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Rescaling and other forms of unsupervised preprocessing introduce bias into cross-validation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Cross-validation of predictive models is the de-facto standard for model selection and evaluation. In proper use, it provides an unbiased estimate of a model's predictive performance. However, data sets often undergo a preliminary data-dependent transformation, such as feature rescaling or dimensionality reduction, prior to cross-validation. It is widely believed that such a preprocessing stage, if done in an unsupervised manner that does not consider the class labels or response values, has no effect on the validity of cross-validation. In this paper, we show that this belief is not true. Preliminary preprocessing can introduce either a positive or negative bias into the estimates of model performance. Thus, it may lead to sub-optimal choices of model parameters and invalid inference. In light of this, the scientific community should re-examine the use of preliminary preprocessing prior to cross-validation across the various application domains. By default, all data transformations, including unsupervised preprocessing stages, should be learned only from the training samples, and then merely applied to the validation and testing samples.


Ocean recoveries for tomorrows Earth: Hitting a moving target

Science

As the human population has grown, our demands on the ocean have increased rapidly. These demands have similarly increased the pressure we place on these systems, and we now cause considerable damage globally. If we want to maintain healthy ocean ecosystems into the future, we must learn to use ocean resources in a sustainable way and facilitate recovery in regions that have declined. Determining how to make these goals a reality, however, is no small challenge. Ingeman et al. review the challenge presented by attempting both to recover and to use ecosystems simultaneously and discuss several approaches for facilitating this essential dual goal. Ocean defaunation and loss of marine ecosystem services present an urgent need to recover degraded ocean ecosystems. Growing scientific awareness, strong regulations, and effective management have begun to fulfill the promise of recovery. Unfortunately, many efforts remain unsuccessful, in part because marine ecosystems and human societies are changing. Rapid shifts in environmental conditions are undermining previously effective recovery strategies. Moreover, divergent perceptions of recovery exist. Efforts toward reversing marine degradation must address the dynamic social-ecological landscape in which recoveries occur, or forever chase a moving target. Recovery efforts of tomorrow will require institutional and tactical flexibility to keep pace with a changing ocean, and an inclusive concept of recovery. Further, vital population-level efforts will be most successful when complemented by a broader ecosystem and social-ecological perspective. In this Review, we provide a synthesis of ocean-recovery goals as moving targets and highlight promising steps forward. While acknowledging the priority of basic conservation imperatives, successful recoveries can encompass a range of outcomes in the space between minimum ecological viability and maximum carrying capacity. Ongoing advances are improving our ability to predict the effects of environmental change on ocean productivity and to calibrate recovery targets to changing conditions. As a complement to predict-and-prescribe methods, research can also point the way toward robust approaches in the face of irreducible uncertainty.


Keynote Programme Announced for SPE Offshore Europe 2019 - SPE Offshore Europe

#artificialintelligence

Artificial intelligence, energy diversification and the transformation of the workforce will be amongst the major talking points at SPE Offshore Europe 2019. Senior international industry figures will co-chair the keynote sessions which also includes late life and decommissioning, underwater innovation, transformative technologies to lower the carbon footprint, digital security, integrated technologies, digitalisation, standardisation and finance. The event will take place from 3-6 September at the new £333million The Event Complex Aberdeen (TECA), under the theme: 'Breakthrough to Excellence – Our license to operate'. Michael Borrell, SPE Offshore Europe 2019 Conference Chair & Senior Vice President, North Sea and Russia at Total said: "Our committee is full of international oil and gas industry leaders and they have developed an excellent programme which gets to the heart of the main opportunities and challenges facing the region. "Offshore Europe 2019 is a great opportunity for us to challenge ourselves in the North Sea basin.


Extension of Convolutional Neural Network with General Image Processing Kernels

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Abstract-- We applied predefined kernels also known as filters or masks developed for image processing to convolution neural network. Instead of letting neural networks find its own kernels, we used 41 different general-purpose kernels of blurring, edge detecting, sharpening, discrete cosine transformation, etc. for the first layer of the convolution neural networks. This architecture, thus named as general filter convolutional neural network (GFNN), can reduce training time by 30% with a better accuracy compared to the regular convolutional neural network (CNN). GFNN also can be trained to achieve 90% accuracy with only 500 samples. Furthermore, even though these kernels are not specialized for the MNIST dataset, we achieved 99.56% accuracy without ensemble nor any other special algorithms.


