Though successful in high-dimensional domains, deep reinforcement learning exhibits high sample complexity and suffers from stability issues as reported by researchers and practitioners in the field. These problems hinder the application of such algorithms in real-world and safety-critical scenarios. In this paper, we take steps towards stable and efficient reinforcement learning by following a model-based approach that is known to reduce agent-environment interactions. Namely, our method augments deep Q-networks (DQNs) with model predictions for transitions, rewards, and termination flags. Having the model at hand, we then conduct a rigorous theoretical study of our algorithm and show, for the first time, convergence to a stationary point. En route, we provide a counter-example showing that 'vanilla' DQNs can diverge confirming practitioners' and researchers' experiences. Our proof is novel in its own right and can be extended to other forms of deep reinforcement learning. In particular, we believe exploiting the relation between reinforcement (with deep function approximators) and online learning can serve as a recipe for future proofs in the domain. Finally, we validate our theoretical results in 20 games from the Atari benchmark. Our results show that following the proposed model-based learning approach not only ensures convergence but leads to a reduction in sample complexity and superior performance.

Measuring entity relatedness is a fundamental task for many natural language processing and information retrieval applications. Prior work often studies entity relatedness in static settings and an unsupervised manner. However, entities in real-world are often involved in many different relationships, consequently entity-relations are very dynamic over time. In this work, we propose a neural networkbased approach for dynamic entity relatedness, leveraging the collective attention as supervision. Our model is capable of learning rich and different entity representations in a joint framework. Through extensive experiments on large-scale datasets, we demonstrate that our method achieves better results than competitive baselines.

Interpretability and stability are two important features that are desired in many contemporary big data applications arising in economics and finance. While the former is enjoyed to some extent by many existing forecasting approaches, the latter in the sense of controlling the fraction of wrongly discovered features which can enhance greatly the interpretability is still largely underdeveloped in the econometric settings. To this end, in this paper we exploit the general framework of model-X knockoffs introduced recently in Cand\`{e}s, Fan, Janson and Lv (2018), which is nonconventional for reproducible large-scale inference in that the framework is completely free of the use of p-values for significance testing, and suggest a new method of intertwined probabilistic factors decoupling (IPAD) for stable interpretable forecasting with knockoffs inference in high-dimensional models. The recipe of the method is constructing the knockoff variables by assuming a latent factor model that is exploited widely in economics and finance for the association structure of covariates. Our method and work are distinct from the existing literature in that we estimate the covariate distribution from data instead of assuming that it is known when constructing the knockoff variables, our procedure does not require any sample splitting, we provide theoretical justifications on the asymptotic false discovery rate control, and the theory for the power analysis is also established. Several simulation examples and the real data analysis further demonstrate that the newly suggested method has appealing finite-sample performance with desired interpretability and stability compared to some popularly used forecasting methods.

Constrained sequence codes have been widely used in modern communication and data storage systems. Sequences encoded with constrained sequence codes satisfy constraints imposed by the physical channel, hence enabling efficient and reliable transmission of coded symbols. Traditional encoding and decoding of constrained sequence codes rely on table look-up, which is prone to errors that occur during transmission. In this paper, we introduce constrained sequence decoding based on deep learning. With multiple layer perception (MLP) networks and convolutional neural networks (CNNs), we are able to achieve low bit error rates that are close to maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) decoding as well as improve the system throughput. Moreover, implementation of capacity-achieving fixed-length codes, where the complexity is prohibitively high with table look-up decoding, becomes practical with deep learning-based decoding.

This paper presents an efficient binarized algorithm for both learning and classification of human epileptic seizures from intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG). The algorithm combines local binary patterns with brain-inspired hyperdimensional computing to enable end-to-end learning and inference with binary operations. The algorithm first transforms iEEG time series from each electrode into local binary pattern codes. Then atomic high-dimensional binary vectors are used to construct composite representations of seizures across all electrodes. For the majority of our patients (10 out of 16), the algorithm quickly learns from one or two seizures (i.e., one-/few-shot learning) and perfectly generalizes on 27 further seizures. For other patients, the algorithm requires three to six seizures for learning. Overall, our algorithm surpasses the state-of-the-art methods for detecting 65 novel seizures with higher specificity and sensitivity, and lower memory footprint.

