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From BOP to BOSS and Beyond: Time Series Classification with Dictionary Based Classifiers

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A family of algorithms for time series classification (TSC) involve running a sliding window across each series, discretising the window to form a word, forming a histogram of word counts over the dictionary, then constructing a classifier on the histograms. A recent evaluation of two of this type of algorithm, Bag of Patterns (BOP) and Bag of Symbolic Fourier Approximation Symbols (BOSS) found a significant difference in accuracy between these seemingly similar algorithms. We investigate this phenomenon by deconstructing the classifiers and measuring the relative importance of the four key components between BOP and BOSS. We find that whilst ensembling is a key component for both algorithms, the effect of the other components is mixed and more complex. We conclude that BOSS represents the state of the art for dictionary based TSC. Both BOP and BOSS can be classed as bag of words approaches. These are particularly popular in Computer Vision for tasks such as image classification. Converting approaches from vision requires careful engineering. We adapt three techniques used in Computer Vision for TSC: Scale Invariant Feature Transform; Spatial Pyramids; and Histrogram Intersection. We find that using Spatial Pyramids in conjunction with BOSS (SP) produces a significantly more accurate classifier. SP is significantly more accurate than standard benchmarks and the original BOSS algorithm. It is not significantly worse than the best shapelet based approach, and is only outperformed by HIVE-COTE, an ensemble that includes BOSS as a constituent module.


Is rotation forest the best classifier for problems with continuous features?

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Rotation forest is a tree based ensemble that performs transforms on subsets of attributes prior to constructing each tree. We present an empirical comparison of classifiers for problems with only real valued features. We evaluate classifiers from three families of algorithms: support vector machines; tree-based ensembles; and neural networks. We compare classifiers on unseen data based on the quality of the decision rule (using classification error) the ability to rank cases (area under the receiver operator curve) and the probability estimates (using negative log likelihood). We conclude that, in answer to the question posed in the title, yes, rotation forest, is significantly more accurate on average than competing techniques when compared on three distinct sets of datasets. The same pattern of results are observed when tuning classifiers on the train data using a grid search. We investigate why rotation forest does so well by testing whether the characteristics of the data can be used to differentiate classifier performance. We assess the impact of the design features of rotation forest through an ablative study that transforms random forest into rotation forest. We identify the major limitation of rotation forest as its scalability, particularly in number of attributes. To overcome this problem we develop a model to predict the train time of the algorithm and hence propose a contract version of rotation forest where a run time cap {\em a priori}. We demonstrate that on large problems rotation forest can be made an order of magnitude faster without significant loss of accuracy and that there is no real benefit (on average) from tuning the ensemble. We conclude that without any domain knowledge to indicate an algorithm preference, rotation forest should be the default algorithm of choice for problems with continuous attributes.


Benchmarking five global optimization approaches for nano-optical shape optimization and parameter reconstruction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Numerical optimization is an important tool in the field of computational physics in general and in nano-optics in specific. It has attracted attention with the increase in complexity of structures that can be realized with nowadays nano-fabrication technologies for which a rational design is no longer feasible. Also, numerical resources are available to enable the computational photonic material design and to identify structures that meet predefined optical properties for specific applications. However, the optimization objective function is in general non-convex and its computation remains resource demanding such that the right choice for the optimization method is crucial to obtain excellent results. Here, we benchmark five global optimization methods for three typical nano-optical optimization problems from the field of shape optimization and parameter reconstruction: downhill simplex optimization, the limited-memory Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno (L-BFGS) algorithm, particle swarm optimization, differential evolution, and Bayesian optimization. In these examples, Bayesian optimization, mainly known from machine learning applications, obtains significantly better results in a fraction of the run times of the other optimization methods.


Comparison between Suitable Priors for Additive Bayesian Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Additive Bayesian networks are types of graphical models that extend the usual Bayesian generalized linear model to multiple dependent variables through the factorisation of the joint probability distribution of the underlying variables. When fitting an ABN model, the choice of the prior of the parameters is of crucial importance. If an inadequate prior - like a too weakly informative one - is used, data separation and data sparsity lead to issues in the model selection process. In this work a simulation study between two weakly and a strongly informative priors is presented. As weakly informative prior we use a zero mean Gaussian prior with a large variance, currently implemented in the R-package abn. The second prior belongs to the Student's t-distribution, specifically designed for logistic regressions and, finally, the strongly informative prior is again Gaussian with mean equal to true parameter value and a small variance. We compare the impact of these priors on the accuracy of the learned additive Bayesian network in function of different parameters. We create a simulation study to illustrate Lindley's paradox based on the prior choice. We then conclude by highlighting the good performance of the informative Student's t-prior and the limited impact of the Lindley's paradox. Finally, suggestions for further developments are provided.


