Europe
Exploiting Big Data in Logistics Risk Assessment via Bayesian Nonparametrics
Shang, Yan, Dunson, David B., Song, Jing-Sheng
In cargo logistics, a key performance measure is transport risk, defined as the deviation of the actual arrival time from the planned arrival time. Neither earliness nor tardiness is desirable for customer and freight forwarders. In this paper, we investigate ways to assess and forecast transport risks using a half-year of air cargo data, provided by a leading forwarder on 1336 routes served by 20 airlines. Interestingly, our preliminary data analysis shows a strong multimodal feature in the transport risks, driven by unobserved events, such as cargo missing flights. To accommodate this feature, we introduce a Bayesian nonparametric model -- the probit stick-breaking process (PSBP) mixture model -- for flexible estimation of the conditional (i.e., state-dependent) density function of transport risk. We demonstrate that using simpler methods, such as OLS linear regression, can lead to misleading inferences. Our model provides a tool for the forwarder to offer customized price and service quotes. It can also generate baseline airline performance to enable fair supplier evaluation. Furthermore, the method allows us to separate recurrent risks from disruption risks. This is important, because hedging strategies for these two kinds of risks are often drastically different.
Man is to Computer Programmer as Woman is to Homemaker? Debiasing Word Embeddings
Bolukbasi, Tolga, Chang, Kai-Wei, Zou, James, Saligrama, Venkatesh, Kalai, Adam
The blind application of machine learning runs the risk of amplifying biases present in data. Such a danger is facing us with word embedding, a popular framework to represent text data as vectors which has been used in many machine learning and natural language processing tasks. We show that even word embeddings trained on Google News articles exhibit female/male gender stereotypes to a disturbing extent. This raises concerns because their widespread use, as we describe, often tends to amplify these biases. Geometrically, gender bias is first shown to be captured by a direction in the word embedding. Second, gender neutral words are shown to be linearly separable from gender definition words in the word embedding. Using these properties, we provide a methodology for modifying an embedding to remove gender stereotypes, such as the association between between the words receptionist and female, while maintaining desired associations such as between the words queen and female. We define metrics to quantify both direct and indirect gender biases in embeddings, and develop algorithms to "debias" the embedding. Using crowd-worker evaluation as well as standard benchmarks, we empirically demonstrate that our algorithms significantly reduce gender bias in embeddings while preserving the its useful properties such as the ability to cluster related concepts and to solve analogy tasks. The resulting embeddings can be used in applications without amplifying gender bias.
Distributed Supervised Learning using Neural Networks
Distributed learning is the problem of inferring a function in the case where training data is distributed among multiple geographically separated sources. Particularly, the focus is on designing learning strategies with low computational requirements, in which communication is restricted only to neighboring agents, with no reliance on a centralized authority. In this thesis, we analyze multiple distributed protocols for a large number of neural network architectures. The first part of the thesis is devoted to a definition of the problem, followed by an extensive overview of the state-of-the-art. Next, we introduce different strategies for a relatively simple class of single layer neural networks, where a linear output layer is preceded by a nonlinear layer, whose weights are stochastically assigned in the beginning of the learning process. We consider both batch and sequential learning, with horizontally and vertically partitioned data. In the third part, we consider instead the more complex problem of semi-supervised distributed learning, where each agent is provided with an additional set of unlabeled training samples. We propose two different algorithms based on diffusion processes for linear support vector machines and kernel ridge regression. Subsequently, the fourth part extends the discussion to learning with time-varying data (e.g. time-series) using recurrent neural networks. We consider two different families of networks, namely echo state networks (extending the algorithms introduced in the second part), and spline adaptive filters. Overall, the algorithms presented throughout the thesis cover a wide range of possible practical applications, and lead the way to numerous future extensions, which are briefly summarized in the conclusive chapter.
