Bonn
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King cobras take the train in India
Earth's largest venomous snakes are hitching a rides to places they don't belong. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent six days a week. The king cobra () isn't a difficult snake to spot. A fully grown adult easily reaches over 13 feet long, making them the largest venomous snakes in the world. But despite their size and iconic appearance, at least one vulnerable species in India is sneaking aboard trains and accidentally arriving into new and dangerous habitats.
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Scalable branch-and-bound model selection with non-monotonic criteria including AIC, BIC and Mallows's $\mathit{C_p}$
Vanhoefer, Jakob, Körner, Antonia, Doresic, Domagoj, Hasenauer, Jan, Pathirana, Dilan
Model selection is a pivotal process in the quantitative sciences, where researchers must navigate between numerous candidate models of varying complexity. Traditional information criteria, such as the corrected Akaike Information Criterion (AICc), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and Mallows's $\mathit{C_p}$, are valuable tools for identifying optimal models. However, the exponential increase in candidate models with each additional model parameter renders the evaluation of these criteria for all models -- a strategy known as exhaustive, or brute-force, searches -- computationally prohibitive. Consequently, heuristic approaches like stepwise regression are commonly employed, albeit without guarantees of finding the globally-optimal model. In this study, we challenge the prevailing notion that non-monotonicity in information criteria precludes bounds on the search space. We introduce a simple but novel bound that enables the development of branch-and-bound algorithms tailored for these non-monotonic functions. We demonstrate that our approach guarantees identification of the optimal model(s) across diverse model classes, sizes, and applications, often with orders of magnitude computational speedups. For instance, in one previously-published model selection task involving $2^{32}$ (approximately 4 billion) candidate models, our method achieves a computational speedup exceeding 6,000. These findings have broad implications for the scalability and effectiveness of model selection in complex scientific domains.
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Growing Reservoirs with Developmental Graph Cellular Automata
Barandiaran, Matias, Stovold, James
Developmental Graph Cellular Automata (DGCA) are a novel model for morphogenesis, capable of growing directed graphs from single-node seeds. In this paper, we show that DGCAs can be trained to grow reservoirs. Reservoirs are grown with two types of targets: task-driven (using the NARMA family of tasks) and task-independent (using reservoir metrics). Results show that DGCAs are able to grow into a variety of specialized, life-like structures capable of effectively solving benchmark tasks, statistically outperforming `typical' reservoirs on the same task. Overall, these lay the foundation for the development of DGCA systems that produce plastic reservoirs and for modeling functional, adaptive morphogenesis.
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