A generalized financial time series forecasting model based on automatic feature engineering using genetic algorithms and support vector machine

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose the genetic algorithm for time window optimization, which is an embedded genetic algorithm (GA), to optimize the time window (TW) of the attributes using feature selection and support vector machine. This GA is evolved using the results of a trading simulation, and it determines the best TW for each technical indicator. An appropriate evaluation was conducted using a walk-forward trading simulation, and the trained model was verified to be generalizable for forecasting other stock data. The results show that using the GA to determine the TW can improve the rate of return, leading to better prediction models than those resulting from using the default TW.


Leveraging Contact Forces for Learning to Grasp

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Grasping objects under uncertainty remains an open problem in robotics research. This uncertainty is often due to noisy or partial observations of the object pose or shape. To enable a robot to react appropriately to unforeseen effects, it is crucial that it continuously takes sensor feedback into account. While visual feedback is important for inferring a grasp pose and reaching for an object, contact feedback offers valuable information during manipulation and grasp acquisition. In this paper, we use model-free deep reinforcement learning to synthesize control policies that exploit contact sensing to generate robust grasping under uncertainty. We demonstrate our approach on a multi-fingered hand that exhibits more complex finger coordination than the commonly used two-fingered grippers. We conduct extensive experiments in order to assess the performance of the learned policies, with and without contact sensing. While it is possible to learn grasping policies without contact sensing, our results suggest that contact feedback allows for a significant improvement of grasping robustness under object pose uncertainty and for objects with a complex shape.


Lung Cancer Concept Annotation from Spanish Clinical Narratives

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent rapid increase in the generation of clinical data and rapid development of computational science make us able to extract new insights from massive datasets in healthcare industry. Oncological clinical notes are creating rich databases for documenting patient's history and they potentially contain lots of patterns that could help in better management of the disease. However, these patterns are locked within free text (unstructured) portions of clinical documents and consequence in limiting health professionals to extract useful information from them and to finally perform Query and Answering (Q&A) process in an accurate way. The Information Extraction (IE) process requires Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques to assign semantics to these patterns. Therefore, in this paper, we analyze the design of annotators for specific lung cancer concepts that can be integrated over Apache Unstructured Information Management Architecture (UIMA) framework. In addition, we explain the details of generation and storage of annotation outcomes.


Towards Abstraction in ASP with an Application on Reasoning about Agent Policies

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Institute of Logic and Computation, TU Wien, Vienna, Austria (email: {zeynep,eiter}@kr.tuwien.ac.at) submitted 1 January 2003; revised 1 January 2003; accepted 1 January 2003 ASP programs are a convenient tool for problem solving, whereas with large problem instances the size of the state space can be prohibitive. We consider abstraction as a means of over-approximation and introduce a method to automatically abstract (possibly non-ground) ASP programs that preserves their structure, while reducing the size of the problem.


Phase Transitions of the Typical Algorithmic Complexity of the Random Satisfiability Problem Studied with Linear Programming

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Here we study the NP-complete $K$-SAT problem. Although the worst-case complexity of NP-complete problems is conjectured to be exponential, there exist parametrized random ensembles of problems where solutions can typically be found in polynomial time for suitable ranges of the parameter. In fact, random $K$-SAT, with $\alpha=M/N $ as control parameter, can be solved quickly for small enough values of $\alpha$. It shows a phase transition between a satisfiable phase and an unsatisfiable phase. For branch and bound algorithms, which operate in the space of feasible Boolean configurations, the empirically hardest problems are located only close to this phase transition. Here we study $K$-SAT ($K=3,4$) and the related optimization problem MAX-SAT by a linear programming approach, which is widely used for practical problems and allows for polynomial run time. In contrast to branch and bound it operates outside the space of feasible configurations. On the other hand, finding a solution within polynomial time is not guaranteed. We investigated several variants like including artificial objective functions, so called cutting-plane approaches, and a mapping to the NP-complete vertex-cover problem. We observed several easy-hard transitions, from where the problems are typically solvable (in polynomial time) using the given algorithms, respectively, to where they are not solvable in polynomial time. For the related vertex-cover problem on random graphs these easy-hard transitions can be identified with structural properties of the graphs, like percolation transitions. For the present random $K$-SAT problem we have investigated numerous structural properties also exhibiting clear transitions, but they appear not be correlated to the here observed easy-hard transitions. This renders the behaviour of random $K$-SAT more complex than, e.g., the vertex-cover problem.


Global Constraint Catalog, Volume II, Time-Series Constraints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

First this report presents a restricted set of finite transducers used to synthesise structural time-series constraints described by means of a multi-layered function composition scheme. Second it provides the corresponding synthesised catalogue of structural time-series constraints where each constraint is explicitly described in terms of automata with registers.