Predicting keywords performance, such as number of impressions, click-through rate (CTR), conversion rate (CVR), revenue per click (RPC), and cost per click (CPC), is critical for sponsored search in the online advertising industry. An interesting phenomenon is that, despite the size of the overall data, the data are very sparse at the individual unit level. To overcome the sparsity and leverage hierarchical information across the data structure, we propose a Dynamic Hierarchical Empirical Bayesian (DHEB) model that dynamically determines the hierarchy through a data-driven process and provides shrinkage-based estimations. Our method is also equipped with an efficient empirical approach to derive inferences through the hierarchy. We evaluate the proposed method in both simulated and real-world datasets and compare to several competitive models. The results favor the proposed method among all comparisons in terms of both accuracy and efficiency. In the end, we design a two-phase system to serve prediction in real time.

We propose an adaptive sampling approach for multiple testing which aims to maximize statistical power while ensuring anytime false discovery control. We consider $n$ distributions whose means are partitioned by whether they are below or equal to a baseline (nulls), versus above the baseline (actual positives). In addition, each distribution can be sequentially and repeatedly sampled. Inspired by the multi-armed bandit literature, we provide an algorithm that takes as few samples as possible to exceed a target true positive proportion (i.e. proportion of actual positives discovered) while giving anytime control of the false discovery proportion (nulls predicted as actual positives). Our sample complexity results match known information theoretic lower bounds and through simulations we show a substantial performance improvement over uniform sampling and an adaptive elimination style algorithm. Given the simplicity of the approach, and its sample efficiency, the method has promise for wide adoption in the biological sciences, clinical testing for drug discovery, and online A/B/n testing problems.

We consider the problem of learning optimal policies from observational data in a way that satisfies certain fairness criteria. The issue of fairness arises where some covariates used in decision making are sensitive features, or are correlated with sensitive features. (Nabi and Shpitser 2018) formalized fairness in the context of regression problems as constraining the causal effects of sensitive features along certain disallowed causal pathways. The existence of these causal effects may be called retrospective unfairness in the sense of already being present in the data before analysis begins, and may be due to discriminatory practices or the biased way in which variables are defined or recorded. In the context of learning policies, what we call prospective bias, i.e., the inappropriate dependence of learned policies on sensitive features, is also possible. In this paper, we use methods from causal and semiparametric inference to learn optimal policies in a way that addresses both retrospective bias in the data, and prospective bias due to the policy. In addition, our methods appropriately address statistical bias due to model misspecification and confounding bias, which are important in the estimation of path-specific causal effects from observational data. We apply our methods to both synthetic data and real criminal justice data.

This note is a response to [7] in which it is claimed that [13, Proposition 11] is false. We demonstrate here that this assertion in [7] is false, and is based on a misreading of the notion of set membership in [13, Proposition 11]. We maintain that [13, Proposition 11] is true. Based on the empirical risk principle, one should minimize at training time the loss that one wishes to evaluate at test time [10]. In [12, 13], we have studied the construction of surrogates for loss functions that are submodular with respect to the set of mispredictions.

Inspired by recent interests of developing machine learning and data mining algorithms on hypergraphs, we investigate in this paper the semi-supervised learning algorithm of propagating "soft labels" (e.g. Furthermore, in a PAC learning framework, we provide generalization error bounds for propagating one-dimensional distributions on graphs and hypergraphs using 2-Wasserstein distance, by establishing the algorithmic stability of the proposed semi-supervised learning algorithm. These theoretical results also shed new lights upon deeper understandings of the Wasserstein propagation on graphs. Recent decades have witnessed a growing interest in developing machine learning and data mining algorithms on hypergraphs [ZHS07], [JM18], [BP09], [LR15], [LM17], [HSJR13], [HZY15]. As a natural generalization of graphs, a hypergraph is a combinatorial structure consisting of vertices and hyperedges, where each hyperedge is allowed to connect any number of vertices.