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More than ML: Guide to the Components of AI
When I tell people that I work at an AI company, they often follow up with "So what kind of machine learning/deep learning do you do?" This isn't surprising, as most of the market attention (and hype) in and around AI has been centered around Machine Learning, and its high profile subset, Deep Learning, and around Natural Language Processing, with the rise of the chatbot and virtual assistants. But while machine learning is a core component for artificial intelligence, AI is in fact more than just ML. So what does it really mean for an application to be "intelligent"? What does it take to create a system that is "artificially intelligent?
Upgrading humans will be a 'billion dollar industry'
The next billion dollar industry will not be a service or product – it will be upgrading humans, an expert has revealed. It has been suggested that humans will have access to technology that will allow them to'upgrade themselves into gods'. Bestselling author Yuval Noah Harari has also warned that because not everyone will be able to experience the upgrade, due to costs, there will be a divide that could spark'old racist ideologies' - but this time, differences will be'engineered and manufactured'. The next billion dollar industry will not be a service or product – it will be upgrading humans, an expert has revealed. It has been suggested that technology will let humans'upgrade themselves into gods', but since the process will be costly, not everyone will have the ability to do so'The greatest industry of the 21st century will probably be to upgrade human beings,' Harari, who explores bleak future of humanity and'the rise of the useless class' in his novel Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow, told Jeremy Olshan with MarketWatch.
Smartphones will get smarter – but so will cyber attacks – Deloitte's tech team tells West businesses
West firms have been given a unique glimpse of the top tech themes for this year – and the impact they are likely to have on business – at a special event staged by accountancy firm Deloitte. Ever-greater use of smartphones, digital navigation, machine learning and – on the downside – the growth in cyber crime were outlined by Deloitte's technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) practice. The firm's head of TMT Paul Lee led the briefing staged at the Engine Shed, Bristol, and discussed key trends for this year as highlighted in the 16th edition of the firm's widely-respected TMT Predictions 2017 launched in January. He said the predictions particularly resonated with the West of England's digital tech ecosystem as it continued to be among the UK's most innovative and fastest-growing. Deloitte's key technology predictions for 2017 are: Deloitte predicts that one in 20 uses of digital navigation in 2017 will be indoors.
Innovation in AI could see governments introduce human quotas, study says
Innovation in artificial intelligence and robotics could force governments to legislate for quotas of human workers, upend traditional working practices and pose novel dilemmas for insuring driverless cars, according to a report by the International Bar Association. The survey, which suggests that a third of graduate level jobs around the world may eventually be replaced by machines or software, warns that legal frameworks regulating employment and safety are becoming rapidly outdated. The competitive advantage of poorer, emerging economies – based on cheaper workforces – will soon be eroded as robot production lines and intelligent computer systems undercut the cost of human endeavour, the study suggests. "A production robot is thus cheaper than a worker in China," the report notes. Nor does a robot "become ill, have children or go on strike and [it] is not entitled to annual leave".
Managing Different Sources of Uncertainty in a BDI Framework in a Principled Way with Tractable Fragments
Bauters, Kim, McAreavey, Kevin, Liu, Weiru, Hong, Jun, Godo, Lluís, Sierra, Carles
The Belief-Desire-Intention (BDI) architecture is a practical approach for modelling large-scale intelligent systems. In the BDI setting, a complex system is represented as a network of interacting agents - or components - each one modelled based on its beliefs, desires and intentions. However, current BDI implementations are not well-suited for modelling more realistic intelligent systems which operate in environments pervaded by different types of uncertainty. Furthermore, existing approaches for dealing with uncertainty typically do not offer syntactical or tractable ways of reasoning about uncertainty. This complicates their integration with BDI implementations, which heavily rely on fast and reactive decisions. In this paper, we advance the state-of-the-art w.r.t. handling different types of uncertainty in BDI agents. The contributions of this paper are, first, a new way of modelling the beliefs of an agent as a set of epistemic states. Each epistemic state can use a distinct underlying uncertainty theory and revision strategy, and commensurability between epistemic states is achieved through a stratification approach. Second, we present a novel syntactic approach to revising beliefs given unreliable input. We prove that this syntactic approach agrees with the semantic definition, and we identify expressive fragments that are particularly useful for resource-bounded agents. Third, we introduce full operational semantics that extend CAN, a popular semantics for BDI, to establish how reasoning about uncertainty can be tightly integrated into the BDI framework. Fourth, we provide comprehensive experimental results to highlight the usefulness and feasibility of our approach, and explain how the generic epistemic state can be instantiated into various representations.
