The covariance graph (aka bi-directed graph) of a probability distribution $p$ is the undirected graph $G$ where two nodes are adjacent iff their corresponding random variables are marginally dependent in $p$. In this paper, we present a graphical criterion for reading dependencies from $G$, under the assumption that $p$ satisfies the graphoid properties as well as weak transitivity and composition. We prove that the graphical criterion is sound and complete in certain sense. We argue that our assumptions are not too restrictive. For instance, all the regular Gaussian probability distributions satisfy them.

This paper describes a computationally inexpensive and efficient generic summarization algorithm for Arabic texts. The algorithm belongs to extractive summarization family, which reduces the problem into representative sentences identification and extraction sub-problems. Important keyphrases of the document to be summarized are identified employing combinations of statistical and linguistic features. The sentence extraction algorithm exploits keyphrases as the primary attributes to rank a sentence. The present experimental work, demonstrates different techniques for achieving various summarization goals including: informative richness, coverage of both main and auxiliary topics, and keeping redundancy to a minimum. A scoring scheme is then adopted that balances between these summarization goals. To evaluate the resulted Arabic summaries with well-established systems, aligned English/Arabic texts are used through the experiments.

In unsupervised classification, Hidden Markov Models (HMM) are used to account for a neighborhood structure between observations. The emission distributions are often supposed to belong to some parametric family. In this paper, a semiparametric modeling where the emission distributions are a mixture of parametric distributions is proposed to get a higher flexibility. We show that the classical EM algorithm can be adapted to infer the model parameters. For the initialisation step, starting from a large number of components, a hierarchical method to combine them into the hidden states is proposed. Three likelihood-based criteria to select the components to be combined are discussed. To estimate the number of hidden states, BIC-like criteria are derived. A simulation study is carried out both to determine the best combination between the merging criteria and the model selection criteria and to evaluate the accuracy of classification. The proposed method is also illustrated using a biological dataset from the model plant Arabidopsis thaliana. A R package HMMmix is freely available on the CRAN.

We present algorithms for generating alternative solutions for explicit acyclic AND/OR structures in non-decreasing order of cost. The proposed algorithms use a best first search technique and report the solutions using an implicit representation ordered by cost. In this paper, we present two versions of the search algorithm -- (a) an initial version of the best first search algorithm, ASG, which may present one solution more than once while generating the ordered solutions, and (b) another version, LASG, which avoids the construction of the duplicate solutions. The actual solutions can be reconstructed quickly from the implicit compact representation used. We have applied the methods on a few test domains, some of them are synthetic while the others are based on well known problems including the search space of the 5-peg Tower of Hanoi problem, the matrix-chain multiplication problem and the problem of finding secondary structure of RNA. Experimental results show the efficacy of the proposed algorithms over the existing approach. Our proposed algorithms have potential use in various domains ranging from knowledge based frameworks to service composition, where the AND/OR structure is widely used for representing problems.

We present a simple and clear foundation for finite inference that unites and significantly extends the approaches of Kolmogorov and Cox. Our approach is based on quantifying lattices of logical statements in a way that satisfies general lattice symmetries. With other applications such as measure theory in mind, our derivations assume minimal symmetries, relying on neither negation nor continuity nor differentiability. Each relevant symmetry corresponds to an axiom of quantification, and these axioms are used to derive a unique set of quantifying rules that form the familiar probability calculus. We also derive a unique quantification of divergence, entropy and information.

BDeu marginal likelihood score is a popular model selection criterion for selecting a Bayesian network structure based on sample data. This non-informative scoring criterion assigns same score for network structures that encode same independence statements. However, before applying the BDeu score, one must determine a single parameter, the equivalent sample size alpha. Unfortunately no generally accepted rule for determining the alpha parameter has been suggested. This is disturbing, since in this paper we show through a series of concrete experiments that the solution of the network structure optimization problem is highly sensitive to the chosen alpha parameter value. Based on these results, we are able to give explanations for how and why this phenomenon happens, and discuss ideas for solving this problem.

We propose a definition of causality for time series in terms of the effect of an intervention in one component of a multivariate time series on another component at some later point in time. Conditions for identifiability, comparable to the back-door and front-door criteria, are presented and can also be verified graphically. Computation of the causal effect is derived and illustrated for the linear case.

Choquet expected utility (CEU) is one of the most sophisticated decision criteria used in decision theory under uncertainty. It provides a generalisation of expected utility enhancing both descriptive and prescriptive possibilities. In this paper, we investigate the use of CEU for path-planning under uncertainty with a special focus on robust solutions. We first recall the main features of the CEU model and introduce some examples showing its descriptive potential. Then we focus on the search for Choquet-optimal paths in multivalued implicit graphs where costs depend on different scenarios. After discussing complexity issues, we propose two different heuristic search algorithms to solve the problem. Finally, numerical experiments are reported, showing the practical efficiency of the proposed algorithms.

This paper deals with the problem of identifying direct causal effects in recursive linear structural equation models. The paper establishes a sufficient criterion for identifying individual causal effects and provides a procedure computing identified causal effects in terms of observed covariance matrix.

We present a graphical criterion for reading dependencies from the minimal directed independence map G of a graphoid p when G is a polytree and p satisfies composition and weak transitivity. We prove that the criterion is sound and complete. We argue that assuming composition and weak transitivity is not too restrictive.