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Instrumental Variables in Causal Inference and Machine Learning: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Causal inference is the process of using assumptions, study designs, and estimation strategies to draw conclusions about the causal relationships between variables based on data. This allows researchers to better understand the underlying mechanisms at work in complex systems and make more informed decisions. In many settings, we may not fully observe all the confounders that affect both the treatment and outcome variables, complicating the estimation of causal effects. To address this problem, a growing literature in both causal inference and machine learning proposes to use Instrumental Variables (IV). This paper serves as the first effort to systematically and comprehensively introduce and discuss the IV methods and their applications in both causal inference and machine learning. First, we provide the formal definition of IVs and discuss the identification problem of IV regression methods under different assumptions. Second, we categorize the existing work on IV methods into three streams according to the focus on the proposed methods, including two-stage least squares with IVs, control function with IVs, and evaluation of IVs. For each stream, we present both the classical causal inference methods, and recent developments in the machine learning literature. Then, we introduce a variety of applications of IV methods in real-world scenarios and provide a summary of the available datasets and algorithms. Finally, we summarize the literature, discuss the open problems and suggest promising future research directions for IV methods and their applications. We also develop a toolkit of IVs methods reviewed in this survey at https://github.com/causal-machine-learning-lab/mliv.


Speech Recognition with Missing Data using Recurrent Neural Nets

Neural Information Processing Systems

In the'missing data' approach to improving the robustness of automatic speech recognition to added noise, an initial process identifies spectraltemporal regions which are dominated by the speech source. The remaining regions are considered to be'missing'. In this paper we develop a connectionist approach to the problem of adapting speech recognition to the missing data case, using Recurrent Neural Networks. In contrast to methods based on Hidden Markov Models, RNNs allow us to make use of long-term time constraints and to make the problems of classification with incomplete data and imputing missing values interact. We report encouraging results on an isolated digit recognition task.


Speech Recognition with Missing Data using Recurrent Neural Nets

Neural Information Processing Systems

In the'missing data' approach to improving the robustness of automatic speech recognition to added noise, an initial process identifies spectraltemporal regions which are dominated by the speech source. The remaining regions are considered to be'missing'. In this paper we develop a connectionist approach to the problem of adapting speech recognition to the missing data case, using Recurrent Neural Networks. In contrast to methods based on Hidden Markov Models, RNNs allow us to make use of long-term time constraints and to make the problems of classification with incomplete data and imputing missing values interact. We report encouraging results on an isolated digit recognition task.


Natural Language Understanding

AI Magazine

This is an excerpt from the Handbook of Artificial Intelligence, a compendium of hundreds of articles about AI ideas, techniques, and programs being prepared at Stanford University by AI researchers and students from across the country. In addition to articles describing the specifics of various AI programming methods, the Handbook contains dozens of overview articles like this one, which attempt to give historical and scientific perspective to work in the different areas of AI research. This article is from the Handbook chapter on natural language understanding. Cross-references to other articles in the handbook have been removed-terms discussed in more detail elsewhere are italicized. Many people have contributed to this chapter, including especially Anne Gardner, James Davidson, and Terry Winograd. Avron Barr and Edward A. Feigenbaum are the Handbook's general editors.