Sarajevo
Vision for Bosnia and Herzegovina in Artificial Intelligence Age: Global Trends, Potential Opportunities, Selected Use-cases and Realistic Goals
Ajanović, Zlatan, Aličković, Emina, Branković, Aida, Delalić, Sead, Kurtić, Eldar, Malikić, Salem, Mehonić, Adnan, Merzić, Hamza, Šehić, Kenan, Trbalić, Bahrudin
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is one of the most promising technologies of the 21. century, with an already noticeable impact on society and the economy. With this work, we provide a short overview of global trends, applications in industry and selected use-cases from our international experience and work in industry and academia. The goal is to present global and regional positive practices and provide an informed opinion on the realistic goals and opportunities for positioning B&H on the global AI scene.
Distributed Nonlinear State Estimation in Electric Power Systems using Graph Neural Networks
Kundacina, Ognjen, Cosovic, Mirsad, Miskovic, Dragisa, Vukobratovic, Dejan
Nonlinear state estimation (SE), with the goal of estimating complex bus voltages based on all types of measurements available in the power system, is usually solved using the iterative Gauss-Newton method. The nonlinear SE presents some difficulties when considering inputs from both phasor measurement units and supervisory control and data acquisition system. These include numerical instabilities, convergence time depending on the starting point of the iterative method, and the quadratic computational complexity of a single iteration regarding the number of state variables. This paper introduces an original graph neural network based SE implementation over the augmented factor graph of the nonlinear power system SE, capable of incorporating measurements on both branches and buses, as well as both phasor and legacy measurements. The proposed regression model has linear computational complexity during the inference time once trained, with a possibility of distributed implementation. Since the method is noniterative and non-matrix-based, it is resilient to the problems that the Gauss-Newton solver is prone to. Aside from prediction accuracy on the test set, the proposed model demonstrates robustness when simulating cyber attacks and unobservable scenarios due to communication irregularities. In those cases, prediction errors are sustained locally, with no effect on the rest of the power system's results.
Near Real-Time Distributed State Estimation via AI/ML-Empowered 5G Networks
Kundacina, Ognjen, Forcan, Miodrag, Cosovic, Mirsad, Raca, Darijo, Dzaferagic, Merim, Miskovic, Dragisa, Maksimovic, Mirjana, Vukobratovic, Dejan
Fifth-Generation (5G) networks have a potential to accelerate power system transition to a flexible, softwarized, data-driven, and intelligent grid. With their evolving support for Machine Learning (ML)/Artificial Intelligence (AI) functions, 5G networks are expected to enable novel data-centric Smart Grid (SG) services. In this paper, we explore how data-driven SG services could be integrated with ML/AI-enabled 5G networks in a symbiotic relationship. We focus on the State Estimation (SE) function as a key element of the energy management system and focus on two main questions. Firstly, in a tutorial fashion, we present an overview on how distributed SE can be integrated with the elements of the 5G core network and radio access network architecture. Secondly, we present and compare two powerful distributed SE methods based on: i) graphical models and belief propagation, and ii) graph neural networks. We discuss their performance and capability to support a near real-time distributed SE via 5G network, taking into account communication delays.
State Estimation in Electric Power Systems Leveraging Graph Neural Networks
Kundacina, Ognjen, Cosovic, Mirsad, Vukobratovic, Dejan
The goal of the state estimation (SE) algorithm is to estimate complex bus voltages as state variables based on the available set of measurements in the power system. Because phasor measurement units (PMUs) are increasingly being used in transmission power systems, there is a need for a fast SE solver that can take advantage of high sampling rates of PMUs. This paper proposes training a graph neural network (GNN) to learn the estimates given the PMU voltage and current measurements as inputs, with the intent of obtaining fast and accurate predictions during the evaluation phase. GNN is trained using synthetic datasets, created by randomly sampling sets of measurements in the power system and labelling them with a solution obtained using a linear SE with PMUs solver. The presented results display the accuracy of GNN predictions in various test scenarios and tackle the sensitivity of the predictions to the missing input data.
Pushing Buttons: what games can offer us in times of crisis
Welcome to Pushing Buttons, the Guardian's gaming newsletter. If you'd like to receive it in your inbox every week, just pop your email in below – and check your inbox (and spam) for the confirmation email. It's difficult to sit down and concentrate at the moment, isn't it. Whenever something worrying and momentous is occurring in the news, most things feel frivolous and pointless. I used to experience an amorphous sense of guilt around writing about video games for a living when important and harrowing things were happening in the wider world.
