Global sensitivity analysis with variance-based measures suffers from several theoretical and practical limitations, since they focus only on the variance of the output and handle multivariate variables in a limited way. In this paper, we introduce a new class of sensitivity indices based on dependence measures which overcomes these insufficiencies. Our approach originates from the idea to compare the output distribution with its conditional counterpart when one of the input variables is fixed. We establish that this comparison yields previously proposed indices when it is performed with Csiszar f-divergences, as well as sensitivity indices which are well-known dependence measures between random variables. This leads us to investigate completely new sensitivity indices based on recent state-of-the-art dependence measures, such as distance correlation and the Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion. We also emphasize the potential of feature selection techniques relying on such dependence measures as alternatives to screening in high dimension.

Every organism in an environment, whether biological, robotic or virtual, must be able to predict certain aspects of its environment in order to survive or perform whatever task is intended. It needs a model that is capable of estimating the consequences of possible actions, so that planning, control, and decision-making become feasible. For scientific purposes, such models are usually created in a problem specific manner using differential equations and other techniques from control- and system-theory. In contrast to that, we aim for an unsupervised approach that builds up the desired model in a self-organized fashion. Inspired by Slow Feature Analysis (SFA), our approach is to extract sub-signals from the input, that behave as predictable as possible. These "predictable features" are highly relevant for modeling, because predictability is a desired property of the needed consequence-estimating model by definition. In our approach, we measure predictability with respect to a certain prediction model. We focus here on the solution of the arising optimization problem and present a tractable algorithm based on algebraic methods which we call Predictable Feature Analysis (PFA). We prove that the algorithm finds the globally optimal signal, if this signal can be predicted with low error. To deal with cases where the optimal signal has a significant prediction error, we provide a robust, heuristically motivated variant of the algorithm and verify it empirically. Additionally, we give formal criteria a prediction-model must meet to be suitable for measuring predictability in the PFA setting and also provide a suitable default-model along with a formal proof that it meets these criteria.

Due to recent advances in synthetic biology and artificial life, the origin of life is currently a hot topic of research. We review the literature and argue that the two traditionally competing "replicator-first" and "metabolism-first" approaches are merging into one integrated theory of individuation and evolution. We contribute to the maturation of this more inclusive approach by highlighting some problematic assumptions that still lead to an impoverished conception of the phenomenon of life. In particular, we argue that the new consensus has so far failed to consider the relevance of intermediate timescales. We propose that an adequate theory of life must account for the fact that all living beings are situated in at least four distinct timescales, which are typically associated with metabolism, motility, development, and evolution. On this view, self-movement, adaptive behavior and morphological changes could have already been present at the origin of life. In order to illustrate this possibility we analyze a minimal model of life-like phenomena, namely of precarious, individuated, dissipative structures that can be found in simple reaction-diffusion systems. Based on our analysis we suggest that processes in intermediate timescales could have already been operative in prebiotic systems. They may have facilitated and constrained changes occurring in the faster- and slower-paced timescales of chemical self-individuation and evolution by natural selection, respectively.

Fixed and wireless networks are increasingly converging towards common connectivity with IP-based core networks. Providing effective end-to-end resource and QoS management in such complex heterogeneous converged network scenarios requires unified, adaptive and scalable solutions to integrate and co-ordinate diverse QoS mechanisms of different access technologies with IP-based QoS. Policy-Based Network Management (PBNM) is one approach that could be employed to address this challenge. Hence, a policy-based framework for end-to-end QoS management in converged networks, CNQF (Converged Networks QoS Management Framework) has been proposed within our project. In this paper, the CNQF architecture, a Java implementation of its prototype and experimental validation of key elements are discussed. We then present a fuzzy-based CNQF resource management approach and study the performance of our implementation with real traffic flows on an experimental testbed. The results demonstrate the efficacy of our resource-adaptive approach for practical PBNM systems.

This paper presents Correlated Nystrom Views (XNV), a fast semi-supervised algorithm for regression and classification. The algorithm draws on two main ideas. First, it generates two views consisting of computationally inexpensive random features. Second, XNV applies multiview regression using Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) on unlabeled data to bias the regression towards useful features. It has been shown that, if the views contains accurate estimators, CCA regression can substantially reduce variance with a minimal increase in bias. Random views are justified by recent theoretical and empirical work showing that regression with random features closely approximates kernel regression, implying that random views can be expected to contain accurate estimators. We show that XNV consistently outperforms a state-of-the-art algorithm for semi-supervised learning: substantially improving predictive performance and reducing the variability of performance on a wide variety of real-world datasets, whilst also reducing runtime by orders of magnitude.

