When applying unsupervised learning techniques like ICA or temporal decorrelation,a key question is whether the discovered projections arereliable. In other words: can we give error bars or can we assess the quality of our separation? We use resampling methods totackle these questions and show experimentally that our proposed variance estimations are strongly correlated to the separation error.We demonstrate that this reliability estimation can be used to choose the appropriate ICA-model, to enhance significantly theseparation performance, and, most important, to mark the components that have a actual physical meaning.

We show that it is possible to extend hidden Markov models to have a countably infinite number of hidden states. By using the theory of Dirichlet processes we can implicitly integrate out the infinitely many transition parameters, leaving only three hyperparameters which can be learned from data. These three hyperparameters define a hierarchical Dirichlet process capable of capturing a rich set of transition dynamics. The three hyperparameters control the time scale of the dynamics, the sparsity of the underlying state-transition matrix, and the expected number ofdistinct hidden states in a finite sequence. In this framework it is also natural to allow the alphabet of emitted symbols to be infinite-- consider, for example, symbols being possible words appearing in English text.

Agakov System Engineering Research Group Chair of Manufacturing Technology Universitiit Erlangen-Niirnberg 91058 Erlangen, Germany F.Agakov@lft·uni-erlangen.de Stephen N. Felderhof Division of Informatics University of Edinburgh Edinburgh EH1 2QL, UK stephenf@dai.ed.ac.uk Abstract Recently Hinton (1999) has introduced the Products of Experts (PoE) model in which several individual probabilistic models for data are combined to provide an overall model of the data. Below weconsider PoE models in which each expert is a Gaussian. Although the product of Gaussians is also a Gaussian, if each Gaussian hasa simple structure the product can have a richer structure. We examine (1) Products of Gaussian pancakes which give rise to probabilistic Minor Components Analysis, (2) products of I-factor PPCA models and (3) a products of experts construction for an AR(l) process. Recently Hinton (1999) has introduced the Products of Experts (PoE) model in which several individual probabilistic models for data are combined to provide an overall model of the data.

We present a new multiple-instance (MI) learning technique (EM DD) that combines EM with the diverse density (DD) algorithm. EM-DD is a general-purpose MI algorithm that can be applied with boolean or real-value labels and makes real-value predictions. On the boolean Musk benchmarks, the EM-DD algorithm without any tuning significantly outperforms all previous algorithms. EM-DD is relatively insensitive to the number of relevant attributes in the data set and scales up well to large bag sizes. Furthermore, EM DD provides a new framework for MI learning, in which the MI problem is converted to a single-instance setting by using EM to estimate the instance responsible for the label of the bag. 1 Introduction The multiple-instance (MI) learning model has received much attention.

The adaptive TAP Gibbs free energy for a general densely connected probabilistic model with quadratic interactions and arbritary single site constraints is derived. We show how a specific sequential minimization of the free energy leads to a generalization of Minka's expectation propagation. Lastly,we derive a sparse representation version of the sequential algorithm. The usefulness of the approach is demonstrated on classification anddensity estimation with Gaussian processes and on an independent componentanalysis problem.

Animal data on delayed-reward conditioning experiments shows a striking property - the data for different time intervals collapses into a single curve when the data is scaled by the time interval. This is called the scalar property of interval timing. Here a simple model of a neural clock is presented and shown to give rise to the scalar property. The model is an accumulator consisting of noisy, linear spiking neurons. It is analytically tractable and contains only three parameters.

We present a new approach to the supervised learning of lateral interactions forthe competitive layer model (CLM) dynamic feature binding architecture. The method is based on consistency conditions, which were recently shown to characterize the attractor states of this linear threshold recurrent network. For a given set of training examples the learning problem isformulated as a convex quadratic optimization problem in the lateral interaction weights. An efficient dimension reduction of the learning problem can be achieved by using a linear superposition of basis interactions.

Hebbian learning rules are generally formulated as static rules.

We study the dynamics of a Hebbian ICA algorithm extracting a single non-Gaussiancomponent from a high-dimensional Gaussian background.

We combine the replica approach from statistical physics with a variational approachto analyze learning curves analytically. We apply the method to Gaussian process regression. As a main result we derive approximative relationsbetween empirical error measures, the generalization error and the posterior variance.