Multiple Object Trackers in OpenCV: A Benchmark
Dardagan, Nađa, Brđanin, Adnan, Džigal, Džemil, Akagic, Amila
Object tracking is one of the most important and fundamental disciplines of Computer Vision. Many Computer Vision applications require specific object tracking capabilities, including autonomous and smart vehicles, video surveillance, medical treatments, and many others. The OpenCV as one of the most popular libraries for Computer Vision includes several hundred Computer Vision algorithms. Object tracking tasks in the library can be roughly clustered in single and multiple object trackers. The library is widely used for real-time applications, but there are a lot of unanswered questions such as when to use a specific tracker, how to evaluate its performance, and for what kind of objects will the tracker yield the best results? In this paper, we evaluate 7 trackers implemented in OpenCV against the MOT20 dataset. The results are shown based on Multiple Object Tracking Accuracy (MOTA) and Multiple Object Tracking Precision (MOTP) metrics.
Comparison Analysis of Facebook's Prophet, Amazon's DeepAR+ and CNN-QR Algorithms for Successful Real-World Sales Forecasting
Zunic, Emir, Korjenic, Kemal, Delalic, Sead, Subara, Zlatko
By successfully solving the problem of forecasting, the processes in the work of various companies are optimized and savings are achieved. In this process, the analysis of time series data is of particular importance. Since the creation of Facebook's Prophet, and Amazon's DeepAR and CNN-QR forecasting models, algorithms have attracted a great deal of attention. The paper presents the application and comparison of the above algorithms for sales forecasting in distribution companies. A detailed comparison of the performance of algorithms over real data with different lengths of sales history was made. The results show that Prophet gives better results for items with a longer history and frequent sales, while Amazon's algorithms show superiority for items without a long history and items that are rarely sold. NTRODUCTION Successful sales forecasting mechanisms can have positive effects in many areas of business, and one of the basic aspects is stock optimization. In retail, wholesale and distribution companies, inventory optimization is one of the key aspects of business. Companies that maintain their stocks at an adequate and satisfactory level can save significant amounts of money, and at the same time their other processes, such as warehousing, commissioning, shipping, etc. are significantly improved. Stock optimization often does not have enough attention in a real environment. According to the detailed analysis presented by Bajrić [1], inventory management in the average company from Bosnia and Herzegovina is far from satisfactory. There are either too many products in the stock, so there is an unnecessary cost of keeping them, or not enough products, so there is a lost sales, cost of stopping production, replanting, switching to other products, breaking deadlines, returning to production of the original product and related costs. According to the mentioned research, stocks in the average Bosnian company can be reduced by an average of 25%.
Generative Autoencoder Kernels on Deep Learning for Brain Activity Analysis
Deep Learning (DL) is a two-step classification model that consists feature learning, generating feature representations using unsupervised ways and the supervised learning stage at the last step of model using at least two hidden layers on the proposed structures by fully connected layers depending on of the artificial neural networks. The optimization of the predefined classification parameters for the supervised models eases reaching the global optimality with exact zero training error. The autoencoder (AE) models are the highly generalized ways of the unsupervised stages for the DL to define the output weights of the hidden neurons with various representations. As alternatively to the conventional Extreme Learning Machines (ELM) AE, Hessenberg decomposition-based ELM autoencoder (HessELM-AE) is a novel kernel to generate different presentations of the input data within the intended sizes of the models. The aim of the study is analyzing the performance of the novel Deep AE kernel for clinical availability on electroencephalogram (EEG) with stroke patients. The slow cortical potentials (SCP) training in stroke patients during eight neurofeedback sessions were analyzed using Hilbert-Huang Transform. The statistical features of different frequency modulations were fed into the Deep ELM model for generative AE kernels. The novel Deep ELM-AE kernels have discriminated the brain activity with high classification performances for positivity and negativity tasks in stroke patients.
Humans Have Gotten Nicer and Better at Making War - Issue 94: Evolving
In 1991 two hikers in the Italian Alps stumbled on a mummified body buried in the ice. The Iceman, it turned out, died more than 5,000 years ago. At first, archeologists assumed he'd fallen in a snowstorm and frozen to death. Then they discovered various cuts and bruises on his body and an arrowhead embedded in his shoulder. They also found traces of blood on the stone knife he was carrying. Most likely, he died fighting. Canadian historian Margaret MacMillan regards the Iceman story as emblematic of our violent nature. Humans are a quarrelsome lot with a special talent for waging war. In her book War: How Conflict Shaped Us, she argues that warfare is so deeply embedded in human history that we barely recognize its ripple effects.