Probabilistic Search for Structured Data via Probabilistic Programming and Nonparametric Bayes
Saad, Feras, Casarsa, Leonardo, Mansinghka, Vikash
Databases are widespread, yet extracting relevant data can be difficult. Without substantial domain knowledge, multivariate search queries often return sparse or uninformative results. This paper introduces an approach for searching structured data based on probabilistic programming and nonparametric Bayes. Users specify queries in a probabilistic language that combines standard SQL database search operators with an information theoretic ranking function called predictive relevance. Predictive relevance can be calculated by a fast sparse matrix algorithm based on posterior samples from CrossCat, a nonparametric Bayesian model for high-dimensional, heterogeneously-typed data tables. The result is a flexible search technique that applies to a broad class of information retrieval problems, which we integrate into BayesDB, a probabilistic programming platform for probabilistic data analysis. This paper demonstrates applications to databases of US colleges, global macroeconomic indicators of public health, and classic cars. We found that human evaluators often prefer the results from probabilistic search to results from a standard baseline.
A Brain-like Cognitive Process with Shared Methods
This paper describes a new entropy-style of equation that may be useful in a general sense, but can be applied to a cognitive model with related processes. The model is based on the human brain, with automatic and distributed pattern activity. Methods for carrying out the different processes are suggested. The main purpose of this paper is to reaffirm earlier research on different knowledge-based and experience-based clustering techniques. The overall architecture has stayed essentially the same and so it is the localised processes or smaller details that have been updated. For example, a counting mechanism is used slightly differently, to measure a level of 'cohesion' instead of a 'correct' classification, over pattern instances. The introduction of features has further enhanced the architecture and the new entropy-style equation is proposed. While an earlier paper defined three levels of functional requirement, this paper re-defines the levels in a more human vernacular, with higher-level goals described in terms of action-result pairs.
Causality on Longitudinal Data: Stable Specification Search in Constrained Structural Equation Modeling
Rahmadi, Ridho, Groot, Perry, van Rijn, Marieke HC, Brand, Jan AJG van den, Heins, Marianne, Knoop, Hans, Heskes, Tom
A typical problem in causal modeling is the instability of model structure learning, i.e., small changes in finite data can result in completely different optimal models. The present work introduces a novel causal modeling algorithm for longitudinal data, that is robust for finite samples based on recent advances in stability selection using subsampling and selection algorithms. Our approach uses exploratory search but allows incorporation of prior knowledge, e.g., the absence of a particular causal relationship between two specific variables. We represent causal relationships using structural equation models. Models are scored along two objectives: the model fit and the model complexity. Since both objectives are often conflicting we apply a multi-objective evolutionary algorithm to search for Pareto optimal models. To handle the instability of small finite data samples, we repeatedly subsample the data and select those substructures (from the optimal models) that are both stable and parsimonious. These substructures can be visualized through a causal graph. Our more exploratory approach achieves at least comparable performance as, but often a significant improvement over state-of-the-art alternative approaches on a simulated data set with a known ground truth. We also present the results of our method on three real-world longitudinal data sets on chronic fatigue syndrome, Alzheimer disease, and chronic kidney disease. The findings obtained with our approach are generally in line with results from more hypothesis-driven analyses in earlier studies and suggest some novel relationships that deserve further research.
AMIDST: a Java Toolbox for Scalable Probabilistic Machine Learning
Masegosa, Andrés R., Martínez, Ana M., Ramos-López, Darío, Cabañas, Rafael, Salmerón, Antonio, Nielsen, Thomas D., Langseth, Helge, Madsen, Anders L.
The AMIDST Toolbox is a software for scalable probabilistic machine learning with a spe- cial focus on (massive) streaming data. The toolbox supports a flexible modeling language based on probabilistic graphical models with latent variables and temporal dependencies. The specified models can be learnt from large data sets using parallel or distributed implementa- tions of Bayesian learning algorithms for either streaming or batch data. These algorithms are based on a flexible variational message passing scheme, which supports discrete and continu- ous variables from a wide range of probability distributions. AMIDST also leverages existing functionality and algorithms by interfacing to software tools such as Flink, Spark, MOA, Weka, R and HUGIN. AMIDST is an open source toolbox written in Java and available at http://www.amidsttoolbox.com under the Apache Software License version 2.0.
Feature Selection for Regression Problems Based on the Morisita Estimator of Intrinsic Dimension
Golay, Jean, Leuenberger, Michael, Kanevski, Mikhail
Data acquisition, storage and management have been improved, while the key factors of many phenomena are not well known. Consequently, irrelevant and redundant features artificially increase the size of datasets, which complicates learning tasks, such as regression. To address this problem, feature selection methods have been proposed. This paper introduces a new supervised filter based on the Morisita estimator of intrinsic dimension. It can identify relevant features and distinguish between redundant and irrelevant information. Besides, it offers a clear graphical representation of the results, and it can be easily implemented in different programming languages. Comprehensive numerical experiments are conducted using simulated datasets characterized by different levels of complexity, sample size and noise. The suggested algorithm is also successfully tested on a selection of real world applications and compared with RReliefF using extreme learning machine. In addition, a new measure of feature relevance is presented and discussed.