Europe
Multivariate regression and fit function uncertainty
Kovesarki, Peter, Brock, Ian C.
This article describes a multivariate polynomial regression method where the uncertainty of the input parameters are approximated with Gaussian distributions, derived from the central limit theorem for large weighted sums, directly from the training sample. The estimated uncertainties can be propagated into the optimal fit function, as an alternative to the statistical bootstrap method. This uncertainty can be propagated further into a loss function like quantity, with which it is possible to calculate the expected loss function, and allows to select the optimal polynomial degree with statistical significance. Combined with simple phase space splitting methods, it is possible to model most features of the training data even with low degree polynomials or constants.
Developments in the theory of randomized shortest paths with a comparison of graph node distances
Kivimรคki, Ilkka, Shimbo, Masashi, Saerens, Marco
There have lately been several suggestions for parametrized distances on a graph that generalize the shortest path distance and the commute time or resistance distance. The need for developing such distances has risen from the observation that the above-mentioned common distances in many situations fail to take into account the global structure of the graph. In this article, we develop the theory of one family of graph node distances, known as the randomized shortest path dissimilarity, which has its foundation in statistical physics. We show that the randomized shortest path dissimilarity can be easily computed in closed form for all pairs of nodes of a graph. Moreover, we come up with a new definition of a distance measure that we call the free energy distance. The free energy distance can be seen as an upgrade of the randomized shortest path dissimilarity as it defines a metric, in addition to which it satisfies the graph-geodetic property. The derivation and computation of the free energy distance are also straightforward. We then make a comparison between a set of generalized distances that interpolate between the shortest path distance and the commute time, or resistance distance. This comparison focuses on the applicability of the distances in graph node clustering and classification. The comparison, in general, shows that the parametrized distances perform well in the tasks. In particular, we see that the results obtained with the free energy distance are among the best in all the experiments.
Learning Lambek grammars from proof frames
Bonato, Roberto, Retorรฉ, Christian
In addition to their limpid interface with semantics, categorial grammars enjoy another important property: learnability. This was first noticed by Buskowsky and Penn and further studied by Kanazawa, for Bar-Hillel categorial grammars. What about Lambek categorial grammars? In a previous paper we showed that product free Lambek grammars where learnable from structured sentences, the structures being incomplete natural deductions. These grammars were shown to be unlearnable from strings by Foret and Le Nir. In the present paper we show that Lambek grammars, possibly with product, are learnable from proof frames that are incomplete proof nets. After a short reminder on grammatical inference \`a la Gold, we provide an algorithm that learns Lambek grammars with product from proof frames and we prove its convergence. We do so for 1-valued also known as rigid Lambek grammars with product, since standard techniques can extend our result to $k$-valued grammars. Because of the correspondence between cut-free proof nets and normal natural deductions, our initial result on product free Lambek grammars can be recovered. We are sad to dedicate the present paper to Philippe Darondeau, with whom we started to study such questions in Rennes at the beginning of the millennium, and who passed away prematurely. We are glad to dedicate the present paper to Jim Lambek for his 90 birthday: he is the living proof that research is an eternal learning process.
Joint Bayesian estimation of close subspaces from noisy measurements
Besson, Olivier, Dobigeon, Nicolas, Tourneret, Jean-Yves
In this letter, we consider two sets of observations defined as subspace signals embedded in noise and we wish to analyze the distance between these two subspaces. The latter entails evaluating the angles between the subspaces, an issue reminiscent of the well-known Procrustes problem. A Bayesian approach is investigated where the subspaces of interest are considered as random with a joint prior distribution (namely a Bingham distribution), which allows the closeness of the two subspaces to be adjusted. Within this framework, the minimum mean-square distance estimator of both subspaces is formulated and implemented via a Gibbs sampler. A simpler scheme based on alternative maximum a posteriori estimation is also presented. The new schemes are shown to provide more accurate estimates of the angles between the subspaces, compared to singular value decomposition based independent estimation of the two subspaces.
Error AMP Chain Graphs
Any regular Gaussian probability distribution that can be represented by an AMP chain graph (CG) can be expressed as a system of linear equations with correlated errors whose structure depends on the CG. However, the CG represents the errors implicitly, as no nodes in the CG correspond to the errors. We propose in this paper to add some deterministic nodes to the CG in order to represent the errors explicitly. We call the result an EAMP CG. We will show that, as desired, every AMP CG is Markov equivalent to its corresponding EAMP CG under marginalization of the error nodes. We will also show that every EAMP CG under marginalization of the error nodes is Markov equivalent to some LWF CG under marginalization of the error nodes, and that the latter is Markov equivalent to some directed and acyclic graph (DAG) under marginalization of the error nodes and conditioning on some selection nodes. This is important because it implies that the independence model represented by an AMP CG can be accounted for by some data generating process that is partially observed and has selection bias. Finally, we will show that EAMP CGs are closed under marginalization. This is a desirable feature because it guarantees parsimonious models under marginalization.