Fundamentally, the HMM is a mixture model whose mixing distribution is a finite state Markov chain (Rabiner, 1989; Capp e et al., 2005). Whilst the Markov assumptions rarely correspond to the true physical generative process, it often adequately captures first-order properties that make it a useful approximating model for sequence data in many instances whilst remaining tractable even for very large datasets. As a consequence, HMM-based algorithms can give highly competitive performance in many applications. Central to the tractability of HMMs is the availability of recursive algorithms that allow fundamental quantities to be computed efficiently (Baum and Petrie, 1966; Viterbi, 1967). These include the Viterbi algorithm which computes the most probable hidden state sequence and the forward-backward algorithm which computes the marginal probability of a given state at a point in the sequence. Computation for the HMM has been well-summarized in the comprehensive and widely read tutorial by Rabiner (1989) with a Bayesian treatment given more recently by Scott (2002). It is a testament to the completeness of these recursive methods that there have been few generic additions to the HMM toolbox since these were first described in the 1960s. However, as HMM approaches continue to be applied in increasingly diverse scientific domains and ever larger data sets, there is interest in expanding the generic toolbox available for HMM inference to encompass unmet needs. The motivation for our work is to develop mechanisms to allow theexploration of the posterior sequence space.

Multi-armed bandit problems are receiving a great deal of attention because they adequately formalize the exploration-exploitation trade-offs arising in several industrially relevant applications, such as online advertisement and, more generally, recommendation systems. In many cases, however, these applications have a strong social component, whose integration in the bandit algorithm could lead to a dramatic performance increase. For instance, we may want to serve content to a group of users by taking advantage of an underlying network of social relationships among them. In this paper, we introduce novel algorithmic approaches to the solution of such networked bandit problems. More specifically, we design and analyze a global strategy which allocates a bandit algorithm to each network node (user) and allows it to "share" signals (contexts and payoffs) with the neghboring nodes. We then derive two more scalable variants of this strategy based on different ways of clustering the graph nodes. We experimentally compare the algorithm and its variants to state-of-the-art methods for contextual bandits that do not use the relational information. Our experiments, carried out on synthetic and real-world datasets, show a marked increase in prediction performance obtained by exploiting the network structure.

Adaptive networks are suitable for decentralized inference tasks, e.g., to monitor complex natural phenomena. Recent research works have intensively studied distributed optimization problems in the case where the nodes have to estimate a single optimum parameter vector collaboratively. However, there are many important applications that are multitask-oriented in the sense that there are multiple optimum parameter vectors to be inferred simultaneously, in a collaborative manner, over the area covered by the network. In this paper, we employ diffusion strategies to develop distributed algorithms that address multitask problems by minimizing an appropriate mean-square error criterion with $\ell_2$-regularization. The stability and convergence of the algorithm in the mean and in the mean-square sense is analyzed. Simulations are conducted to verify the theoretical findings, and to illustrate how the distributed strategy can be used in several useful applications related to spectral sensing, target localization, and hyperspectral data unmixing.

A family of parsimonious shifted asymmetric Laplace mixture models is introduced. We extend the mixture of factor analyzers model to the shifted asymmetric Laplace distribution. Imposing constraints on the constitute parts of the resulting decomposed component scale matrices leads to a family of parsimonious models. An explicit two-stage parameter estimation procedure is described, and the Bayesian information criterion and the integrated completed likelihood are compared for model selection. This novel family of models is applied to real data, where it is compared to its Gaussian analogue within clustering and classification paradigms.

Reinforcement learning has gained wide popularity as a technique for simulation-driven approximate dynamic programming. A less known aspect is that the very reasons that make it effective in dynamic programming can also be leveraged for using it for distributed schemes for certain matrix computations involving non-negative matrices. In this spirit, we propose a reinforcement learning algorithm for PageRank computation that is fashioned after analogous schemes for approximate dynamic programming. The algorithm has the advantage of ease of distributed implementation and more importantly, of being model-free, i.e., not dependent on any specific assumptions about the transition probabilities in the random web-surfer model. We analyze its convergence and finite time behavior and present some supporting numerical experiments.