Left/Right Hand Segmentation in Egocentric Videos
Betancourt, Alejandro, Morerio, Pietro, Barakova, Emilia, Marcenaro, Lucio, Rauterberg, Matthias, Regazzoni, Carlo
Wearable cameras allow people to record their daily activities from a user-centered (First Person Vision) perspective. Due to their favorable location, wearable cameras frequently capture the hands of the user, and may thus represent a promising usermachine interaction tool for different applications. Existent First Person Vision methods handle hand segmentation as a backgroundforeground problem, ignoring two important facts: i) hands are not a single "skin-like" moving element, but a pair of interacting cooperative entities, ii) close hand interactions may lead to hand-to-hand occlusions and, as a consequence, create a single hand-like segment. These facts complicate a proper understanding of hand movements and interactions. Our approach extends traditional background-foreground strategies, by including a hand-identification step (left-right) based on a Maxwell distribution of angle and position. Hand-to-hand occlusions are addressed by exploiting temporal superpixels. The experimental results show that, in addition to a reliable left/right hand-segmentation, our approach considerably improves the traditional background-foreground hand-segmentation. Keywords: Hand-Segmentation, Hand-identification, Egocentric Vision, First Person Vision 1. Introduction The recent widespread availability of wearable devices has quickly attracted the interest of researchers, computer scientists and high-tech companies [1]. The 90's idea of a body-worn device that is always ready to be used is nowadays possible, and its potential applicability to real problems is evident. In general, the wearable sensor that most attracted researchers' attention is the video camera: while enjoying a unique position to record what the user is seeing, it suffers from important issues and technical challenges [2]. Images and videos recorded from this perspective are commonly referred to as First-Person Vision (FPV) or Egocentric videos [2].
Don't replace people. Augment them.
If we let machines put us out of work, it will be because of a failure of imagination and the will to make a better future. "Could a machine do your job?" ask Michael Chui, James Manyika, and Mehdi Miremadi in a recent McKinsey Quarterly article, "Where Machines Could Replace Humans and Where They Can't Yet." "As automation technologies such as machine learning and robotics play an increasingly great role in everyday life, their potential effect on the workplace has, unsurprisingly, become a major focus of research and public concern. The discussion tends toward a Manichean guessing game: which jobs will or won't be replaced by machines? In fact, as our research has begun to show, the story is more nuanced. While automation will eliminate very few occupations entirely in the next decade, it will affect portions of almost all jobs to a greater or lesser degree, depending on the type of work they entail."
Should You Fear Artificial Intelligence @CloudExpo #AI #IoT #Cloud
Opining about the future of AI at the recent Brilliant Minds event at Symposium Stockholm, Google Executive Chairman Eric Schmidt rejected warnings from Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking about the dangers of AI, saying, "In the case of Stephen Hawking, although a brilliant man, he's not a computer scientist. Elon is also a brilliant man, though he too is a physicist, not a computer scientist." This absurd dismissal of Musk and Hawking was in response to an absurd question about "the possibility of an artificial superintelligence trying to destroy mankind in the near future." Schmidt went on to say, "It's a movie. The state of the earth currently does not support any of these scenarios."
Optimizing Warehouse Operations with Machine Learning on GPUs
Recent advances in deep learning have enabled research and industry to master many challenges in computer vision and natural language processing that were out of reach until just a few years ago. Yet computer vision and natural language processing represent only the tip of the iceberg of what is possible. In this article, I will demonstrate how Sebastian Heinz, Roland Vollgraf and I (Calvin Seward) used deep neural networks in steering operations at Zalando's fashion warehouses. As Europe's leading online fashion retailer, there are many exciting opportunities to apply the latest results from data science, statistics, and high-performance computing. Zalando's vertically integrated business model means that I have dealt with projects as diverse as computer vision, fraud detection, recommender systems and, of course, warehouse management.
Twitter cracks down on trolling after racist and sexist campaign against Ghostbuster actor Leslie Jones
Nasa has announced that it has found evidence of flowing water on Mars. Scientists have long speculated that Recurring Slope Lineae -- or dark patches -- on Mars were made up of briny water but the new findings prove that those patches are caused by liquid water, which it has established by finding hydrated salts. Several hundred camped outside the London store in Covent Garden. The 6s will have new features like a vastly improved camera and a pressure-sensitive "3D Touch" display
Stitching a drone's view of the world into 3D maps as it flies
When you're buzzing through the air at 60 kilometres per hour, it can be hard to take in the view. But now drones can create highly detailed 3D maps as they fly, using just an ordinary video camera. The system, called Hydra Fusion and developed by researchers at Lockheed Martin in Canada, will make drones better at aerial surveillance. Hydra Fusion is based on a form of image-based mapping, or photogrammetry, known as "structure from motion". The procedure involves stitching together multiple images – in this case, consecutive frames of video footage – to form a detailed 3D map.