Solving OSCAR regularization problems by proximal splitting algorithms
Zeng, Xiangrong, Figueiredo, Mรกrio A. T.
The OSCAR (octagonal selection and clustering algorithm for regression) regularizer consists of a L_1 norm plus a pair-wise L_inf norm (responsible for its grouping behavior) and was proposed to encourage group sparsity in scenarios where the groups are a priori unknown. The OSCAR regularizer has a non-trivial proximity operator, which limits its applicability. We reformulate this regularizer as a weighted sorted L_1 norm, and propose its grouping proximity operator (GPO) and approximate proximity operator (APO), thus making state-of-the-art proximal splitting algorithms (PSAs) available to solve inverse problems with OSCAR regularization. The GPO is in fact the APO followed by additional grouping and averaging operations, which are costly in time and storage, explaining the reason why algorithms with APO are much faster than that with GPO. The convergences of PSAs with GPO are guaranteed since GPO is an exact proximity operator. Although convergence of PSAs with APO is may not be guaranteed, we have experimentally found that APO behaves similarly to GPO when the regularization parameter of the pair-wise L_inf norm is set to an appropriately small value. Experiments on recovery of group-sparse signals (with unknown groups) show that PSAs with APO are very fast and accurate.
Gaussian Processes for Nonlinear Signal Processing
Pรฉrez-Cruz, Fernando, Van Vaerenbergh, Steven, Murillo-Fuentes, Juan Josรฉ, Lรกzaro-Gredilla, Miguel, Santamaria, Ignacio
Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian state-of-the-art tools for discriminative machine learning, i.e., regression [1], classification [2] and dimensionality reduction [3]. GPs were first proposed in statistics by Tony O'Hagan [4] and they are well-known to the geostatistics community as kriging. However, due to their high computational complexity they did not become widely applied tools in machine learning until the early XXI century [5]. GPs can be interpreted as a family of kernel methods with the additional advantage of providing a full conditional statistical description for the predicted variable, which can be primarily used to establish confidence intervals and to set hyper-parameters. In a nutshell, Gaussian processes assume that a Gaussian process prior governs the set of possible latent functions (which are unobserved), and the likelihood (of the latent function) and observations shape this prior to produce posterior probabilistic estimates.
Order-independent constraint-based causal structure learning
Colombo, Diego, Maathuis, Marloes H.
We consider constraint-based methods for causal structure learning, such as the PC-, FCI-, RFCI- and CCD- algorithms (Spirtes et al. (2000, 1993), Richardson (1996), Colombo et al. (2012), Claassen et al. (2013)). The first step of all these algorithms consists of the PC-algorithm. This algorithm is known to be order-dependent, in the sense that the output can depend on the order in which the variables are given. This order-dependence is a minor issue in low-dimensional settings. We show, however, that it can be very pronounced in high-dimensional settings, where it can lead to highly variable results. We propose several modifications of the PC-algorithm (and hence also of the other algorithms) that remove part or all of this order-dependence. All proposed modifications are consistent in high-dimensional settings under the same conditions as their original counterparts. We compare the PC-, FCI-, and RFCI-algorithms and their modifications in simulation studies and on a yeast gene expression data set. We show that our modifications yield similar performance in low-dimensional settings and improved performance in high-dimensional settings. All software is implemented in the R-package pcalg.
Diffusion map for clustering fMRI spatial maps extracted by independent component analysis
Sipola, Tuomo, Cong, Fengyu, Ristaniemi, Tapani, Alluri, Vinoo, Toiviainen, Petri, Brattico, Elvira, Nandi, Asoke K.
Functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) produces data about activity inside the brain, from which spatial maps can be extracted by independent component analysis (ICA). In datasets, there are n spatial maps that contain p voxels. The number of voxels is very high compared to the number of analyzed spatial maps. Clustering of the spatial maps is usually based on correlation matrices. This usually works well, although such a similarity matrix inherently can explain only a certain amount of the total variance contained in the high-dimensional data where n is relatively small but p is large. For high-dimensional space, it is reasonable to perform dimensionality reduction before clustering. In this research, we used the recently developed diffusion map for dimensionality reduction in conjunction with spectral clustering. This research revealed that the diffusion map based clustering worked as well as the more traditional methods, and produced more compact clusters when needed.
Bethe-ADMM for Tree Decomposition based Parallel MAP Inference
Fu, Qiang, Wang, Huahua, Banerjee, Arindam
We consider the problem of maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference in discrete graphical models. We present a parallel MAP inference algorithm called Bethe-ADMM based on two ideas: tree-decomposition of the graph and the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). However, unlike the standard ADMM, we use an inexact ADMM augmented with a Bethe-divergence based proximal function, which makes each subproblem in ADMM easy to solve in parallel using the sum-product algorithm. We rigorously prove global convergence of Bethe-ADMM. The proposed algorithm is extensively evaluated on both synthetic and real datasets to illustrate its effectiveness. Further, the parallel Bethe-ADMM is shown to scale almost linearly with increasing number of cores.