How Algorithms Are Taking Over Big Oil

#artificialintelligence

With the help of artificial intelligence, BP says it needs 40% fewer workers to keep its natural gas flowing in Wyoming. A visitor to one of BP's natural gas fields in Wyoming a few years ago might have noticed an odd sight: smartphones in plastic bags tied to pumps with zip ties. This was an early test of a multistate initiative by the oil giant to link a network of Wi-Fi sensors to an artificial intelligence system--one that now operates the Wamsutter field in Wyoming with far less human oversight than before. Artificial intelligence has come to the oil patch, accelerating a technical change that is transforming the conditions for the oil and gas industry's 150,000 U.S. workers. Giant energy companies like Shell and BP are investing billions to bring artificial intelligence to new refineries, oilfields and deepwater drilling platforms.


Coarse-grain Fine-grain Coattention Network for Multi-evidence Question Answering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

End-to-end neural models have made significant progress in question answering, however recent studies show that these models implicitly assume that the answer and evidence appear close together in a single document. In this work, we propose the Coarse-grain Fine-grain Coattention Network (CFC), a new question answering model that combines information from evidence across multiple documents. The CFC consists of a coarse-grain module that interprets documents with respect to the query then finds a relevant answer, and a fine-grain module which scores each candidate answer by comparing its occurrences across all of the documents with the query. We design these modules using hierarchies of coattention and self-attention, which learn to emphasize different parts of the input. On the Qangaroo WikiHop multi-evidence question answering task, the CFC obtains a new state-of-the-art result of 70.6% on the blind test set, outperforming the previous best by 3% accuracy despite not using pretrained contextual encoders.


8 Data Science Projects to Build your Portfolio Data Science Blog

#artificialintelligence

A decade ago, machine learning was simply a concept but today it has changed the way we interact with technology. Devices are becoming smarter, faster and better, with Machine Learning at the helm. Thus, we have designed a comprehensive list of projects in Machine Learning course that offers a hands-on experience with ML and how to build actual projects using the Machine Learning algorithms. Furthermore, this course is a follow up to our Introduction to Machine Learning course and delves further deeper into the practical applications of Machine Learning. In this blog, we will have a look at projects divided mostly into two different levels i.e.


North Sea Deployment Shows How Quadruped Robots Can Be Commercially Useful

IEEE Spectrum Robotics

As much as we like writing about quadrupedal robots, it's always been a little bit tricky to see how they might be commercially useful in the near term outside of specialized circumstances like disaster response. We've seen some hints of what might be possible from Boston Dynamics, which has demonstrated construction inspection with SpotMini, but that's not necessarily a situation where a robot is significantly better than a human. In September, ANYbotics brought one of their industrial quadrupeds, ANYmal, to an offshore power distribution platform in the North Sea. It's very remote, and nothing much happens there, but it still requires a human or two to wander around checking up on stuff, a job that nobody wants. A crucial task for energy providers is the reliable and safe operation of their plants, especially when producing energy offshore.


Intelligent Drone Swarm for Search and Rescue Operations at Sea

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, a rising numbers of people arrived in the European Union, traveling across the Mediterranean Sea or overland through Southeast Europe in what has been later named as the European migrant crisis. In the last 5 years, more than 16 thousands people have lost their lives in the Mediterranean sea during the crossing. The United Nations Secretary General Strategy on New Technologies is supporting the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Robotics to accelerate the achievement of the 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda, which includes safe and regular migration processes among the others. In the same spirit, the central idea of this project aims at using AI technology for Search And Rescue (SAR) operations at sea. In particular, we propose an autonomous fleet of self-organizing intelligent drones that would enable the coverage of a broader area, speeding-up the search processes and finally increasing the efficiency and effectiveness of migrants rescue operations.


Assassin's Creed Odyssey review – an epic journey through ancient Greece

The Guardian

Assassin's Creed Odyssey is aptly named. It is an enormous, meandering journey through ancient Greece at the beginning of the Peloponnesian war as the struggle between Sparta and Athens begins to reshape the Greek world. It will shock you with its breadth and depth: the sea hides sunken ruins, the detail of temple paintings is impeccable, authentically clothed characters wander enormous cities whilst chatting in Greek, soldiers clash on roads as citizens scatter. You play a mercenary, choosing between the equally statuesque and self-assured Kassandra or Alexios. There is an element of family drama that propels the story forward in counterpart to the overarching historical drama of the setting.