual information as well as the potential of using it to tackle tasks such as the prediction of voting intentions.
The Complexity of Planning Revisited - A Parameterized Analysis
Baeckstroem, Christer, Chen, Yue, Jonsson, Peter, Ordyniak, Sebastian, Szeider, Stefan
The early classifications of the computational complexity of planning under various restrictions in STRIPS (Bylander) and SAS+ (Baeckstroem and Nebel) have influenced following research in planning in many ways. We go back and reanalyse their subclasses, but this time using the more modern tool of parameterized complexity analysis. This provides new results that together with the old results give a more detailed picture of the complexity landscape. We demonstrate separation results not possible with standard complexity theory, which contributes to explaining why certain cases of planning have seemed simpler in practice than theory has predicted. In particular, we show that certain restrictions of practical interest are tractable in the parameterized sense of the term, and that a simple heuristic is sufficient to make a well-known partial-order planner exploit this fact.